DayTrading: Czwartek 3.01.2012

Dyskusje na temat aktualnej sesji: komentarze, analizy, opinie.

Prognoza EURUSD na dzisiaj

Czas głosowania minął 03 sty 2013, 23:17

Wzrost
28
47%
Bez zmian
4
7%
Spadek
28
47%
 
Liczba głosów: 60

Macunaima
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Re: DayTrading: Czwartek 3.01.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: Macunaima »

mac2_l pisze:skośni to raczej opijają nowy rok dzisiaj
raczej na przełomie stycznia i lutego będą opijać nowy rok

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Nowy123
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Re: DayTrading: Czwartek 3.01.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: Nowy123 »

Macunaima pisze:
mac2_l pisze:skośni to raczej opijają nowy rok dzisiaj
raczej na przełomie stycznia i lutego będą opijać nowy rok
Dzisiaj (3 Sty 2013) Chiny Nowy Rok
2 Dzisiaj (3 Sty 2013) Japonia Dzień wolny

czyli ruszaja w nocy dzis

-- Dodano: czw 03-01-2013, 9:11 --

14:15 USD Zmiana Pozarolniczego Zatrudnienia ADP 133K 118K

14:30 USD Zadeklarowani Wstępni Bezrobotni 355K 350K

20:00 USD Protokół Spotkania FOMC

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niemiaszek
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Re: DayTrading: Czwartek 3.01.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: niemiaszek »

Hello


EUROPE: At 0700GMT, the German ILO measure of employment is due, while the main
unemployment data from Germany is due at 0855GMT, followed at 0900GMT by ECB M3
data for November. The median forecasts for the main German unemployment data
look for a 12k change in unemployment, leaving the rate at 6.9%.



UK: UK data at 0700GMT sees the December House Price Index from the Nationwide,
which is one of two main private sector house price surveys, the other being the
Halifax - which will produce its December survey later in the month. The two
surveys have diverged to a degree from month to month, but the overall picture
remains one of stagnant growth and prices still over a percentage point lower
than a year ago. The median forecast for today is unchanged m/m, -1.2% y/y. UK
data continues at 0930GMT with Bank of England Q4 Credit Conditions Survey,
while the Construction PMI data is due at the same time. The construction sector
returned to contraction territory in November, with continuing falls in new
business and cuts in employment. Business sentiment in the sector also fell to
its worst level in four years, implying another stagnant-at-best report in
December.

UK PRESS: The FT writes how UK PM David Cameron will announce an increase in
funding for start-up loans for your entrepreneurs to a total of 110 million on
Thursday.

UK PRESS: Writing in the Telegraph, Roger Bootle says he wants to become
bullish, but is struggling to see where UK growth is going to come from. He
notes continuing falling real incomes and tax rises negating government spending
increases as well as the impact of what he sees as recession in the eurozone
this year.

UK PRESS: In an article in the Telegraph by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, the paper
notes how Portugal's president, Anibal Cavaco Silva, is challenging the legal
basis of Portugal's austerity policies and the terms of the Troika bail-out. The
President reportedly called the current course of measures "socially
unsustainable" and called for Portugal to take a tough line over the issue with
the EU and IMF.



US: US data sees Store Sales and also Domestic Vehicle Sales data, which are
expected to rise to a 11.9 million annual rate in December after rebounding to
11.7 million in November. Scheduled US data starts at 1200GMT with the weekly
MBA Mortgage Index, followed at 1230GMT by Challenger Layoffs data and then at
1315GMT by the ADP National Employment Report. At 1330GMT, jobless claims are
forecasted to rise 10,000 after dropping 12,000 in the previous week. Because
Monday, the day many states submit their claims data, was declared a federal
holiday, 19 states ended up being estimated. The large number of estimates opens
up the possibility of a larger revision to the December 22 week. The weekly
Bloomberg Comfort Index is due at 1445GMT, along with the ISM-NY Business Index,
Current Conditions data. Late US data sees the 2130GMT release of M2 Money
Supply.

