Z nedzy do pieniedzy ..:)

[mryko]

Andy to zawsze jest loteria, chyba dość trudno jest się ustawić na zajęcie pozycji, najbezpieczniej poczekać aż pył opadnie
Scenariusz jaki zaprezentowałeś bardzo możliwy, widać od jakiegoś czasu pozytywne oznaki w gospodarce Hamerykanów więc zmniejszenie kroplówki jest w grze.

[Sildra]

Mr Ben powie to co wszyscy wiedza. Stan rynku pracy pokazuje oznaki polepszenia, ale daleko jeszcze do zadowolenia. QE bedzie tak dlugo jak wymagac bedzie tego sytuacja. Bla bla bla.

Generalnie to wzmocni dolara oswiadczenie o znacznej poprawie przemyslu i nastroje konsumentow. To moim zdaniem zostanie odczytane jako nadchodzacy koniec QE. Rynek zawsze sobie dośpiewuje to co chce usłyszeć.

Sorry za literowki ale pisze z komóry.

[andy11]

Some levels to watch over FOMC

If we get any major big moves it’s always handy to know where the more substantial levels are that could contain the moves. For indicators I always look on the higher chart time frames (H1+). Usually I’ll discount any levels within 50 pips either side and focus on levels around 70-100 pips away.

I’ll start with USD/JPY
Mike has listed the orders earlier particularly the larger ones at 96.00 and 96.45. There is also strong resistance in the 96.20/30 area. Tech wise there’s not much above on the MA’s.

Below we have orders at 94.80 with stronger at 94.50 & 94.30. On the techs we have a trend line up from 25th Feb which comes in at around 94.90, the 100H4ma at 94.40 and probably a bit out of reach, the 200H4ma at 93.85

EUR/USD Again as per the earlier order board there are substantial offers at 1.2990-300 above with the 100H4ma at 1.3020. Strong resistance at 1.3030 and more at 1.3068.

Below we have the 55wma at 1.2900, bids at 1.2880 and previously broken 50 fib level(1.2875) which was contained ahead of 1.2850. The 200dma is also coming in around the 1.2865 level

GBP/USD
1.5200 will be the first big nut to crack and a decent break could see us hit 1.5250 pretty sharpish as it’s pretty much open sky after. As you would expect with the recent moves there’s not much upside in the MA’s. The closest we’ve got is the 200H4ma at 1.5290. There is some moderate resistance at 1.5248.

Below we’ll have support at todays lows and around the 1.5020/40 level, 200H1ma & 55H4ma at 1.5010, buy orders at 1.5000, strong support at 1.4990.

[andy11]

Opcje 21 .03.2013


EUR / USD: 1,2725, 1,2900, 1,3000, 1,3030, 1,3100

USD / JPY: 95,50, 95,50 (L), 95.90 96.00

GBP / JPY: 144,70

GBP / USD: 1,5050, 1,5100, 1,5200

EUR / PLN: 0,8600, 0,8700, 0,8875

AUD / USD: 1,0250 (L), 1,0325, 1,0350, 1,0370, 1,0400

AUD / JPY: 97,70

USD / CHF: 0,9450

[andy11]

Dane 21. 03. 2013

09:00 – Flash German, French and Euro Zone Manufacturing PMI: In the recent update regarding February 2013, the German PMI increased to 50.1 i.e. the manufacturing conditions are still expanding at a slower rate. This report serves as an indicator to the economic changes of the Euro Area’s leading economies’ manufacturing conditions; this news, in turn, may affect the Euro/USD currency pair and consequently commodities prices;

10:00 Kuroda Holds First Press Conference as Governor of BOJ

10:30 – GB Retails Sales (February 2013): This report will present the developments in the retails sales in Great Britain for February 2013. It may affect the direction of the British Pound currency. In the latest report regarding January 2013, retails sales fell again by 0.6% – second month in a row;

13:30 – U.S. Jobless Claims Weekly Report: this weekly update will refer to the shifts in the initial jobless claims for the week ending on March 15th; in the recent report the jobless claims declined again by 10k to reach 332k; this upcoming weekly update may affect the path of U.S dollar and consequently commodities and stocks markets;

13:30 – Canada Retails Sales (January 2013): This report will refer to the retails sales in Canada as of January. It may affect the USD/CAD currencies pair, which is strongly correlated with commodities rates. In the recent report regarding December 2012, retails sales fell again by 0.9%.

15:00 – U.S. Existing Home Sales: This report will pertain to the changes in U.S. existing home sales for February 2013; in the latest report regarding January 2013 the number of homes sold edged down to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.92 million houses; if this trend will continue, it might pressure down the U.S dollar;

15:00 – Philly Fed Manufacturing Index: This monthly survey shows an estimate for the growth of the US manufacturing sectors. In the latest February survey, the growth rate declined again from -5.8 in January to -12.5 in February. If the index will continue to decline it may adversely affect not only U.S Dollar but also American stocks and commodities markets (the previous Philly Fed review);

15:30 – EIA U.S. Natural Gas Storage Update: the EIA weekly update of the U.S. natural gas market will pertain to the latest changes in natural gas production, storage, consumption and prices as of March 15th; in latest weekly report, natural gas storage fell again by 145 Bcf to 1,938 Bcf;

