Z nedzy do pieniedzy ..:)

[andy11]

Today’s orderboard (10.04.2013)



EUR/USD:
Offers 1.3090/10 (1.3111 -38.2% fibo of 1.3711-1.2740) buy stops above through 1.3115 ahead of offers/tech res up at 1.3145/55 (100 and 55 day MA’s 1.3147/52).
Bids from 1.3055/65, larger down at 1.3025/35 and 1.3000/10

GBP/USD:
Pivot 1.5323 (55 day MA), bids 1.5280/90 (daily cloud base 1.5283) and 1.5250/60, sell stops through 1.5240 ahead of tenkan line support at 1.5199.
Offers 1.5330/50 buy stops above through 1.5355 ahead of offers 1.5400/15

EUR/GBP: Bids 0.8515/20 and 85.00/05 some sell stops below ahead of stronger support 0.8465/70. Offers 0.8550/60 larger up at 0.8600/05 (0.8602 Mar 20 high)

USD/JPY:
Offers 99.55/75 (99.69 50% retracement of the 124.12-75.25 fall, barrier 99.75) ahead of larger offers (leveraged, real money) towards 100.00 (barrier, p/o DNT), very large buy stops reported above.
Bids 99.00/10, 98.70/80 larger down at 98.40/50.

EUR/JPY:
Offers 130.00/10, 130.60/70 and 130.90/00 (131.00 likely barrier)
Bids 129.45/55 and 128.45/55.

AUD/USD:
Offers 1.0515/25, (trendline res 1.5120/25) buy stops through 1.0530 ahead of offers 1.0580/00 (barrier 1.0600) buy stops above.
Bids1.0475/85, 1.0450/60 and 1.0425/35, likely sell stops below.

[andy11]

OPCJE (10.04.2013)


USDJPY 98.00, 98.50,99.00,99.50,100.00,102.00

EURUSD, 1.2900,1.2980,1.3085,1.3125,1.3200

GBPUSD 1.5200,1.5300,

AUDUSD 1.0350,1.0400,1.0415,1.0450,1.0550

EURCHF 1.2150,1.2200,1.2350

AUDJPY 98.60

[andy11]

Pan Kuroda pierdnal przed chwila i cena na Yenie poleciala w dol....

[andy11]

BOJ’s Kuroda says FX rates not a target of monetary policy (10.04.2013)

USDJPY lower at 99.15 from 99.54 in light of comments saying that BOJ have done enough for the moment
Kuroda interview with journalists just released:

-BOJ won’t change monetary policy based on FX moves.
-Have done what’s necessary for now
sees 2% inflation target as more important that 2 year timeframe
-BOJ will scrutinize effects every month but not necessarily change policy each month
-Forex rates not the target of monetary policy
-There are both upside and downside risks to Japanese prices
-Fed exit strategy offers hints for eventual BOJ exit
-Govt would share BOJ losses on asset holdings

[andy11]

Thursday, April 11, 2013

DJ: Yen Drops To 4-Year Low After Fed Minutes

The yen is once again on the cusp of dropping to Y100 against the dollar for the first time since April 2009.

The Japanese currency fell to a four-year low on Wednesday after minutes from the Federal Reserve's March 19-20 meeting showed Fed members actively debating whether to pull back on its bond-buying program before the end of the year. Some members wanted to taper the central bank's $85 billion per month program by midyear, while others wanted to keep its current pace into 2014.

Fed members have been divided on the timing of a pullback for several months, but the explicit mention of the divisions within the Fed helped the dollar rally against the yen. Bond-buying by the Fed typically weakens the value of the dollar.

"A lot of people in the market are targeting a dollar-yen move to 100, so the minutes were an excuse for people to sell yen again," said Greg Anderson, currency strategist at Citigroup in New York.

The yen fell to a four-year low after the Fed minutes. The dollar recently traded at 99.52 yen, up from 99.03 late Tuesday. The euro also rose against the yen to Y130.22, its highest level since January 2010, from Y129.65.

The yen has come under a huge amount of pressure since the Bank of Japan launched an unprecedented plan last week to flood the economy with cash. Market-watchers have been bracing for funds to flow out of Japan as official buying compresses the country's government bond yields, and the dollar has pushed almost relentlessly towards the psychologically-significant level of Y100 against the yen.

The yen briefly strengthened early Wednesday after new BOJ head Haruhiko Kuroda said in an interview with Dow Jones Newswires and other media that he doesn't expect an "avalanche" of capital leaving Japan due to the central bank's newly-enhanced easing program. Mr. Kuroda said the BOJ plans were not aimed at weakening the yen.

