DayTrading: Wtorek 23.04.2013

Dyskusje na temat aktualnej sesji: komentarze, analizy, opinie.

Prognoza EURUSD na dzisiaj

Czas głosowania minął 23 kwie 2013, 23:57

Wzrost
11
31%
Bez zmian
2
6%
Spadek
22
63%
 
Liczba głosów: 35

pr7emo
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Re: DayTrading: Wtorek 23.04.2013

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czekam na jakieś szarpnięcie ceny do bandy albo kilka pipsów, wole wsiadać do pociągu jak odjeżdża a nie stoi ;)

polecam wejść po pierwszym europejskim odczycie PMI

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kashper
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Re: DayTrading: Wtorek 23.04.2013

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TRADING CENTRAL ANALYSIS
Pivot: 1.3085.
Our preference: SHORT positions below 1.3085 with 1.301 & 1.2985 in sight.
Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1.3085 will call for a rebound towards 1.3115 & 1.315.
Comment: the pair stands below its new resistance and remains under pressure, the RSI stands below its neutrality area.
Trend: ST Ltd Downside; MT Range
Key levels Comment
1.315*** Horizontal resistance
1.3115** Horizontal resistance
1.3085*** Intraday pivot point
1.3045 Last
1.301*** Intraday support
1.2985** Intraday support
1.295*** Intraday support
Nie masz wymaganych uprawnień, aby zobaczyć pliki załączone do tego posta.
Jeden TF daje wystarczająco dużo wątpliwości co do kierunku przyszłego ruchu.
O dywersyfikacji + wypłaty + statystyki + podsumowanie z pierwszego dziennika

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Re: DayTrading: Wtorek 23.04.2013

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Jakos ten spadek na edku zbyt oczywisty sie wydaje... osobiscie EU racczej nie bede ruszał ale na EG własnie wsadziłem longa. Co do edka to w okolicy 1,3017 jest banda kanału od ktorego mozemy nastapic odbicie w gore. przeciez moje 1,3265 wciaz czeka ;p
"Buy the fu*king dip you fu*king idiot" :)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jllJ-HeErjU

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Re: DayTrading: Wtorek 23.04.2013

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rafmax pisze:Jakos ten spadek na edku zbyt oczywisty sie wydaje... osobiscie EU racczej nie bede ruszał ale na EG własnie wsadziłem longa. Co do edka to w okolicy 1,3017 jest banda kanału od ktorego mozemy nastapic odbicie w gore. przeciez moje 1,3265 wciaz czeka ;p
Jak dane będą słabsze od oczekiwań (a dużo ekspertów sądzi że tak będzie) to troche poczekasz na to 1.3265 :P

crok.
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Re: DayTrading: Wtorek 23.04.2013

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psxor pisze:
rafmax pisze:Jakos ten spadek na edku zbyt oczywisty sie wydaje... osobiscie EU racczej nie bede ruszał ale na EG własnie wsadziłem longa. Co do edka to w okolicy 1,3017 jest banda kanału od ktorego mozemy nastapic odbicie w gore. przeciez moje 1,3265 wciaz czeka ;p
Jak dane będą słabsze od oczekiwań (a dużo ekspertów sądzi że tak będzie) to troche poczekasz na to 1.3265 :P
experci expertami a spekola z kasa cuda robi :)
ja tez licze dzis na 1,3200...min docelowo 1,3490
jak uzyskać parytet na edku -swieca z 03.12 - tu podjada pod 1,053 i wtedy rura w jeden dzien 500 piepek :)

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Re: DayTrading: Wtorek 23.04.2013

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psxor pisze:
rafmax pisze:Jakos ten spadek na edku zbyt oczywisty sie wydaje... osobiscie EU racczej nie bede ruszał ale na EG własnie wsadziłem longa. Co do edka to w okolicy 1,3017 jest banda kanału od ktorego mozemy nastapic odbicie w gore. przeciez moje 1,3265 wciaz czeka ;p
Jak dane będą słabsze od oczekiwań (a dużo ekspertów sądzi że tak będzie) to troche poczekasz na to 1.3265 :P
hehe byc moze, ale to działa w dwie strony ;)
"Buy the fu*king dip you fu*king idiot" :)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jllJ-HeErjU

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Re: DayTrading: Wtorek 23.04.2013

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crok. pisze:
psxor pisze:
rafmax pisze:Jakos ten spadek na edku zbyt oczywisty sie wydaje... osobiscie EU racczej nie bede ruszał ale na EG własnie wsadziłem longa. Co do edka to w okolicy 1,3017 jest banda kanału od ktorego mozemy nastapic odbicie w gore. przeciez moje 1,3265 wciaz czeka ;p
Jak dane będą słabsze od oczekiwań (a dużo ekspertów sądzi że tak będzie) to troche poczekasz na to 1.3265 :P
experci expertami a spekola z kasa cuda robi :)
ja tez licze dzis na 1,3200...min docelowo 1,3490
HAHA! Nie bądź śmieszny. Przy zmieniającym się trendzie nagle liczysz na ponad 400 pipsów w drugą stronę. Od kiedy takie rzeczy na edku?

