DayTrading: Piątek 29.11.2013

[Marcin30]

http://www.efxnews.com/story/21857/morg ... geting-127


nie duzo braklo do 168 na G J

Nowy, jakie przewidywania co de E J?

140 i pwowrót?

[Ciapul]

Dokąd dotarł g/u ?
Otóż nasz drogi kabelek po przebiciu szczytów ze stycznia zrobił sobie retest przełamanej 30.10 średnioterminowej LT.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/NcukY6vT/

https://www.tradingview.com/x/qcP6NVOz/

[szuto]

jest szansa że coś sie ruszy na eur/usd po 11??

[adk77]

[quote="Ciapul"]Dokąd dotarł g/u ?
Otóż nasz drogi kabelek po przebiciu szczytów ze stycznia zrobił sobie retest przełamanej 30.10 średnioterminowej LT.

a teraz walczy z przebitym kanałem wzrostowym o powrót w jego wnętrze

[BOCZEK]

słyszałem ze dziś czarny piątek ma być na giełdach

no i zobaczymy co dalej bo idzie po myśli tak idzie

[niemiaszek]

Hello



EUROPE: The US markets return to the fray Friday, although there will only be a
half-day session as many market participants look to bridge into the weekend.
However, there is a full calendar in Europe, kicking off at 0700GMT with the
release of the German October retail sales and third quarter wholesale sales
data. Retail sales are seen up 0.5% on the month and up 1.4% on year. French
data will cross the wires at 0745GMT, when the October consumer spending and
October PPI numbers will be published. At 0800GMT, the Swiss November KOF
economic barometer numbers will cross the wires. At 0815GMT, ECB Executive Board
member Yves Mersch will deliver a speech on financial market policy, in
Frankfurt. Italian November flash HICP numbers will cross the wires at 0900GMT.
HICP is seen down 0.1% on the month, rising 0.9% on year.

EUROPE: (2) Euro area data will be released at 1000GMT, when the important
November flash HICP data will cross the wires, along with the October
unemployment data. Unemployment is seen unchanged at 12.2%, with inflation
expected to come in at 0.8% on year, up from October's 0.7%. At 1300GMT,
Bundesbank board member Andreas Dombret will sit on a panel at the SAFE
conference on financial market policy, in Frankfurt. Back in Europe, at 1500GMT,
Bundesbank Board member Joachim Nagel will take part in a discussion in
Frankfurt on "What's up for banks." At 1630GMT, ECB Governing Council member
Ignazio Visco speaks at the SAFE conference on financial market policy.



EURO SUMMARY: The euro started in Asia at $1.3605 after marking a $1.3569 to
$1.3619 range during the European/US hour. Early gains in euro-yen provided the
euro with a positive start to the session as it rose past the overnight and
traded $1.3622. It then ran into sell interest from above the initial highs and
the market consolidated the gains, unwilling to take on large positions during
this US holiday period. Euro-dollar slipped back but only marginally and has
since stayed above $1.3600 as euro-yen continued with its very bid tone.
Euro-dollar was last at $1.3621, with the market having since gone into limbo.
Ahead, key resistance for euro-dollar is expected to come in at $1.3627, which
is the 61.8% retracement level of the pair's $1.3833 to $1.3295 move, while
further up, offers are aplenty at $1.3650, according to market sources.

29-Nov-2013 7:02
EURO-DOLLAR TECHS: Closed In Rising Channel But Daily Studies O/B
RES 4: $1.3763 Low Oct 24
RES 3: $1.3706/11 76.4% $1.3832-1.3296, Reversal high Jan 2013
RES 2: $1.3681/82 Reversal high Apr 2007, High Oct 17
RES 1: $1.3626/27 Daily Bolli top, 61.8% of $1.3832-1.3296
LATEST PRICE: $1.3614
SUP 1: $1.3593 Channel base from Jul 10 low
SUP 2: $1.3554 55-DMA & 38.2% of $1.3105-1.3832
SUP 3: $1.3499 21-day moving average
SUP 4: $1.3462/69 Nov 7 support line, 50.0% of $1.3105-1.3832
COMMENTARY: Euro-dollar edged back into rising channel from Jul 10 low - base
becomes initial support at $1.3593. A break below could see bears take control
and slide to the key support level at $1.3469, the 50.0% of $1.3105-1.3832 and
Nov 7 support line. Daily studies stretch further into overbought territory and
bulls now eye resistance around $1.3626/27 - daily Bolli top and 61.8% of
$1.3832-1.3296, break above here targets Apr 2007 reversal high at $1.3681.

