1. W wątku DT omawiamy bieżąca sytuacje na rynku i to co dotyczy danego dnia. Od dłuższych prognoz jest dział Prognozy, komentarze, analizy
2. Zamieszczamy tylko i wyłącznie swoje analizy. Nie kopiujemy z innych serwisów.
3. Komentarz do własnej analizy nie może mieć charakteru rekomendacji. (to nie jest dział z sygnałami)
4. Kłótnie, ataki na innych użytkowników są niedopuszczalne.
5. Nie zaśmiecamy wątku. (wypowiedzi w stylu: "dałem S", "ja kończę na dziś" itp. jak i chwalenie się swoimi statami)
Nagminne łamanie powyższych zasad będzie skutkować nałozeniem zakazu pisania do końca bieżącego tygodnia.
Recydywa będzie karana ostrzeżeniami.
Przypominam że ponadto obowiązuje Regulamin Forum
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Przedstawione poglądy, oceny, opinie i wnioski są wyrazem osobistych poglądów
autorów i nie mają charakteru rekomendacji do nabycia lub zbycia albo
powstrzymania się od dokonania transakcji w odniesieniu do jakichkolwiek walut.
Poglądy te jak i inne treści nie stanowią "rekomendacji" lub "doradztwa"
w rozumieniu ustawy z dnia 29 lipca 2005 o obrocie instrumentami finansowymi.
Wyłączną odpowiedzialność za decyzje inwestycyjne, podjęte lub zaniechane
na podstawie poniższych analiz ponosi inwestor.
AUD/USD
Świeca D1 zamknięta. Ładne, precyzyjne odbicie od LT, jest szansa na odbicie z perspektywą zarobku 170 pips lub przy dobrych wiatrach nawet 400 pips w skali miesiąca.
Nie masz wymaganych uprawnień, aby zobaczyć pliki załączone do tego posta.
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raposo pisze:AUD/USD
Świeca D1 zamknięta. Ładne, precyzyjne odbicie od LT, jest szansa na odbicie z perspektywą zarobku 170 pips lub przy dobrych wiatrach nawet 400 pips w skali miesiąca.
EURO SUMMARY: Another subdued session for the euro-zone currency this morning in
Asia, ahead of Thursday's ECB meeting. Euro-dollar opened at $1.3588, after a
$1.3570 to $1.3614 overnight US range. It started the morning holding a very
narrow $1.3584 to $1.3594 range amid a clear lack of interest in pushing the
pair out of recent ranges. Euro-dollar caught a whiff of a bid tone around
mid-morning, and was lifted to $1.3598 high, courtesy of the aussie's continued
falls, which carried euro-aussie higher, according to dealers. The cross gained
to A$1.5024 high after opening at A$1.4872, and then backed off a bit to $1.4868
in the early afternoon. Euro-dollar also backed away a bit as the cross eased
but was largely supported off $1.3580 amid talk of demand from $1.3570.
Euro-dollar was last at $1.3590 but faces considerable offers ahead from
$1.3620. A close above $1.3622 is needed to kick start topside momentum and
reconfirm the bullish focus, but while the $1.3622 level caps a retest of
$1.3521 is favored.
04-Dec-2013 7:02
EURO-DOLLAR TECHS: Lower Highs & Lows But Studies Mixed
RES 4: $1.3694 Daily Ichimoku cloud top
RES 3: $1.3681/82 Reversal high Apr 2007, High Oct 17
RES 2: $1.3644 Daily Bollinger band top
RES 1: $1.3618 Channel base from Jul 10 low
LATEST PRICE: $1.3592
SUP 1: $1.3554 38.2% of $1.3105-1.3832
SUP 2: $1.3509 21-day moving average
SUP 3: $1.3494 Nov 7 support line
SUP 4: $1.3469 50.0% of $1.3105-1.3832 & Daily Ichimoku base
COMMENTARY: Euro-dollar regained losses to retest rising channel base as
resistance - still initial res at $1.3618. Bulls target a break within the
channel but a series of lower highs from Nov 29 high at $1.3622 cautions bulls.
A break above here targets the 61.8% of $1.3832-1.3296 at $1.3627 and above here
is dly Bolli top at $1.3644. However, daily slow stochastic looks overbought and
failure to break into channel targets Nov 7 suppt line at $1.3494.
