Pogaduchy przy porannej kawie

[259]

Jeden, nie-martyngał, drugi prawie-martyngał bo ma dodatkową filozofię.

Robot - filozof
Wiesz, ja chyba popróbuję z tymi liśćmi, właśnie przyszło mi do głowy, że mam gdzieś takiego niedokończonego straceńca co zawsze wchodzi pod prąd. Testowałem go na Kangurze ale różnie mu szło. Na kablu lepiej ale co z tego jak raz czy dwa na pół roku porządna cofka. Wystarczą ze cztery dni porządnego trendu, 300-400 pip bez wyraźnej korekty i wtopa ;-) Kabel potrafi tak przelecieć nawet z 600. Syrop jest bardziej chaotyczny, nawet jak w trendzie.

[mike_05]

Dodam jeszcze, że pewne rozliczenia między US i Kanadą odbywają się o z góry ustalonych godzinach. Jedną z nich jest zakończenie sesji amerykańskiej.

[259]

ForexLive Asia Wrap Up: Rallies Fading
Written by Ed Thomas
October 25, 2012 at 04:16 GMT

RBNZ leaves official cash rate at 2.5%, statements not as dovish as expected.
Japan September corporate service price index fell 0.5%, 4th drop in a row.
Queensland governor wants to get back to AAA rating, sees resources driving state’s growth, A$ remaining elevated.
Greek parliament in chaos over revised bailout plan.
IMF says progress seen in recent days in talks with Greece, but outstanding issues remain.
China says industry recovery trend not yet stable.

After the RBNZ official cash rate release (2.5%) saw the kiwi rally it set the tone for a ‘risk on’ session. The market continued to consolidate in lackluster trading that tested the higher levels against the dollar. Would look for this tone to continue into the European open.

NZD/USD took the spotlight strengthening further from opening levels to reach a high of 0.8234 ahead of good resistance reported at 0.8250/55 the rally stalled and has since backed off to 0.8215/20.

AUD/USD followed the kiwi to highs of 1.0372 where it was met by good selling. Stops reported just above 1.0370 with the next resistance level at 1.0410/15. Solid bids down at 1.0330/35 with more at 1.0300.

EUR/USD continued to be stuck mid-range at 1.2970/75 with resistance at 1.2990/00 with stops above. Some buying interest around 1.2950 with good support down at 1.2900/10. (1.2900 barrier).

USD/JPY failed to break through the 80.00 level but continues to test and look very well bid. Solid bids down at 79.50/70, and offers continue at 80.00/10 with stops now building above.

Have a good day.

[Stforex]

Dzień dobry wszystkim!

Co do liści, to ostatnio nagrabiłem sobie i puściłem z dymem niezły stosik. Mam taki pogląd, że wszędzie, gdzie zderza się kraj z 20 mln rąk do pracy i konglomerat gospodarek z 300 czy 400 milionami, tam muszą się dziać dziwne rzeczy . Ergo AUD CAD powinien być całkiem przyjemnym poletkiem do grabkowania, tudzież grabienia liści

A dziś moja ulubiona tematyka:

Bańki Centralne

...miało być banki.... wiadomo o co chodzi

ForexLive North American wrap: Fed stays on the sidelines
Written by Adam Button
October 24, 2012 at 20:16 GMT
No substantial changes in FOMC decision
UK’s Cameron hints at strong GDP numbers tomorrow
Draghi frets about deflation
US Sept new home sales +5.7% - RISK OOOOONNN!!!!
Canadian house prices rise 3.6% year-over-year
BOC lowers growth expectations, says rate hike ‘less imminent’
EUR rallies on Greek draft MOU leak
Treasury chief: International investors have been buying Spanish debt - nie wiem czemu najpierw przeczytałem Treasury Thief
Kyoto: Japan considers Yen 400 bln stimulus package
Greek FinMin: Troika report complete, more or less - przygotować się na ploty i wycieki
Markit US flash PMI rises to 51.3 in October from 51.1 in September
Schaueble: German economy cooling
Sweden affirmed AAA by S&P
US govt sues BofA
Gold falls below $1700 - czyżby końcoworoczne rozliczenia na złocie?
S&P 500 down 0.3% to 1409
AUD leads, EUR lags
The euro got an early lift from the MOU leak, perking up to 1.2984 but it sagged back down to 1.2940 as risk appetite fizzled. The US session was entirely within earlier European trading.
Cable rallied after Cameron hinted at ‘good news’ tomorrow, when GDP numbers will be released. Bids ahead of 1.6050 have stalled the rally so far.
The ‘less imminent’ comment from Carney boosted USD/CAD to 0.9957, wiping out most of yesterday’s losses.
The FOMC decisions was a non-factor. A few pairs chopped 10-15 pips but overall movement was miniscule and fleeting.

RBNZ Official Cash Rate Remains at 2.5%
Written by Ed Thomas
October 24, 2012 at 20:00 GMT
RBNZ Governor Graeme Wheeler’s first OCR statement.
Says global economy remains fragile.
Says appropriate to hold rates for now.
Global economy recovery dependent on policy implementation.
Says high currency undermines export earnings.
Says market sentiment has improved from earlier in the year.
Says domestic GDP continues to expand at modest pace.
Says high NZ$ encouraging import situation.
Says fiscal consolidation restraining demand growth.
Sees inflation heading back towards middle of target range.
Says Canterbury quake reconstruction boosting construction.
Says domestic housing market activity increasing as expected.
NZD/USD trading much higher at 0.8180/85 from 0.8150 prior to the release.