US PRESS: The WSJ is among various global press on Thursday who highlight the
downbeat tone in Washington over the Fiscal Cliff deal. They note that while
financial markets welcomed the deal to avoid the immediate tax rises and
spending cuts which would have threatened the economy, the negotiations face
further brinkmanship between the White House and Congress going into February.



EURO-DOLLAR: Closed in NY Wednesday at $1.3186, the rate recovered off
pullback lows of $1.3156 (23.6% of $1.2662-1.3308) after earlier posting
a high of $1.3299. Risk appetite stalled in early Asia and despite the
strong rally in Wall Street the pair was pulled lower by sharp cross
supply, predominantly in euro-yen. Euro-dollar extended slippage and
triggered a series of stop-loss sell orders down to $1.3130, printing
session lows of $1.3124. Demand in the dip cushioned moves and the pair
recovered to $1.3140 where trade settled in a tight range ahead of
Europe. On the downside there is talk of more stops on a break of
$1.3120, through here opens bids at $1.3115/00, ahead of techs at
$1.3084/61 (Former May 1 trendline, 38.2% of $1.2662-1.3308). Data
release light in the US today with highlights from ADP Employment change
at 1315GMT, followed by the weekly Initial Jobless Claims at 1330GMT.


CABLE: Cable tracked euro-dollar slippage in the US afternoon to print
lows of $1.6225, the rate later recovered to close at $1.6254.
Euro-sterling eased to stg0.8106 but found support ahead of strong bids
into stg0.8100 and closed around stg0.8113. Asian trade opened flat and
the upward momentum seen in yesterday's session stalled despite the
strong close in Wall Street. Cable was tied to a narrow 20 pip range,
before a number of euro-dollar stop losses triggered by euro-yen supply
added weight. The pair slipped to lows of $1.6202, found support in
the dip and later bounced to settle around $1.6225. A break on the
downside opens further reported bids at $1.6180, ahead of 1.6166 (21-day
ma). Euro-sterling opened heavy and as risk appetite faltered slipped
through stg0.8100, flushing stops on the move to lows of stg0.8094. Bids
seen on the downside into stg0.8090 with more stops set on a break,
through here opens techs at stg0.8086 (21-day ma), ahead of stg0.8062
(12 Dec low). Data release light in the UK with highlights from PMI
Construction at 0930GMT.


DOLLAR-YEN: Yen pairs remained defensive in the US afternoon on
Wednesday with cross supply adding weight to the dollar. Dollar-yen
slipped to Y87.05 around the London fixing, before the rate tracked
euro-dollar's extended recovery to close at Y87.27. Euro-yen slipped to
Y114.57, before dip demand cushioned moves. The cross bounced to Y114.80
and extended gains to close in NY at Y115.10. Trade volumes continued
light and with Tokyo out on holiday risk appetite faltered despite the
strong close in Wall Street. Euro-yen opened heavy and flushed some weak
stops through Y114.95, extending losses to Y114.70 on Hedge fund sales.
The cross made an attempted recovery but met strong head winds, fresh
supply added weight to print Y114.47, before late trade recovered to
settle around Y114.65. The early cross supply pressed dollar-yen to
Y87.09, dip demand recovered and the rate extended the slow grind to
Y87.30. Strong offers reported into Y87.50, techs behind at Y87.57/71
(20 & 26 Jul 10 highs), ahead of option related offers through Y87.80/95
defending the Y88.00 barrier.


GOLD: Spot gold prices are trading around unchanged levels Thursday with
the market in consolidation mode after yesterday's moderate gains. Spot
gold ended Wednesday's session up $10.77 at $1686.69/oz tracking a
strong session for global equities that were spurred on by yesterday's
fiscal cliff deal. Gold prices have been tied to a narrow trading range
so far this morning, as some of yesterday's gains has shown signs of
petering out. Market participants on the long side will be looking for
the precious metal to sustain a close above $1703 for upwards momentum
to continue, whilst further resistance in anticipated at $1715/16/oz.
Spot gold has consolidated so far this morning, with no flows of any
significance reported from metals brokers so far. Prices have held a
narrow range this morning, holding at intra-day lows of $1684.97/oz to
trade a high of $1690.12/oz and now trade at $1687.40/oz, up $0.71 on
the session.


