Pogaduchy przy porannej kawie

[_/_/Dariusz_/_/]

Skandal w czeskim totku !!
Artykuł opublikowany dnia: 27.11.2009
W środę o 19.55 czeska państwowa telewizja ČT 1 nadała losowanie totka. Problem w tym, że wyemitowała losowanie, które już kiedyś się odbyło! Pracownik telewizji pomylił kasety. Przy okazji wyszło na jaw, że losowania są nagrywane i puszczane *z puszki*, a to daje pole do manipulacji.

Przekaz z właściwego dla tego dnia losowania nadano w środę o 22.20. Padła w nim prawdziwa wygrana w wysokości 20 mln koron. Jeśli szczęśliwiec oglądał tylko program o 19.55 nawet nie wie o wygranej! Nie jest jasne co może być w sytuacji, gdy grający po wcześniejszej retransmisji będąc przekonani, że nie trafili dobrych liczb wyrzucili kupony.

Telewizja tłumaczy się, że system jest tak ustawiony, iż starsze losowania powinny być automatycznie mazane przez komputer. Tym razem tak się jednak nie stało i winę zwalono na technika. Teraz za prawidłowość przekazu odpowiadać będzie także reżyser.

[niemiaszek]

FX: Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut...updated,
* Euro-dollar; $1.2400, $1.2425, $1.2500
* Dollar-yen; Y78.00, Y78.50
* Cable; $1.5650, $1.5750
* Euro-sterling; stg0.7970, stg0.7925, stg0.7910
* Dollar-Swiss; Chf0.9700, Chf0.9800
* Aussie; $1.0500, $1.0550, $1.0600(large), $1.0615, $1.0635
* Dollar-Canada; C$0.9975(large)



FED: Boston Fed's Rosengren on tv, is reiterating call for QE3 that he
made in today's WSJ. He says econ is too slow and labor mkt is treading
water, hence need more stimulus.

FED: Boston Fed's Rosengren says need QE and magnitude should be 'of
sufficient magnitude' like first two; argues should be open ended.

FED: Boston Fed's Rosengren says QE should focus on MBS and Fed should
set a monthly $ pace for buys.

FED: Boston Fed's Rosengren says Fed can keep buying in QE untit gets
econ outcomes that are wanted.

FED: Boston Fed's Rosengren argued QE pushes up asset prices and helps
hsg. Notes so far inflation is below target. Interview ended.

[Stforex]

Widzę, że oficjele zaczynają przebąkiwać, że jednak "Greek exit" nie byłoby końcem świata. Wbrew temu, co mówili rok i 300 mld euro temu.

No ale teraz, kiedy długi Grecji są w dużej mierze przejęte, a prywatni wierzyciele uratowani...

[niemiaszek]

"Greek exit"

EURO-DOLLAR: Steadies at $1.2425/30 after a low print at $1.2413 as
traders note the rest of Juncker's remarks re Greek exit; "carries great
risks." Flows choppy, $1.2400 expiries suggested to influence. High
print earlier $1.2443, offers ahead of $1.2450.


ciągle ten sam odgrzewany kotlet

[Stforex]

ciągle ten sam odgrzewany kotlet

Tylko teraz zmielony na farsz w krokietach

[niemiaszek]

EUROZONE: Eurogroup head Jean-Claude Juncker's comments about Greece
(i.e. that an exit would be manageable) was part of an interview held
late Monday with WDR TV.
http://www.wdr.de/mediathek/html/region ... r-euro.xml

[niemiaszek]

SWITZERLAND: SNB FX reserve data, released earlier, showed reserve
holding of CHF406.5 in July vs CHF365.1 in June. Credit Suisse
strategists note that on a valuation adjusted basis, reserves were up
CHF37.5bn, well below the approximately CHF 60bn in monthly reserve
accumulation pace seen in May and June, which "should ease concerns
about the sustainability of the EURCHF 1.20 floor." Societe Generale
strategists quipped about the CHF40bn ish increase in reserves, "that is
more 'latent' selling of euros to look forward to." Still, they note
that the pace of SNB reserve accumulation is slowing and say "maybe
recent strength in Scandi currencies reflect the fact that those looking
to park currency outside the eurozone are looking further North (or
East)."


EURO-SWISS: Traders still buzzing a bit about the uncharacteristically
sharp move seen in euro-Swiss Monday as the US session wound down, the
pair apparently savaged by a couple of algo-driven models for a spike
that reached above Chf1.2090 on some platforms on a number of mishits.
Initial concern of course was of possible intervention after the pair
has been sedate around Chf1.2010 in recent months but those suspicions
were quickly dismissed. Chatter we hear says most shops honored trades
up to Chf1.2025 and scratched the rest.

[niemiaszek]

US: Reports are about 20k AT&T communications workers started striking
in 3 states today even though the firm says it has a deal with its
unions. It is unclear how this will affect payroll counts.


ciekawe które związki zawodowe tak mieszają

[259]

Słabiutki ten kangurek... UBS już od tygodni trąbi o oporze 1.0637, inni dołączają do głosu (teraz, kilkadziesiąt pip przed, wcześniej gadali głupoty) więc ciężko szukać chętnych do kupowania.
Chyba trzeba będzie się z nim rozstać ja jakiś czas. No, może nie tyle rozstać z Kangurem co z codziennymi wzrostami na Kangurze ;-)
W sumie jest już ponad 400 pip od ostatniego większego dołka z bardzo płytkimi korektami po drodze.

