1. W wątku DT omawiamy bieżąca sytuacje na rynku i to co dotyczy danego dnia. Od dłuższych prognoz jest dział Prognozy, komentarze, analizy
2. Zamieszczamy tylko i wyłącznie swoje analizy. Nie kopiujemy z innych serwisów.
3. Komentarz do własnej analizy nie może mieć charakteru rekomendacji. (to nie jest dział z sygnałami)
4. Kłótnie, ataki na innych użytkowników są niedopuszczalne.
5. Nie zaśmiecamy wątku. (wypowiedzi w stylu: "dałem S", "ja kończę na dziś" itp. jak i chwalenie się swoimi statami)
Nagminne łamanie powyższych zasad będzie skutkować nałozeniem zakazu pisania do końca bieżącego tygodnia.
Recydywa będzie karana ostrzeżeniami.
Przypominam że ponadto obowiązuje Regulamin Forum
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Przedstawione poglądy, oceny, opinie i wnioski są wyrazem osobistych poglądów
autorów i nie mają charakteru rekomendacji do nabycia lub zbycia albo
powstrzymania się od dokonania transakcji w odniesieniu do jakichkolwiek walut.
Poglądy te jak i inne treści nie stanowią "rekomendacji" lub "doradztwa"
w rozumieniu ustawy z dnia 29 lipca 2005 o obrocie instrumentami finansowymi.
Wyłączną odpowiedzialność za decyzje inwestycyjne, podjęte lub zaniechane
na podstawie poniższych analiz ponosi inwestor.
chrzanic jakies cycki o czym wy gadacie w ogole to nie ten dzial ....... ja wiem jedno - edek w gore i to mocno wczoraj zgarnalem 3800 zielonych:) na demie ale to nie wazne bo przewidzialem lekki ruch w gore. dzis ciag dalszy
EUROPE: Early Euro area data sees the release of German auto registrations,
although there is no set time for the release. At 0700GMT, June's Spanish
unemployment data is set for release, along with French Jun car registrations.
At the same time, EU Economics and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn is
slated to speak on the outcome of June's EU Council to European Parliament. ECB
Governing Council member Christian Noyer will give a press conference on a
report about credit card security, in Paris from 0800GMT. At 0900GMT, EMU May
PPI numbers will be published. At 2100GMT, Bundesbank Board member Andreas
Dombret speech at a Bundesbank event in New York.
GREECE: The Troika and Greek government officials met Monday and eKathimerini
says there appeared to be hopes for "concessions", but it appeared unlikely
discussions would be completed ahead of next week's Eurogroup meeting in
Brussels.
GREECE: Greek Economy Minister Kostis Hatzidakis told Germany's Die Welt Tuesday
that he is confident that European partners will offer more support to his
nation's troubled economy. "If we are reliable and surprise on the upside, I am
sure that our partners will show solidarity with Greece," Hatzidakis said when
asked about he possibility of fresh debt relief for Greece after the German
elections. "We are implementing the conditions of the Troika and are doing
everything to produce a structural surplus by year-end as promised," he said.
UK: There is only limited UK data due at 0830GMT, when the June CIPS/Markit
Construction PMI numberrs cross the wires. In the wake of solid manufacturing
data, economists are looking for a continuation of the recovery in the building
industry. Forecasts see the number at 51.2 versus 50.8 in May.
UK PRESS: More promising UK data as the BCC says the number of companies
reporting rising exports hit a record high in Q2, with the net balance hitting
+36 - the highest since the survey began in 1989.
UK PRESS: The UK government is set to announce Rothschild as advisor to the
splitting of RBS into a good bank/bad bank, the FT says. The paper notes the
role could be announced this week and an assessment could be released as soon as
September.
UK PRESS: One of Japan's biggest pension funds has joined a Canadian partner to
buy Midland Cogeneration Venture, a $2 bln electricity plant in Michigan, The
Financial Times reports. The investment, which is the first infrastructure
acquisition by a Japanese public pension fund, is a sign that Japan's massive
pension-fund industry is diversifying outside traditional assets such as
Japanese government bonds, the report says citing unnamed sources. Japan's
Pension Fund Association, which manages about Y10 trln of assets, is set to
co-own the plant along with three Japanese groups: Mitsubishi Corp, Mizuho Bank
and the quasi-public Japan Bank for International Cooperation.
EURO SUMMARY: Euro-dollar closed in NY Monday at $1.3067 after rate had
recovered off a session low of $1.3014, the recovery aided by support at the 4pm
fix, with triggered stops through $1.3040 on macro and leveraged buys taking it
on to that mentioned high, with move also helped as market reacted to a buy rec
put out by Goldman Sachs, going long around $1.3060, looking for $1.3500,
placing stops on a close below $1.2800. Rate extended highs to $1.3071 into
early Asian trade before momentum faded and prompted profit take sales that took
it back to $1.3059. Rate recovered to retest that $1.3071 level before turning
lower again, the move down this time prompted by US black box fund sales as rate
posted lows at $1.3050. Rate recovered, settling between $1.3055/65 into Europe.
Upside progress continues to meet resistance from offers attracted to the merged
daily moving averages, 55-dma and 200-dma at $1.3075, with the 40-dma at $1.3077
and 50-dma at $1.3079. Offers have been reported between $1.3075/80, with
stronger interest now noted into $1.3100. Support remains at $1.3050, a break to
expose support between $1.3015/00. Further demand noted into $1.2985/80, with
stops seen through $1.2980-70. EZ PPI at 0900GMT the morning interest.
