DayTrading: Środa 9.01.2012

[niemiaszek]

Hello


EUROPE: There is no early data in Europe Wednesday and the first calendar
entries are sector outlooks from German trade bodies. At 0900GMT, the German
construction associations release a joint sector outlook, while the Wholesale
and Export Association release their sector outlook at 0930GMT, both in Berlin.
There is an insight into the Greek economy at 1000GMT, with the release of both
the November trade data and the November industrial production numbers. Also at
1000GMT, the third estimate of the EMU GDP for the third quarter is set for
release. The DIW also releases its new German growth forecasts at 1000GMT.
Further eurozone data is due at 1100GMT, with the release of the Portuguese
November trade balance and the German November industrial output numbers. Back
in Europe, at 1230GMT, German Chancellor Angela Merkel and Maltese Prime
Minister Lawrence Gonzi will hold a joint press conference in Berlin.

POLAND: Last night, Poland priced its E1.0bln Euro denominated benchmark 6-year
bond at mid-swaps +65bps. The bond maturing Jan 15, 2019 yields 1.705% and will
have a annual coupon set at 1.625%, Poland's Ministry of Finance said in a
statement on its website. The yield was the lowest in the history of Polish
eurobonds continued the statement. Main investors were Germany & Austria (26%),
Poland (17%), Nordic countries (9%) and Asia & Middle East took up a significant
allocation (19%).

GREECE: Greece may have a further two teats of recession, eKathimerini reports,
citing a study by Morgan Stanley released Tuesday. MS say the Greek downturn
will likely last through 2014, a year longer than official forecasts.



UK: UK data is due at 0930GMT, with the release of the November trade figures.

UK PRESS: UK PM Cameron has been warned by business leaders that any attempt to
renegotiate the UK's EU membership could fail and inadvertently hit the economy
if the country drops out of the EU.

UK PRESS: Discount food retailers are holding a record share of the UK's food
market, the Telegraph says, as cash-strapped consumers turn to cheaper shopping
alternatives.


US: The US calendar gets underway at 1200GMT, with the release of the MBA Mortgage
Index for the Jan 4 week. Lastly, at 1530GMT, the EIA Crude Oil Stocks for the Jan 4 week are slated for
release.





EURO-DOLLAR: Closed in NY at $1.3082, off pullback lows of $1.3057 seen during
the NY session, off earlier Asian highs of $1.3140. Rate was seen steady into
early Asia around $1.3080 before edging up to challenge reported offers placed
between $1.3090/00. Rate touched a high of $1.3091 before momentum faded and it
eased off to $1.3067 before settling in the low $1.3070's through most of the
Asian afternoon session. Rate picked up late demand that has taken it back to
$1.3087 ahead of the European open. Euro-dollar was basically sidelined during
the Asian session with most interest seen in yen, Aussie and Kiwi. Bids seen
into $1.3065 (76.4% $1.3057-91), a break to expose Tuesday's low at $1.3057
ahead of further demand into $1.3050. Stops noted below, with more demand seen
placed between $1.3030/00 with larger system stops placed below $1.2980.
Resistance $1.3090/95, more between $1.3100/30. Light data calendar for
Wednesday with Germany IP at 1100GMT to provide the morning interest. Euro
direction expected to again come via euro crosses.


CABLE: Closed in NY at $1.6055 after recovering off traded lows at $1.6029, the
rate having seen highs earlier in the day at $1.6129. Tuesday had seen
corrective action following on from Monday's move into risk positions, with main
moves led by yen recovery which in turn provided drive via the crosses. A quiet
start in Asia saw early trade held within $1.6050/60 before rate edged up with
euro-dollar to mark overnight highs at $1.6069. Rate drifted lower through the
session, marking lows at $1.6037 (76.4% $1.6029-69) before recovering to $1.6058
ahead of the European open. Euro-sterling was held between stg0.8143/53, leaving
cable to basically track euro-dollar moves, though action in this latter pair
overnight was described as subdued. UK trade data due for release at 0930GMT
provides the domestic morning interest. Cable demand seen placed at $1.6037
ahead of $1.6030/20 (covering recent lows at $1.6029 and $1.6022), with stops
placed on a break of $1.6020. Further demand then seen at $1.6010/00. Resistance
$1.6070/80 ahead of $1.6100/05.