OIL: February NYMEX WTI prices are trading marginally lower Thursday as
the market attempts to consolidate after yesterday's strong gains. NYMEX
February light sweet crude oil futures ended Wednesday's up $1.30 at
$93.12 per barrel, after trading in a $91.56 to $93.87 range. West Texas
Intermediate, like other commodities, was underpinned on the day by new
"risk-on" positioning that earlier led the dollar lower versus most
currencies. This morning, WTI futures initially slipped back to
intra-day lows of $92.49 before recovering to a high of $92.95 a few
moments ago. In terms of supply, weekly oil data from the US Energy
Information Administration (EIA) and the American Petroleum Institute
(API) is expected to show a one million-barrel draw in US commercial
crude oil inventories for the week ending December 28, Platts says
citing its poll of analysts. API data is due to be published later
today, whilst EIA's weekly statistics are due at 1530GMT on Friday. Both
reports have been delayed this week due to the New Year's holiday.
February WTI futures now trade at $92.88 a barrel, down 24 cents.


NATURAL GAS: NYMEX February natural gas prices are trading lower
Thursday, extending their losses from the previous trading day. February
natural gas futures ended Wednesday's session 11.8 cents lower, or
3.52%, at $3.233 per million British thermal units (mln Btu) adding to
declines observed on Monday, with the commodity now losing 6.8% over the
last two trading sessions. Floor trading on NYMEX and cash did not trade
on Tuesday, the New Year's Day holiday. Whilst petroleum products surged
yesterday, led by WTI crude, Feb natural gas remained lower, with the
day's range framed by a low of $3.05, its lowest point since September
set overnight, to a high of $3.358. Weaker prices are largely due to
warmer-than-normal 6-to-10-day temperature forecast released Tuesday by
the National Weather Service (particularly true for the East Coast). In
terms of supply, EIA stocks data is due to be published Friday at
1530GMT, a day late due to this week's New Year holiday. February
natural gas prices have extended lower this morning from highs of $3.233
to a low of $3.197 and now trade at $3.206 per mln Btu.


FX: Option expiries for today's 1000 NY cut,
* Euro-dollar; $1.3200, $1.3225, $1.3235, $1.3300, $1.3380
* Euro-sterling; stg0.8150
* Aussie; $1.0500, $1.0525
* Dollar-yen; Y86.00, Y86.50, Y87.00
* Dollar-swiss; Chf0.9130
* Cable; $1.6200, $1.6335 (250mln)
* Euro-yen; Y115.00
... zbieraj pips do pipa bo jak nie to z depo będzie lipa... G."niemiaszek"

Damiano1100
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Re: DayTrading: Czwartek 3.01.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: Damiano1100 »

Hmm zastanawia mnie czemu forum forex nav nie wspiera już akcji pusta miska.

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Nowy123
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Re: DayTrading: Czwartek 3.01.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: Nowy123 »

jesli skosne nie zamieszaja dzis i E. U to na E JPY moze byc wieksza korekta

Coluche
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Re: DayTrading: Czwartek 3.01.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: Coluche »

Damiano1100 pisze:Hmm zastanawia mnie czemu forum forex nav nie wspiera już akcji pusta miska.
No bo pełna.

