na s&p zjazd na 40 punktów
DayTrading: Piątek 21.12.2012
Re: DayTrading: Piątek 21.12.2012
otworzyli oczy co do kierunku
na s&p zjazd na 40 punktów
na s&p zjazd na 40 punktów
Re: DayTrading: Piątek 21.12.2012
Boże co ja dzisiaj odpitalam na jenach, dobrze że to się na plusie skończyło bo nie wiem czy ściana by wytrzymała uderzenie mojej głowy 
Planuj Trejd, Trejduj Plan
Re: DayTrading: Piątek 21.12.2012
skalpowałeś i nie wyszło?Peter_FX pisze:Boże co ja dzisiaj odpitalam na jenach, dobrze że to się na plusie skończyło bo nie wiem czy ściana by wytrzymała uderzenie mojej głowy
Re: DayTrading: Piątek 21.12.2012
co sądzicie o złocie, zasieg spadków osiągnąl tą samą długosc co poprzednich na d1. czy to nie pora na L?
Re: DayTrading: Piątek 21.12.2012
Wyszło ale zrobiłem parę głupich wejść wbrew zasadom a to się z reguły źle kończy.pr7emo pisze:skalpowałeś i nie wyszło?Peter_FX pisze:Boże co ja dzisiaj odpitalam na jenach, dobrze że to się na plusie skończyło bo nie wiem czy ściana by wytrzymała uderzenie mojej głowy
Też się nad tym zastanawiam, tylko że złoto jest takie psychiczne że czasem mnie irytujewitek1286 pisze:co sądzicie o złocie, zasieg spadków osiągnąl tą samą długosc co poprzednich na d1. czy to nie pora na L?
1640 pamiętam tą kreskę przez 3 miesiące z nią walczyli żeby przebić w górę więc być może... ale bardziej być może, dobre miejsce na "bull trap"
poszarpany ten poziom na złocie, na srebrze mi się bardziej podoba
Planuj Trejd, Trejduj Plan
Re: DayTrading: Piątek 21.12.2012
ale walek na DJ i DAXIE 
jak uzyskać parytet na edku -swieca z 03.12 - tu podjada pod 1,053 i wtedy rura w jeden dzien 500 piepek
Re: DayTrading: Piątek 21.12.2012
No ładne jaja.....
-
niemiaszek
- Przyjaciel Forum
- Posty: 5097
- Rejestracja: 08 lis 2010, 15:02
Re: DayTrading: Piątek 21.12.2012
Hello
EUROPE: European data for Friday starts at 0700GMT with construction orders and
import prices data from Germany, followed at 0710GMT by German GfK consumer
confidence data. France then releases manufacturing & services sentiment data at
0745GMT, followed at 0900GMT by the Italian ISTAT consumer confidence survey/
UK: UK data is all due at 0930GMT. The Public Sector Finances data is expected
to see PSNB grow to 14.5 billion, while PSNB-X grows to 16.4 billion. UK public
borrowing in October was up from year ago levels, with a slowdown in receipts
growth meaning we could see little or no improvement in borrowing this year.
While Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne has been helped by a temporary
boost of Royal Mail pensions and by transferring the coupon payments resulting
from Quantitative Easing from the Bank of England, the underlying picture
remains poor. With GDP growth likely to remain weak for some time, it is
difficult to see how receipts will pick up enough to make a sizeable impact in
the deficit. Turning to GDP, the first and second estimates showed economic
growth in the UK rose firmly in the third quarter led by a boost from net trade
and the largest rise in household spending for two years. The second estimate
showed GDP was unrevised on the quarter at 1%, a bounceback from the Jubilee
related downturn in Q2, and revised down slightly to show a small fall of 0.1%
on the year from the initially estimated unchanged outturn.
UK PRESS: Ambrose Evans-Pritchard writes in the Telegraph Friday, raising fresh
doubts over Spain's austerity measures. He notes positive OECD data but also
says "economists say it is far from clear whether Spain is chasing the right
target or even whether it can recover within EMU." In particular, he notes
unemployment figures of 26.2%, with 55.9% youth unemployment.
