wersja poglądowa AT
22-Aug-2014 11:09
EURO-DOLLAR TECHS: Hourly Resistance In Way Of Better Correction
*RES 4: $1.3405/06 Aug 14, Aug 15 highs
*RES 3: $1.3375 Hourly pivot
*RES 2: $1.3335/38 Aug 6, Aug 12 lows, now resistance
*RES 1: $1.3295 Hourly resistance
*PRICE: $1.3277 @0904GMT
*SUP 1: $1.3243 Aug 21 low
*SUP 2: $1.3226 61.8% Fibo of $1.2754-$1.3989
*SUP 3: $1.3215 Equality fall target from $1.3697
*SUP 4: $1.3204 Max 5th wave tgt in fall from $1.3697
*COMMENTARY* Bounce from Thursday's $1.3243 low is running into trouble at the
top end of hourly resistance at present. Will need to see a further break here,
before the way becomes clear for a better corrective rally. This could then
reach $1.3335-$1.3375, the latter still considered pivotal to near term
direction. Loss of $1.3243 will pave the way for a further fall into the
favoured $1.3226-$1.3204 support zone.
22-Aug-2014 11:10
CABLE TECHS: Need Above $1.6605-15 Before Near Term Relief Found
*RES 4: $1.6702 4 week channel top
*RES 3: $1.6668 Aug 20 high
*RES 2: $1.6645 Hourly congestion Aug 20
*RES 1: $1.6605/15 Hourly resistance
*PRICE: $1.6585 @0907GMT
*SUP 1: $1.6563 1.618 swing target, 4 week channel
*SUP 2: $1.6550/58 4 week channel base, Apr 4 low
*SUP 3: $1.6512 1% volatility band
*SUP 4: $1.6465 Mar 21 low
*COMMENTARY: Recovery has faltered below initial hourly resistance at $1.6605-15
at present. While capped here the immediate risk is for another look at $1.6563
and perhaps the slightly lower $1.6550-58 support area. While above here, then
cannot rule out better recovery prospects with an eventual move above $1.6615,
then needing a further $1.6645-$1.6668 break, to further higher corrective
prospects. Direct loss of $1.6550 and $1.6512 then protects $1.6465.
22-Aug-2014 11:10
DOLLAR-YEN TECHS: Y104.10-Y104.34 The Next Band Of Resistance
*RES 4: Y104.83/92 Jan 23, Jan 16 highs
*RES 3: Y104.34 76.4% Fibo of Y105.44-Y100.79
*RES 2: Y104.10 Apr 3, Apr 4 highs
*RES 1: Y103.95 Aug 21 & intraday highs
*PRICE: Y103.72 @0908GMT
*SUP 1: Y103.25 Hourly support
*SUP 2: Y102.95/99 Jul 30-Aug 1 highs, now support
*SUP 3: Y102.70/75 Aug 15 high, 2 week support line
*SUP 4: Y102.60 Hourly pivot
*COMMENTARY: Recovery continues, moving slightly through the Y103.89 swing
target but as yet to make a move on the early April highs at Y104.10. Some near
term overbought conditions can provoke a retreat from beneath here. Look to
Y103.25 for initial support, with the Y102.95-99 area likely to feature below.
Main support is presently seen from the 2 week rising support line at Y102.70 by
time today. Directly above Y104.10 and look to 76.4% Fibo retrace at Y104.34.
22-Aug-2014 11:12
EURO-YEN TECHS: Y137.97-Y137.99 Still The Next Barrier To Overcome
*RES 4: Y138.82 38.2% Fibo of Y143.77-Y135.76
*RES 3: Y138.56 6 month channel top
*RES 2: Y138.45 Jul 14 high
*RES 1: Y137.97/99 Aug 1 high, May 29 low
*PRICE: Y137.66 @0909GMT
*SUP 1: Y137.45 Hourly support
*SUP 2: Y137.30 2 week rising support line
*SUP 3: Y137.05 Hourly congestion Aug 13-Aug 19
*SUP 4: Y136.84 Aug 19 low
*COMMENTARY: Still looking for a clear break above the Y137.97-Y137.99 area, in
order to take the next step higher. While it caps, then look to Y137.75 for
initial clues, as a loss will prompt a deeper Y137.45-Y137.30 fall. The latter
the two week rising support line, by time today. Directly above Y137.99 and
recovery can continue, eyeing Y138.45 next, with Y138.56-Y138.82 the next higher
resistance area. Loss of Y137.30 will disappoint, Y137-05-Y136.84 below.
22-Aug-2014 11:12
EURO-STERLING TECHS: Stuck Within Range, Awaiting Triangle Break
*RES 4: Stg0.8076 38.2% Fibo of Stg0.8400-Stg0.7875
*RES 3: Stg0.8067 Jun 5 low
*RES 2: Stg0.8034 Jun 25 & Aug 14 highs
*RES 1: Stg0.8020 Hourly resistance
*PRICE: Stg0.8003 @0911GMT
*SUP 1: Stg0.7975 Hourly support, Aug 20 low
*SUP 2: Stg0.7955 Hourly consolidation Aug 13
*SUP 3: Stg0.7934 Aug 13 low
*SUP 4: Stg0.7919 Aug 5 low
*COMMENTARY: With Stg0.7975 still holding the downside, we remain within the
recent range and look to be forming a triangle, following the inability to deal
with Stg0.8034 resistance last week. The current recovery within the range, may
meet with some intermediate resistance around Stg0.8020, ahead of Stg0.8034
again. Basically need a break out of this Stg0.8034-Stg0.7975 range to provide
the direction for the next move.
22-Aug-2014 11:13
GOLD TECHS: Bigger Picture Points To $1265.6-$1264.4 Decline
*RES 4: $1297.4 Aug 20 high
*RES 3: $1293.3 Aug 15 low, now resistance
*RES 2: $1289.1 Aug 20 low, now resistance
*RES 1: $1283.1 Hourly resistance
*PRICE: $1280.9 @0912GMT
*SUP 1: $1273.6 Aug 21 low
*SUP 2: $1265.6 76.4% Fibo of $1241.3-$1344.3
*SUP 3: $1264.4 6 week channel base
*SUP 4: $1259.9 Jun 17 low
*COMMENTARY: The combined loss of $1291.0 and $1280.6 support on Wednesday,
suggests there is scope to see a further fall, potentially into the
$1265.6-$1264.4 area next. Following yesterdays dip to $1273.1 some oversold
hourly indicators are being repaired, with $1283.1-$1289.1 the next likely
resistance area. Only above $1293.3 however, will improve the near term
situation.