Pogaduchy przy porannej kawie

[_/_/Dariusz_/_/]

Wygląda na to, że za chwilę bęzie jazda góra dół na eduardo 22200 - 23200.

[Stforex]

EGB FLOWS: EMU peripheral spreads are trading wider Thursday, with the exception of Spain, which is tighter following story El Confidencial that Spain is mulling using bank bailout cash for bond purchases on the primary and secondary market by the EFSF. In addition, advisory firm report earlier say that it raises the prospect of agressive ECB Spain bond buys on the secondary mkt once Spain applies for assistance and agrees to conditionality.

To jest w sumie kosmos. Rynek dowiedział się czegoś co już było wiadome.
ECB zapiera się rękami i nogami przed skupem, ale jak już skupi to dobrze.
Czyżby rynek brzytwy się chwytał?
"Buy the rumour?"

[ziom_szybkiego_lopeza]

EURO-DOLLAR: Holds $1.2365 and thus is within striking distance of the
earlier high at $1.2369, though we are struck by trader remarks about
how light flows have been in general today, even as euro-dollar turned
higher in a classic short-squeeze. Real-money is very sidelined, one
veteran trader says, and most will remain that way into month-end,
leaving the field open to shorter-term money. Euro buyers today said to
be the model community and fast money types, many cutting euro shorts
set just Wednesday. Offers remain $1.2370/80 zone but stops are
mentioned above, though talk says there is a "long line" of offers to
$1.2450 with only a few stops interspersed.

[259]

Wygląda na to, że w FED robi się gorąco jeżeli chodzi o QE (w jakiejkolwiek formie by to nie było).
"Jastrzębie" mocno gardłują przeciwko jednocześnie przyznając, że mają raczej słabe pozycje...

The Latest From The WSJ’s Hilsenrath
By Adam Button || August 16, 2012 at 18:24 GMT

The WSJ Fedwatcher interviews uber-hawk Plosser who says “I don’t see that there’s much benefit” to QE3.
Plosser acknowledged that fighting against further Fed action might be a losing battle
Characterizes August statement as “a strong signal” the Fed leaning toward action
Full story

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000087 ... iew_latest

[259]

Wybije, nie wybije, wybije... to coś o czym mówił Edelson i to coś o czym myślą inni ale inaczej... trochę kolorków i innych elementów dla dodania dramaturgii ;-)

[259]

Keep a wary eye on EUR/AUD
Written by Pete Jackson
August 17, 2012 at 05:52 GMT

Yet again we’re bumping up against the 1.1800 level and reports are that some aggressive buying was the cause earlier for the sharp drop in AUD/USD from 1.0500 over the last hour or so. Buy stops are primed for a break of 1.1810/15

If it is fund related, which i half suspect, it could just be the start of some larger unwinding from them. Then this move could finally break up through the next significant level around 1.1856 (Jul 27 highs) and 1.1900 and it would point to a reasonable base formed down at the 1.1600/10 level.

Recent comments from ex RBA board member McKibbin calling for some RBA intervention to counter the AUD strength which is having a negative impact on Australian manifacturing are likely to be ignored, but some bearish rhetoric is likely from the RBA and if EUR/AUD does begin to get a up a ‘head of steam’ I’m sure they’ll be delighted.

AUD/USD bids from sovereigns and real money remain in the 1.0450/60 window with sell stops below down through 1.0445. On the flip side there are some decent offers from a myriad of names up from 1.0500/10 and again from 1.0530 to 1.0550.

[259]

Today’s Orderboard
By Pete Jackson || August 17, 2012 at 06:42 GMT

EUR/USD: Bids 1.2340/50, 1.2300/10, sell stops just below through 1.2290 ahead of larger bids down at 1.2240/60, (1.2242 strong Fibo supp), sell stops below. Offers start 1.2380/00 (55 day MA 1.2395) buy stops above ahead of tech res 1.2440/45, buys stops above 1.2450
GBP/USD: Bids 1.5690/1.5710 possible sell stops through 1.5685 more bids 1.5650/60 (tech supp Mon low 1.5657), weak sell stops through 1.5640. Offers 1.5740/55, (tech res 100 day MA 1.5752). Strong offers above ahead of 1.5800 (barrier?).
EUR/GBP: Offers 0.7880/90. Bids0.7840/50 and 0.7800/10, likely sell stops below.
USD/JPY: Offers 79.40/50 (exporters), buy stops through 79.50 ahead of tech res 79.65 (100 day MA) and offers 79.80/00. Larger buy stops above. Bids 79.00/10 (79.05 -55 day MA) sell stops through 78.90 ahead of more bids 78.50/60 with sell stops below.
EUR/JPY: Bids 97.85/95 and 97.50/60 sell stops below More bids down at 97.00/10, sell stops below. Offers and 98.40/50 and 98.90/00
AUD/JPY: Strong bids 82.90/00, stronger at 82.50/60 sell stops below and again through 82.00. Offers 83.40/50 and 83.90/00
EUR/CHF: Bids 1.2000/10(SNB), Offers 1.2025/30
AUD/USD: Bids 1.0450/60 (sovereigns, real money), sell stops through 1.0445, more bids 1.0400/10, and good tech support 1.0380/90. Strong offers start from 1.0500/10 and 1.0530/50
EUR/AUD: Offers 1.1790/1.1810 buy stops through 1.1815 a break above targeting 1.1856 (Jul 27 highs). Bids 1.1740/50 and 1.1690/00
NZD/USD: Strong offers 0.81.20/30 some buy stops above. Tech support 0.8080/85, sell stops below ahead of bids 0.8040/50 possible sell stops below through 0.8035 and psychological 0.8000 level

[Stforex]

Dzień dobry!

FX: Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut,
* Euro-dollar; $1.2275, $1.2300, $1.2350, $1.2400
* Dollar-yen; Y79.00, Y79.05, Y79.10
* Euro-yen; Y98.00, Y97.05, Y97.00
* Cable; $1.5760
* Euro-sterling; stg0.7800, stg0.7950
* Aussie; $1.0350, $1.0405, $1.0600
* Aussie-yen; Y83.00

Który instrument najwięcej zyska na QE3? Aussie? Eurodolar? A może złoto? Jakieś pomysły?

[mryko]

Nasza królowa Złotówka

[259]

Który instrument najwięcej zyska na QE3? Aussie? Eurodolar? A może złoto? Jakieś pomysły?

Złoto i srebro w pierwszej kolejności. A potem wszystko co ma w mianowniku dolara. A w jakim zakresie to już będzie zależało od tego co jest powyżej mianownika.