UK PRESS: The FT writes on Thursday how enthusiasm for the euro is cooling among
the EU's newest members in eastern Europe/ The note Latvia's PM warning his
citizens are turning against the euro, saying he faces a struggle to get the
Baltic republic into the single currency by the 2014 target.
US: data starts at 1330GMT with Durable Goods and Personal Income, Expenditures.
Personal income is expected to rise 0.4% in November. Nonfarm payrolls were up
146,000 in the month, while the average workweek held steady at 34.4 hours and
hourly earnings were up 0.2% after a flat reading in October. PCE is expected
rise 0.4% after falling in October on the impact of Hurricane Sandy. Retail
sales were up 0.3%, but were flat excluding a rebound in motor vehicle sales.
The core PCE price index is expected to rise 0.1%, the same increase as in
October. Durable goods orders are expected to up 0.1% in November following a
revised 0.5% increase in October. Boeing reported 124 orders in November, down
from the 152 orders reported in October. This is followed at 1455GMT by the
University of Michigan Sentiment Index, which is expected to be revised up to
75.0 in December, still well below the 82.7 reading in November. BLS State
Unemployment, Mass Layoffs data follows at 1500GMT, while Kansas City Fed
Production data rounds the calendar off at 1600GMT.
US CONGRESS: A stunning reversal for the Republican leader of the House
tonight, forced to pull the so-called Plan B fiscal cliff bill because
he could not get enough votes from his own party. Suddenly the House has
been sent home until after Christmas and it's back to square one for the
fiscal cliff dynamics.
US CONGRESS: The White House tonight acknowledges the collapse of
the Republicans' "Plan B" but doesn't gloat. "The president's main
priority is to ensure that taxes don't go up on 98 percent of Americans
and 97 percent of small businesses in just a few short days," the
statement says. "The president will work with Congress to get this done
and we are hopeful that we will be able to find a bipartisan solution
quickly that protects the middle class and our economy."
EURO-DOLLAR: Closed in NY Thursday at $1.3247 after rate had managed to recover
off pullback lows of $1.3215 having seen highs earlier in the session of
$1.3295. Rate extended recovery to $1.3253 into early Asian dealing before
turning lower on reaction to S&P downgrade of Cyprus. This move lower gained
momentum as headlines flashed that the Fiscal Cliff Plan B vote had been pulled
due to lack of support with risk aversion moving to the fore. Swiss name sales
from $1.3240 took rate to an initial react low of $1.3220. Announcement that
there would be no vote on Cliff plans until after Christmas added to the
negative tone and took rate through $1.3200, with triggered stops providing the
added weight to allow rate to retest recent lows at $1.3187 ($1.3186 traded).
Recovery to $1.3210 met German name supply which pressed rate to session lows of
$1.3180 before meeting prime broker demand. Rate settled back between
$1.3190/1.3210 ahead of Europe, challenging the topside at writing. Thin
conditions to provide volatility as markets move to headline reaction and order
driven trade. Focus will remain on the Fiscal Cliff negotiations.
CABLE: Closed in NY Thursday at $1.6277 after rate had pulled back from a
recovery high of $1.6294 and edging back from a pullback low of $1.6254. Rate
extended recovery into early Asia to $1.6285 before drifting to $1.6274 as it
tracked euro-dollar moves. Announcement that the vote on the Fiscal Cliff Plan B
had been pulled, highlighting the divisions in the Republican ranks, acted to
weigh heavily on risk, taking rate to a session low of $1.6241, but managed to
hold off retesting Thursday lows of $1.6238. Recovery off lows extended to
$1.6256 ahead of the European open. Sterling proved more resilient to the risk
off move, which in turn allowed euro-sterling to extend its corrective pullback
off Thursday highs at stg0.8161 to stg0.8116 in Asia. Rate opens Europe around
stg0.8128. UK final reading of Q3 GDP and borrowing data the domestic interest
this morning at 0930GMT, though Fiscal Cliff negotiations will again overshadow.
