DayTrading: Czwartek 25.04.2013

Dyskusje na temat aktualnej sesji: komentarze, analizy, opinie.

Prognoza EURUSD na dzisiaj

Czas głosowania minął 25 kwie 2013, 23:49

Wzrost
24
45%
Bez zmian
8
15%
Spadek
21
40%
 
Liczba głosów: 53

miskof7
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Re: DayTrading: Czwartek 25.04.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: miskof7 »

:D no hobby to ja mam inne. kleje sobie okręty w butelkach. zreszta teraz to sa aplikacje na smrtfona do liczenia:| nic sie znac nie trzeba :wink:
Ostatnio zmieniony 25 kwie 2013, 05:04 przez miskof7, łącznie zmieniany 1 raz.

pr7emo
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Re: DayTrading: Czwartek 25.04.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: pr7emo »

szkoda że takich background'ów nie można dodawać na mt4 :lol:

na komputerze też masz po co się męczyć na smartfonie hihi

miskof7
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Re: DayTrading: Czwartek 25.04.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: miskof7 »

przesz mowie ze po technikum:|

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roberttheus
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Re: DayTrading: Czwartek 25.04.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: roberttheus »

dokad edek idzie? i co tak wysoko
windsurfing na falach trendu

spontfx
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Re: DayTrading: Czwartek 25.04.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: spontfx »

WITAM
OPCJE NA DZISIAJ


EUR/USD: 1.3000, 1.3010

USD/JPY: 98.10, 98.50, 99.00, 99.60, 100.00(L)

EUR/JPY: 130.00

GBP/USD: 1.5400, 1.5450

EUR/GBP: 0.8500, 0.8560, 0.8620

AUD/USD: 1.0200

AUD/NZD: 1.2100

EUR/CHF: 1.2150

USD/CAD: 1.0250, 1.2080

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niemiaszek
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Re: DayTrading: Czwartek 25.04.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: niemiaszek »

Hello


EU:The calendar gets underway at 0600GMT, with the release of the German February
construction orders data.
At 0655GMT, ECB Executive Board member Joerg Asmussen is to speak at the
Economist's Bellwether Europe Conference, in London, while EU Economics and
Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn is to appear before European Parliament
from 0800GMT.
At 1000GMT, the German Economics Minister presents the government's new economic
forecasts, in Berlin.
At 1600GMT, the French March registered jobseekers numbers will
cross the wires. Then, at 1740GMT, ECB Governing Council member Jens Weidmann is
to attend a portfolio institution awards, in Duesseldorf.

EUROPE: Confidence in the EU has fallen to record low levels in the bloc's 6
biggest countries, the Guardian reports, citing the latest Eurobarometer poll,
with Spain now seen as more distrusting of Brussels than the UK.



UK: The UK data releases are expected at 0830GMT and include the preliminary
reading of Q1 GDP, the February Index of Services and the March SMMT Auto
Production Figures. Did the UK economy manage to tease out growth in the first
quarter of 2013 and in so doing avoid slipping into a unprecedented triple-dip
recession? That question will be answered on Thursday as National Statistics
publishes its first estimate of GDP for Q1. The activity data already published
for the first three months of the year show that the economy is teetering on the
brink of another contraction. The output data for the quarter is a mixed bag.
Services output likely grew by around 0.2% in Q1 but industrial production and
construction are likely to have fallen due to the snowy weather. That said, the
news on the expenditure side of the economy has been more encouraging with
retail sales growing 0.4% in Q1. The trade figures point to a neutral net trade
contribution to GDP growth. The weighted average of the Markit/CIPs PMI activity
data suggest the economy ground out fractional expansion but those data did not
forewarn of the second recession seen in 2011/12.



US/CANADA:Across the Atlantic, at 1230GMT, Canadian Payroll employment data for February
will be release.
At the same time, the main US release of the day will cross the wires, when the
April 20 week Jobless Claims numbers are expected.
Claims are expected to fall 2,000 to 350,000 in the April 20 week after rising
4,000 in the previous week, which resulted in a 2,750 rise in the four-week
moving average. Because March 23 week's 357,000 level will roll off the
four-week average calculation as the current week's is added, the average should
decline slightly if the median MNI forecast is realized, all else being equal.
US Treasury Secretary Jacob Lew testifies to the House Appropriations
subcommittee on Treasury Dept. budget AT 1400GMT.
At 1430GMT, the EIA Natural Gas Storage data for the April 19 week are due, to
be followed at 1500GMT by the release of the April Kansas City Fed Production
numbers.
Late data is due at 2030GMT, when the US money supply numbers for the April 15
week are released.