YEN: Dollar-yen closed in NY at Y87.05, having seen a corrective pullback
through the NY session that had taken it to lows of Y86.90. Rate retested NY
recovery highs of Y87.12 before turning lower with stops below Y86.90 targeted
and triggered before rate based at Y86.83. As rate touched lows so chat emerged
that there is a Y86.75-90.75 DNT option structure in the market (expiry week of
Mar4-7), the base of which expected to draw protective demand ahead. Rate
reversed higher with recovery boosted as Japanese banks showed strong demand
from around the Y86.90 area to take rate on to Y87.21 into the Tokyo fix as talk
swirled that decent sized RHS interest would be seen. Rate slightly dipped back
post fix only to meet fresh demand that took rate on to Y87.55, the move this
time driven by euro-yen as stops through Y114.35 were triggered, with US
custodial demand for dollar-yen also recorded in the move. Dollar-yen offers
seen into Y87.60, more at Y87.80. Support Y87.20, more toward Y87.00 with
stronger interest now seen at Y86.85/75.

NEWS: JAPAN NIKKEI 225 INDEX ENDS UP 0.67% AT 10578.57


GOLD: GOLD: Spot gold prices are trading marginally higher Wednesday, extending
their gains from the previous day. Spot gold ended Tuesday's session up $12.30
as prices continue to edge their way back higher after the previous sharp sell
off observed recently after the last release of the FOMC minutes. Physical
support from India and China continues to underpin prices, although a fresh
catalyst to send prices convincingly in either direction continues to remain
absent from the market. Metals brokers report limited activity so far this
morning, with some light sell interest remaining at around $1666/oz and
$1668/oz. Moderate bids are seen below at $1655/oz and $1648/oz. Spot gold
prices have remained in a fairly narrow range for much of the Asian session this
morning, edging their way higher from intra-day lows of $1657.70/oz to highs of
$1664.10/oz and now trade at $1662.30/oz, up $3.05 on the session.


OIL: OIL: February NYMEX WTI prices are trading marginally lower Wednesday after
closing the previous day at around unchanged levels. February WTI futures ended
Tuesday's session down $0.04 at $93.15 per barrel, after trading in a $92.67 to
$93.80 range. This morning, WTI futures have edged lower in a fairly tight
trading range after last night's American Petroleum Institute (API) data which
showed US crude stocks rose 2.4mln barrels last week. Market participants will
now be looking ahead to trade data from China due to be published Thursday. WTI
prices remain modestly lower during Asian traded hours, edging lower from an
intra-day high of $93.29 to hold at lows of $92.92 and now trade at $93.05 a
barrel, down 10 cents on the session.


NATURAL GAS: NATURAL GAS: NYMEX February natural gas prices are trading in
negative territory Wednesday, extending their declines from the previous day.
February natural gas futures ended Tuesday's session down 4.8 cents, or 1.5%, at
$3.218 per million British thermal units (mln Btu) after trading in a $3.201 to
$3.281 per mln Btu range. The front contract has now slipped 2.1% this week,
adding to last week's 5.2% decline as milder weather continues to move across
the US and slow overall demand. After a colder spell recorded last week, MDA
Weather Services expect temperatures for the eastern half of the US to range
from above to much above normal for the next ten days. February natural gas
futures have extended their way lower this morning from intra-day highs of
$3.227 to lows of $3.185 and the market remains at the lower end of the range,
currently trading $3.187 per mln Btu.


OPTIONS: FX: Option expiries for today's 1000ET cut,
* Euro-dollar; $1.3200, $1.2940, $1.2900
* Dollar-yen; Y87.75, Y87.00
* Aussie; $1.0400
* Aussie-Kiwi; NZ$1.2585
* Aussie-yen; Y90.00


EUROZONE T-BILL ISSUANCE: There is no Eurozone T-bill issuance Wednesday, with
Italy the final sovereign to come to the market on Thursday. Italy will issue
E8.5bln a new 12-month Jan 14, 2014 BOT in its first auction of 2013. To re-cap
on Monday Germany sold E3.515bln 6-month Bubill at average yield -0.0091%.
Netherlands alloted E2.83bln 3-month DTC at average yield -0.014% and E1.07bln
12-month DTC at average yield 0.003%. On Tuesday, Greece sold E975mln new 4-week
Feb 8 T-bill at average yield 3.95% and sold E1.625bln 26-week Jul 12 T-bill at
average yield 4.30%. Belgium sold E1.507bln in tap of 3-month Apr 18 T-bill at
average yield of -0.006% and sold E1.54bln tap of 6-month Jun 20 T-bill at
average yield of 0.011%. The ESM then sold E1.927bln new 3-month Apr 11 Bill at
average yield of -0.0324%.