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cugan
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Re: DayTrading: Czwartek 3.01.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: cugan »

MowmiSasiad pisze:poziom 1.3140 na edku wydaje się być na prawdę mocnym wsparcie i nie oczekuję dalszego zjazdu, ale gdyby miało schodzić dalej to ostateczną granicą pozostaje 1.3080
dla miłośników GOLD
http://www.bankier.pl/wiadomosc/2013-ro ... 12498.html
Nie masz wymaganych uprawnień, aby zobaczyć pliki załączone do tego posta.
Przedstawione, poglądy, oceny i wnioski są wyrazem osobistych poglądów autora i nie mają charakteru rekomendacji autora.Wyłączną odpowiedzialność za decyzje inwestycyjne, podjęte i z wykorzystaniem wniosków w nich zawartych, ponosi inwestor.

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Nowy123
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Re: DayTrading: Czwartek 3.01.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: Nowy123 »

E J pod L

snikers_m
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Re: DayTrading: Czwartek 3.01.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: snikers_m »

Nowy123 pisze:E J pod L
a dokąd mogą dojechać ? w sensie gdzie jakiś opór najbliższy jest ?
Nikt nie jest nie omylny, jestem tylko człowiekiem... więc się mną nie sugeruj...

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Re: DayTrading: Czwartek 3.01.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: niemiaszek »

MNI EURO-DOLLAR: Fundamental levels (orders, options, technicals)
$1.3290/00 Strong offers ($1.3300 2 Jan high)
$1.3280 Medium offers
$1.3250 Strong offers
$1.3235/40 Medium offers ($1.3234 - 31 Dec high)
$1.3200 Strong offers, stops
$1.3187/91 5-day ma, Asian high
$1.3165/70 Minor offers
$1.3150 ***Current mkt rate 0835GMT Thursday
$1.3124 Asian low
$1.3120 Stops
$1.3115 Strong demand
$1.3100 Strong demand, stops
$1.3084/61 Fmr May 1 trendline, 38.2% of $1.2662-1.3308
$1.3050 Strong demand, stops
$1.3041 13 Dec low


MNI Cable: Fundamental levels (orders, options, technicals),
$1.6381/90 2 Jan high, 76.4% of $1.6747-1.5235
$1.6350 Strong offers
$1.6320 Medium offers
$1.6308 Upper daily Bollinger band
$1.6300 Strong offers
$1.6270/75 Medium offers ($1.6274 - 31 Dec high)
$1.6256 Asian high
$1.6228 **Current market rate 0840GMT Thursday
$1.6205/00 Strong demand ($1.6202 - Asian low)
$1.6180 Medium demand
$1.6166 21-day ma
$1.6150 Strong demand
$1.6120 Medium demand
$1.6107 Support line from Nov 16
$1.6100 Strong demand, stops

MNI Euro-sterling: Fundamental levels (orders, options, technicals)
stg0.8225 28 Dec high
stg0.8200/05 Minor offers
stg0.8187 31 Dec high
stg0.8170/80 Medium offers
stg0.8152 2 Jan high
stg0.8126/29 5 & 21-day ma's
stg0.8115/20 Medium offers (stg0.8117 - Asian high)
stg0.8106 ***Current market rate 0845GMT Thursday
stg0.8095/90 Medium demand, stops (stg0.8091 - European low)
stg0.8086 55-day ma
stg0.8062 12 Dec low
stg0.8050 Strong demand, stops
stg0.8043/37 100 & 200-day ma's
stg0.8020 Medium demand
stg0.8000 Strong demand, stops


MNI AUSSIE-DOLLAR: Fundamental levels (orders, options, technicals)
$1.0600 Strong offers stops
$1.0577 14 Dec high
$1.0558 18 Dec high
$1.0550 Strong offers, stops
$1.0533 19 Dec high
$1.0520/25 Medium offers, stops ($1.0523 - 2 Jan high)
$1.0510 European high
$1.0505 ***Current market price 0850GMT Thursday
$1.0476 Asian low
$1.0465/60 Minor demand, ($1.0462 - 21-day ma)
$1.0450 Strong demand
$1.0430/19 5 & 55-day ma's
$1.0405/00 Strong demand
$1.0391 100-day ma
$1.0361 28 Dec low
... zbieraj pips do pipa bo jak nie to z depo będzie lipa... G."niemiaszek"

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