EURO SUMMARY: Closed in NY Wednesday at $1.3014, having recovered off Ifo react
lows of $1.2955 to $1.3034, with NY respecting those parameters as it recovered
of the late session lows of $1.2974 to $1.3029 into the close. Early trade in
Asia was contained within a tight $1.3010/20 range before buyers emerged, though
move above $1.3040 was reported on light demand, before model and option linked
accounts (seen short gamma) extended the move on to $1.3062. Traders Wednesday
had reported sovereign sell interest in place above $1.3065, today noting stops
in place above $1.3070. However, if stops triggered expected to meet further
sell interest placed through to $1.3100. Pressure on the dollar was seen
prompted in part by the low China yuan fix. Rate drifted off highs, trading
around $1.3040 ahead of the European open. A light EZ data calendar today,
though several speakers could provide headline risk. Recent German PMI and Ifo
data now has market on ECB rate cut alert for next Thursday and will be noting
any comment from officials ahead of this event.
Euro-dollar demand seen back at
$1.3020 ahead of $1.3010/00.

EURO-DOLLAR: Fundamental levels (orders, options, technicals)
$1.3115/30 Strong offers/Stops
$1.3100 Medium offers on approach
$1.3085 Tuesday Apr23 high
$1.3070 Stops
$1.3065 Strong offers/$1.3064 55-dma

$1.3062 Int.Day high Asia
$1.3039 ***Current mkt rate 0611GMT Thursday
$1.3025/20 Medium demand (short term rising trend line off $1.2955)
$1.3011 Int.Day low Asia
$1.3000 Medium demand on approach
$1.2984 Tech 40-dma (CTA's like this dma)
$1.2985/75 Medium demand
$1.2955 Wednesday Apr24 low (Ifo react)
$1.2950/40 Medium demand/Stops/$1.2945 200-dma
$1.2920 Medium demand (61.8% $1.2745-1.3202)



STERLING SUMMARY: Cable closed in NY Wednesday at $1.5268, with the rate
enjoying an underlying buoyant tone through the day with some linking this to UK
dividend demand (more expected over the next few sessions). Despite this
buoyancy rate failed to break above recent highs at $1.5288, though the
underlying positive tone was supported by the higher lows seen through the day.
Rate marked Asian lows in opening trade at $1.5265 before buyers emerged, the
rate breaking $1.5288, then above $1.5300, before topping out at $1.5335. Press
reports suggesting US Verizon has hired advisors to look at buying UK Vodafone's
45% stake in Verizon Wireless for $100bln has also provided cable with
additional lift. However, focus today will be on the first reading of UK Q1 GDP
data. The official forecast is for growth of +0.1% though most market
forecasters seen more pessimistic and look for between -0.1%/-0.2%, which if
occurs will place market on triple dip recession watch as well as providing the
recent sterling recovery with a decent counter.
Cable pulled back to $1.5310
ahead of the European open, as spec longs parted back, with rate currently
trading around $1.5316.


YEN SUMMARY: Dollar-yen closed in NY at Y99.53 after recovering off NY session
lows of Y99.24 to Y99.60, easing back into the close. Rate nudged up to post
overnight highs at Y99.56 in opening trade before reversing, the initial move
lower meeting support at Y99.40. Recovery to retest highs was quickly repelled
allowing rate to sink back toward that NY low, finding support at Y99.25. The
move down was influenced in part by the low China yuan fix. This move prompted
dollar sales vs Asian currencies across the board. Dollar-yen opens Europe
around Y99.37. The elusive Y100.00 level remains in focus but strong offers
remain ahead. Main sell interest seen from Y99.80 through to the figure, Y100.00
said to hold barrier interest with very large plain vanilla interest said to
roll off at today's NY cut, more Friday. Stops are seen building from above
Y100.05 through to Y100.25 but sell interest from above Y100.00 to Y100.30 also
now getting noted and could mute any move through the figure. More stops are
noted above Y100.35. Support seen from Y99.25 to Y99.00, with stops below.

JAPAN STOCKS CLOSE: Japan's benchmark stocks are sharply higher Thursday. The
Nikkei 225 was ahead by 82.62 points, or 0.60%, at 13926.08. Into the close, the
broader-based TOPIX was higher by 8.81 points at 1173.16. Market breadth
indicators saw 148 issue higher, 70 lower and 7 unchanged. Preliminary volume
stood at 2.551 bn shares.


GOLD: Commenting on gold prices today, analysts at Phillip Futures say, "There
may be either a fundamental shift towards preference for physical gold, or a
disconnect in expectations between small retail buyers and large commercial and
fund buyers, the latter seems more likely for the time being and it begets the
question: how long can physical buying by small retail investors last?" Spot
gold now trades up $13.85 at $1,445.80 per ounce. "We are looking for prices to
break key technical level at around $1450 level for the upward correction to
continue, failing which prices may attempt the key psychological level at $1400
again."