However, the yen erased all gains within an hour.

"Japanese officials are concerned about the pace of the yen's decline ... but unless they say anything significantly new, the market is going to quickly return to yen selling," said Michael Woolfolk, currency strategist at Bank of New York Mellon.

[andy11]

Opcje 11.04.2013


EUR/USD: 1.2980, 1.3085, 1.3090, 1.3100, 1.3115, 1.3125, 1.3200

USD/JPY: 98.00(L), 98.50(L), 99.00 (L), 99.50(L), 100.00, 100.20

GBP/USD: 1.5050(L), 1.5200, 1.5300

AUD/USD: 1.0450, 1.0480, 1.0485, 1.0500, 1.0525, 1.0550

EUR/CHF: 1.2150, 1.2200, 1.2350

[andy11]

BOJ conducting market briefing today, and another on April 17

In addition to the BOJ briefing today at 0700GMT the BOJ will “hold a meeting on April 17 to exchange opinions with traders at banks and brokerages”. Nikkei carrying the report.

[andy11]

Thursday, April 11, 2013
Nikkei Ends Morning Higher On Weaker Yen

TOKYO (NQN)--Tokyo stocks ended the morning session higher Thursday, with the Nikkei Stock Average climbing 110.28 points, or 0.83%, to 13,398.41 at the lunch break.

The benchmark index rose to 13,496 shortly after the market open, its highest level since Aug. 12, 2008.

Buying surged in early trade in response to the dollar's climb to near 100 yen, and overnight gains on overseas markets. However, investors became more cautious later, following a pause in the yen's decline. Concerns about short-term market overheating also prompted investors to lock in recent gains on the upside. Stocks of property developers, which have been pulling the overall market higher, began losing steam. Retailers stocks, which released weaker-than-expected earnings forecasts, were also dumped.

Sharp Corp. (6753) jumped nearly 10%, following a report that the consumer electronics maker is likely to see an operating profit for the six months ended March 2013.

Meanwhile, Lawson Inc. (2651) fell about 5% because its profit forecast released Wednesday fell short of market expectations. FamilyMart Co. (8028) and KDDI Corp. (9433) also traded in negative territory.

[andy11]

USD/JPY: Off from the lows as BoJ announced bond buying operation for tomorrow (11.04.2013)

BoJ will offer to buy JGB’s with a maturity between 5 and 10 years.

[andy11]

Today’s orderboard (11.04.2013)



EUR/USD:
Bids 1.3040/50 layered down to 1.3000 with some sell stops below.
Offers 1.3080/00 and more at 1.3115/25, with buy stops above ahead of tech resistance 1.3133 (tenkan line) and again up at 1.3145/50 (1.3144 cloud top, 55 and 100 day MA’s 1.3146/48, suggested barrier 1.3150). Likely buy stops above

GBP/USD:
Offers 1.5335/45 and 1.5355/65, buy stops above ahead of offers 1.5390/00.
Bids 1.5300/15 (55 day MA 1.5314), sell stops through 1.5295 ahead of range of bids 1.5240/60 and tech support /bids 1.5200/10 ( tenkan line 1.5199)

EUR/GBP:
Bids 0.8510/15 and 0.8485/90 (tenkan line 0.8486) ahead of bids 0.8450/55 ( cloud base 0.8451).
Offers 0.8555/60, ahead of tech res 0.8580/85 (55 day MA 0.8585)

USD/JPY:
large offers 99.90/00 (barrier, DNT 100.00) very large buy stops above.
Bids (importers) from 99.40 and layered down to 99.00, sell stops below but mixed in with further bids layered down to 98.50/60.
Offers above 100.50/70, probable buy stops above through 100.75 (100.72 Apr26 2009 high)

EUR/JPY:
Offers 130.50/60 and 130.90/00 (barrier 131.00) buy stops above.
Bids 129.75/85 possible sell stops below ahead of more bids 129.45/55 and 129.00/10.

AUD/USD:
Bids 1.0500/10, large from exporters down at 1.0480/90 some sell stops through 1.0475 ahead of bids 1.0450/60 (tenkan line 1.0450) and tech supp 1.0415 (100 day MA)
Offers 1.0540/50, buy stops above ahead of larger offers 1.0580/00 (1.0600 barrier), buy stops above ahead of offers 1.0615/25