Thin conditions into year make for volatile conditions, with underlying demand
for cable seen remaining in place.
YEN: Euro-yen was pressed lower through Asian trade Friday as rate reacted to
the risk aversion caused by the announcement that the Fiscal Cliff Plan B vote
had been pulled due to lack of support. Further comments that a new vote
wouldn't occur until after Christmas added to the negativity and pressed rate to
lows of Y110.63. The move dragged dollar-yen down from an early high at Y84.45
to Y83.86. European corporates were seen as interested buyers into the euro-yen
dip and allowed for a recovery to Y111.16 into Europe, while dollar-yen edged
back to Y84.13, though both rates were meeting headwind sales into the new
session. Bids are seen into Y83.50, while sell interest reportedly sits up at
Y84.25/30. One trader has suggested that Japanese importers still have some
demand interest, though exporters seen largely hedged.
JAPAN STOCKS CLOSE: The Nikkei 225 Index ends down 0.99% at 9940.06.
GOLD: Spot gold prices are trading marginally lower Friday after posting
another set of sharp losses during the previous day. Spot gold ended
Thursday's session down $18.65 at $1647.55/oz as market participants
continued to unwind bullion positions towards year end in anticipation
of higher taxes in 2013 of investment income from precious metals. Spot
gold prices initially extended their losses during this morning's Asian
session to intra-day lows of $1635.75/oz, around the same low observed
after the initial drop Thursday, after news filtered through that US
House Republicans abruptly cancelled a vote on a tax-cut bill. Since the
initial drop to session lows, spot gold prices have edged their way back
higher to just below unchanged levels before meeting some resistance at
$1647/oz. Spot gold now trades at $1644.70/oz, down $2.85 on the
session.
OIL: February NYMEX WTI prices are trading lower Friday after posting
some slim gains during the previous trading day. February WTI futures
ended Thursday's session 15 cents higher at $90.13 a barrel, after
trading in a $89.26 to $90.54 range. This morning, WTI prices have
fallen during Asian traded hours as risk sentiment is seen faltering
after US House Republicans abruptly cancelled a vote on a tax-cut bill.
The overnight news of the cancelled vote on "Plan B" has seen risk
assets correct lower, with February WTI futures plunging back to lows of
$88.93 from intra-day highs of $90.07 a barrel. Prices have since
stabilised a little ahead of the European opening, but remain sharply
lower, currently seen trading at $89.33 a barrel, down 80 cents on the
session.
NATURAL GAS: NYMEX January natural gas prices are trading lower Friday,
giving back some of their gains posted during the previous day. January
natural gas futures ended Thursday's session up 14.2 cents, or 4.3%, at
$3.462 per million British thermal units (mln Btu) after advancing to an
intra-day high of $3.467 late on in the floor trading session. Prices
became underpinned by colder extended weather forecasts for the
Northeast and Midwest and the weekly EIA storage report, which showed
total domestic gas inventories fell last week by 82bln cubic feet (c/f)
to 3.724 trillion c/f after analysts had projected a 72 bln c/f draw.
January natural gas prices have corrected back lower for much of this
morning's Asian session, paring back from initial highs of $3.464 to
hold at intra-day lows of $3.425 and now trade at $3.432 per mln Btu.
OPTIONS: Option expiries for today's 1000ET cut,
* Euro-dollar; $1.3100(large), $1.3180, $1.3200, $1.3250, $1.3300, $1.3320
* Dollar-yen; Y83.75, Y84.00, Y84.20, Y84.50, Y84.60, Y85.00(large)
* Cable; $1.6200, $1.6195
* Euro-Sterling; stg0.8200
* Aussie; $1.0400, $1.0500, $1.0600
* Kiwi; $0.8375
EUROZONE ISSUANCE: In case you missed it, Italy's Dipartimento del Tesoro
announced auction details for Dec 27 auction:
- To tap 2-yr zero coupon Sep 2014 CTZ bond for between E2.5bn-E3.25bn
- To sell 6-month BOT for E8.5bln
EUROPE: European data for Friday starts at 0700GMT with construction orders and
import prices data from Germany, followed at 0710GMT by German GfK consumer
confidence data. France then releases manufacturing & services sentiment data at
0745GMT, followed at 0900GMT by the Italian ISTAT consumer confidence survey/
UK: UK data is all due at 0930GMT. The Public Sector Finances data is expected
to see PSNB grow to 14.5 billion, while PSNB-X grows to 16.4 billion. UK public
borrowing in October was up from year ago levels, with a slowdown in receipts
growth meaning we could see little or no improvement in borrowing this year.
While Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne has been helped by a temporary
boost of Royal Mail pensions and by transferring the coupon payments resulting
from Quantitative Easing from the Bank of England, the underlying picture
remains poor. With GDP growth likely to remain weak for some time, it is
difficult to see how receipts will pick up enough to make a sizeable impact in
the deficit. Turning to GDP, the first and second estimates showed economic
growth in the UK rose firmly in the third quarter led by a boost from net trade
and the largest rise in household spending for two years. The second estimate
showed GDP was unrevised on the quarter at 1%, a bounceback from the Jubilee
related downturn in Q2, and revised down slightly to show a small fall of 0.1%
on the year from the initially estimated unchanged outturn.
UK PRESS: Ambrose Evans-Pritchard writes in the Telegraph Friday, raising fresh
doubts over Spain's austerity measures. He notes positive OECD data but also
says "economists say it is far from clear whether Spain is chasing the right
target or even whether it can recover within EMU." In particular, he notes
unemployment figures of 26.2%, with 55.9% youth unemployment.
UK PRESS: The FT writes on Thursday how enthusiasm for the euro is cooling among
the EU's newest members in eastern Europe/ The note Latvia's PM warning his
citizens are turning against the euro, saying he faces a struggle to get the
Baltic republic into the single currency by the 2014 target.
US: data starts at 1330GMT with Durable Goods and Personal Income, Expenditures.
Personal income is expected to rise 0.4% in November. Nonfarm payrolls were up
146,000 in the month, while the average workweek held steady at 34.4 hours and
hourly earnings were up 0.2% after a flat reading in October. PCE is expected
rise 0.4% after falling in October on the impact of Hurricane Sandy. Retail
sales were up 0.3%, but were flat excluding a rebound in motor vehicle sales.
The core PCE price index is expected to rise 0.1%, the same increase as in
October. Durable goods orders are expected to up 0.1% in November following a
revised 0.5% increase in October. Boeing reported 124 orders in November, down
from the 152 orders reported in October. This is followed at 1455GMT by the
University of Michigan Sentiment Index, which is expected to be revised up to
75.0 in December, still well below the 82.7 reading in November. BLS State
Unemployment, Mass Layoffs data follows at 1500GMT, while Kansas City Fed
Production data rounds the calendar off at 1600GMT.
US CONGRESS: A stunning reversal for the Republican leader of the House
tonight, forced to pull the so-called Plan B fiscal cliff bill because
he could not get enough votes from his own party. Suddenly the House has
been sent home until after Christmas and it's back to square one for the
fiscal cliff dynamics.
US CONGRESS: The White House tonight acknowledges the collapse of
the Republicans' "Plan B" but doesn't gloat. "The president's main
priority is to ensure that taxes don't go up on 98 percent of Americans
and 97 percent of small businesses in just a few short days," the
statement says. "The president will work with Congress to get this done
and we are hopeful that we will be able to find a bipartisan solution
quickly that protects the middle class and our economy."
EURO-DOLLAR: Closed in NY Thursday at $1.3247 after rate had managed to recover
off pullback lows of $1.3215 having seen highs earlier in the session of
$1.3295. Rate extended recovery to $1.3253 into early Asian dealing before
turning lower on reaction to S&P downgrade of Cyprus. This move lower gained
momentum as headlines flashed that the Fiscal Cliff Plan B vote had been pulled
due to lack of support with risk aversion moving to the fore. Swiss name sales
from $1.3240 took rate to an initial react low of $1.3220. Announcement that
there would be no vote on Cliff plans until after Christmas added to the
negative tone and took rate through $1.3200, with triggered stops providing the
added weight to allow rate to retest recent lows at $1.3187 ($1.3186 traded).
