Witam Szanownych Kolegów!
8-9 sierpnia zbiera się BOJ, to może być bardzo ciekawe wydarzenie.
BOJ Morimoto: Must carefully watch strong yen impact
FX: Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut,
* Euro-dollar; $1.2150, $1.2200, $1.2220, $1.2250, $1.2260, $1.2300
* Dollar-yen; Y77.50, Y78.10, Y78.45, Y78.50, Y79.00
* Cable; $1.5600, $1.5610, $1.5650, $1.5680
* Euro-sterling; stg0.7795
* Euro-Swiss; Chf1.2025
* Aussie; $1.0525, $1.0585
Intraday options that are due to expire today at 10am NY cut (1500BST)
USD/JPY - 78.10, 78.45/50
EUR/USD - 1.2220, 1.2250, 1.2260 GBP/USD - 1.5600/10
EUR/CHF - 1.2025 AUD/USD - 1.0525
Całkiem przyjemne streszczenie poprzednich odcinków naszej telenoweli
EU MORNING CALL - 02/08/12
Standard & Poor's have affirmed Germany's 'AAA' rating with a stable outlook. (Newswires)
The ratings agency cited the country's capacity to absorb large economic and financial shocks. S&P sees German GDP at 1% for 2012 and 2013. S&P added that they may lower the German rating if their liabilities surge. Elsewhere, S&P have cut Cyprus to 'BB' from 'BB+'; watch negative. The ratings agency added that there is a 50% chance that it will lower the Cypriot rating in Q3 if official aid is not forthcoming, or if the aid program is much larger than expected.
Italian PM Monti has said the ESM will gain access to ECB liquidity via a banking licence, adding that he thinks this will occur in due course. (Newswires) A number of European powers including the Italian and Spanish PM aswell as ECB member Nowotny see the ESM being granted a banking licence, however, this faces fierce opposition from the German government and the Bundesbank.
The FOMC held rates unchanged at 0.25%. The Fed said it will provide additional accommodation as needed, repeating exceptionally low rates at least through late 2014. (Newswires) Fed vote in favour of policy was 11-1; Lacker dissented says preferred to omit time period for holding rates exceptionally low. Fed repeated that it expects economic growth to remain moderate over coming quarters, picking up very gradually. Jobless rate decline to only slow towards a level consistent with mandate.
EUR/USD opened in Asia at 1.2236 after selling off from 1.2300 in the wake of the Fed’s unchanged decision and lack of extension on zero-rates into 2015 as some participants had hoped for. Prices have since grinded higher with Asian equities coming off their lows and on Japanese short-covering. Attention and direction of the day is now largely dependent on the ECB later today and what action Draghi takes in the press conference. (TFX)