EURO-DOLLAR: MNI Fundamental levels (orders, options, technicals),
$1.3739 Thursday Oct31 high
$1.3690/710 Strong offers/$1.3706 76.4% $1.3833-1.3295
$1.3660/65 Medium offers
$1.3650 Strong offers/Cloud top/$1.3655 Stops
$1.3620/30 Strong offers/$1.3627 61.8% $1.3833-1.3295
$1.3622 Int.Day high Asia
$1.3619 ***Current mkt rate 0632GMT Friday
$1.3600 Int.Day low Asia
$1.3570/60 Medium demand/$1.3572 40-dma
$1.3564 Thu Nov28 low/50-dma, $1.3554 55-dma
$1.3559-58 Wednesday Nov27 lows (Asia-NY)
$1.3525/15 Strong demand
$1.3490/80 Medium demand/$1.3490 Mon Nov25 low/Stops
$1.3463 Friday Nov22 low


STERLING SUMMARY: Cable closed Thursday's US Thanksgiving holiday thinned market
at $1.6347 after rate had extended its recent recovery gains to $1.6358 before
drifting off, finding support at recent highs of $1.6331 before edging higher
into the close. Early Asia squeezed rate down to $1.6335 before fresh demand
emerged that spiked rate through Thursday's highs and on to $1.6375 ($1.6376
1.618% swing projection of $1.6331-1.6258), just missing out on a retest of the
2013 highs at $1.6381 (Jan2). Cable consolidated this move between $1.6360/70
into the Asian afternoon before turning lower and extending its corrective
pullback to $1.6350. Euro-sterling saw extended lows of stg0.8313 Thursday, the
sell interest able to overcome reported end month European sovereign buys (and a
large sterling-Swiss sell order) which had taken this rate to recovery highs of
stg0.8352. The cross opened Asia around stg0.8326, edged to stg0.83295 dropping
back to stg0.8315, moving back to the stg0.8325/30 area into Europe. Nationwide
house data due at 0700GMT with UK mortgage data at 0930GMT provides the domestic
interest though EZ inflation data at 1000GMT seen key on the day (median 0.8%,
lower release to spark talk of EZ deflation. At and above to relieve pressures).

29-Nov-2013 7:10
CABLE TECHS: Bulls Aim Above $1.6381 But Downside Risk Remains
RES 4: $1.6511 Weekly Bollinger band top
RES 3: $1.6428 38.2% of $2.1161-1.3503
RES 2: $1.6401 High Mar 2011
RES 1: $1.6381 Reversal high Jan 2013
LATEST PRICE: $1.6358
SUP 1: $1.6331 High Nov 27
SUP 2: $1.6302/09 Reversal Highs May, Sep 2012
SUP 3: $1.6252 23.6% of $1.5855-1.6374
SUP 4: $1.6200/03 High Nov 21, High Sept 30
COMMENTARY: Cable continues to make upward progress as it almost tests the Jan
2013 reversal high at $1.6381 currently leaving an hourly high at $1.6374. Bulls
will aim to break above and target a test of the Mar 2011 high at $1.6401,
however strong resistance is expected between these two levels. Daily/weekly
studies are overbought and failure to break resistance could see bears return to
test the Jul 9 support line at $1.6005, but ahead of here is 23.6% at $1.6252.


YEN SUMMARY: Another weak session for the Japanese yen as the dollar and euro
both gained amid a session thinned out by the Thanksgiving holiday in the US.
Dollar-yen opened near its Y102.24 session low, at Y102.27 and headed north from
then on with hardly a look back. Euro-yen started at Y139.12, and eventually got
up to Y139.72 with the rise through the morning behind much of dollar-yen's
gains. Dollar-yen rose to Y102.41 on demand for the Tokyo fix but was initially
stalled by offers ahead of a Y102.50 barrier. The lure of the large stops higher
proved stronger th9ough and dollar-yen broke above around mid-morning, aided by
euro-yen's moves and as chatter then emerged of demand from a regional reserve
manager below Y102.00. Dollar-yen continued with the bid tone in the late
morning and saw only marginal pullbacks after it hit the session's Y102.62 high.
Dollar-yen was last at Y102.53 while the cross was at Y139.65.

