DayTrading: Wtorek 20.11.2012

[niemiaszek]

Hello


EUROPE: There is a full calendar on both sides of the Atlantic Tuesday,
with the Eurogroup meeting of EZ finance ministers likely to dominate
proceedings later in the day. The meeting is primarily to discuss the
disbursement of the next tranche of Greek aid. However, France will
probably be mentioned in dispatches following the overnight downgrade by
Moody's. European data gets underway at 0700GMT, with the release of the
German October PPI data. At 0900GMT, German Finance Minister Wolfgang
Schaeuble gives his budget speech in the Bundestag. At 0900GMT, ECB
Governing Council member Ewald Nowotny is slated to give a speech on
"Monetary Policy and the Euro," in Vienna. Back on the Continent, at
also at 1000GMT, ECB Executive Board member Benoit Coeure is set to
introduce a panel discussion entitled "Europe en route to a Banking
Union?" at the 15th Euro Finance Week, in Frankfurt. At 1030GMT,
Bundesbank Board member Andreas Dombret is to participate in a debate on
"New regulation on trading with OTC derivatives."

GREECE: A member of the Greek Chamber of Commerce says Greek companies,
slammed by the ongoing recession, face ~annihilation" as the economy
continues to teeter, the Telegraph reports.

ITALY: The outlook for Italy's banking system remains negative, Moody's
Investors Service says in a new Banking System Outlook. The main drivers of the
outlook are (1) the rating agency's expectations of continued challenging
operating conditions for the banks; (2) further rapid asset-quality
deterioration; (3) continued weak profitability and (4) their restricted access
to market funding that is unlikely to normalize over the outlook period, Moody's
says. "While the banks have strengthened their capital positions, capital levels
remain vulnerable and below those of other large European banking systems,"
Moody's says.



UK PRESS: The EU is set to propose deeper cuts to staffing and
administrative costs ahead of Budget discussions this week, as officials
continue to try and forge an agreement on the budget that will appease
-in part at least - the UK, the FT reports.

UK PRESS: The FT says UK Chancellor George Osborne will likely reject
higher taxes of "more valuable" properties and will instead look to
impose further curbs on tax relief for pension contributions from
"richer voters."

UK PRESS: Job cuts at UK electronics retailer Comet are set to increase
to around 2,000 as the administrator continues to review the business,
the Guardian says.

UK PRESS: A study for the FT says trading of US equities in "dark pools"
has grown by as much as 50% in the last three years and now represents
around a third of total trading volumes. The paper says the figures
underline the challenges facing international regulators.



EURO-DOLLAR: Closed in NY Monday at $1.2815, the rate recovered off
pullback lows of $1.2800 in the US afternoon as markets rallied on
better prospects of a fiscal cliff resolution. The rate had earlier
eased off session highs of $1.2820 after Swiss bank supply squeezed
stops ahead of the London fix. Euro-dollar slipped sharply after the NY
close to $1.2767 as Moody's cut France's credit rating by one notch to
Aaa1. Short covering and demand from US banks aided recovery attempts to
$1.2790, before large euro-aussie sales from prop accounts pressed. The
rate eased to fresh intraday lows of $1.2764 and sat heavy, demand in
the dip bounced and the rate extended gains through $1.2800 to $1.2811
on support from Asian names. Late profit take sales eased to $1.2790
ahead of the European open. US data light today with highlights from
Building Permits and Housing Starts, released at 1330GMT.


CABLE: Cable closed in NY Monday at $1.5910, the rate recovered off
pullback lows of $1.5898 in the US afternoon after earlier posting a
high of $1.5918. Euro-sterling remained buoyed and consolidated above
stg0.8050, after the rate recovered off early session lows of stg0.8022.
Cable slipped to $1.5895 after the NY close on Moody's downgraded
of France by 1 notch to Aaa1, the rate sat heavy and ground further to
$1.5891. The pair met support ahead of the 100 dma and tracked
euro-dollar's extended recovery back through $1.5900 to print $1.5920.
The rate later stalled and headed into Europe around $1.5915.
Euro-sterling slipped sharply to stg0.8026 on the French downgrade,
before finding support ahead of bids into stg0.8020. Trade volumes
continued light with the cross tied to a narrow stg0.8035-50 range.


