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23-Jun-2014 10:27
EURO-DOLLAR TECHS: Direction Still Beholden On Pivotal $1.3640 Level
*RES 4: $1.3748 38.2% Fibo of $1.3989-$1.3507
*RES 3: $1.3691 38.2% Fibo of $1.3989-$1.3507
*RES 2: $1.3675 Jun 6 high
*RES 1: $1.3640/42 Hourly pivot/ Jun 19 high
*PRICE: $1.3592 @0825GMT
*SUP 1: $1.3560/65 Hourly support
*SUP 2: $1.3550 Hourly highs/lows Jun 18
*SUP 3: $1.3537 Jun 17 low
*SUP 4: $1.3507/13 Jun 5, Jun 12 & Jun 16 lows
*COMMENTARY: Unable to break through the pivotal $1.3640 area as yet and while
this continues then the immediate risk remains to the downside. Need the comfort
of a move through here, before retracement values of the $1.3989-$1.3507 fall
can be assumed and calculated. While it caps, then look to $1.3560-65 now for
support and then the $1.3550 area. A loss of $1.3537 would disappoint and see
focus switch lower rather quickly. Everything changes above $1.3640.
23-Jun-2014 10:28
CABLE TECHS: Removing Some Near Term Overbought Conditions
*RES 4: $1.7126 5th Wave Tgt in Rise From $1.6696
*RES 3: $1.7119 1% volatility band
*RES 2: $1.7103 4 month rising resistance line
*RES 1: $1.7061 Jun 19, Jun 20 highs
*PRICE: $1.7024 @0825GMT
*SUP 1: $1.7005 Jun 20 low
*SUP 2: $1.6980 Hourly basing Jun 18, Jun 19
*SUP 3: $1.6960 Hourly pivot
*SUP 4: $1.6932 Jun 18 low
*COMMENTARY: Rally stalls, finding resistance so far a few points above the 1st
calculated target at $1.7058. Clear move through here and anticipate a look at
$1.7096-$1.7103 next, ahead of the next projected target at $1.7126. This would
be the natural finishing point for a 5 wave rally from the May 29 low at
$1.6696. Supported above $1.7005 and then $1.6980. A loss of $1.6960 would
concern at this stage and put pressure on dual $1.6932 support.
23-Jun-2014 10:30
DOLLAR-YEN TECHS: Y101.73-75 Remains Important Near Term Support
*RES 4: Y103.00 May 2 high
*RES 3: Y102.79 Jun 4 high
*RES 2: Y102.50 Hourly pivot
*RES 1: Y102.37 Jun 11 high
*PRICE: Y101.84 @0828GMT
*SUP 1: Y101.73/75 Jun 16 low, hourly support
*SUP 2: Y101.61 Jun 12 low
*SUP 3: Y101.45 May 29 low
*SUP 4: Y101.31 76.4% Fibo of Y100.85-Y102.79
*COMMENTARY: Support still being found from the important Y101.73-Y101.75 area.
So far however, the recovery from here looks 3 wave corrective, especially
having been capped by Y102.10-20 on Friday. Will need to see gains back through
Y102.37-Y102.50 before any confidence in the upside will return. Loss of Y101.73
will switch focus to the downside, with Y101.65-Y101.45 ahead of an eventual
look at the 76.4% Fibo retracement at Y101.31.
23-Jun-2014 10:42
EURO-YEN TECHS: Loss of 138.44 Is A Near Term Concern
*RES 4: Y139.53 76.4% Fibo of Y140.09-Y137.74
*RES 3: Y139.19 61.8% Fibo of Y140.09-Y137.74
*RES 2: Y139.01 1.618 swing of Y138.52-Y137.72 fall
*RES 1: Y138.89 Jun 19, Jun 20 highs
*PRICE: Y138.34 @0838GMT
*SUP 1: Y138.26 Jun 16 high, now support
*SUP 2: Y137.95 Initial recovery high Jun 16
*SUP 3: Y137.72/74 Jun 16, Jun 12 lows
*SUP 4: Y137.06 4 month channel base
*COMMENTARY: Recovery falters finding resistance from just below the swing
target at Y139.01 over the last couple of days. The subsequent loss of Y138.44
support now concerns, suggesting the rally is over for the time being. This
opens the door to some correction of gains from the recent Y137.72-74 lows, with
Y137.95 considered the most pertinent and as protecting against much deeper
losses. Need back above Y138.89 to improve situation again.
23-Jun-2014 10:46
EURO-STERLING TECHS: Loss Of Stg0.7960 Would See Downmove Resume
*RES 4: Stg0.8056 50% of Stg0.8152-Stg0.7960
*RES 3: Stg0.8033 38.2% Fibo of Stg0.8152-Stg0.7960
*RES 2: Stg0.8028 1.618 swing of Stg0.8008-Stg0.7975
*RES 1: Stg0.8005/10 Hourly resistance
*PRICE: Stg0.7980 @0943GMT
*SUP 1: Stg0.7969 Jun 20 low
*SUP 2: Stg0.7960 Jun 16 low
*SUP 3: Stg0.7950 9 month falling support line
*SUP 4: Stg0.7921 1.618 swing of Stg0.7960-Stg0.8023
*COMMENTARY: Failed to make an impression on the strong Stg0.8028-Stg0.8033
resistance area last Thursday and subsequent fall has been beneath initial
Stg0.7975 support. This leaves Stg0.7960 vulnerable, which is the protection to
a renewal of the downtrend and the likelihood of an eventual fall to Stg0.7921.
In the meantime, resistance comes from the Stg0.8005-10 region. Need back above
here before things can look brighter again.
23-Jun-2014 10:47
GOLD TECHS: Consolidating After Last Week's Gains
*RES 4: $1340.6 1.618 projection target from $1259.9
*RES 3: $1334.3 61.8% Fibo of $1391.8-$1241.3
*RES 2: $1330.6 Apr 14 high
*RES 1: $1321.9 Jun 19 high
*PRICE: $1315.0 @0845GMT
*SUP 1: $1300.7 Hourly support (1)
*SUP 2: $1290.9 Hourly support (2)
*SUP 3: $1284.6 Jun 16 high, now support
*SUP 4: $1273.9 Initial rally highs Jun 18
*COMMENTARY: Hammer candlestick close on the daily chart last Wednesday has been
the catalyst behind the recent gains. This coupled with the hold above key
$1257.0 support. Now looking to support between $1300.7-$1290.9 for next clues,
as this needs to deal with any setbacks, if the upside is to print fresh gains
above $1321.9. This would open the door to $1330.6-$1334.3 next, with the
projection target above at $1340.6.