Pogaduchy przy porannej kawie

[Stforex]

No ale widzisz sam.
Masz tam wsparcie... przepraszam, masz gdzieś tam wparcie w horyzoncie 5 lat wstecz. Teraz ani nie wiesz gdzie dokładnie to wsparcie jest, ani czy jest aktualne. AUD USD jest w konsoli trzeci rok i teraz wewnątrz tej konsoli trenduje w dół, a Ty szukasz tam buy pod lukę w niedzielę, co jest transakcją na kilka H. Moim zdaniem w tym pasie należy w pierwszej kolejności szukać wypłaszczenia, a potem sygnałów odbicia, jeśli chce się kupować... ale ten pas ma ok. 600 pips od 0.95 do 0.89

[mike_05]

2 in 1
dwie figury potwierdzające, linia trendu i oRGR

[jak_zyc]

No ale widzisz sam.
Masz tam wsparcie... przepraszam, masz gdzieś tam wparcie w horyzoncie 5 lat wstecz. Teraz ani nie wiesz gdzie dokładnie to wsparcie jest, ani czy jest aktualne.

Zgadza się, taki horyzont wsparć/oporów może już być wątpliwy, a ceny rozjechane i u każdego brokera trochę inne

[Stforex]

Znaleźli coś, żeby zepchnąć edka...

NEWS: S&P: US 'AA+' RATING OUTLOOK RAISED TO STABLE FROM NEGATIVE

[niemiaszek]

DOLLAR-YEN: JP Morgan Chase technical analyst Niall O'Connor recommends a
dollar-yen long positions noting that "the post-payrolls reversal suggests a
growing risk of upside followthrough." He notes also that last Friday, the pair
appeared to reject (Y94.99 low but close at Y97.56) key support (Y95.20, 76.4%
Fib retracement from the April low). JPMC would buy at market (sub Y99 when the
recommendation came out) and add to the position on a dip to Y96.45. JPMC would
use a stop-loss at Y95.65 and has a topside target area of Y103/Y105, he says.
Dollar-yen holds currently at Y99.18


AUSSIE: CitiFX Techs suggest that Aud/Usd has good support at 0.9400, and that
in the short term at least momentum is stretched, and that a rally to $0.9900 is
possible, as well as AUD/JPY approaching its 200 dma. They say "AUDUSD is
testing good support around 0.9388-0.9406, where the 2009 high, early 2010 high
and 2011 low converge. The level should be respected and we could see
consolidation if not a decent bounce from here. Resistance is at the 200 week
moving average, currently at 0.9894. Momentum is the most stretched on a weekly
basis since May 2012, when AUDUSD bounced higher. In addition, there is positive
momentum divergence (higher low in momentum with corresponding lower low in
AUDUSD) on the daily chart, further supporting the possibility of a
bounce.AUDJPY has met its extended target at 91.72, the 200 day moving average.
Momentum has not been this stretched since Sept 2012 and is now turning
higher.Friday's Hammer pattern also suggests the move down may be over for the
moment Given all this, and the expressed view in AUDUSD, we are taking a neutral
stance on AUDJPY and expect some consolidation if not a bounce at this point


DOLLAR-CANADA: George Davis and Paul Borean of RBC Capital Markets say
dollar-Canada's close Friday (C$1.0197) below congestive support at C$1.0284
targets a move towards supports at C$1.0150 (May 16 low) and C$1.0048 (trendline
from Sept 2012 low). The pair would need to post "a daily close above resistance
at C$1.0354 in order to end the current corrective phase via a bullish trend
reversal, exposing C$1.0446 and C$1.0524 thereafter," they say. "We stress that
the key support trendline drawn off of the September low at C$1.0048 must be
taken out on a daily closing basis in order to nullify the intermediate uptrend
that is in place, along with our bullish stance," they add. Dollar-Canada holds
at C$1.0188 currently

[Stforex]

Fed Bullard comments "low inflation could mean FOMC could keep its "aggressive" Q/E program "over a longer time frame;"

[259]

No to jak Citi mówi, że możemy mieć odbicie na Kangurze... z tego wszystkiego najbardziej do mnie przemawia zmęczenie tematu - rynek faktycznie mocno się już zagalopował. Jeżeli jen będzie dalej się osłabiał AUDJPY da mu wsparcie.
Ale do tego żeby odbił trzeba by żeby EURAUD odpuścił bo on najmocniej ciśnie. I ma czym cisnąć bo kasa nadal przeprowadza się z $A do Euro.
Ale z drugiej strony tak patrząc na dzienny wykres wygląda on hiperbolicznie, a to zazwyczaj budzi nieprzyjemne skojarzenia...

[niemiaszek]

i jeszcze taki smaczek:

12:05 ET - 18:05
BUNDS: German 10-year Bund yield hit 1.60% following wire comments from ECB
President Mario Draghi reportedly saying "interest rates will rise again once
confidence in economic recovery returns". Sep Bunds hit session low at 142.67.


EURO-DOLLAR: Euro, at $1.3236 currently, tracks Bund yields higher (see earlier
bullets at 12:05 pm ET - 10yr Bund just hit 1.60%, highest since Feb 20) and
tops out around $1.3242 before stalling. Small offers in place at $1.3250,
medium ones at $1.3270/80, then stops. Larger resistance seen ahead of the June
6 peak at $1.3306.

coś więcej może później:
ECB: MNI understands that ZDF TV has aired snippets of ECB President Mario
Draghi interview and as yet the the full context of the earlier hawkish is not
known. The full interview is due to air later tonight.

i już jest godzina:
ECB: ECB President Mario Draghi interview on ZDF TV will air tonight at 2045GMT.

więc może być jeszcze ciekawie

ile razy będę poprawiał ten post...masakra jakaś
ECB: (correction) ECB President Mario Draghi interview on ZDF TV will air
tonight at 2145CET/1945GMT.

[niemiaszek]

ale się dzisiaj rozpisali z tymi reko, nagonka na całej linii

FOREX: Morgan Stanley strategists have taken off their JPY long positions and
plan to close out their short CHFJPY, SEKJPY and CADJPY positions at the end of
the day. They will use pullbacks in dollar-yen to Y97.10 to try a long position.
"We are USD-bullish due to the ongoing Fed tapering debate which has steepened
the US yield curve and the narrowing growth gap between the US and the rest of
the world, which suggests that USD will shift from a liability towards an asset
currency," they say. In addition, the strategists note that long-term capital
flows are now being directed at US corporates, which is also dollar positive.
"With USD strength likely to continue, we also take this opportunity to add to
our USD exposure," they say. MS looks to add short GBPUSD and short EURUSD
positions, "as we believe that these currencies are approaching the tops of
their ranges," and also "look to add a long USDCAD position," the strategists
say.

[Mighty Baz]

caly rynek czeka na decyzje w sprawie stop dla jena, chyba sie BOJą, masa komentarzy negatywnych, aby tylko oslabic jena, wcale sie nie dziwie, bo jen moze pociagnac usd w dol duzo bardziej nizby sobie FED zyczyl.