I jeszcze coś takiego:

IMF: Weaker external outlook, rising jobless affect Portugal
Written by Ed Thomas
October 24, 2012 at 22:27 GMT
Portugal debt-to-GDP to peak at about 124% in 2014.
Says structural reforms critical for Portugal.

EDIT:
i najepsze na koniec

NEW ZEALAND: RBNZ Governor Graeme Wheeler will be making his first public speech on Friday at 0900 hours local time (2000 GMT). The title is "Central Banking in a Post-Crisis World."

[Stforex]

Ściągnąłem platformę Saxo i próbuję zgrywać grubasa. 5000 na spot zostawiłem sobie na dokładkę bliżej BE opcji. Ciekawe co z tego wyjdzie . Opcja wygasa za tydzień, 2 listopada.

Ma ktoś z Was pomysł, gdzie intraday opcje znaleźć? Bo Saxo nie pozwala

PS> Tak patrzę, że platforma Saxo całkiem przyjemna jest w obyciu. Zamykanie jednym klikiem z listy pozycji. Kiedy to będzie w MT4?

[259]

Dzień dobry.
A ja kupiłem ten "dołek" na złocie. Tym razem nieco więcej niż poprzednie "próbkowanie". Jak poleci do 1650 też kupię. Jak poleci do 1600 to będę szukał... bailout - to ostatnio w modzie ;-)

[259]

Today’s orderboard
Written by Pete Jackson
October 25, 2012 at 05:56 GMT

EUR/USD: Bids 1.2950/60 possible sell stops through yesterday’s 1.2920 low ahead of bids 1.2900/20 (barrier 1.2900). Offers 1.3000/10 (supranational, SNB and sovereign) possible buy stops mixed in through 1.3000 and above through 1.3015 ahead of congestion area 1.3050/70.

GBP/USD: Bids 1.6005/15, 1.5950/60 and 1.5920 down to 1.5900, stops through 1.5900 (1.5913- 38.2% of 1.5270-1.6310). Offers 1.6080/00

EUR/GBP: Offers /tech res 0.8100/10 (0.8107- 200 day MA) and 0.8135/45. Bids 0.8080/90 possible sell stops below ahead of bids 0.8060/70.

USD/JPY: Bids 79.70/80 and 79.50/60 ahead of tech support 200 day MA79.48, sell stops below ahead of strong bids 79.00/20 and larger sell stops below. Offers 8015/25 (exporters, option related, 80.25 is a barrier) possible buy stops above ahead of tech res 80.50/65 (80.50 barrier, 80.57/63 22/25 June highs)

EUR/JPY: Bids 103.50/60 and 103.00/10, sell stops below. Offers 104.00/10 (exporters) and 104.50/60, buy stops just above ahead of tech res up at 104.75/80 (61.8% retracement of march-July drop around 104.80)

AUD/JPY: Bids 82.60/70 and tech supp below (200 day MA 82.18), likely sell stops through 82.00. Buy stops up through 83.10 ahead of offers 83.50/60 (Aug 21 high 83.57) likely buy stops through 83.60

AUD/USD: Offers /tech res 1.0370/80 (55 day MA at 1.0369) ahead of stronger offers 1.0390/10, with possible buy stops through 1.0410. Bids 1.0320/30 and 1.0300/10 sell stops down through 1.0280 ahead of stronger bids 1.0230/50 (Tues low 1.0236) and 1.0200/10 (barrier 1.0200) .

EUR/AUD: Bids 1.2500/10 sell stops below ahead of tech support bids 1.2420/30 (Oct 2 lows) and 200 day MA at 1.2409. Offers 1.2540/50 and 1.2590/00

Pete mnie rozleniwia... jak nie zrobi tego swojego porannego orderbooka to czasami czuję się jakbym coś zgubił...

[Stforex]

Dzień dobry.
A ja kupiłem ten "dołek" na złocie. Tym razem nieco więcej niż poprzednie "próbkowanie". Jak poleci do 1650 też kupię. Jak poleci do 1600 to będę szukał... bailout - to ostatnio w modzie ;-)

Trzeba brać przykład z najlepszych

BOE BEAN: UK economy past the worst - Expectation is UK growth "should be picking up" - Underlying trend shows growth; volatile q/q - Funding for lending should make difference soon

SWEDEN: The Swedish Riksbank rate decision is due at 0730GMT Thursday with the market pricing in a one-in-four chance of a 25bps rate cut from 1.25% to 1.00%. Below are some analyst expectations; - Goldman Sachs: On hold on Thursday, but risk on the downside. - BNP: No rate cut Thursday, but believe rationale for cut in December. - Citi: Rate on hold until December were 25bp cut in rate is seen. - Barclays: Rate on hold, just shy of 50% probability of rate cut, see 25bps cut in Dec. - Soc Gen: Expect rate to be on hold.

[mike_05]

Wyleciało w powietrze, czy moder wyciął?

Robot filozof dobry, tylko trader filozof do [tu określenie: dwa pośladki w jednym kawałku należące do tego samego osobnika] (teraz nie podpada?).

[259]

i najepsze na koniec

NEW ZEALAND: RBNZ Governor Graeme Wheeler will be making his first public speech on Friday at 0900 hours local time (2000 GMT). The title is "Central Banking in a Post-Crisis World."

I dlatego że na końcu, dopiero teraz do mnie to dotarło - to my już po kryzysie?
To wszystko? To na czym ja teraz mam zarabiać? ;-)