Pogaduchy przy porannej kawie

[259]

Ale to złotu na pewno nie pomoże:

16 minutes ago | June 2nd, 2013 20:54:27 GMT
China Gold Association: Chinese gold demand may slow in the second half of this year

by Eamonn Sheridan

Hong Kong press reports Zhang Bingnan, secretary-general of the China Gold Association, saying over the weekend that gold demand in mainland China may slow in the second half of the year;

“The kind of frenzied buying in late April and early May won’t be repeated,”
He added that some of the demand for gold jewellery worn for festivals or weddings later this year may have been brought forward to April and May in response to the big price fall in mid-April

[259]

Jak na Kangura to trzyma się bardzo mocno
Nikkei leci nadal w dół. A wraz z nim sprzedawanie dolara za jeny. Co pomaga wszelkim anty-dolarom.

Z dzisiejszego rozkładu dnia (wszystkie czasy GMT):

0753 German May Mfg PMI, exp 49.0
0828 UK May Mfg PMI, exp 50.1
0830 Germany’s Merkel speaks from Berlin
1120 US SF Fed’s Williams speaks
1258 US May Markit Mfg PMI, exp 52.0
1400 US April construction spending, exp 1.0% m/m
1400 US May ISM Mfg PMI, exp 50.5, Prices paid exp 49.7
2100 US May total vehicle sales, exp 15.1 mln

Raczej nie będzie to klasyczny nudny poniedziałek...

[niemiaszek]

dla każdego coś istotnego

Commitments of Traders Reports Update


oczywiście jak się to wykorzystuje to już inna kwestia w klikaniu, ale poczytać nie zaszkodzi

[259]

Peter Jackson | Jun. 3, 2013 06:16 GMT | Major Currencies
Peter Jackson

EUR/USD: Offers 1.3050/60 (model funds), tech res 1.3065/75 (1.3071 -61.8% retracement of the 1.3242-1.2795 fall), buy stops above ahead of offers 1.3100/15 (100 day MA at 1.3110) ahead of tech res 1.3170/80 (1.3177 May 9 high). Bids 1.2985/00 sell stops below 1.2980 ahead of tech supp 1.2958 (21 day MA) and bids 1.2940/50 (tenkan line 1.2941) with sell stops below.

GBP/USD: Bids 1.5200/10 possible sell stops through 1.5190 (1.5191 cloud base) ahead of bids 1.5140/50 and 1.51120/25 (tenkan line 1.5124), sell stops below. Offers 1.5235/45, buy stops above ahead of offers 1.5265/75 (55 day MA 1.5275) and 1.5300/10 ahead of tech res cloud top 1.5331 and 100 day MA 1.5359

EUR/GBP: Bids 0.8535/40 (100 day MA 0.8537), tech supp cloud base 0.8518, stronger bids 0.8495/05 (21/55 day MA’s 0.8498/01) sell stops below ahead of tech supp/bids 0.8480/90. Offers 0.8555/60 (tenkan line 0.8558), 0.8575/80 and 0.8595/10 (cloud top 0.8607), possible buy stops above.

USD/JPY: pivoting around 100.37 Kijun line, Bids 100.30 down to the psychological 100.00 level. Large sell stops on a break of 100.00. Tech support below at 99.55/60 (61.8% of 97.01-103.73 at 99.58), likely sell stops below ahead of bids 99.00/20. Offers 100.65/75, 100.90/00 and 101.15/25 buy stops above through 101.30/35 (21 day MA 101.35).

EUR/JPY: Bids 130.50/60, possible sell stops through 130.40 ahead of bids 130.00/10, sell stops below ahead of bids 129.50/70 and 129.00/10. Offers 131.00/10, 131.25/35 (21 day MA 131.35) ,131.75/85 (tenkan line 131.86), buy stops above ahead of offers 132.00/10, further buy stops likely above ahead of offers 132.40/50.

AUD/USD: Offers 0.9630/40 (exporters), 9665/80 (tenkan line 0.9678), buy stops above ahead of offers 0.9700/10; further buy stops just above ahead of tech res 0.9735/45 (0.9741 May 23 high), . Bids 0.9600/10 and 0.9570/80 (possible sell stops just below and through 0.9550) ahead of the major support zone 0.9530/40 and likely sell stops below through 0.9525 (Wed low 0.9528).