STERLING SUMMARY: Cable closed in NY Monday at $1.5219 after rate had recovered
off a NY session low of $1.5206. Rate earlier in the day had seen lows of
$1.5183 before bouncing sharply higher to $1.5247 on release of stronger than
forecast UK mfg PMI data (the rate able to extend this high to $1.5249 post 4pm
London fix before dipping back to $1.5206). Cable traded with a soft tone into
Asian dealing, easing off the NY close to an eventual low of $1.5194 as
euro-sterling consolidated around extended recovery highs between
stg0.8583-0.85945 (Europe high Monday stg0.8590, NY stg0.8587). Cable was
trading back above $1.52 into Europe, currently around $1.5205, the cross around
stg0.8588. UK construction data due at 0830GMT, with BOE Tucker and Bailey in
Parliament at 0900GMT providing the domestic interest. Cable resistance seen
into $1.5220, a break to open a move toward stronger interest at $1.5250.
Support $1.5195/85 ahead of $1.5165-50, with stops noted below. Euro-sterling
offers remain in place to stg0.8600, a break to expose stops and open a move on
toward stg0.8630/40. Support stg0.8550/40.
YEN SUMMARY: Dollar-yen closed in NY Tuesday at Y99.61 after rate had eased away
from intraday recovery highs of Y99.86. Rate nudged up to Y99.71 in opening
Asian trade before turning lower, the move down to Y99.51 seen influenced by
euro-yen sales, but Japanese importer demand interest cushioned the move and
allowed for an eventual recovery through the early high and on to Y99.82 into
Europe. Asian traders have reported sell interest from Y99.85 through to Y100.00
(option and high wealth individuals noted in the mix of sell interest) with
stops above said to extend to Y100.20. Support remains into Y99.50. Euro-yen
moves in Asia appeared to mirror those of dollar-yen, though the cross was said
to have led the early dip. Rate opened Asia around Y130.18, dipped to Y129.94
before bouncing back into Europe to Y130.41.
JAPAN STOCKS CLOSE: Japan's benchmark stocks are higher Tuesday. The Nikkei 225
was higher by 246.24 points, or 1.78% at 14098.74. The session trading range was
14663.38 to 15942. Into the close, the broader-based TOPIX was higher by 18.53
points at 1169.23. Market breadth indicators saw 176 issues higher, 39 lower and
10 unchanged. Preliminary volume stood at 3.41 bn shares.
EUROZONE T-BILL ISSUANCE: Belgium will be the final Eurozone sovereign to come
to the T-bill market on Tuesday. Belgium plans to tap 3-month Oct 17 T-bill and
tap 6-month Dec 19 T-bill for indicative target range of between E1.5-E2.0bln.
To recap issuance so far this week, on Monday, Netherlands sold E1.88bln 3-month
DTC at average yield -0.02% and E1.16bln 12-month DTC at average yield 0.11%. In
the afternoon France sold E4.196bln 3-month BTF at average yield 0.036%,
E1.985bln 6-month BTF at average yield 0.058% and E1.793bln 12-month BTF at
average yield 0.171%.
... zbieraj pips do pipa bo jak nie to z depo będzie lipa... G."niemiaszek"
AUD/USD pieknie piwnice zalicza,po tym jak stopy zostały na tym samym poziomie.
A co niektórzy przepowiadacze wczoraj twierdzili że ustawke grubasy na up robią, po raz kolejny jest to dowód żeby patrzeć na SWOJE ekg , a nie sugerować się wróżbami ze szklanej kuli
"Fundamenty tworza trendy a cena porusza sie w techniczny sposob. Jedno drugiego nie wyklucza"
ZielonaMgiełka
pkubiu pisze:ale nie jest wykluczone ze faktycznie stopy będą dłużej na niezmienionym poziomie wtedy możne byc up od grubasów
-- Dodano: 02 lip 2013, 07:24 --
ale nie jest wykluczone ze faktycznie stopy będą dłużej na niezmienionym poziomie wtedy możne byc up od grubasów
Pwenie, że nic nie jest wykluczone, szczególnie na FX nic nie jest pewne, ale jeśli weźnie się pod uwagę dzisiejszy komunikat Banku centralnego Australi ,który mówi miedzy innymi że AUD nadal jest drogi mimo sporych spadków to jak można twierdzić że grubasy na up idą, tym bardziej że wczoraj wystarczyło obserwować ekg żeby wyraźnie widzieć że grubasy kupują wysoko plus to że o 6,30 decyzja w sprawie stóp plus to że gruby wie lepiej bo ma przeciek plus LOGIKA myslenia wyraźnie wskazuje że bedzie piwnica.
Ale ja się nie znam i nic nie sugeruje.
"Fundamenty tworza trendy a cena porusza sie w techniczny sposob. Jedno drugiego nie wyklucza"
ZielonaMgiełka
ale powiedziane było slowa premiera ze oczekują innych rozwiązać od BA niż obniżkę stop - tym bardziej że dane makre beda raczej na plus po dobrych z Japonii. 09140 i mocne up
....... ja wiem jedno - edek w gore i to mocno wczoraj zgarnalem 3800 zielonych:) na demie ale to nie wazne bo przewidzialem lekki ruch w gore. dzis ciag dalszy
