1. W wątku DT omawiamy bieżąca sytuacje na rynku i to co dotyczy danego dnia. Od dłuższych prognoz jest dział Prognozy, komentarze, analizy
2. Zamieszczamy tylko i wyłącznie swoje analizy. Nie kopiujemy z innych serwisów.
3. Komentarz do własnej analizy nie może mieć charakteru rekomendacji. (to nie jest dział z sygnałami)
4. Kłótnie, ataki na innych użytkowników są niedopuszczalne.
5. Nie zaśmiecamy wątku. (wypowiedzi w stylu: "dałem S", "ja kończę na dziś" itp. jak i chwalenie się swoimi statami)
Nagminne łamanie powyższych zasad będzie skutkować nałozeniem zakazu pisania do końca bieżącego tygodnia.
Recydywa będzie karana ostrzeżeniami.
Przypominam że ponadto obowiązuje Regulamin Forum
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Przedstawione poglądy, oceny, opinie i wnioski są wyrazem osobistych poglądów
autorów i nie mają charakteru rekomendacji do nabycia lub zbycia albo
powstrzymania się od dokonania transakcji w odniesieniu do jakichkolwiek walut.
Poglądy te jak i inne treści nie stanowią "rekomendacji" lub "doradztwa"
w rozumieniu ustawy z dnia 29 lipca 2005 o obrocie instrumentami finansowymi.
Wyłączną odpowiedzialność za decyzje inwestycyjne, podjęte lub zaniechane
na podstawie poniższych analiz ponosi inwestor.
http://forex-nawigator.biz/forum/daytra ... ml#p638198
Słowem to samo co przed Draghim, dojeżdżamy jakoś do tego max. 4100 z kawałkiem i zwała na całego od Nowego Roku (czyt. Marca).
Cugan Nam potwierdził dzisiejszy kierunek thx
Przedstawione, poglądy, oceny i wnioski są wyrazem osobistych poglądów autora i nie mają charakteru rekomendacji. Wyłączną odpowiedzialność za decyzje inwestycyjne, podjęte i z wykorzystaniem wniosków w nich zawartych, ponosi inwestor. subsilver2趋势线
ForexTig3r pisze:http://forex-nawigator.biz/forum/daytra ... ml#p638198
Słowem to samo co przed Draghim, dojeżdżamy jakoś do tego max. 4100 z kawałkiem i zwała na całego od Nowego Roku (czyt. Marca).
Cugan Nam potwierdził dzisiejszy kierunek thx
EURO SUMMARY: Euro-dollar closed in NY Monday at $1.3760 after rate had seen
intraday highs of $1.3800, following the release of stronger than forecast
Eurozone PMI data, with rate then easing back to $1.3743 in NY on general dollar
strength, led by higher US yields. Rate recovered to $1.3768 ahead of the close,
the rate drifting off into Asia. Rate consolidated around $1.3760 in early Asian
dealing before dipping down to $1.3752, the move reacting to the pullback in the
Aussie following the release of RBA Minutes which showed a mild easing bias.
However, buyers were quick to emerge and taker advantage of the dip with rate
recovering to $1.3772 into Europe, early dealing extending the recovery to
$1.3774 at writing. A positive Nikkei was seen supporting euro-yen, in turn
providing buoyancy for euro-dollar. Offers seen placed between $1.3770/80, a
break to open a move back toward Monday's high at $1.3800. Support remains at
$1.3745/40, with Asian traders noting decent demand placed between $1.3740/30.
