Z nedzy do pieniedzy ..:)

[andy11]

Today’s orderboard (27.06.2013)

EUR/USD:
Bids 1.3010/20 ahead of more 1.2985/00 with sell stops below ahead of bids 1.2960/70. Tech support down at 1.2932 (76.4% of recent 1.2795-1.3415 rally).
Offers 1.3040/60 weak buy stops above ahead of tech resistance/offers 1.3070/80 (100, 200 and 55 day MA’s- 1.3071, 1.3072 and 1.3078). Possible buy stops up through 1.3085/90 (Wed highs)

GBP/USD:
Bids 1.5290/10 (100 day MA 1.5308, 1.5292-61.8% of 1.5008-1.5753). Sell stops below through 1.5290 (June 5 lows) ahead of bids 1.5250/60 (daily cloud 1.5250-55).
Offers 1.5340/50, possible buys tops above ahead of offers 1.5380/00 (kijun line 1.5381). Buy stops above 1.5400 ahead of offers 1.5445/65

EUR/GBP: Bids 0.8490/95, tech supp 0.8475/80 (61.8% of 0.8398-0.8599 fall – 0.8475), sell stops below through 0.8465. Further bids 0.8440/.45, larger at 0.8400/10. Offers 0.8530/40 (tenkan line 0.8530, 100 day MA 0.8540), buy stops above ahead of offers 0.8550/55 and 0.8570/75

USD/JPY:
Bids 97.50 layered down to 97.00 (100 day MA 97.07) sell stops on a break of 96.95 (Tues low) and 96.80, ahead of daily tenkan line support at 96.39.
Offers from 98.15/25 ( daily cloud base 98.14) with likely buy stops through 98.25 (Wed high 98.23) and again through 98.50 and 98.70. Offers above 98.90/00 and more buy stops above.

EUR/JPY:
Bids 127.30/40, sell stops below through 127.25 ahead of bids 127.90/10. Sell stops likely through 126.85 (100 day MA 126.88) ahead of tech support 126.40/50 (daily cloud base 126.43).
Offers 127.90/00 buy stops above ahead of stronger 128.40/50. Buy stops above and through 128.75 (21 day MA)

AUD/USD:
Offers 0.9335/45, buy stops through 0.9350. More offers 0.9365/75 and 0.9390/00 (0.9394 tenkan line), buy stops above.
Bids 0.9280/00, possible sell stops through 0.9275 ahead of bids 0.9235/45 and 0.9190/10,

[andy11]

Jak to widzi Morgan Stanley (27.06.2013)




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[cwirusa]

Pewnie mają przezroczystą kule ... Zobaczymy czy dobrze im przepowiedziala

[andy11]

DANE (28.06.2013)

Sesja Azjatycka
CNY Leading Index (MAY)99.8
00:45 NZD Building Permits (MoM) (MAY) -3.9% 18.5%

01:01 GBP GfK Consumer Confidence Survey (JUN)-21 -22

01:15 JPY Nomura/JMMA Manufacturing Purchasing Manager Index (JUN) 51.5

01:30 JPY National Consumer Price Index (YoY) (MAY) -0.4% -0.7%
01:30 JPY Household Spending (YoY) (MAY) 1.3% 1.5%
01:30 JPY Jobless Rate (MAY) 4.0% 4.1%

01:30 JPY National Consumer Price Index Ex-Fresh Food (YoY) (MAY)0.0% -0.4%
01:30 JPY National Consumer Price Index Ex Food, Energy (YoY) (MAY) -0.3% -0.6%
01:30 JPY Job-To-Applicant Ratio (MAY) 0.9 0.89
01:30 JPY Tokyo Consumer Price Index Ex-Fresh Food (YoY) (JUN) 0.2% 0.1%
01:30 JPY Tokyo Consumer Price Index Ex Food, Energy (YoY) (JUN)-0.3% -0.3%
01:30 JPY Tokyo Consumer Price Index (YoY) (JUN)0.1% -0.2%

01:50 JPY Industrial Production (YoY) (MAY P)-2.4% -3.4%
01:50 JPY Large Retailers' Sales (MAY)0.2% -2.3%
01:50 JPY Retail Trade (YoY) (MAY) 0.0% -0.1%
01:50 JPY Industrial Production (MoM) (MAY P) 0.2% 0.9%
01:50 JPY Retail Trade s.a. (MoM) (MAY) 0.7% 0.6%

