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08-May-2014 22:01
AUSSIE TECHS: Focus Remains On 2014 Highs
*RES 4: $0.9472 - 21 week upper Bollinger band
*RES 3: $0.9461 - 2014 high Apr 10
*RES 2: $0.9426 - High Apr 11, 21 day upper Bollinger band
*RES 1: $0.9395 - Hourly resistance Apr 15
*PRICE: $0.9377 @2000GMT
*SUP 1: $0.9363 - Hourly support May 8
*SUP 2: $0.9319 - Low May 7
*SUP 3: $0.9264 - Rising daily channel base off Jan 31 low
*SUP 4: $0.9202 - Low May 2
*COMMENTARY: The $0.9319 support confirmed significance Thursday with the aussie
bouncing from this level and the move higher pausing ahead of $0.9395. While
$0.9319 supports, bulls will continue to target the 2014 highs with a close
above opening up the possibility of a continuation higher that targets the
$0.9756 Oct 2013 monthly high. Bears need a close below $0.9319 to confirm a
break of the 21-DMA and shift focus to the rising daily channel base.
08-May-2014 22:11
KIWI TECHS: 21-DMA Supporting For Now
*RES 4: $0.8832 - 1.382 projection of $0.8516-0.8745
*RES 3: $0.8779 - 2014 High May 6
*RES 2: $0.8731 - 21 day upper Bollinger band
*RES 1: $0.8685 - Hourly resistance May 7
*PRICE: $0.8645 @2000GMT
*SUP 1: $0.8624 - 21-DMA
*SUP 2: $0.8591 - Low May 2
*SUP 3: $0.8557 - 55-DMA
*SUP 4: $0.8546 - Low Apr 30
*COMMENTARY: After making fresh 2014 highs on Tuesday the pair has corrected
lower with the 21-DMA currently supporting. The move lower has eased the bullish
pressure with bears looking for a close below $0.8591 to confirm a break of the
21-DMA and see focus shift lower to the $0.8501-57 region where the 55-DMA is
located. It should be noted a close below the 55-DMA has not been seen since the
pair closed above back in early Feb.
08-May-2014 22:25
AUSSIE-KIWI TECHS: Focus Shifts To The NZ$1.0908-47 Region
*RES 4: NZ$1.1036 - 50.0% Fibonacci 1.1579-1.0476
*RES 3: NZ$1.0947 - 2014 high Feb 4
*RES 2: NZ$1.0908 - 38.2% Fibonacci 1.1579-1.0476
*RES 1: NZ$1.0871 - High Apr 28
*PRICE: NZ$1.0844 @ 2000GMT
*SUP 1: NZ$1.0814 - 21-DMA
*SUP 2: NZ$1.0792 - Hourly resistance May 7 now support
*SUP 3: NZ$1.0757 - 100-DMA
*SUP 4: NZ$1.0728 - Low May 7
*COMMENTARY: After bouncing from ahead of the key NZ$1.0606-40 region Tuesday,
the pair continued to recover lost ground closing above the 21-DMA before
pausing at the Apr 28 high. Immediate focus shifts to the key NZ$1.0908-47
region with a close above shifting focus to the 200-DMA (NZ$1.1036) with the 50%
Fibo also noted at this level. Bears need a close below NZ$1.0792 to confirm a
false break of the 21-DMA and shift focus back to NZ$1.0728-57.
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