EUROZONE: Timeline of key events in the eurozone for next few weeks:
- Jan 09 EU Van Rompuy meets with Ireland Kenny in Dublin
- Jan 09 Eurozone Q3 GDP (3rd estimate)
- Jan 10 ECB Governing Council meeting, Draghi press conference
- Jan 10 Spain sells new 2.75% 2015 Bono,tap 2018-/2026 bond up to E5bln
- Jan 10 EU Barroso meets Ireland PM Kenny in Dublin
- Jan 11 Italy sells 3-year BTP, CCTeu issues for up to E5.0bln
- Jan 14 Italy 12-month T-bill auction for E8.5bln
- Jan 14 Italy T-bill redemption for E11.5bln
- Jan 15 Spain sells 12-/18-month T-bills
- Jan 17 Spain sells Obligaciones bonds
- Jan 16 ECB start of reserve maintenance period
- Jan 18 Spain T-bill redemption for E5.395bln
- Jan 18 Portugal T-bill redemption for E1.266bln
- Jan 20 German Lower Saxony election
- Jan 21 Eurogroup meeting

[Mpapiez]

Linie trendu puszcza. Patrząc na wygląd świeczek na H1, raczej polecimy troszkę niżej dzisiaj.

1.3020 welcome to ? Może specjalnie zjadą kursem w dół, żeby można było podkupić niżej pod czwartkowe decyzje. Utrzymają stopy na tym samym poziomie i hurra do góry .


////////Edit:

Hehe, alem sobie wykrakał , ładnie odbiło od wsparcia %-), ciekawe co z tego wyjdzie.

[Nowy123]

wystraczylo brac L na wspraciu jak pisalem na E J a dzis juz sa 100 pisa wyzej

[zeuss]

wsparcie/opór m30 eurusd

[snikers_m]

wystraczylo brac L na wspraciu jak pisalem na E J a dzis juz sa 100 pisa wyzej

I teraz sobie w brodę pluję wróciłem z traski o 1 w nocy było już 113,85 i się wahałem a teraz patrze znowu kasa uciekła szlak by trafił

nowy123 114,70 jakiś opór ? na wykrasie m15 staneło tam i mam tam postawioną kreche nie wiem tylko z czego się wzięła

[niemiaszek]

OPTIONS: FX: Option expiries for today's 1000ET cut, update
* Euro-dollar; $1.2940, $1.3000, $1.3050, $1.3070, $1.3100, $1.3200
* Dollar-yen; Y88.00, Y87.75, Y87.10, Y87.00
* Cable; $1.6100
* Dollar-Swiss; Chf0.9250
* Aussie; $1.0400
* Aussie-Kiwi; NZ$1.2585
* Aussie-yen; Y90.00

[gtc]

eurjpy ... S

[Nowy123]

wystraczylo brac L na wspraciu jak pisalem na E J a dzis juz sa 100 pisa wyzej

I teraz sobie w brodę pluję wróciłem z traski o 1 w nocy było już 113,85 i się wahałem a teraz patrze znowu kasa uciekła szlak by trafił

nowy123 114,70 jakiś opór ? na wykrasie m15 staneło tam i mam tam postawioną kreche nie wiem tylko z czego się wzięła

tak opor teraz maja

wspracie pisalem w miare mocne na 113 60 65 tam zlecieli z pare pisow nizej a skosne dalej oslabiac chca Jena wiec korzystac z korekt

tera pytani co dalej

-- Dodano: śr 09-01-2013, 11:27 --

mysle ze 100 pipsa starczy i czekam co zrobia

patrze na DAX i medialna papke nagonke na akcje gdzie dax na szczytach i sygnaly na s - dystrybucja tam chyba ladna trwa

jesli przejda linie trendu 115 15 poszczytach to 117 50 - 80 EUR JPY

[szybki_lopez_13]

Od dziś będę dawał strategie grania na cały dzień:) wejście na 1,30919 SELL, SL 15,1 pipsa, TP na 1,30292.
Zobaczymy jaka sprawdzalność oczywiście edek...
P.S. po 10 pipsach zabezpieczam pozycję na BE czyli poniżej miejsca wejścia na 0.6 pipsa - bynajmniej u mojego broka.

[speedpips]

Ale na edku H4 ładny RGR się robi