03:30 AUD Private Sector Credit (MoM) (MAY)0.3% 0.3%
03:30 AUD Private Sector Credit (YoY) (MAY) 2.9% 3.1%

03:35 AUD MNI June Business Sentiment Indicator
03:35 CNY MNI June Flash Business Sentiment Indicator

05:00 NZD Money Supply M3 (YoY) (MAY) 6.5%

06:00 JPY Vehicle Production (YoY) (MAY) -6.5%

07:00 JPY Annualized Housing Starts (MAY)0.950M 0.939M
07:00 JPY Housing Starts (YoY) (MAY)6.1% 5.8%
07:00 JPY Construction Orders (YoY) (MAY)2.0%

Sesja Europejska
08:00 EUR German Retail Sales (YoY) (MAY)0.2% 1.8%
08:00 GBP Nationwide House Prices n.s.a. (YoY) (JUN) 2.1% 1.1%
08:00 EUR German Retail Sales (MoM) (MAY) 0.4% -0.4%
08:00 GBP Nationwide House Prices s.a. (MoM) (JUN) 0.4% 0.4%

09:00 CHF KOF Swiss Leading Indicator (JUN)1.19 1.1

10:30 GBP Index of Services (3Mo3M) (APR)1.1% 0.6%
10:30 GBP Index of Services (MoM) (APR) 0.1% 0.2%

Sesja Amerykanska
14:00 EUR German Consumer Price Index - EU Harmonised (YoY) (JUN P) 1.8% 1.6%
14:00 EUR German Consumer Price Index (YoY) (JUN P)1.7% 1.5%
14:00 EUR German Consumer Price Index - EU Harmonised (MoM) (JUN P)0.1% 0.3%
14:00 EUR German Consumer Price Index (MoM) (JUN P) 0.0% 0.4%
14:00 USD Fed's Stein Speaks on Monetary Policy in New York
14:30 CAD Gross Domestic Product (YoY) (APR) 1.4% 1.7%
14:30 CAD Gross Domestic Product (MoM) (APR) 0.0% 0.2%
14:30 CAD Industrial Product Price (MoM) (MAY) 0.1% -0.8%
14:30 CAD Raw Materials Price Index (MoM) (MAY)0.4% -2.2%

15:00 USD NAPM-Milwaukee (JUN) 40.67

15:15 USD Fed's Lacker Speaks on Economic Outlook in West Virginia
15:45 USD Chicago Purchasing Manager (JUN)55.0 58.7
15:55 USD U. of Michigan Confidence (JUN F)83.0 82.7

18:00 USD Fed's Pianalto Speaks on Monetary Policy in West Virginia

21:30 USD Fed's Williams Speaks on Monetary Policy in California

[andy11]

Opcje (28.06.2013)

EUR/USD: 1.2800, 1.2950, 1.3000, 1.3100, 1.3200

USD/JPY: 96.50, 97.00 (L), 97.75 (L), 98.00, 98.50 (L), 98.90, 99.00

EUR/JPY: 127.00, 128.00

GBP/USD: 1.5200, 1.5350

AUD/USD: 0.9150, 0.9200, 0.9225, 0.9375, 0.9400

GBP/AUD: 1.6350

EUR/CHF: 1.2250

USD/CHF: 0.9480

[andy11]

Today’s orderboard (28.06.2013)


EUR/USD:
Bids 1.3030/40 and 1.3010/20 ahead of more 1.2985/00 (cloud top 1.2994) , sell stops below ahead of bids 1.2960/70. Tech support down at 1.2932 (76.4% of recent 1.2795-1.3415 rally).
Offers /tech res 1.3065/80 (100, 200 and 55 day MA’s- 1.3068, 1.3073 and 1.3077). Possible buy stops up through 1.3080/85 (Wed high1.3083) and 1.3110. Stronger offers above at 1.3140/50 (June 25 high 1.3150) with buy stops on a break..