[niemiaszek]

rozkminka na najbliższe dni:

EUROZONE: Timeline of key events in the eurozone for next few weeks:
- Jun 03 Spain May unemployment data
- Jun 03 EMU May final manufacturing PMI
- Jun 03 German open parl hearing on bill to transfer EU bank supervision to ECB
- Jun 04 ESM sells 3-month Bills for up to E2.0bln
- Jun 05 EMU May final services PMI
- Jun 05 EMU Q1 2nd release GDP
- Jun 05 German Merkel speaks at `International Germany Forum' in Berlin
- Jun 05 EU Barroso, Spain PM Rajoy press conference in Brussels
- Jun 05 EU Commission makes recommendation on Latvia eligibility on Euro
- Jun 06 ECB Governing Council meeting, Draghi press conference in Frankfurt
- Jun 06 Spain sells 2015-/2016-/2023 bonds
- Jun 07 German FinMin Schaeuble speaks at "politics meets economics" event
- Jun 07 ECB announces 3-year LTRO repayment for following week
- Jun 10/11 Luxembourg PM Juncker meets Greek PM Samaras in Athens
- Jun 11/12 German Constitutional Court hearing on ESM, ECB policy


US: Timeline of some upcoming key events in the US:
- Jun 02 Fed Vice Chair Yellen (voter) at ABA conf in Shanghai at 2130ET
- Jun 03 Fed Williams (non-voter) at Riksbank conf in Stockholm at 0720ET
- Jun 03 UST announces 4wk at 1100ET
- Jun 03 UST auctions 3/6m bills at 1130ET
- Jun 03 Tsy Lew chairs FSOC in a closed session at Treasury
- Jun 04 Pres Obama meets Chile Pres Pinera in Washington
- Jun 04 UST auctions 4wk at 1130ET
- Jun 04 fed Gov Raskin on job creation trends in Washington at 1230ET
- Jun 04 Fed George (voter) in Santa Fe, NM at 1330ET
- Jun 04 Fed Fisher (non-voter) at CD Howe Inst in Toronto at 2000ET
- Jun 05 Fannie Mae to announce Benchmark Note issuance
- Jun 05 Beige Book at 1400ET
- Jun 06 Fed Gov Raskin in Columbus, OH at 0830ET
- Jun 06 UST announces 3/6m, 3-10-30y cpns at 1100ET
- Jun 06 Fed Plosser (non-voter) at Boston College at 1200ET

[mike_05]

Czy to możliwe?

[259]

Czy to możliwe?

Wszystko jest możliwe
Ale żeby zepchnąć Edka do poziomów ultrakryzysowych potrzebne by było coś naprawdę dużego.
Np. bankructwo Włoch lub Francji.
Nie zanosi się...

[259]

German May Mfg PMI rises to 49.4
Peter Jackson | Jun. 3, 2013 07:54 GMT | Major Currencies
Peter Jackson

Above expectations/flash of 49.0 and April reading of 48.1

Highest since February

EUR/USD getting a small boost here to fresh day’s highs around 1.3037

Ja bym powiedział że zdziwiłbym się gdyby w czwartek ECB zrobił cokolwiek ze stopami.

[Sildra]

Zgadzam się z powyższym.

Pewnikiem bankructwa nie będzie, za to coraz wyższe bezrobocie i owszem. Zwłaszcza we Włoszech. Monti poszedł w odstawkę to i o reformach jakby ciszej.

A z parafii Forexu Interwencje słowne z EBC doskonale trzymają kurs Edka w okolicach 1,3000. Pamiętam jak ktoś tam z Eurozony mówił o spektrum 1,30-1,40 jako dobrym zakresie dla Edka. Ja to wówczas odczytałem, że najlepiej jakby kurs oscylował wokół 1,30. I jakoś od tego czasu tutaj właśnie krążymy. W EBC to się pewnie nawet cieszą, że w Stanach notują ostatnio lepsze dane ekonomiczne. Nie muszą więc bawić się w niższe stopy u siebie.

Jednakowoż stwierdzam, że 1,2626 przyciąga.

[mryko]

Sildra może ktoś z ECB też się wypowiadał o takich widełkach, ale z pewnością taki zakres swego czasu wypowiedziała pani Merkel