DayTrading: Wtorek 14.05.2013

[atlanticos]

kabel przy 261 fali 1

i tej informacji potrzebowałem do pełni szczęścia

[psxor]

psxor - grubo mierzysz na Ejamnie, ale uważaj żebyś sie nie zagalopował. Też jestem przekonany o dzisiejszych spadkach, ale z zasięgiem nie szaleję - 131.0x możliwy mały PB, później bardzo ważna strefa 130.4x (fibsy, linie, S/D).

Ja bardziej patrze na najbliższych kilka tygodni, a nie do końca tego tygodnia.

[ForexTig3r]

David Cameron is in trouble over Europe again -- and he largely has himself to blame. If the U.K. prime minister thought his promise to hold a referendum on British membership of the European Union by 2017 would satisfy anti-EU obsessives in his own party, he knows better now. Thanks to the intervention of a number of influential figures in his Conservative party and the determination of many of its backbenchers to get his referendum commitment enshrined in law, a U.K. exit from the EU is firmly back on the political agenda.
Mr. Cameron's troubles partly stem from a failure of leadership. The primary objective of his European strategy has been to allow him to sit on the fence until the scheduled election in 2015 without spelling out whether and under what circumstances he might recommend U.K. withdrawal. By hiding behind his promise to renegotiate the terms of U.K. membership ahead of the referendum, Mr. Cameron hoped to avoid saying anything that would alienate either hard-core europhobes in his party or his pro-European Liberal Democrat coalition partners.

A government review of the workings of the EU will report after the summer but won't provide much greater clarity on his renegotiation strategy, say people involved in the process.

This strategy of non-commitment has created a political vacuum that others have been happy to fill. The core of the euroskeptic case for withdrawal rests on three key assertions, which Mr. Cameron has allowed to go largely unchallenged: That the euro zone is on an inevitable path to the creation of a full fiscal and political union; that the EU is determined to destroy the City of London; and that EU membership damages British trade.

If Mr. Cameron is to succeed in his stated objective to secure the country's support for continued U.K. membership of a reformed EU, he needs to tackle each of these arguments head on.

The notion that the euro zone must create a federal superstate or fall apart is an article of faith among euroskeptics, given official credibility by Chancellor George Obsorne's foolish assertion that this is where the "remorseless logic" of the euro crisis must lead. In fact, the remorseless logic has so far pointed in the opposite direction. It's true that some Brussels-based Eurocrats such as Commission President Jose Manuel Barosso like to talk of European federalism, just as Jacques Delors did in the 1980s. But there is little evidence this dream is shared by member states. The understandable desire by some crisis countries to offload excessive debts onto their neighbors shouldn't be confused with a willingness to sacrifice national sovereignty to Brussels.

France, the Netherlands and Ireland have all voted against EU treaties in referendums over the past decade. If anything, public opinion toward greater transfers of sovereignty to the EU appears to have hardened in most member states as a result of the crisis.

Nor is it obvious that full fiscal and political union is essential to preserve the euro. So far, the euro zone has responded to the crisis by sticking to the principle that each country is responsible for its own debts and that it is up to national governments to restore their financial health via fiscal retrenchment and structural overhauls. The solution to excessive borrowing has been debt restructuring and one-off debt relief in the form of forbearance on official sector loans rather than institutionalized fiscal transfers. This response has carried a high social and economic cost. But there are signs the worst may be over in countries such as Greece and Ireland. The result is that Mr. Cameron's vision of a Europe in which power is devolved to nation states is more widely shared than many euroskeptics suppose.

Euroskeptic scare-mongering over the City looks similarly misplaced. The reality is that London has been one of the biggest beneficiaries of the European single market and the creation of the euro. Many international financial groups set up European headquarters in London to take advantage of single market rules that allow them to do business across the EU. Outside the EU, the U.K. would almost certainly be vulnerable to the euro zone's long-standing ambition to ensure that all euro-denominated clearing is conducted onshore in the single currency area -- a move that could lead to significant financial activity moving away from London. No wonder the chairman of TheCityUK, which represents the interests of the U.K. financial-services industry, says the notion that the City would thrive outside the EU is "poppycock."

Until recently, it was homegrown regulation that was causing the greatest anxiety in the U.K. financial community. True, there is now real concern in the City that a proposal by 11 countries to introduce a financial transactions tax will have far-reaching consequences. But these concerns are widely shared by other EU states and by influential lobbies in the participating countries. The proposals are anyway almost certainly unworkable in their current form. It is premature to say that the U.K. and its allies can't minimize the damage likely to be caused by this ill-judged tax.