DOLLAR-YEN: Dollar-yen climbed to Y81.41 in late trade as risk appetite
increased and US stocks rallied to the close, a Nikkei report that Abe
would consider changes to BOJ law also seen behind the move. Late trade
saw euro-yen lift through Y104.00 to close at session highs of Y104.28.
Dollar-yen opened flat in Asia around Y81.30 with trade tied to a narrow
range as dealers waited for the BOJ announcement. The pair slipped to
session lows of Y81.15 on release after the BOJ left policy unchanged
as focus now turns to the upcoming election and impact on BOJ policy.
Dollar later bounced to Y81.30 on headlines that said the BOJ to
continue seamless monetary easing. Euro-yen slipped sharply after the NY
close to Y103.79 on Moody's downgrade of France by 1 notch, the cross
recovered and flirted with Y104.00, before the rate pressed to Y103.81
on the BOJ announcement. Late trade recovered to Y103.95 ahead of
Europe.


GOLD: Spot gold prices are trading marginally higher Tuesday extending
their gains from the previous day. Spot gold ended Monday's session up
$17.95 at $1731.70/oz, its largest one-day rise in two weeks,
underpinned by rising tensions in the Middle East and hopes of a US
solution to its fiscal problems, which has seen financial market
sentiment improve over the last couple of sessions after US lawmakers
expressed confidence that Congress could reach a deal to avert automatic
tax hikes and spending cuts in early 2013. Moody's downgrade of France
by 1 notch to Aaa1 after the NY close had more of an adverse effect on
FX pair euro-dollar, with other risk assets such as European stocks and
oil prices only called or seen marginally lower this morning. Spot gold
prices have been in consolidation mode during Asian traded hours this
morning, advancing from an intra-day low of $1729.60/oz to a high of
$1734.95/oz, with FX pair euro-dollar now recovering back towards
$1.2800 after initially being lower from the French downgrade. Spot gold
now trades at $1733.30/oz, up $1.60 on the session.


OIL: January NYMEX WTI prices are trading marginally lower Tuesday, with
the market in consolidation mode after Monday's strong gains. January
WTI futures ended Monday's session $2.36 higher at $89.28 a barrel after
prices came in for support from continued rising tensions in the Middle
East and a strong risk-on rally which saw US stocks post some decent
gains. Israeli airstrikes Monday bombed crowded areas of the Gaza Strip,
whilst thousands of Israeli troops are seen gathering on the Gazan
border in preparation for a ground invasion even as regional leaders
tried to find a solution for a ceasefire. WTI prices have been
consolidating so far this morning, with prices tied to a narrow range.
January WTI picked up from an intra-day low of $88.90 a barrel to edge
back to a high of $89.19 and now trades at $89.09 a barrel, down 19
cents on the session.


NATURAL GAS: NYMEX December natural gas prices are trading higher
Tuesday after posting some losses during the previous trading day.
December natural gas futures ended Monday's session down 7.1 cents, or
1.9%, at $3.719 per million British thermal units (Btu) after advancing
overnight to $3.835 per mln Btu, the highest level seen November 4th,
2011. Prices became pressured by some mild Northeast and Midwest weather
and a holiday-shortened week that should see overall demand slow down.
NYMEX floor trading will be closed on Thursday for the US Thanksgiving
holiday. Despite the milder forecasts for Thanksgiving, natural gas
prices have advanced during this morning's Asian session, picking up
from an intra-day low of $3.725 per mln Btu to print a session high of
$3.778. NYMEX December natural gas now trades at $3.770 per mln Btu, up
from last night's close of $3.719 per mln Btu.


