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14-May-2014 11:16
EURO-DOLLAR TECHS: $1.3674-$1.3683 Is Important Support Today
*RES 4: $1.3840 50% Fibo of $1.3989-$1.3690
*RES 3: $1.3805 38.2% Fibo of $1.3989-$1.3690
*RES 2: $1.3775 May 12 high
*RES 1: $1.3745/55 Hourly resistance
*PRICE: $1.3720 @0912GMT
*SUP 1: $1.3690 May 13 low
*SUP 2: $1.3676/83 Apr 4 low, rising suppt Nov 2013
*SUP 3: $1.3644 Feb 27 low
*SUP 4: $1.3600 76.4% Fibo of $1.3479-$1.3989
*COMMENTARY: Finding support so far, from just above the important
$1.3674-$1.3683 area. This region also includes the 1% volatility band today and
also the 61.8% Fibo of the previous $1.3479-%1.3989 rise. Although still bearish
on the daily chart following last Thursday's outside day, there may be scope for
some correction today. Need above $1.3755-$1.3775 for anything of note. Direct
loss of $1.3674 and we head towards $1.3600 next.
14-May-2014 11:17
CABLE TECHS: Still See Good Support From Around $1.6790
*RES 4: $1.6936 May 9 high
*RES 3: $1.6902 May 12 high
*RES 2: $1.6873 May 13 high
*RES 1: $1.6845/55 Hourly resistance
*PRICE: $1.6820 @0914GMT
*SUP 1: $1.6790 61.8% Fibo of $1.6662-$1.6996
*SUP 2: $1.6765 Apr 23 low
*SUP 3: $1.6741 76.4% Fibo of $1.6662-$1.6996
*SUP 4: $1.6720 1% volatility band
*COMMENTARY: The congested support between $1.6820-$1.6790 has held up so far,
in fact we are bouncing from Tuesday's test of the 8 week rising support
line/channel base. Need to move through $1.6845-$1.6873 however, before anything
significant can be seen to the topside. This will allow some further correction
of losses from last week's $1.6996 high. Still expect $1.6790 to be difficult
but below here will see the chance for a $1.6765-$1.6741 fall next.
14-May-2014 11:18
DOLLAR-YEN TECHS: Important Intraday Support From Y101.65-Y101.75
*RES 4: Y103.00 May 2 high
*RES 3: Y102.77 Apr 29 high
*RES 2: Y102.63 76.4% Fibo of Y103.0--Y101.43
*RES 1: Y102.40 61.8% Fibo of Y103.00-Y101.43
*PRICE: Y101.84 @0916GMT
*SUP 1: Y101.65/75 Hourly support
*SUP 2: Y101.35/43 Apr 10, Apr 11 & May 7 lows
*SUP 3: Y101.21/22 Mar 3 & Mar 14 lows
*SUP 4: Y100.79 Feb 4 low
*COMMENTARY: As suggested on Tuesday, the rally looked a little stretched going
into the 61.8% Fibo retracement at Y102.40. Subsequent decline is removing the
near term overbought situation and looks likely to find support from/around the
Y101.65-Y101.75 region. The reaction here will determine direction for the rest
of the day. A hold and we can see a gradual return higher. Direct loss of
Y101.65 and pressure is back on the congested support between Y101.21-Y101.43.
14-May-2014 11:19
EURO-YEN TECHS: Good Support Exists Between Y139.40-Y139.11
*RES 4: Y141.16 Apr 30, May 7 lows, now resistance
*RES 3: Y140.94 May 13 high
*RES 2: Y140.65 Hourly pivot
*RES 1: Y140.25/30 Hourly resistance
*PRICE: Y139.74 @0916GMT
*SUP 1: Y139.60 1% volatility band
*SUP 2: Y139.40 10 week channel base projection
*SUP 3: Y139.11/14 Proj'n target, 76.4% Fibo retrace
*SUP 4: Y138.81 Feb 27 low
*COMMENTARY: The overbought situation came into play on Tuesday and the fall
from a high of Y140.94 has been swift. There is some support from above the 1%
volatility band at Y139.60 today but better levels are seen from between
Y139.40-Y139.11. The latter the equality fall from Y142.46 to the previous
Y143.45-Y140.10 decline. In the meantime, resistance from Y140.25-30 and then
more importantly Y140.65 above.
14-May-2014 11:21
EURO-STERLING TECHS: Stg0.8165-Stg0.8173 The Resistance To Watch
*RES 4: Stg0.8205 Hourly pivot
*RES 3: Stg0.8194/98 May 7, Apr 22 lows
*RES 2: Stg0.8173 May 13 high
*RES 1: Stg0.8165 Hourly resistance
*PRICE: Stg0.8159 @0918GMT
*SUP 1: Stg0.8135 Hourly support
*SUP 2: Stg0.8126 1.618 swing of Stg0.8144-Stg0.8173
*SUP 3: Stg0.8101 1.618 projection tgt from Stg0.8769
*SUP 4: Stg0.8097 7 week channel base projection
*COMMENTARY: Tuesday's recovery was halted at Stg0.8173 and subsequent decline
through Stg0.8142, aims ideally for the swing target at Stg0.8126. Some intraday
oversold condition are evident, so now looking to Stg0.8165-73 for next clues.
Failure here will result in fresh weakness seeking a better test of Stg0.8126,
with Stg0.8101-Stg0.8097 below. Above Stg0.8165-Stg0.8173 and out of the woods
for a while and correction of losses from Stg0.8247 begins.
14-May-2014 11:22
GOLD TECHS: Supported While $1286.3-$1289.2 Holds Pullbacks
*RES 4: $1316.1 76.4% Fibo of $1330.6-$1269.1
*RES 3: $1308.7 Hourly lows May 5 & May 6
*RES 2: $1305.0 May 6 low, now resistance
*RES 1: $1303.3 May 12 high
*PRICE: $1301.0 @0920GMT
*SUP 1: $1289.2 Hourly support
*SUP 2: $1286.3 May 8 low
*SUP 3: $1280.5 May 9 low
*SUP 4: $1277.6 May 2 low
*COMMENTARY: No change as key near term support from above $1280.0 has held over
the last few day's, resulting in a $1303.3 recovery to date. This can continue
while pullbacks are limited to the higher $1289.2-$1286.3 area. While intact,
there is potential to see a further $1305.0-$1308.7 bounce as we correct losses
from the failure to surmount $1316.0 last week. Below $1286.3 and attention will
switch back to $1280.5 again.