Recovery to $1.3210 met German name supply which pressed rate to session lows of
$1.3180 before meeting prime broker demand. Rate settled back between
$1.3190/1.3210 ahead of Europe, challenging the topside at writing. Thin
conditions to provide volatility as markets move to headline reaction and order
driven trade. Focus will remain on the Fiscal Cliff negotiations.
CABLE: Closed in NY Thursday at $1.6277 after rate had pulled back from a
recovery high of $1.6294 and edging back from a pullback low of $1.6254. Rate
extended recovery into early Asia to $1.6285 before drifting to $1.6274 as it
tracked euro-dollar moves. Announcement that the vote on the Fiscal Cliff Plan B
had been pulled, highlighting the divisions in the Republican ranks, acted to
weigh heavily on risk, taking rate to a session low of $1.6241, but managed to
hold off retesting Thursday lows of $1.6238. Recovery off lows extended to
$1.6256 ahead of the European open. Sterling proved more resilient to the risk
off move, which in turn allowed euro-sterling to extend its corrective pullback
off Thursday highs at stg0.8161 to stg0.8116 in Asia. Rate opens Europe around
stg0.8128. UK final reading of Q3 GDP and borrowing data the domestic interest
this morning at 0930GMT, though Fiscal Cliff negotiations will again overshadow.
Thin conditions into year make for volatile conditions, with underlying demand
for cable seen remaining in place.
YEN: Euro-yen was pressed lower through Asian trade Friday as rate reacted to
the risk aversion caused by the announcement that the Fiscal Cliff Plan B vote
had been pulled due to lack of support. Further comments that a new vote
wouldn't occur until after Christmas added to the negativity and pressed rate to
lows of Y110.63. The move dragged dollar-yen down from an early high at Y84.45
to Y83.86. European corporates were seen as interested buyers into the euro-yen
dip and allowed for a recovery to Y111.16 into Europe, while dollar-yen edged
back to Y84.13, though both rates were meeting headwind sales into the new
session. Bids are seen into Y83.50, while sell interest reportedly sits up at
Y84.25/30. One trader has suggested that Japanese importers still have some
demand interest, though exporters seen largely hedged.
JAPAN STOCKS CLOSE: The Nikkei 225 Index ends down 0.99% at 9940.06.
GOLD: Spot gold prices are trading marginally lower Friday after posting
another set of sharp losses during the previous day. Spot gold ended
Thursday's session down $18.65 at $1647.55/oz as market participants
continued to unwind bullion positions towards year end in anticipation
of higher taxes in 2013 of investment income from precious metals. Spot
gold prices initially extended their losses during this morning's Asian
session to intra-day lows of $1635.75/oz, around the same low observed
after the initial drop Thursday, after news filtered through that US
House Republicans abruptly cancelled a vote on a tax-cut bill. Since the
initial drop to session lows, spot gold prices have edged their way back
higher to just below unchanged levels before meeting some resistance at
$1647/oz. Spot gold now trades at $1644.70/oz, down $2.85 on the
session.
OIL: February NYMEX WTI prices are trading lower Friday after posting
some slim gains during the previous trading day. February WTI futures
ended Thursday's session 15 cents higher at $90.13 a barrel, after
trading in a $89.26 to $90.54 range. This morning, WTI prices have
fallen during Asian traded hours as risk sentiment is seen faltering
after US House Republicans abruptly cancelled a vote on a tax-cut bill.
The overnight news of the cancelled vote on "Plan B" has seen risk
assets correct lower, with February WTI futures plunging back to lows of
$88.93 from intra-day highs of $90.07 a barrel. Prices have since
stabilised a little ahead of the European opening, but remain sharply
lower, currently seen trading at $89.33 a barrel, down 80 cents on the
session.