Germany ZEW at aqt 1000GMT provides the morning interest, with US inflation data
at 1330GMT. However, Wednesday's FOMC seen overshadowing. Merkel expected to be
sworn in as Chancellor today
17-Dec-2013 7:02
EURO-DOLLAR TECHS: Bulls Fail At $1.3800 Adding Risk Lower
RES 4: $1.3958 50.0% of $1.6038-1.1877
RES 3: $1.3852/53 High Jul 2007, Weekly Bolli band top
RES 2: $1.3832/41 High Oct 28, Daily Bolli band top
RES 1: $1.3799/3803 High Dec 16, High Dec 12
LATEST PRICE: $1.3769
SUP 1: $1.3734/41 Lows Dec 10, 11
SUP 2: $1.3704/09 High Oct 18, Low Dec 13
SUP 3: $1.3689/91 23.6% of $1.3296-1.3811, Rising channel base
SUP 4: $1.3633 21-day moving average
COMMENTARY: Euro-dollar failed to break above $1.3800 level and left a high at
$1.3799, adding to resistance. Daily studies look overbought but weekly/monthly
studies continue to carry a bullish tone. Bulls may attempt another break above
$1.3800 to test the Oct 28 reversal high at $1.3832, however another failure
here could see studies reverse lower. Bears will look to test Dec 13 low at
$1.3709 and a break below targets the key 23.6% of $1.3296-1.3811 at $1.3689.
EURO-DOLLAR: MNI Fundamental levels (orders, options, technicals),
*$1.3850/55 Momentum buy triggers expected
*$1.3850 Strong offers/Option barrier
*$1.3830/35 Strong offers/$1.3833 61.8% $1.4940 May'11-1.2042 Jul'12; Oct25
high
*$1.3815/20 Strong offers/$1.3825 Stops
*$1.3811 Dec11 high (NY)
*$1.3800/05 Medium offers/$1.3800 Dec16-$1.3803 Dec12 highs
*$1.3774 Int.Day high Europe, Asia $1.3772
*$1.3772 ***Current mkt rate 0648GMT Tuesday
*$1.3752 Int.Day low Asia
*$1.3745/40 $1.3743 pullback low off $1.3800 Mon/$1.3740 Dec16 low
*$1.3730 Medium demand/76.4% $1.3709-1.3800 ($1.3744 61.8%)
*$1.3710/00 Strong demand/$1.3709 Dec13 low
*$1.3694 Monday Dec9 low/$1.3693 61.8% $1.3620-1.3811
*$1.3690 System stops
STERLING SUMMARY: Cable closed in NY Monday at $1.6295 after rate had found
decent support at $1.6290, holding on three challenges after rate had initially
bounced to a session high of $1.6348, with lower recovery highs, off that
mentioned base, noted during the balance of the day at $1.6330 and $1.6314. Rate
marked opening lows at $1.6290 into Asia before fresh demand emerged that took
rate higher through the session to $1.6320, with early Europe extending this
recovery to $1.6325. Euro-sterling was contained within a range of
stg0.84355-0.8445 through Asia with traders continuing to favour short positions
in this pair while rate can hold below stg0.8464 (Nov13 high), placing stops
above stg0.8500. UK inflation data due at 0930GMT (median expectation 2.1% y/y).
CBI trends at 1100GMT with BOE Carney testifying to the House of Lords Economic
Affiar Committee at 1530GMT. Cable support remains at $1.6290, a break to open a
deeper move toward $1.6265/60 ahead of $1.6250/40. Resistance $1.6350-60 ahead
of $1.6380. Euro-sterling support stg0.8435/30 ahead of stg0.8410/00. Offers
stg0.8455/65 ahead of stg0.8480.
17-Dec-2013 7:10
CABLE TECHS: Bears Eye July Support Line At $1.6144
RES 4: $1.6428 38.2% of $2.1161-1.3503
RES 3: $1.6401 Jan 2013 reversal high
RES 2: $1.6358/60 High Nov 28, High Dec 13
RES 1: $1.6321/28 Low Dec 12, 5-DMA
LATEST PRICE: $1.6319
SUP 1: $1.6260/63 High Oct 1, Low Dec 13
SUP 2: $1.6233 38.2% of $1.5855-1.6466
SUP 3: $1.6200 High Nov 21
SUP 4: $1.6157/61 55-DMA, 50.0% of $1.5855-1.6466
COMMENTARY: Cable still attempting to slip below 21-DMA at $1.6302 which bears
already tested below, a break below here targets the 38.2% of $1.5855-1.6466 at
$1.6233, key support and a move below could see a decline to the July support
line which is now at $1.6144 and rising 12 pips a day. Daily studies are bearish
and weekly studies look overbought, adding to pressure lower, however we note
monthly studies are bullish which could see a retest of $1.6466 - Dec 10 high.