EURO-DOLLAR: MNI Fundamental levels (orders, options, technicals),
$1.3739 Thursday Oct31 high
$1.3690/710 Strong offers/$1.3706 76.4% $1.3833-1.3295/$1.3694 cloud top
$1.3660/65 Medium offers
$1.3650 Strong offers
$1.3620/30 Strong offers/$1.3622 Nov29 high;$1.3627 61.8% $1.3833-1.3295
$1.3614-16 Dec3-Dec2 highs
$1.3595/600 Medium offers
$1.3598 Int.Day high Asia
$1.3586 ***Current mkt rate 0635GMT Wednesday
$1.3582 Int.Day low Asia and Europe
$1.3570 Medium demand/NY low Tuesday/$1.3569 50% $1.3524-1.3614/Stops
$1.3558 61.8% $1.3524-1.3614/76.4% $1.3545
$1.3525/15 Strong demand/$1.3524 Tues Dec3 low
$1.3490/80 Medium demand/$1.3490 Nov25 low/$1.3485 61.8% $1.3400-1.3622/Stops
$1.3469-63 Cloud base-Friday Nov22 low
STERLING SUMMARY: Cable closed in NY Tuesday at $1.6386 after rate had eased off
an intraday high of $1.6437. Cable had recovered earlier in the day, extending
its correction off Monday lows of $1.6343, the move gaining a boost on the back
of stronger than forecast UK construction PMI. Rate continued its corrective
pullback in early Asia to $1.6378 before fresh demand emerged to gradually lift
it back to $1.6396, holding around $1.6390 into Europe. Euro-sterling was
confined to a tight stg0.82895-0.8296 range leaving cable to take direction from
euro-dollar moves. Release of an improved BRC shop price index had little
effect. Focus today will turn to the release of services PMI data at 0928GMT.
Market will be waiting to see if the release will complete a strong set of PMI
data after mfg and construction PMI's came in above forecasts. Cable resistance
seen from $1.6400 and extending to $1.6415 (area covers 38.2%, 50% and 61.8% of
$1.6437-1.6378), then $1.6420/25 ahead of the area of recent highs between
$1.6437/43. Offers seen to barrier interest at $1.6450. Support $1.6380/70,
$1.6350. Cross barrier at stg0.8250 currently keeps rate supported, while offers
into stg0.8300 cap.
04-Dec-2013 7:10
CABLE TECHS: Two Long Upper Shadows Cautions Bulls
RES 4: $1.6545 Weekly Bollinger band top
RES 3: $1.6496 High June 2011
RES 2: $1.6443/47 High Dec 2, Daily Bolli band top
RES 1: $1.6401 High Mar 2011
LATEST PRICE: $1.6393
SUP 1: $1.6370/78 5-DMA, Hourly low
SUP 2: $1.6304/12 23.6% of $1.5855-1.6443, Nov 13 support line
SUP 3: $1.6260 High Oct 1
SUP 4: $1.6218 38.2% of $1.5855-1.6443
COMMENTARY: Cable continues to pressure recent high at $1.6443 while attempting
to close above the long-term 38.2% of $2.1161-1.3503, still at $1.6428, however
downside pressure left two long upper shadows which adds risk lower. Failure to
retest $1.6443 could see overbought studies reverse - a short-term support line
is at $1.6312 and a break below could target July support line at $1.6040.
However, monthly chart is bullish which may limit the downside.
CABLE: MNI Fundamental levels (orders, options, technicals),
$1.6505 1.618% swing projection based off $1.6443-1.6343
$1.6500 Strong offers on approach/Barrier
$1.6496 Jun 2011 highs
$1.6480 Medium offers
$1.6450 Strong offers on approach/Barrier/Stops
$1.6437-43 Dec3-Dec2 highs
$1.6397 Int.Day high Asia
$1.6389 ***Current market rate 0653GMT Wednesday
$1.6378 Int.Day low Asia
$1.6350/40 $1.6345 76.4% $1.6315-1.6443/$1.6343 Dec2 low
$1.6315 Nov 30 low
$1.6310/00 Medium demand
$1.6280/75 Medium demand
$1.6260/55 Strong demand
$1.6240 Medium demand/Stops
EURO-STERLING: MNI Fundamental levels (orders, options, technicals)
stg0.8395/400 Medium offers
stg0.8391 Tues Nov26 high/stg0.8392 76.4% stg0.8415-0.8317
stg0.8387 Wednesday Nov27 high
stg0.8345/55 Medium offers/stg0.8352 Thu Nov28 high
stg0.8333 Corresponds to E1.20
stg0.8300 Medium offers
stg0.8296 Int.Day high Asia(stg0.8295 NY)
stg0.8283 ***Current market rate 0722GMT Wednesday
stg0.8282 Int.Day low Europe, Asia stg0.82895
stg0.8258 Tuesday Dec3 low/Strong demand stg0.8260-50
stg0.8252 Monday Dec2 low
stg0.8250 Option barrier/Strong demand ahead
stg0.8220 Strong demand
stg0.8205/00 Strong demand
YEN SUMMARY: The Japanese currency opened at Y102.51 against the dollar while
euro-yen opened at Y139.30, after a choppy overnight session which saw the yen
reverse some of its recent losses. Dollar-yen slipped early to Y102.28 and then
rebounded as the cross also bounced off Y139.30 despite Japanese stocks opening
lower. Dollar-yen continued to extend its gains to Y102.67 amid talk of demand
from below Y102.00 from reserve managers, while euro-yen traded a Y139.50 high.