GBP/USD:
Bids 1.5240/50 (cloud base 1.5242) possible sell stops below ahead of bids 1.5200/10 (Thurs low 1.5201) sell stops below ahead of tech supp 1.5184 (76.4% of 1.5008-1.5754).
Offers 1.5290/00, buy stops though 1.5305 (100 day MA 1.5302), more offers 1.5340/50, possible buy stops above ahead of offers 1.5380/00 (kijun line 1.5381

EUR/GBP:
Bids 0.8540/45(0.8541 -100 day MA) and 0.8500/05 (cloud top 0.8503) tech supp below at 0.8475/80 (61.8% of 0.8398-0.8599 fall – 0.8475), sell stops below through 0.8465.
Offers 0.8570/75 larger at 0.8590/95 with buy stops through 0.8600. More offers 0.8635/40 likely buy stops above

USD/JPY:
Bids 98.45/55, larger at 98.15/25 (cloud base 98.14) and 97.80/00 with some sell stops below and through 97.50.
Offers 99.05/15 (55 day MA 99.05) with buy stops through 99.15 (50 day MA 99.16) and 99.30. Further offers 99.50/60 ahead of larger up at 99.80/00

EUR/JPY:
Bids 128.50/60 sell stops below (128.49 21 day MA), ahead of bids 128.00/10 (tenkan line 128.04) and likely more sell stops through 127.90.
Offers 129.30/50 (o/n high 129.39) with possible buy stops through 55 day MA at 129.52 .Larger offers seen above 129.85/00 with buy stops above

AUD/USD:
Offers 0.9280/00 possible buy stops above ahead of offers 0.9335/55, with more buy stops through tenkan line 0.9361.
Bids 0.9250/60 larger 0.9215/25 and 0.9190/10 sell stops below ahead of key supp 0.9150/60, sell stops expected through recent 0.9147 low

[andy11]

DANE (01.07.2013)

Sesja Azjatcka
JPY Official Reserve Assets (JUN) (JUN) $1250.2B
01:01 GBP Hometrack Housing Survey (MoM) (JUN) (JUN) 0.4%
01:01 GBP Hometrack Housing Survey (YoY) (JUN) (JUN)0.4%

01:30 AUD AiG Performance of Manufacturing Index (JUN) (JUN)3 43.8

01:50 JPY Tankan Large Manufacturers Index (2Q) (2Q)4 -8
01:50 JPY Tankan Non-Manufacturing Index (2Q) (2Q) 11 6
01:50 JPY Tankan Large Manufacturers Outlook (2Q) (2Q) 7 -1
01:50 JPY Tankan Large All Industry Capex (2Q) (2Q) 3.4% -2.0%
01:50 JPY Tankan Non-Manufacturing Outlook (2Q) (2Q) 14 9
01:50 JPY Loans & Discounts Corp (YoY) (MAY) (MAY) 1.4%

02:00 AUD RPData-Rismark House PX Actual (JUN)-1.2%

02:30 AUD TD Securities Inflation (MoM) (JUN) (JUN)0.2%
02:30 AUD TD Securities Inflation (YoY) (JUN) (JUN) 2.2%

03:00 CNY Manufacturing PMI (JUN) 50.8
03:00 AUD HIA New Home Sales (MoM) (JUN) (JUN)3.9%

03:45 CNY HSBC Manufacturing PMI (JUN) 49.2

07:00 JPY Vehicle Sales (YoY) (JUN) (JUN)-7.3%

[andy11]

OPCJE (01.07.2013)


EUR/USD: 1.2900, 1.2920, 1.2930, 1.3000, 1.3050, 1.3100, 1.3120, 1.3210, 1.3250

USD/JPY: 98.00, 98.25, 99.00, 99.60, 99.75, 101.50, 1.0200

GBP/USD: 1.5195, 1.5240

EUR/GBP:: 0.8500

AUD/USD: 0.9200, 0.9300, 0.9320

EUR/CHF: 1.2350

USD/CAD: 1.0525

EUR/SEK: 8.8000

[andy11]

DANE (01.07.2013)


Sesja Europejska

08:30 AUD RBA Commodity Price Index (JUN)87
08:30 AUD RBA Commodity Index SDR (YoY) (JUN) (JUN) -8.6%

09:30 CHF SVME-Purchasing Managers Index (JUN) (JUN) 52.2

09:45 EUR Italian Purchasing Manager Index Manufacturing (JUN) (JUN)47.3

09:50 EUR French Purchasing Manager Index Manufacturing (JUN F) (JUN F) 48.3

09:55 EUR German Purchasing Manager Index Manufacturing (JUN F) (JUN F)48.7

10:00 EUR Euro-Zone Purchasing Manager Index Manufacturing (JUN F) (JUN F)48.7
10:00 EUR Italian Unemployment Rate s.a. (MAY P)12.0%