TRADING CENTRAL
Pivot: 1.3310
Our Preference: SHORT position below 1.3310 with 1.2650 & 1.25 in sight.
Alternative Scenario: Above 1.3310 up move to 1.35 & 1.3710.
Comment: the pair is posting a rebound but stands below its new resistance, the RSI lacks upward momentum.
Trend: ST Ltd Downside; MT Range, we have been bearish since 13 MAR 2013 (1.297).
Key levels Comment
1.3710 *** Horizontal resistance
1.3500 ** Horizontal resistance
1.3310 *** MT pivot point
1.3104 Last
1.2650 *** Horizontal support
1.2500 ** Horizontal support
1.2250 *** Horizontal support
Nie masz wymaganych uprawnień, aby zobaczyć pliki załączone do tego posta.
Jeden TF daje wystarczająco dużo wątpliwości co do kierunku przyszłego ruchu.
O dywersyfikacji + wypłaty + statystyki + podsumowanie z pierwszego dziennika

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Re: DayTrading: Wtorek 23.04.2013

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Hello


Obrazek
EUROPE: There is a full calendar Tuesday, including the release of the euro area
flash manufacturing and service PMI numbers. The calendar gets underway with the
release of the French April business climate indicator, including the April
manufacturing and service sector sentiment indices, at 0645GMT. The release of
the main flash PMI numbers starts at 0658GMT, with the release of the French
flash numbers, followed at 0728GMT with the German numbers and the eurozone data
at 0758GMT. That is followed at 0800GMT with the release of the Italian ISTAT
April cOnsumer confidence numbers. Sovereign issuance in Europe sees Spain plan
to tap 3-month Jul 19, 2013 Letra and tap 9-month Jan 24, 2014 Letra with
indicative size to be announced on Monday, with expectations of between
E3.5-E4.5bln.

EUROPE: EC President Barroso has warned that austerity drives may have "reached
their limit" in Europe, as the process was losing democratic legitimacy, the
Times reports. However, Barroso said he still believed the policy was the
correct one.

GREECE: Greek privatisation received only one valid offer for the Greek gaming
monopoly and has now entered into negotiations with the Emma Delta investment
fund, eKathimerini reports.



UK: The main UK release is at 0830GMT, when the March public sector finance numbers
are set for release. The numbers will underline how difficult the fiscal year
2012/3 was for the government and comes less than a week after Fitch downgraded
the UK on deficit reduction slippage.
At 1000GMT, the April CBI Quarterly Industrial Trends numbers are expected.

UK PRESS: UK PM Cameron says he will look at implementing tax breaks for fuel
efficient cars and will block any further rises in duty on petrol, the Telegraph
says.



US/CANADA: The US calendar starts at 1145GMT, when the ICSC-Goldman Store Sales numbers for
the April 20 week are due.
North of the border, Canadian February retail sales are expected at 1230GMT.
At 1255GMT, the Redbook Average for the April 20 week are set for release.
There is a slew of data set for release at 1400GMT, including the Apr Markit PMI
(flash), February FHFA Home Price Index, March New Home Sales, April Richmond
Fed Mfg Index and the Mar BLS Mass Layoffs.
New home sales are expected to rise to a 420,000 annual rate in March after
retreating 4.6% in February. The trend of new home sales, and the housing market
as a whole, remains on an upward path. At the same time, the supply of homes
relative to sales continues to shrink, which should continue to lift home
prices. Single-family starts fell in March, but are still on an upward trend.