But continued losses in Japanese stocks took the wind out of dollar-yen's sails
and the pair then dropped sharply back to a Y102.24 low, before bids then came
in to support. Euro-yen also pulled back sharply to Y138.94 but recovered back
toward the high soon after. Dollar-yen was last at Y102.57 while euro-yen was at
Y139.40. Talk of dollar-yen bids from Y102.20 down to Y102.00 and possibly
extending to Y101.95, have been making the rounds in the market while there's
also been talk of large sell-stops should Y101.90 give way. A close below
Y101.90 then sees immediate focus shift lower to retests of the Y100.45-00
region with the 21-day moving average noted at Y100.69.
JAPAN STOCKS CLOSE: Japanese stock indices ended Wednesday sharply lower. The
Nikkei 225 lost 341.72 points, or 2.17%, to stand at 15,407.94. The
broader-based TOPIX was lower by 18.31 points at 1244.23. Nikkei market breadth
saw 10 issues trade higher, 219 lower and 2 unchanged. Total volume was 1.323
billion.
04-Dec-2013 7:28
DOLLAR-YEN TECHS: Bearish Outside-Day Cautions Bulls
RES 4: Y104.72 4% 21-day MA envelope top
RES 3: Y103.74/78 Reversal high May 22, Reversal low June 2012
RES 2: Y103.38/42 High Dec 3, Rising channel top
RES 1: Y102.89 High May 21
LATEST PRICE: Y102.56
SUP 1: Y102.17 Daily Tenkan line
SUP 2: Y102.02/05 23.6% of Y97.62-103.38, Nov 8 channel base
SUP 3: Y101.53 Reversal high Jul 8
SUP 4: Y101.18 38.2% of Y97.62-103.38
COMMENTARY: Dollar-yen posts an outside-day which has the potential to form a
dark cloud cover reversal pattern - bears yesterday bounced from the 23.6% of
Y97.62-103.38 seen at Y102.02 where a convergence of levels is noted including
the rising channel base at Y102.05. A break below here could see studies reverse
south and target the 50.0% level at Y100.50. However, the pair remains within
the rising channel and we may see bulls retest yesterday's high at Y103.38.
04-Dec-2013 7:40
EURO-YEN TECHS: Failure To Close Above Y140.00 Adds Downside Risk
RES 4: Y141.04 Daily Bolli band top
RES 3: Y140.20 Oct 2005 high
RES 2: Y140.03 High Dec 3
RES 1: Y139.83 Rising channel top from Nov 8 low
LATEST PRICE: Y139.37
SUP 1: Y138.94/97 Hourly low, Low Nov 29
SUP 2: Y138.70 Low Dec 3
SUP 3: Y138.49 Oct 2009 high
SUP 4: Y137.95/138.02 23.6% of Y131.22-140.03, Daily Tenkan
COMMENTARY: Euro-yen left a long-legged doji outside day candle which pushed up
to test the Y140.00 level before closing back within the rising channel from Nov
8. The channel top becomes initial resistance at Y139.83 and bulls may break
above to retest the Dec 3 high at Y140.03. However, studies look overbought and
failure to retest the key Y140.00 level adds downside risk. Yesterday's low is
at Y138.70 and below here is the 23.6% and daily Tenkan line at Y137.95/138.02.
steven69 pisze:złoto spada jak kamień, ta cała AT jest CH... warta
Może masz zły system..
Zamieszczane przeze mnie wykresy pokazują jedyne słuszne spojrzenie na rynek i stanowią jednoznaczną rekomendacje. Podejmowanie na ich podstawie decyzji inwestycyjnych jest świetnym pomysłem.