OPTIONS: FX: Option expiries for today's 1000ET cut,
* Euro-dollar; $1.3000, $1.3010
* Dollar-yen; Y98.50, Y99.00, Y99.60, Y100.00(large)
* Euro-yen; Y130.00
* Cable; $1.5400, $1.5450
* Euro-sterling; stg0.8500, stg0.8560, stg0.8620
* Aussie; $1.0200
* Aussie-Kiwi; N$1.2100


EUROZONE: Timeline of key events in the eurozone for next few weeks:
- Apr 25 German Merkel meets Slovenian President Pahor in Berlin
- Apr 25 German Merkel speaks at conference of German savings banks in Dresden
- Apr 25 Germany's DIW economic research institute monthly economic barometer
- Apr 25 German EconMin Roesler presents govt's new economic growth forecasts
- Apr 26 Italy sells 6-month T-bills for E8.0bln
- Apr 29 Italy sells 5-/10-year benchmark BTP bonds for up to E6.0bln
- Apr 29 EMU Apr business climate/consumer confidence
- Apr 30 Eurozone flash HICP
- Apr 30 Italy T-bill redemption for E8.0bln
- Apr 30 Spain bond redemption for 2.30% 2013 for E14.94bln
- Mar 01 European PMI manufacturing survey
- May 02 ECB Governing Council meeting, Draghi press conference
- May 03 EU releases Spring Economic Forecasts
- May 06 ECB Draghi speaks at LUISS Guido Carli in Rome
- May 08 ECB start of reserve maintenance period


US: Timeline of key events in the US for the next few days:
- Apr 25 Freddie Mac to announce Reference Note issuance
- Apr 25 Tsy Lew testifies before House Appropriations Ctee at 1000ET
- Apr 25 UST announces 3/6m bills, 52wk at 1100ET
- Apr 25 UST auctions $29Bn 7y at 1300ET
- Apr 25 Tsy Lew at Fin Stability Oversight Council in Washington at 1430ET
- Apr 25 Money Supply (M2) at 1630ET
- Apr 26 1q GDP, est 3.1% at 0830ET
- Apr 26 Outright Tsy Cpon Purc May 15 2020-Feb 15 2023 $2.75-$3.50B
- Apr 29 UST announces 4 wk at 1100ET
- Apr 29 UST auctions 3/6m bills at 1130ET
- Apr 29 Outright Tsy Cpon Purc Feb 15 2036-Feb 15 2043 $1.25-$1.75B
- Apr 30 Outright Tsry Cpon Purc Apr 30 2017-Dec 31 2017 $4.25-$5.25B
- Apr 30 UST auctions 4wk, 52wk at 1130ET
- Apr 30 Tentative outright Tsy op schedule release at 1400ET
- Apr 30-May 01 FOMC policy meeting
... zbieraj pips do pipa bo jak nie to z depo będzie lipa... G."niemiaszek"

overall

Re: DayTrading: Czwartek 25.04.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: overall »

Co jest kurna z Kiwi, juz dawno po premierze hobbita to tez zyski sie skonczyly i powinien spadac :D

psxor
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Re: DayTrading: Czwartek 25.04.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: psxor »

Witam, co Japońce porobili że mi tak pięknie połapało edzia i ejka? :D ejuś na 129.80 się złapał pięknie, a edziu na 1.3060 :)

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Nowy123
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Re: DayTrading: Czwartek 25.04.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: Nowy123 »

Skosne podbily edka pod zmniejszanie stop % w UE ploty chodza ze zmnieszy dragi

:)

ale jak wida patafiany U J zostaliwi tylko odjechali GBP JPY samomy poprszez KABLA

GBP UK dane o PKB juz widomo czemu mieszali

i lekko przebijajac szczyty na GBP JPY wczorajsz nabrali Esesczek skubance teraz by pasowalo podjechac w gore UE

-- Dodano: czw 25-04-2013, 8:37 --

NIKKIE 14000 blisko i czuje ze od POniedzielku - NIedzieli korekta tam bo juz sie mecza jak widac :) a co za tym idzie JPY w dol dalej - jeszcze jak dzis USA pomoze jeszcze to tym bardziej

psxor
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Re: DayTrading: Czwartek 25.04.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: psxor »

Jak jeszcze wczoraj się obawiałem brać eSki na ujku, tak teraz żałuje że na 99.60 nie złapałem, jeszcze miałem cień nadzieji ze dojdzie na 100-101 i wtedy dopiero eS, teraz już nie uważam żeby uj zrobił 100, jak nawet japonce go nie podbili do góry tylko do dołu.

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