[niemiaszek]

podsumowanie dnia...

TheFXSpot: Euro Simmers; Dlr-Yen Tracks US Tsy Yields Higher
07-sie-2012 19:21

By Vicki Schmelzer

NEW YORK, August 7 (MNI) - While the euro simmered on a $1.2400
"handle" on the back burner, dollar-yen was thrust into the lime-light
Tuesday, with pair tracking U.S. Treasury yields higher.

Dollar-yen was trading at Y78.74 in early afternoon action, on the
high side of a Y78.12 to Y78.73 range.

The pair has been underpinned by recently improved risk sentiment,
which has meant unwinds of safe-haven positions, including U.S. Treasury
holdings.

U.S. 10-year Treasury yields were trading around 1.635%, well up
from the record lows around 1.39% seen July 24, and at levels last seen
in early July.

While buoyant on the day, dollar-yen will need to vault both its
55-day moving average at Y79.09 and 200-day moving average at Y79.15,
for upward momentum to mount.

In addition to higher U.S. yields, yen softness also had an element
of domestic concern.

Earlier Tuesday, Japanese Finance Minister Jun Azumi announced that
the Ministry of Finance will extend until end-March 2013 the
government's emergency facility aimed at easing the drag from the yen's
rise and take advantage of the currency's purchasing power.

Azumi told a regular briefing that demand for the facility has been
rising in recent months, and that Japan must closely monitor whether the
yen's strength will increase downside risks to its economic recovery.

The temporary facility was launched in August 2011 at $100 billion
and two months later was raised to Y10 trillion (about $125 billion)
from Y8 trillion (about $100 billion). It was originally scheduled to be
terminated this month.

The program is designed to help Japanese firms conduct mergers and
acquisitions and seek energy and other resources overseas.

Those firms have to turn some yen funds into dollars or other
currencies in order to fully finance the purchases, which in theory
would add selling pressure on the Japanese currency in the forex market.

The government is taking dollar funds from its foreign exchange
special account and lending them to the Japan Bank for International
Cooperation.

In other currencies, the euro continued to be bolstered by market
hopes that the eurozone crisis may have hit its zenith.

The euro was trading at $1.2420 Tuesday, up from overnight lows
near $1.2374 and down from the $1.2441 high (Monday high also) seen in
U.S. action.

Solid offers are seen ahead of a barrier at $1.2500 and beyond
that, the market will eye $1.2535/40, the breakdown highs from July 5.

Soft eurozone data released earlier (German manufacturing orders
off 1.7% in June, Italian Q2 GDP at -0.7%) served to cement the thinking
that there would be both credit easing as well as monetary easing by the
European Central Bank in the fall, perhaps as early as September.

Spanish 10-year bond yields, holding around 6.88% at the close,
nudged mildly higher on the day, but remained below the hard-to-fund
7.0%-plus zone.

Analysts maintained that there is not much roil in the weeks ahead,
until the September 6 ECB meeting, the August U.S. non-farm payroll, due
out September 7, and the Federal Reserve decision (and projections)
September 13.

The upcoming Jackson Hole Summit in late August will offer up a
host of soundbites from global leaders, including Fed Chair Ben Bernanke
and ECB President Mario Draghi, but they doubt that anything market
moving will come out of the discussions.

Each day that nothing "bad" happens, big picture players have to
reassess what the "risk to reward" is for their current, likely
safe-haven, positions.

The run-up in U.S. Treasury yields was already being red-flagged as
potentially the start of something big.

"Across much of the U.S. Treasury curve, key support levels are
giving way/under pressure, from 30s to 10s to 5s," said MacNeil Curry,
chief rates and currencies technical strategist at BoA Merrill Lynch in
a research note.

U.S. 10-year Treasury yields were fast approaching 1.67%, a pivot
from September 2011 as well as the old June highs, he said.

"This level is critical as it defines the medium-term bull trend,"
Curry said.

He warned that a "sustained break" above 1.67% "would indicate an
end to the four-month bull trend (from the March highs of 2.40%) opening
the 200-day at 1.88% and potentially beyond."

Higher U.S. yields will act to underpin dollar-yen, "opening Y79.13
and potentially beyond," as well, Curry said.

In other markets, the Reuters-Jefferies CRB index was trading at
304.00, on the high side of a 302.27 to 304.09 range.

The CRB was once again trading above its 200-day moving average,
which comes in currently at 303.44

Other than the two-day's worth of closes above that benchmark last
month (July 19 and July 20) and a few days in late February/early March
(amidst the second ECB three-year LTRO) and early September 2011, the
CRB last closed above its 200-day on a sustained basis in July 2011.

In stocks, the S&P 500 was trading up 0.81% at 1405.57, on the high
side of a 1394.46 to 1407.14 range.

The break above the psychological 1400 mark, the first since early
May, has the market eyeing a test of the May highs at 1415.32, which if
broken would target the 2012 high of 1422.38, seen April 2.