NATURAL GAS: NYMEX January natural gas prices are trading lower Friday,
giving back some of their gains posted during the previous day. January
natural gas futures ended Thursday's session up 14.2 cents, or 4.3%, at
$3.462 per million British thermal units (mln Btu) after advancing to an
intra-day high of $3.467 late on in the floor trading session. Prices
became underpinned by colder extended weather forecasts for the
Northeast and Midwest and the weekly EIA storage report, which showed
total domestic gas inventories fell last week by 82bln cubic feet (c/f)
to 3.724 trillion c/f after analysts had projected a 72 bln c/f draw.
January natural gas prices have corrected back lower for much of this
morning's Asian session, paring back from initial highs of $3.464 to
hold at intra-day lows of $3.425 and now trade at $3.432 per mln Btu.
OPTIONS: Option expiries for today's 1000ET cut,
* Euro-dollar; $1.3100(large), $1.3180, $1.3200, $1.3250, $1.3300, $1.3320
* Dollar-yen; Y83.75, Y84.00, Y84.20, Y84.50, Y84.60, Y85.00(large)
* Cable; $1.6200, $1.6195
* Euro-Sterling; stg0.8200
* Aussie; $1.0400, $1.0500, $1.0600
* Kiwi; $0.8375
EUROZONE ISSUANCE: In case you missed it, Italy's Dipartimento del Tesoro
announced auction details for Dec 27 auction:
- To tap 2-yr zero coupon Sep 2014 CTZ bond for between E2.5bn-E3.25bn
- To sell 6-month BOT for E8.5bln
... zbieraj pips do pipa bo jak nie to z depo będzie lipa... G."niemiaszek"
Re: DayTrading: Piątek 21.12.2012
Szczera prawda niestety złotówka to egzotyk i gra na niej to spore ryzyko.Nie twierdzę że nie mozna na niej zarobić mozna ale tylko długoterminowo jak wejdzie się w mocny trend na kilka tygodni.Gra na scalpie czy daytradind to porażka. Zastanawiam się jak kilega martell wylicz wartość pipsa?ForexTig3r pisze:Zachowaj to dla siebie, bo znów ktoś tutaj straci depo.martell pisze:Wracając do spreadu w BOŚ - zero zjadłem
To są Emergings, czyli pary ryzykowne, z dużym spreadem, krajów wschodzących.
Można więcej zarobić, ale i więcej stracić, a więc i emocjami targa znacznie bardziej.
Spread w nocy się dość znacznie powiększa, a więc i trudniej tutaj trzymaj pozycje długoterminowe.
Szczególnie teraz, gdy ruchy na USDPLN nie są duże, uważam iż nie warto tam inwestować.
Gra na edku jest dużo bezpieczniejsza i nie wprowadzaj ludzi w błąd.
Poziomy wparć i oporów są często dość wyraźne i czytelne, stawiając pozycje na nich, na dołkach i szczytach z 5 pipsowym S/L z całą pewnością poziom zysku do ryzyka wygląda dużo lepiej.
Dużo lepsze do gry jest EURJPY jak ktoś jest bardziej chciwy.
NA pierwszy rzut oka EURUSD H1 Pro wzrostowy, na D1 tylko wygląda to Pro spadkowo.
Tj. pisałem poszerzamy sobie tylko linie trendu.
Na ten moment, przed świętami zabrakło już popytu na €, ale rajd będzie kontynuowany po Nowym Roku.
No to spójrzmy na liczby (u mnie, w BOŚ FX):
EURUSD - spread 1,8 pispa (około 55 zł na lot)
USDPLN - spread 3,0 pipsa (około 300 zł !!!)
Jeden pips przy jednym locie to 10$ a nie 10zł.
„chcący szuka sposobu, nie chcący szuka powodu"
Dla kogoś, kto nie wie, do jakiego portu zmierza, każdy wiatr jest niepomyślny
- Seneka
Dla kogoś, kto nie wie, do jakiego portu zmierza, każdy wiatr jest niepomyślny
- Seneka
Re: DayTrading: Piątek 21.12.2012
pokosili stopów pare i up bedzie retest wczorajszego szczytu 
Money flow.
"pips to the people"
"pips to the people"