[andy11]

Today’s orderboard (21.03.2013)

EUR/USD: Offers 1.2945/55, 1.2970/80 (tenkan line 1.2975) and larger 1.3000/20 Buy stops through 1.3025. Bids 1.2925/35 possible sell stops below ahead of bids 1.2900/10 and 1.2875/85 (200 day MA 1.2878). Sell stops below

GBP/USD: Offers 1.5120/30 1.5180/00 (kijun line 1.5191) Bids 1.5090/00 sell stops below ahead of bids 1.5040/50 and 1.5000/10 (tenkan line support 1.5009). Sell stops below

EUR/GBP: Bids 0.8525/35(55 day MA 0.8534) ahead of tech supp/bids 0.8500/10 (daily cloud top 0.8501). Offers 0.8580/85 and 0.8600/05, possible buy stops above ahead of stronger offers 0.8645/55

USD/JPY: Bids 95.65/75, 95.45/55 suggested sell stops through 95.35 ahead of bids 94.90/10. Offers 96.00/10 buy stops through 96.15 ahead of strong offers 96.65/75. Buy stops above and through 97.00 (barrier)

EUR/JPY: Bids123.70/80 (tenkan line 123.74) and 123.40/50 (daily cloud top 123.41) ahead of more bids 123.00/10, sell stops below. Offers 124.35/45 buy stops through 124.50 ahead of more offers 124.85/00

AUD/USD: Tech pivot lvl 200 day MA at 1.0371. Bids from1.0375 down to 1.0350 ahead of more down at 1.0300/10 (tenkan line 1.0309), more bids 1.0280/90 sell stops below. Offers 1.0390/10 (100 day MA 1.0405) buy stops through 1.0415 (Fri high, 1.4013 daily cloud top) ahead of larger offers 1.0450/60.

[andy11]

- za godzine telekonferencja pomiedzy Cyprem a Eurogrupa...

- Wania kopa zapalil - ciekawe czy bidakom chociaz zatankowal samolot co by mieli jak powrocic na Cypr....

- cos czuje w kosciach ze lokaty beda opodatkowane....a jak nie to fora z Euro i bankructwo...

- jak powiedzial wczoraj Benny Hill na konferencji " monitorujemy problem ale Cypr nie zagraza interesom / gospodarce amerykanskiej" wiec yankesom tez Cypr lata kolo d....y..

[andy11]

- na godzine telekonferencja pomiedzy Cyprem a Eurogrupa...

- Wania kopa zapalil - ciekawe czy bidakom chociaz zatankowal samolot co by mieli jak powrocic na Cypr....

- cos czuje w kosciach ze lokaty beda opodatkowane....a jak nie to fora z Euro i bankructwo...

- jak powiedzial wczoraj Benny Hill na konferencji " monitorujemy problem ale Cypr nie zagraza interesom / gospodarce amerykanskiej" wiec yankesom tez Cypr lata kolo d....y..

[andy11]

Opcje 22 .03.2013


EUR/USD: 1.2700, 1.2900 1.2950, 1.2960

USD/JPY: 94.75, 95.00, 95.50, 95.60, 96.00 97.00

EUR/JPY: 123.00

GBP/USD: 1.5100, 1.5300

EUR/GBP: 0.8550, 0.8635

AUD/USD: 1.0250, 1.0265, 1.0325, 1.0390, 1.0400 , 1.0420

AUD/NZD: 1.2500

GBP/CHF: 1.4350

USD/CHF: 0.9500

USD/CAD: 1.0200, 1.0250

[andy11]

Today’s orderboard (22.03.2013)

EUR/USD: Bids 1.2880/95 sell stops through 1.2875 (200 day MA 1.2879) ahead of bids 1.2840/50, with more sell stops on a break. Offers initially at 1.2915/25 with larger layered from 1.2950 up to 1.2980 (tenkan line 1.2975). Buy stops just above.

GBP/USD: Offers 1.5205/15 buy stops through 1.5120 ahead of offers 1.5245/55( trendline resistance 1.5250/55 from Jan 2 high. Likely buy stops just above. Bids 1.5160/70 and 1.5125/35.

EUR/GBP: Offers 0.8505/15 (daily cloud top 0.8513) larger up at 0.8535/40 (55 day MA 0.8539). Bids 0.8480/85 and larger 0.8440/50 (8/11 Feb lows)

USD/JPY: Bids 94.50/60. 94.30/40 and 94.00/10, sell stops below ahead of kijun line support at 93.78. Offers 94.85/05 and 95.05/15 ( tenkan line 95.08) 95.30/40, buy stops above ahead of more offers 95.65/75

EUR/JPY: Bids 121.90/00 sell stops below ahead of bids 121.60/70. Offers 122.30/40 (55 day ama 122.30, kijun line 122.39) possible buy stops above ahead of offers 122.60/70 and 122.90/00

AUD/USD: Bids 1.0400/15 (daily cloud top 1.0413) ahead of strong support 1.0360/80 (200 day MA 1.0373), sell stops below but more bids 1.0335/45. Offers 1.0450/60 (Thurs high 1.0459) and 1.0490/00