EURO SUMMARY: Euro-dollar closed in NY Monday at $1.3066 after rate had been
able to recover off session lows of $1.3015. Early trade in Asia was contained
within a range of $1.3055/70 before getting pressed lower on the back of
euro-yen sales, prompted in turn by the release of softer that forecast China
PMI data, traders highlighting the PMI new orders sub index moving below 50.0 as
the relevant knock to risk. Euro-dollar initially met support at $1.3041,
recovered to $1.3055 before turning lower again, this time extending lows to
$1.3033. Buyers emerged again into the dip to allow rate to edge back toward
$1.3050 ahead of the Europe open. A somewhat subdued trading session Monday with
traders hoping that today's releases of flash French, German and EZ PMI's,
followed by Germany Ifo, will spark some life into the market.
Bid interest
remains in place around $1.3030, with further interest noted at Monday's low at
$1.3015, with real money demand remaining in place between $1.3010/00.
Resistance $1.3070/80.

EURO-DOLLAR: Fundamental levels (orders, options, technicals)
$1.3170/80 Medium offers
$1.3150/55 Medium offers/$1.3153 76.4% $1.3200-1.3002;$1.3156 100-dma
$1.3130 Medium offers/Friday Apr19 high/Stops

$1.3100 Minor offers
$1.3075/85 Medium offers
$1.3069 US session high Monday, intraday high Asia
$1.3042 ***Current mkt rate 0338GMT Tuesday
$1.3039 Intraday low Asia
$1.3020 Medium demand
$1.3015 Europe-NY lows
$1.3010/00 Strong demand (real money), stops below
$1.2990 Strong demand/$1.2989 40-dma
$1.2970 Medium demand/Large stops on break/1.2969 55-dma

$1.2950/40 Medium demand


STERLING SUMMARY: Cable closed in NY Monday at $1.5286, just off late recovery
highs of $1.5296, after rate had extended its recovery off earlier Asian lows at
$1.5202. Rate managed to extend its upside correction to $1.5298 before momentum
faltered and rate eased back to opening levels. Release of softer than forecast
China PMI data, the new orders sub index moving back below 50, provided a knock
back to risk with demand for yen influencing cable lower, via sterling-yen, the
rate touching an overnight low at $1.5255 before meeting decent demand. Rate
edged to $1.5269 before turning lower again, trading around $1.5257 ahead of the
European open. Bids seen placed into $1.5250 (50% $1.5202-98), a break to open a
deeper move toward $1.5225/20, with stronger interest remaining in place on
approach to $1.5200. Resistance remains on approach to $1.5300. Euro-sterling
held by stg0.8536-47 through Asia allowed cable to track euro-dollar moves. UK
public finances data, followed by CBI, to provide domestic interest, though
moves on the day expected to be dictated by yen moves along with EZ PMI data. UK
focus remains on Thursday's first reading of Q1 GDP data.



YEN SUMMARY: Dollar-yen closed in NY Monday at Y99.28 after rate had been
pressed back to Y98.98 following earlier failed attempt to take out the Y100.00
area. Rate touched a recovery high at Y99.39 in early Asian trade before turning
lower, the initial pullback seen as a reaction to a weak Nikkei with the move
lower then given an added shove on release of softer than forecast China PMI
data, traders highlighting the move below 50.0 in the new export orders data for
providing the main knock to risk which benefited the yen. Large stops were
triggered on the move through Y98.80 and provided the weight to take the rate to
extended lows of Y98.59. Buyers emerged into the dip though recovery efforts
were described as shallow, the rate holding below Y99.00 (recovery high Y98.86)
before it settled around Y98.70 into Europe. Asian traders have reported offers
in place at Y99.30/40, with next crucial support seen at Y98.10/00. Euro-yen
tracked dollar-yen moves, the rate extending its corrective pullback to Y128.54
from an early high of Y129.83. Modest indications by Japanese life companies to
increase offshore investments seen as a key driver as dollar-yen backed away
from the Y100.00 area.

NEWS: S&P: MORE THAN ONE-THIRD CHANCE WILL LOWER JAPAN AA- RTG


OPTIONS: FX: Option expiries for today's 1000ET cut,
* Euro-dollar; $1.2900, $1.2950, $1.3000, $1.3030, $1.3065, $1.3100, $1.3135,
$1.3200
* Dollar-yen; Y98.00, Y99.00, Y99.50, Y100.00, Y100.50, Y101.00
* Euro-yen; Y122.25
* Cable; $1.5140, $1.5200, $1.5250, $1.5260
* Aussie; $1.0250, $1.0260, $1.0300, $1.0320
* Euro-Aussie; A$1.2640
* Dollar-Canada; C$1.0260


EUROZONE T-BILL ISSUANCE: Spain and the ESM both come to the Eurozone
sovereign T-bill market Tuesday. Spain will be first up with plans to tap
3-month Jul 19, 2013 Letra and tap 9-month Jan 24, 2014 Letra for an indicative
amount of E2.0-E3.0bln. The ESM then plan to issue new 6-month Oct 24 Bill for
up to E3.0bln. To recap so far this week, on Monday afternoon, France sold
E3.995bln 3-month BTF at average yield 0.003%, E1.992bln 6-month BTF at average
yield 0.024% and E1.995bln 12-month BTF at average yield 0.054%. Still to come
on Friday Italy plan to issue E8.0bln in new 6-month Oct 31, 2013 BOT.