FX: Option expiries for today's 1000 NY cut,
* Euro-dollar; $1.2700, $1.2750, $1.2800, $1.2825
* Cable; $1.5900
* Aussie; $1.0250-1.0650 (DNT), $1.0360
* Dollar-yen; Y80.50, Y81.00
* Aussie-yen; Y85.85


EUROZONE ISSUANCE: Both Spain and European Financial Stability
Facility (EFSF) come to the T-bill market on Tuesday. Up first will be
Spain will plans to issue new 12-month Letra maturing Nov 22, 2013 and
re-open a 18-month Letra maturing Apr 16, 2014 on Tuesday for an
indicative amount of E3.5-E4.5bln. EFSF plan to sell up to E2.0bln in
new 6-month Bill maturing May 23, 2013. To recap on Monday Netherlands
allotted E1.32bln 3-month DTC at average yield -0.029% and E1.09bln
6-month DTC at average yield -0.02%. In the afternoon, France sold
E3.997 3-month BTF at average yield -0.016%, E1.391bln 6-month BTF at
average yield -0.009% and E1.595bln 12-month BTF at average yield
0.026%. Still to come on Wednesday, Portugal will tap 3-month Feb 22,
2013 T-bill, tap 6-month May 17, 2013 T-bill and issue new 18-month May
23, 2014 T-bill for indicative amount of E1.75-E2.0bln.

SPAIN T-BILL AUCTION PREVIEW: Spain's Tesoro Publico issue new
12-month Letra maturing Nov 22, 2013 and re-open 18-month letra maturing
Apr 16, 2014 for an indicative amount of E3.5-E4.5bln Tuesday. In the
grey market, mid-yield on the new 12-month Letra is currently seen at
2.9%. While the old 18-month Letra, yield has risen by around 15bps
since Friday, with mid-yield currently seen at 3.10%. With the weakness
in yield and the fact there is a T-bill redemption of E5.571bln that
matures on Nov 23, demand is expected to be high. Although for Spain to
reach its Letra issuance target, the Tesoro will need to increase its
T-bill supply, with expectations for a higher proportion to be
concentrated on the 12-month Tenor. For comparison, at the last
12-/18-month auction back on Oct 16, the Tesoro sold E3.4bln 12-month
T-bills at average yield of 2.823% with cover 2.71 times, and E1.463bln
18-month T-bills at average yield of 3.022% with cover 3.04 times.
Results due to be announced around 0940GMT.

[Hodis]

Ostatnio zauważyłem, że najwięcej się dzieje w nocy.. Jak Wy uważacie ?

[molmomas]

Ostatnio zauważyłem, że najwięcej się dzieje w nocy.. Jak Wy uważacie ?

takie czasy nastały, ...
teraz zamiast day trader to się nazywa night trader

[Nowy123]

http://www.bankier.pl/wiadomosc/Moody-s ... 83797.html

S&P jeszcze zacznie obcinac a wszysko robia po sesji wiec to nie koniec zabawy

[movinghead]

zależy jaką pozycją w tym siedzisz - przecież jak wszedłeś minilotem to mało prawdopodobne że chce Cie wydymać
ja Ci podam taki inny przykład na F20 przez mt kurs wynosi 2100 a na rynku bezpośrednio 2101
"czy broker chce mnie wydymać?"

[ForexTig3r]

Byłem u Pani Grażyny i wiem wszystko.!!!!

Grażynka to już pewnie z tydzień temu wiedziała

[molmomas]

Schaeuble zaraz przemawia bodajże, może coś powie ciekawego co zaprowadzi nas powyżej 1.28


a może nie

[Nowy123]

Schaeuble zaraz przemawia bodajże, może coś powie ciekawego co zaprowadzi nas powyżej 1.28


a może nie

juz nic nie powie c od ogrecji czego rynek nie wie a moze jedynie popsuc nastroje

-- Dodano: wt 20-11-2012, 10:20 --

teraz czyszczeni SL w druga strone

[Hodis]

Ehh znowu za szybko sie zamknalem.. macie jakieś ćwiczenia na cierpliwość ?

[movinghead]

medytacja