Finally, the idea that EU membership somehow damages U.K. trade is bizarre. The obvious riposte is that it hasn't stopped German or French or even Italian companies successfully exporting to emerging markets. Euroskeptics consistently fail to spell out their alternative to EU membership, but it is hard to imagine any new U.K. relationship with the EU that didn't require compliance with EU regulations as the price of continued access to the single market.

Meanwhile EU membership promises future trade benefits, whether via the proposed EU-U.S. free-trade deal or through deepening the single market in areas such as energy, the digital economy and transport: completing the single market in services could boost EU GDP by 2.3% according to the think-tank Open Europe.

Of course, it's possible that euroskeptic fears will prove well-founded. Just because they have been wrong so far on the collapse of the euro or the creation of a full euro-zone fiscal and political union doesn't mean they won't be proved right eventually. Similarly, it's possible the financial trans-actions tax will be implemented in its current nonsensical form, the prelude to further acts of gratuitous aggression against the U.K.'s financial-services industry.

And perhaps the EU really will reject the true "inexorable logic of the euro crisis" by rejecting open markets in favor of self-destructive protectionism. In that case, the argument for U.K. withdrawal could become compelling. But until then, Mr. Cameron needs to start explaining why he believes EU membership is worth defending.

(END) Dow Jones Newswires
May 13, 2013 00:30 ET (04:30 GMT)

[Nowy123]

ujek m30 - pięknie respektowana krótkoterminowa TL

UJ ladnie odbili moze w koncu rusz z korekta 100 60 70 bo Skosne doluja na sesji NIkus zastopowal sie na oporach

[Bemowo]

kabel przy 261 fali 1

i tej informacji potrzebowałem do pełni szczęścia

tam jeszcze jedna podfala spadkowa może wystąpić (bardzo dużo alternatywnych oznaczeń - 3,4 można narysować Q....)

piąta fala może nyć TUK iem

ale jesteśmy w ważnym miejscu na tygodniowym

[richard.cali]

MasterFX, analiza wydaje się mieć sens, ale nie możesz się segurować ruchem który wcześniej ustaliliśmy na E/U...teraz pytanie czy sięgnie twoj SL, ruch własnie sę zaczął

ten opór na 0.82-30 po badaniu może być problem i down

[Nowy123]

co EUR USD a no co ma byc wraca do poziomow wczorajszyj na jakich USA sie bujalal

[MasterFx]

MasterFX, analiza wydaje się mieć sens, ale nie możesz się segurować ruchem który wcześniej ustaliliśmy na E/U...teraz pytanie czy sięgnie twoj SL, ruch własnie sę zaczął

Rysiek,

Sl może sięgnąć zawsze. W moim mniemaniu dokonując decyzji inwestycyjnych w oparciu o AT (jakikolwiek jej rodzaj) bazujemy na danych historycznych. Pewnie ktoś zapyta: jak u licha można przewidzieć przyszłość bazując na tym co było? Uważam to za bardzo dobre pytanie. Kiedyś też je sobie postawiłem i doszedłem do wniosku, że nie można! ale...
No właśnie, można wyznaczać obszary/strefy/linie na wykresie. które zwiększają statystycznie nasze prawdopodobieństwo wygranej. Mając prawdopodobieństwo po swojej stronie zawsze w długiej serii bedziemy na "+". Dlatego zawsze powtarzam, że nie mam pojęcia co się wydarzy "w powietrzu " z kursem, ale wiem co robić kiedy cena zagląda do wyznaczonych przeze mnie stref. Jest to o tyle dobre, że:
1. ograniczam swoje zagrania tylko do wybranych miejsc na wykresie,
2. kiedy kurs jest w trefie zagrywam tylko w jednym kierunku (kiedyś zdarzało mi się że zmieniałem decyzję co chwilę zaliczając sl az w końcu cena i tak poszła we wstępnie wyznaczoną stronę zostawiając mnie bez pozycji)
3. mam z góry zdefiniowany poziom SL (zazwyczaj).

Taka dygresyjka

[speedpips]

A Ja z Edkiem celuję w 1.3064 a co ??

[richard.cali]

MasterFX ja już nie bardzo mam czas aby Tobie odpisywać, ale faktycznie masz pewnien pazur w swoich analizach i to jest zauważalne