a dla mnie jutro 1.5546
Eur/Usd & Gbp/Yen analizy i prognozy by crocopip part 3
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trader0002
- Gaduła
- Posty: 208
- Rejestracja: 26 lip 2010, 15:13
Zostala jedna godzina do zamkniecia w usa a wolumen na DJIA nie przekroczyl nawet polowy srednich obrotow.
To chyba mowi wszystko o dzisiejszej sesji, jeszcze bardziej wymowny jest S&P500, ktory sie konsoliduje w granicach tylko 8 pkt.
No nic wyglada na to ze wszyscy czekaja na jutrzejsze dane z rynku pracy oraz uslug.
To chyba mowi wszystko o dzisiejszej sesji, jeszcze bardziej wymowny jest S&P500, ktory sie konsoliduje w granicach tylko 8 pkt.
No nic wyglada na to ze wszyscy czekaja na jutrzejsze dane z rynku pracy oraz uslug.
zgadza się. jutro USA naznaczą trend na kolejne tygodnie. trzeba wziąć się za czytanie i dumanie czego możemy się spodziewać.Ts_A pisze:Zostala jedna godzina do zamkniecia w usa a wolumen na DJIA nie przekroczyl nawet polowy srednich obrotow.
To chyba mowi wszystko o dzisiejszej sesji, jeszcze bardziej wymowny jest S&P500, ktory sie konsoliduje w granicach tylko 8 pkt.
No nic wyglada na to ze wszyscy czekaja na jutrzejsze dane z rynku pracy oraz uslug.
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inwestor86
- Pasjonat
- Posty: 1594
- Rejestracja: 17 lis 2008, 11:53
inwestor86 pisze:albo wypic drinka i zrelaksowac sie w oczekiwaniu na jutro - co ma byc to bedzie, wiec lepiej poczekac na to co nam jutro powie cenacrocopip pisze:zgadza się. jutro USA naznaczą trend na kolejne tygodnie. trzeba wziąć się za czytanie i dumanie czego możemy się spodziewać.
ja czytam w ramach relaksu. piję ciepłą kawę i palę papierosy:)
lubie mniej więcej wiedzieć czego można się spodziewać. tym bardziej że mam dostęp do najlepiej poinformowanych źródeł.
streszczenie komentarzy ludzi z FED z tego tygodnia:
*USD: (Fed’s Kohn Comments) –
-Fomc decision doesn't mean more quantitative easing
-Fed is not out of tools to aid economy
-Fed's decision to reinvest maturing securities to keep
balance sheet steady not "automatic" precursor to further
easing
-Shift on managing balance sheet reflected view that letting
policy tighten in any way was not appropriate when
economic outlook deteriorating
-Fed officials will look to see whether forecast deteriorating
further before determining whether more easing needed
-Would be concerned as a policymaker if fed did not make
progress toward goals of maximum employment, price
stability
-Not making progress toward fed goals now, but
reasonable to expect stronger growth next year
-Fed has needed time to determine whether several
months of slower growth was just "soft patch" or going to
persist
*USD: (Fed Fisher Comments) –
-Fed can't fix economy alone, needs improved regulation
environment
-Immigration of educated workers to us should be seen as
economic tool
-Prospects of strong home real estate market not
significant
-Economic recovery will take 'quite some time'
-Us economic recovery can't be compared to past japan
recession
-Improved fiscal, regulatory policies should activate us
economy
-US govt shouldn't embrace protectionism policy
-Any potential new stimulus program should focus on jobs
-US economy is restrained by high household debt,
uncertainty, lack of confidence
-He likes 'inflation hawk' label, but inflation is not the
immediate problem
-Regulatory, fiscal uncertainty is keeping businesses from
expanding
-Angst over u.s. regulatory, fiscal direction means any
further fed action is 'pushing on a string'
-Fed's recent decision to buy treasuries was a bid to 'avoid
passive tightening'
-Fed's decision to keep balance sheet steady motivated by
desire to 'do no harm' to recovery
-Fed committed to keep price of money low until confident
in economic recovery
-Reluctant to expand fed's balance sheet without fiscal,
regulatory policy that supports growth
'-Ball is in the fiscal court,' fed alone cannot boost growth
* USD: (Fed’s Plosser Comments) –
-Fed should not ease more in attempt to solve
unemployment problem
-Would entertain idea of more quantitative easing if real
deflation risks arise
-Sees no near-term inflation or deflation risks
-Us economy has hit soft-patch, no double-dip
-Basis for moderate economic recovery still "more or less
in place"
-Nothing fed can do to affect unemployment rate through
year-end
-Sees 2010 us economic growth of 3 pct, 2011 growth of
3-3.5 pct
-Aug 10 move to reinvest MBS proceeds may not have
"measurable impact" on economy