YEN SUMMARY: Dollar-yen started at Y103.01 in Asia while euro-yen opened at
Y141.75, dollar bulls pushed both rates to highs of Y103.13 & Y141.87 in early
morning session but retreats to a low of Y102.99 & Y141.70 respectively.
Thereafter, Japanese names bought yen crosses for Tokyo fix, CadJpy & euro-yen
were paid up higher. Subsequently euro-yen hit a new high at Y141.95 but met
good selling interest in early noon trade as sources said the same Japanese
names were seen unloading the yen crosses and the euro-yen slide to Y141.72
before rebounding to Y141.80 level currently. Dollar-yen was dragged lower as a
result and marked a fresh session low of Y102.92 before bouncing back to near
Asia opening level, rate last at Y103.00. Fairly calm and tight trading session
in Asia as most traders stayed on the sidelines preparing for FOMC tomorrow
night. Dollar-yen stayed under NY's high of Y103.12 and euro-yen also showing a
lower high from yesterday's Y142.12 as the rates consolidates before FOMC. The
Nikkei 225 index rebounds today, rising 0.83% last.
17-Dec-2013 7:28
DOLLAR-YEN TECHS: Mixed Studies While Bears Eye 38.2% At Y101.51
RES 4: Y105.26 3% 21-day MA envelope top
RES 3: Y104.08/24 Daily Bolli top, 2% 21-day MA envelope top
RES 2: Y103.92 High Dec 13
RES 1: Y103.36/39 Weekly Bolli top, High Dec 10
LATEST PRICE: Y102.96
SUP 1: Y102.77 Daily Tenkan line
SUP 2: Y102.43 23.6% of Y97.62-103.92
SUP 3: Y102.20 21-day moving average
SUP 4: Y101.98 Low Dec 3
COMMENTARY: Dollar-yen slips lower again to edge below the support line from Nov
7 low - initial support now at 102.77, the daily Tenkan line. A break below here
targets the 23.6% of Y97.62-103.92, seen at Y102.43. Daily studies trend
more-or-less sideways so a strong move lower is needed to start a bearish trend
- a break below the 50.0% at Y100.77 would help, but we note monthly studies
still show bullish signs despite being overbought, cautioning bears.
17-Dec-2013 7:41
EURO-YEN TECHS: Overbought Studies Caution Bulls
RES 4: Y143.76 Daily Bollinger band top
RES 3: Y143.51 3% 21-DMA envelope top
RES 2: Y142.83/95 High Dec 13, Channel top
RES 1: Y142.12/17 Highs Dec 16, 10
LATEST PRICE: Y141.82
SUP 1: Y141.22 Low Dec 16
SUP 2: Y140.92/99 Low Dec 11, 61.8% of Y169.96-94.12
SUP 3: Y140.63/67 Daily Tenkan line, Channel base
SUP 4: Y140.20 Oct 2005 high
COMMENTARY: Euro-yen remains in rising channel and yesterday posted a
long-legged doji showing indecision. Studies are overbought and bears look below
yesterday's low to approach daily Tenkan and channel base around Y140.65/67, a
break below then targets the 23.6% of Y131.22-142.83 at Y140.09. However,
monthly studies remain bullish and failure at these levels could see bulls
return to retest the Y142.83 Dec 13 high, where downside pressure is expected.
Zamieszczane przeze mnie wykresy pokazują jedyne słuszne spojrzenie na rynek i stanowią jednoznaczną rekomendacje. Podejmowanie na ich podstawie decyzji inwestycyjnych jest świetnym pomysłem.