SPAIN T-BILL AUCTION PREVIEW: Spain's Tesoro Publico will re-open 3-month Jul
19, 2013 Letra and re-open 9-month Jan 24, 2014 Letra for an indicative amount
of E2.0-E3.0bln Tuesday. The Spanish Letra curve has bull flattened during
April, with the long end outperforming as investors move up the curve to obtain
higher returns. The 3-month mid-yield is currently seen at 0.185bps while at the
last 3-month auction back on Mar 19, the Tesoro sold E1.74bln at average yield
of 0.285% with cover 3.3 times. As for the re-opening of Jan 24, 2014 Letra,
mid-yield is currently seen around 0.8275%, while at the last 9-month Letra
auction also on Mar 19, the Tesoro sold E2.263bln at average yield 1.007% and
covered 2.45 times. Demand is expected to be high due to the small indicative
size of the auction, especially for the 3-month Letra as current outstanding
amount is only E4.4bln. Last week's Letra redemption of E7.983bln is also seen
as underpinning demand. Results are due to be announced around 0840GMT.


EUROZONE: Timeline of key events in the eurozone for next few weeks:
- Apr 23 Troika starts tenth review of Irish bailout program
- Apr 23 Spain 3-/9-month T-bill auctions
- Apr 23 EMU Apr flash manufacturing/service PMI
- Apr 24 ECB quarterly Bank Lending Survey
- Apr 24 German Apr Ifo business survey
- Apr 24 Italy CTZ/linker auction
- Apr 24 German debt chief Tammo Diemer speaks at Euromoney conference Berlin
- Apr 25 German Merkel meets Slovenian President Pahor in Berlin
- Apr 26 Italy T-bill auction
- Apr 29 Italy BTP auction
- Apr 30 Eurozone flash HICP
- Apr 30 Italy T-bill redemption for E8.0bln
- Apr 30 Spain bond redemption for 2.30% 2013 for E14.94bln
- Mar 01 European PMI manufacturing survey
- May 02 ECB Governing Council meeting, Draghi press conference

US: Timeline of key events in the US for the next few weeks:
- Apr 23 Outright Tsy Cpon Purc Aug 15 2023-Feb 15 2031 $0.75-$1.00B
- Apr 23 UST auctions 4 wk at 1130ET
- Apr 23 UST auctions $35Bn 2y at 1300ET
- Apr 24 Outright Tsy Cpon Purch Feb 15 2036-Feb 15 2043 $1.25-$1.75B
- Apr 24 UST auctions $35Bn 5y at 1300ET
- Apr 25 Freddie Mac to announce Reference Note issuance
- Apr 25 UST announces 3/6m bills, 52wk at 1100ET
- Apr 25 UST auctions $29Bn 7y at 1300ET
- Apr 25 Money Supply (M2) at 1630ET
- Apr 26 1q GDP, early est 3.1%? at 0830ET
- Apr 26 Outright Tsy Cpon Purc May 15 2020-Feb 15 2023 $2.75-$3.50B
- Apr 29 Outright Tsy Cpon Purc Feb 15 2036-Feb 15 2043 $1.25-$1.75B
- Apr 30 Outright Tsry Cpon Purc Apr 30 2017-Dec 31 2017 $4.25-$5.25B
- Apr 30 Tentative outright Tsy op schedule release at 1400ET
- Apr 30-May 01 FOMC policy meeting
... zbieraj pips do pipa bo jak nie to z depo będzie lipa... G."niemiaszek"

pr7emo
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Re: DayTrading: Wtorek 23.04.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: pr7emo »

COPPER FALLS BELOW $6,800 A TONNE TO LOWEST SINCE OCTOBER 2011

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jen-yy
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Re: DayTrading: Wtorek 23.04.2013

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Pamiętajcie, że ostatnio po złych danych edek dziwnie parł do góry.
Mogą zrobić powtórkę
"Myśl przez 364 dni w roku, a jeden dzień pracuj, będziesz miał więcej kasy niż ten, który pracuje przez 364 dni a jeden dzień myśli"

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