*USD: (Fed’s Duke Comments) –
-Some signs of general economic recovery
-Some evidence of home price stabilization
-Housing market not out of the woods
-Fed, fdic team up to examine future of housing finance
*USD: (Fed’s Kohn Comments) –
-Fomc decision doesn't mean more quantitative easing
-Fed is not out of tools to aid economy
-Fed's decision to reinvest maturing securities to keep
balance sheet steady not "automatic" precursor to further
easing
-Shift on managing balance sheet reflected view that letting
policy tighten in any way was not appropriate when
economic outlook deteriorating
-Fed officials will look to see whether forecast deteriorating
further before determining whether more easing needed
-Would be concerned as a policymaker if fed did not make
progress toward goals of maximum employment, price
stability
-Not making progress toward fed goals now, but
reasonable to expect stronger growth next year
-Fed has needed time to determine whether several
months of slower growth was just "soft patch" or going to
persist
*USD: (Fed Fisher Comments) –
-Fed can't fix economy alone, needs improved regulation
environment
-Immigration of educated workers to us should be seen as
economic tool
-Prospects of strong home real estate market not
significant
-Economic recovery will take 'quite some time'
-Us economic recovery can't be compared to past japan
recession
-Improved fiscal, regulatory policies should activate us
economy
-US govt shouldn't embrace protectionism policy
-Any potential new stimulus program should focus on jobs
-US economy is restrained by high household debt,
uncertainty, lack of confidence
-He likes 'inflation hawk' label, but inflation is not the
immediate problem
-Regulatory, fiscal uncertainty is keeping businesses from
expanding
-Angst over u.s. regulatory, fiscal direction means any
further fed action is 'pushing on a string'
-Fed's recent decision to buy treasuries was a bid to 'avoid
passive tightening'
-Fed's decision to keep balance sheet steady motivated by
desire to 'do no harm' to recovery
-Fed committed to keep price of money low until confident
in economic recovery
-Reluctant to expand fed's balance sheet without fiscal,
regulatory policy that supports growth
'-Ball is in the fiscal court,' fed alone cannot boost growth
* USD: (Fed’s Plosser Comments) –
-Fed should not ease more in attempt to solve
unemployment problem
-Would entertain idea of more quantitative easing if real
deflation risks arise
-Sees no near-term inflation or deflation risks
-Us economy has hit soft-patch, no double-dip
-Basis for moderate economic recovery still "more or less
in place"
-Nothing fed can do to affect unemployment rate through
year-end
-Sees 2010 us economic growth of 3 pct, 2011 growth of
3-3.5 pct
-Aug 10 move to reinvest MBS proceeds may not have
"measurable impact" on economy
*USD: (Fed’s Duke Comments) –
-Some signs of general economic recovery
-Some evidence of home price stabilization
-Housing market not out of the woods
-Fed, fdic team up to examine future of housing finance
podsumowanie sierpnia dla cable
UK: “Choppy” times
Strong earnings releases from the UK’s major banks at the beginning of the month boosted confidence in the health of the banking sector and led to an early rise in GBP. However, GBP lost ground due to a retreat from risk appetite. GBP fell further as the BOE revised short term-inflation forecasts up and growth forecasts for 2011 and 2012 down. The MPC repeated the 8-1 vote for a third consecutive month, with Andrew Sentence again voting for a rate rise. New MPC member Martin Weale sent GBP lower after warning that the UK faced a serious threat of sliding back into recession.
Overall, GBP ended the month down 3.44% against the USD and up 0.2% against the EUR.
UK: “Choppy” times
Strong earnings releases from the UK’s major banks at the beginning of the month boosted confidence in the health of the banking sector and led to an early rise in GBP. However, GBP lost ground due to a retreat from risk appetite. GBP fell further as the BOE revised short term-inflation forecasts up and growth forecasts for 2011 and 2012 down. The MPC repeated the 8-1 vote for a third consecutive month, with Andrew Sentence again voting for a rate rise. New MPC member Martin Weale sent GBP lower after warning that the UK faced a serious threat of sliding back into recession.
Overall, GBP ended the month down 3.44% against the USD and up 0.2% against the EUR.