1. W wątku DT omawiamy bieżąca sytuacje na rynku i to co dotyczy danego dnia. Od dłuższych prognoz jest dział Prognozy, komentarze, analizy
2. Zamieszczamy tylko i wyłącznie swoje analizy. Nie kopiujemy z innych serwisów.
3. Komentarz do własnej analizy nie może mieć charakteru rekomendacji. (to nie jest dział z sygnałami)
4. Kłótnie, ataki na innych użytkowników są niedopuszczalne.
5. Nie zaśmiecamy wątku. (wypowiedzi w stylu: "dałem S", "ja kończę na dziś" itp. jak i chwalenie się swoimi statami)
Nagminne łamanie powyższych zasad będzie skutkować nałozeniem zakazu pisania do końca bieżącego tygodnia.
Recydywa będzie karana ostrzeżeniami.
Przypominam że ponadto obowiązuje Regulamin Forum
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Przedstawione poglądy, oceny, opinie i wnioski są wyrazem osobistych poglądów
autorów i nie mają charakteru rekomendacji do nabycia lub zbycia albo
powstrzymania się od dokonania transakcji w odniesieniu do jakichkolwiek walut.
Poglądy te jak i inne treści nie stanowią "rekomendacji" lub "doradztwa"
w rozumieniu ustawy z dnia 29 lipca 2005 o obrocie instrumentami finansowymi.
Wyłączną odpowiedzialność za decyzje inwestycyjne, podjęte lub zaniechane
na podstawie poniższych analiz ponosi inwestor.
EURO SUMMARY: The euro spent a dull Asian morning holding in a $1.3662 to
$1.3685 range today, the high so far holding just shy of Friday's $1.3688 high
seen after the US jobs data. Euro-dollar was weighed down earlier in the session
due to the weak euro-yen tone this morning after it opened at $1.3674. It stayed
near the morning lows between $1.3662 and $1.3670 through the early hours of the
session but recovered in the late morning to $1.3681. It managed to catch a
small nudge up to the session high in the early afternoon and has since held
near there, to last trade at $1.3679, while facing the prospect of rumored sell
interest ahead from $1.3690 and then at $1.3710/20, all coming in ahead of
rumored hefty stops above $1.3740. The pair currently holds below the 21-day
moving average at $1.3685 with a close above favored today, with the immediate
focus to then shift higher to layers of resistance in the $1.3775-1.3815 region
with the 21 day upper Bollinger band noted at $1.3808. A close below the $1.3655
level is needed to ease the current bullish pressure.
13-Jan-2014 7:02
EURO-DOLLAR TECHS: Bears May Look To Retest July Support Line
RES 4: $1.3806 Daily Bollinger band top
RES 3: $1.3752 Former 23.6% of $1.3296-1.3893
RES 2: $1.3707/11 Low Dec 13, Reversal high Jan 2013
RES 1: $1.3685 21-DMA & Hourly high
LATEST PRICE: $1.3680
SUP 1: $1.3662/65 Hourly low, 38.2% of $1.3296-1.3893
SUP 2: $1.3624/30 23.6% of $1.2755-1.3832, 5-DMA
SUP 3: $1.3613/14 High Nov 27, 55-DMA
SUP 4: $1.3588/94 Jul 9 support line, 50.0% of $1.3296-1.3893
COMMENTARY: Euro-dollar looks bullish in the short-term after bounce from July
support line which is key support at $1.3588. Bears look to retest but we note
daily studies show the potential to reverse higher - close above the 21-DMA at
$1.3685 could encourage bulls. Further resistance is just above the $1.3700
level followed by the former 23.6% at $1.3752. However, weekly/monthy studies
are near overbought and long-term pressure is to the downside.
STERLING SUMMARY: Cable closed in NY Friday at $1.6481 after rate had spiked off
pre US employment report lows of $1.6383 to $1.6518 as market reacted to the
release of much lower than forecast US NFP. Rate pulled back to $1.6457 before
edging higher though the NY afternoon and into the week's close. Rate eased to
$1.6475 in opening Asian trade Monday before it began to pick up demand
interest, the rate reacting the weekend press reports that economists are
'rapidly revising up their forecasts for UK growth in 2014, despite Friday's
release of disappointing IP/Mfg data. Weekend reports also suggested that Qatar
is considering further energy investment into the UK. Cable pushed higher
through the session, reclaiming the $1.65 handle before the rise faltered around
$1.6508. Rate drifted lower before settling around $1.6495 ahead of the European
open. Little on the domestic calendar for today with attention turning to
Tuesday's CPI release (expected to remain unchanged at 2.1% y/y) and Friday's
retail sales. Cable resistance seen into $1.6520, a break to open a move toward
$1.6540/50 ($1.6542 76.4% $1.6605-1.6337). Support $1.6475/70 ahead of $1.6450
(50% $1.6381-1.6518).
13-Jan-2014 6:44
CABLE TECHS: $1.6500 Level Continues To Cap
RES 4: $1.6635 200-month MA
RES 3: $1.6603 Reversal high Jan 2
RES 2: $1.6577 Daily Bollinger band top
RES 1: $1.6517 High Jan 10
LATEST PRICE: $1.6499
SUP 1: $1.6463 5-day moving average
SUP 2: $1.6421/26 21-DMA, 23.6% of $1.5855-1.6603
SUP 3: $1.6381/84 Reversal high Jan 2013, High Nov 29
SUP 4: $1.6360/64 High Dec 13, July Support line
COMMENTARY: Cable posted a doji with a long lower-shadow which adds a little
pressure higher, however weekly/monthly studies are overbought which likely
encourages bears to retest the July support line which is now at $1.6364.