10:30 GBP Purchasing Manager Index Manufacturing (JUN) (JUN) 51.3
10:30 GBP Net Consumer Credit (MAY)0.5B
10:30 GBP Net Lending Sec. on Dwellings (MAY) (MAY)0.9B
10:30 GBP Mortgage Approvals (MAY) (MAY)53.7K
10:30 GBP M4 Money Supply (MoM) (MAY) (MAY)0.3%
10:30 GBP M4 Money Supply (YoY) (MAY) (MAY)-0.1%
10:30 GBP M4 Ex IOFCs 3M Annualised (MAY)2.8%

11:00 EUR Euro-Zone Consumer Price Index Estimate (YoY) (JUN) (JUN) 1.4%
11:00 EUR Euro-Zone Unemployment Rate (MAY) (MAY)12.2%
11:00 EUR Euro-Zone Consumer Price Index - Core (YoY) (JUN A) (JUN A)1.2%

Sesja Amerykanska
14:58 USD Markit US PMI Final (JUN)

16:00 USD Construction Spending (MoM) (MAY) (MAY)0.4%
16:00 USD ISM Manufacturing (JUN) (JUN) 49.0
16:00 USD ISM Prices Paid (JUN) (JUN)49.5
16:00 USD Revisions to Construction data back to Jan. 2011

[andy11]

Today’s orderboard (01.07.2013)

EUR/USD:
Bids 1.3000/10, 1.2975/85 (sovereigns) and layered down to 1.2950 ( cloud base 1.2958).Sell stops through 1.2950 ahead of tech support down at 1.2932 (76.4% of recent 1.2795-1.3415 rally).
Offers 1.3040/50, buy stops above ahead of tech res 1.3065/75 (100, 200 and 55 day MA’s- 1.3064, 1.3073 and 1.3076).Larger offers 1.3095/05 (Fri high 1.3103) buy stops above, ahead of offers 1.3140/50 (June 25 high 1.3150)

GBP/USD:
Bids 1.5200/10 (Thurs low 1.5201) possible sell stops below ahead of bids 1.5165/75 (Fri low 1.5165), sell stops below.
Tech res 1.5240 (cloud base), offers 1,.5250/60, 1.5290/10 (100 day MA 1.5297), buy stops above through 1.5315 (cloud top 1.5311) ahead of offers 1.5340/50, possible buy stops above ahead of stronger res/offers 1.5365/85 (55 day MA 1.5375, kijun line 1.5381, 50 day MA 1.5384)

EUR/GBP:
Bids 0.8540/45(0.8542 -100 day MA) and 0.8500/05 (cloud base 0.8503, 55 day MA 0.8505) tech supp below at 0.8475/80 (61.8% of 0.8398-0.8599 fall – 0.8475), sell stops below through 0.8465.
Offers 0.8560/65 larger at 0.8585/90 (Fri high 0.8590). Buy stops through 0.8600. More offers 0.8635/40 likely buy stops above

USD/JPY:
Bids 99.00/20 (55/50 day MA‘s 99.11/16), sell stops below ahead of bids 98.45/55, larger at 98.15/25 (cloud base 98.14) and 97.80/00 with some sell stops below and again through 97.50.
Offers 99.40/50 (exporters, Europeans) ahead of larger up at 99.80/00 (99.93- 61.8% of 103.73-93.78). Large buy stops above.

EUR/JPY:
Bids 129.00/10 and 128.50/60 sell stops below ahead of bids 128.20/30 (tenkan line 128.21) and 128.00/10.
Offers 129.50/65 (55 day MA 129.58, 50 day 129.66), buy stops above ahead of larger offers 129.85/00 with more buy stops above, ahead of tech res 130.35/45 (130.41 -61.8% 133.79-124.95)

AUD/USD:
Bids 0.9150/60 with larger 0.9115/25 and down to a 0.9100 barrier. Model sell stops below through 0.9090.
Offers 0.9200/10 and larger seen up at 0.9240/50, possible buy stops above ahead of offers 0.9275/85.