kluczyk1234 pisze:Co myślicie o parze EUR/GBP - RGR tworzy się na daily i weekly- tyle że w przeciwne strony.
Na dziennym jest opór + górne ograniczenie kanału wzrostowego (widoczne na D1 i H4). Jakby na Daily zaczęło spadać to mamy RGR, ale czy nie przeszkadza sytuacja na weekly ??
P.S: Dzięki za sygnał na NZD.
Dla mnie D1 jak i W1 wyglada bearish. Wedlug mnie cena na interwale W1 wytraca momentum co jest bardziej widoczne na D1 gdzie aktualnie docieramy do zrodla ostatniej wyprzedazy badz prawego ramienia.
Obserwuje z bliska takze pary yenowe. Po 8 dniach wzrostow glebsza korekta wydaje sie nieunikniona jednak przy aktualnym momentum, kupowanie dolkow nadal pozostaje preferowana strategia.
_/_/Dariusz_/_/ pisze:NOKSEK ja mam na H1 lukę, ciekawe czy zanim spadnie to ją zamknie ?
datafeed fxpro
Osobiscie za bardzo nie sugeruje sie niskimi interwalami na egzotych ze wzgledu na relatywnie nizsza plynnosc i czesto niedokladny datafeed. Niestety zaden z moich brokerow nie oferuje tej pary wiec prawdopodobnie zagram ja po nogach usdnok/usdsek jesli nastapi tam pullback.
Ciekawy artykul o tym jak obliczac wielkosc pozycji na poszczegolnych nogach podczas gry na crossach syntetycznych:
Swietny cytat z ksiazki "Hedge Fund Market Wizards":
""If you've ever bought or sold a breakout and wondered why the market immediately retraced
back into it's range, let me shed some light on the subject for you.
All professional traders, including the big boys at banks and funds, know where the numbers
are. They know where support 1 is and resistance 2 is. They know the pivots. They know it
all. And they know what to do at those points.
Let's say that everyone in the world knows that 10 (an arbitrary number) is a resistance level.
People are just sitting around waiting for the price to go through that resistance. People like
you. The market is 8 bid/at 9. Let's say there are 400 contracts offered at 9 and 1,000
offered at 10.
There's a guy sitting at his desk in New York. Let's call him Bill. He works for XYZ hedge
fund. He can buy or sell up to 5,000 contracts at a time. He knows that 10 is a big number
and he thinks a bunch of people, like you, will buy the market if it goes through 10. So here's
what he does. He places offers at 11, 12 and13.
"Offers?"
Yep. Offers. He offers a couple hundred at each price. THEN...he buys everything at 9 and
everything at 10. After buying 400 at 9 and 1,000 at 10, he bids 2,000 at 10. His buying acts
as a catalyst. People like you, looking to buy breakouts, buy the 11s, 12s and 13s. People
who were short at 6, 7 and 8, people who were hoping 10 would act as resistance and keep
the market down, those people also try to buy 11s, 12s and 13s. The combination of the two
sends the price higher. The guy who was offering 1,000 at 10 and is now short may or may
not cover. Depends on his mood. If he tries to cover, he will send the market higher.
Who is selling here?
Bill. The guy in New York. The guy who started this mess.
Bill is long at 9 and 10. His offers are the ones you are hitting into at 11, 12 and 13. He was
already set up to cover his positions before he ever bought. He scalps out a couple ticks on
1,400 contracts. That's not chump change.
What determines whether or not the market stays above 10 or falls back below it?
How much money jumps on board.
It's very possible that other Bills around the world could start buying here. It's possible that a
huge short covering frenzy could take place. It's possible. More often than not, this is not the
case. The market rallies on initial reaction to the breakout. This is caused by weak shorts
getting out and your average Joe Blow looking to play a breakout.
Once these people have
bought, people who cannot buy any significant size, the market stops going up. If the market
goes through a resistance level and doesn't appear to be following through, big players go the
other way. Big traders rarely go with breakouts. They typically fade them (fade means go
against). So those other Bills I mentioned before, they don't go with the breakout. They go
against it. They start selling. They sell 13s, 12s and 11s. "What's happening? Why isn't it
going up?" Everyone who just bought the breakout begins to get worried. People are looking
to bail if this is a "false" breakout.
Our good buddy Bill sees this. “Hmm. I bet if we go back below 10, all the people who just
bought will sell.” So Bill gets back in the market and sells another 1,400 at 10 and 9 and
offers 2,000 at 9. Meanwhile, he has bids at 8, 7 and 6.
You panic. So do a lot of other people. "This wasn't supposed to happen. I don't understand.
That was a huge resistance level. Why did it stop?" You sell. All the other longs sell. Bill
and the other Bills all cover their shorts.""