Further failure to close below support could see bulls retest the Jan 2 high at
$1.6603 and ahead of here initial resistance is the Jan 10 high at $1.6517 -
bulls have been struggling to close above $1.6500 level for past three sessions.
YEN SUMMARY: The Japanese currency witnessed a healthy revival this morning amid
the closure of Japanese markets for a public holiday, courtesy of a broader US
dollar pullback following Friday's disappointing payrolls numbers. Dollar-yen
opened at Y103.99 just off Friday's Y103.83 US session low seen following the
jobs data. There was a mild recovery at the open to Y104.15 but long positions
were subsequently hit as Asian players began their week. Dollar-yen traded
Y103.91, and then made marginal gains again to Y104.04 before turning lower. The
market then took aim at sell-stops in dollar-yen, firstly at Y103.75 and then at
Y103.50. Tghe pair continued to head lower after that, before the move ran out
of steam following another round of sell-stops at Y103.35/30. Dollar-yen dropped
to a Y103.26 low before fresh demand from Asian accounts then appeared below the
session low. Euro-yen meanwhile took its cue from dollar-yen after it opened at
Y142.15. It dropped below Y142.00 and continued south to a Y141.23 low before
stabilizing. Dollar-yen was last at Y103.38 with the cross at Y141.23.
13-Jan-2014 7:28
DOLLAR-YEN TECHS: Sinks To Near Daily Bolli Base At Y103.04
RES 4: Y105.77 Daily Bollinger band top
RES 3: Y105.44/50 High Jan 2, 61.8% of Y124.14-Y75.35
RES 2: Y104.99/105.06/12 Low Dec 30, Highs Jan 9, 8
RES 1: Y104.35/41 Daily Tenkan line, 21-DMA
LATEST PRICE: Y103.46
SUP 1: Y102.95/103.04 High Dec 12, Daily Bolli base
SUP 2: Y102.45 38.2% of Y97.62-105.43
SUP 3: Y101.98/102.14 Low Dec 3, 55-DMA
SUP 4: Y101.53 Reversal high Jul 8 & 50.0% of Y97.62-105.44
COMMENTARY: Dollar-yen begins to descend through support while daily studies
drop sharply - Friday saw a large price swing when bulls rose to just below the
Y105.44 Jan 2 high but ended closing below the 21-DMA. Weekly studies also show
a sell-signal from overbought and downside pressure mounts - initial support is
now the daily Bolli base at Y103.04 and below here is the 38.2% of Y97.62-105.44
at Y102.45. Bulls will aim back above Y104.00, however studies are bearish.
13-Jan-2014 7:42
EURO-YEN TECHS: Move Lower Sends Studies South
RES 4: Y145.00 Daily Bollinger band top
RES 3: Y144.42 Low Jan 1
RES 2: Y143.18/19 Daily Tenkan line, Daily Kijun line
RES 1: Y142.78/87 High Jan 6, 21-DMA
LATEST PRICE: Y141.46
SUP 1: Y141.23 Hourly low
SUP 2: Y140.98/99 Low Dec 17, 61.8% of Y169.96-94.12
SUP 3: Y140.75 Daily Bollinger band base
SUP 4: Y140.16/20 38.2% of Y131.22-145.69, Oct 2005 high
COMMENTARY: Euro-yen declines below the daily Kijun line and toward the daily
Bollinger band base while daily studies also show sharp losses - initial support
is the hourly low at Y141.23 and below here is support at Y140.98/99 - the Dec
17 low and 61.8% of the long-term move from Y94.12-169.96. Weekly studies also
show signs of reversing from overbought and bears likely target Nov 23 support
line at Y137.28 - ahead of here is the 50.0% of Y131.22-145.69 at Y138.46.
Na eur/usd wygląda mi na ten moment że albo zwiększamy dynamikę albo korygujemy w doł.
Nie masz wymaganych uprawnień, aby zobaczyć pliki załączone do tego posta.
Zamieszczane przeze mnie wykresy pokazują jedyne słuszne spojrzenie na rynek i stanowią jednoznaczną rekomendacje. Podejmowanie na ich podstawie decyzji inwestycyjnych jest świetnym pomysłem.
Nie masz wymaganych uprawnień, aby zobaczyć pliki załączone do tego posta.
Zamieszczane przeze mnie wykresy pokazują jedyne słuszne spojrzenie na rynek i stanowią jednoznaczną rekomendacje. Podejmowanie na ich podstawie decyzji inwestycyjnych jest świetnym pomysłem.
harymilloki pisze:Jest w Polsce jakiś broker pozwalający wpłacać i wypłacać pieniądze na rachunek prze PAYPALA?
W xtb nie wiem czym wpłacam ale pieniądze są po 10 sekundach, wypłata 1.5 dnia.
Sprawdzam elliota
Nie masz wymaganych uprawnień, aby zobaczyć pliki załączone do tego posta.
Zamieszczane przeze mnie wykresy pokazują jedyne słuszne spojrzenie na rynek i stanowią jednoznaczną rekomendacje. Podejmowanie na ich podstawie decyzji inwestycyjnych jest świetnym pomysłem.
wchodzić w S.