29-Nov-2013 7:28
DOLLAR-YEN TECHS: Squeezed Higher Despite Studies Cautioning Bulls
RES 4: Y103.74/78 Reversal high May 22, Reversal low June 2012
RES 3: Y103.31 High May 17
RES 2: Y103.10 3% 21-day MA envelope top
RES 1: Y102.73/74 Daily Bolli band top, Rising channel top
LATEST PRICE: Y102.26
SUP 1: Y101.92/94 High Nov 25, Low Nov 28
SUP 2: Y101.37/43 Nov 8 channel base, 23.6% of Y97.62-102.61
SUP 3: Y101.09 Daily Tenkan line
SUP 4: Y100.61/70 Reversal high Sept 11, 38.2% of Y97.62-102.61
COMMENTARY: Dollar-yen keeps pushing higher to test resistance just below the
rising channel top and upper daily Bolli band, at Y102.73/74. However, daily
studies appear overbought and failure to break above the new hourly high at
Y102.61 adds downside risk. Bears look to test the channel base which is at
Y101.37, just below the 23.6% of Y97.62-102.61 at Y101.43. A break below this
level could turn sentiment lower but we note weekly studies continue to rise.

DOLLAR-YEN: Fundamental levels (orders, options, technicals)
Y103.31 17 May high
Y103.25 Offers on approach, barrier, stops
Y103.10 3% 21-day ma envelope top
Y103.00 Offers on approach, barrier, stops
Y102.80 Large stops
Y102.73/74 Daily Bollinger band top, Rising Channel top
Y102.61 Intraday high
Y102.30 ***Current market rate 0839GMT Friday
Y102.11 Intraday low
Y102.00 Demand on approach
Y101.95/93 5-day ma, 28 Nov low
Y101.80 Medium demand
Y101.50 Strong demand, light stops
Y101.43/37 23.6$ of Y97.62-102.61, 8 Nov channel base
Y101.20 Medium demand

JAPAN STOCKS CLOSE: Japanese stock indices ended Friday lower. The Nikkei 225
lost 65.25 points, or 0.41%, to stand at 15,661.87. The broader-based TOPIX was
lower by 4.01 points at 1257.03. Nikkei market breadth saw 45 issues trade
higher, 167 lower and 15 unchanged. Total volume was 1.275 billion.

29-Nov-2013 7:42
EURO-YEN TECHS: Bulls Now Eye Y140.00 Despite O/B Studies
RES 4: Y140.54 4% 21-DMA envelope top
RES 3: Y140.20 Oct 2005 high
RES 2: Y140.00 Psychological level
RES 1: Y139.71 Hourly high & Daily Bolli top
LATEST PRICE: Y139.36
SUP 1: Y138.79 Rising channel top
SUP 2: Y138.31 Low Nov 28
SUP 3: Y137.99 Nov 25 high
SUP 4: Y137.71 23.6% of Y131.22-139.71
COMMENTARY: Euro-yen holds above the rising channel and continues to test
resistance - bulls rose to test the daily Bolli band top at Y139.71 but failed
to break above. They may retest this level to target the Oct 2005 high at
Y140.20, however downside pressure mounts as studies climb further into
overbought territory. Bears look to descend back into the channel - top is
initial support at Y138.79 and below here is the Nov 28 low at Y138.31.


EURO-YEN: Fundamental levels (orders, options, technicals)
Y140.99 61.8% of Y169.96-94.12
Y140.50 Offers on approach, barrier, stops
Y140.20 Oct 2005 high
Y140.00 Offers on approach, barrier, stops
Y139.75/80 Very large stops
Y139.71 Asia high, Daily Bollinger band top
Y139.45/50 Minor offers
Y139.26 ***Current market price 0850GMT Friday
Y138.97 Intraday low
Y138.79 Rising channel top
Y138.60/50 Medium demand, stops
Y138.39/31 5-day ma, 28 Nov low
Y138.20 Medium demand
Y138.00 Strong demand, stops
Y137.71 23.6% of Y131.22-139.71


OPTIONS: Option expiries for today's NY cut 1000ET. Large(L), Very Large(VL),
Includes DTCC
* Dollar-yen; Y101.00(L), Y101.80, Y102.00, Y102.25
* Euro-yen; Y138.75
* Euro-dollar; $1.3450(L), $1.3500, $1.3550, $1.3585, $1.3590, $1.3595
* Cable; $1.6205, $1.6300
* Aussie; $0.9090
* Aussie-yen; Y94.00

[molmomas]

czyli na s&p 500 możemy się spodziewać realizacji zysków i lekkiej korekty

[BOCZEK]

czyli na s&p 500 możemy się spodziewać realizacji zysków i lekkiej korekty

obawiam się że nie, raczej dziś wzrosty, dziś sie napchają, apotem się wytnie w poniedziałek tych co się dziś podkupią, ot taka spekulacja

[Ciapul]

a teraz walczy z przebitym kanałem wzrostowym o powrót w jego wnętrze

będąc w ruchu wzrostowym, walczy o wejście górą do kanału wzrostowego ?
chyba nie rozumię tego toku myślowego...

[BOCZEK]

Ciupal, czytam dokładnie

a teraz walczy z przebitym kanałem wzrostowym o powrót w jego wnętrze