DayTrading 10.10.2012

Dyskusje na temat aktualnej sesji: komentarze, analizy, opinie.

Sentyment EURUSD na dziś

Czas głosowania minął 10 paź 2012, 23:15

Wzrost
50
57%
Bez zmian
14
16%
Spadek
24
27%
 
Liczba głosów: 88

Awatar użytkownika
ForumBot
Maniak
Maniak
Posty: 3320
Rejestracja: 23 wrz 2012, 23:59

DayTrading 10.10.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: ForumBot »

Zapraszam do wymiany uwag i opinii na temat dzisiejszej sesji.
Pozdrawiam

Pomagamy:

http://www.pajacyk.pl
http://www.polskieserce.pl
http://www.okruszek.org.pl
http://www.wyklikajzywnosc.pl
http://www.sercemichalka.pl/

***************************************************************************************
Regulamin DT:

1. W wątku DT omawiamy bieżąca sytuacje na rynku i to co dotyczy danego dnia. Od dłuższych prognoz jest dział Prognozy, komentarze, analizy
2. Zamieszczamy tylko i wyłącznie swoje analizy. Nie kopiujemy z innych serwisów.
3. Komentarz do własnej analizy nie może mieć charakteru rekomendacji. (to nie jest dział z sygnałami)
4. Kłótnie, ataki na innych użytkowników są niedopuszczalne.
5. Nie zaśmiecamy wątku. (wypowiedzi w stylu: "dałem S", "ja kończę na dziś" itp. jak i chwalenie się swoimi statami)

Nagminne łamanie powyższych zasad będzie skutkować nałozeniem zakazu pisania do końca bieżącego tygodnia.
Recydywa będzie karana ostrzeżeniami.
Przypominam że ponadto obowiązuje Regulamin Forum

***************************************************************************************

Przedstawione poglądy, oceny, opinie i wnioski są wyrazem osobistych poglądów
autorów i nie mają charakteru rekomendacji do nabycia lub zbycia albo
powstrzymania się od dokonania transakcji w odniesieniu do jakichkolwiek walut.
Poglądy te jak i inne treści nie stanowią "rekomendacji" lub "doradztwa"
w rozumieniu ustawy z dnia 29 lipca 2005 o obrocie instrumentami finansowymi.
Wyłączną odpowiedzialność za decyzje inwestycyjne, podjęte lub zaniechane
na podstawie poniższych analiz ponosi inwestor.


EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, GOLD
Obrazek Obrazek
Obrazek Obrazek

ObrazekObrazekObrazekObrazekObrazek

ObrazekObrazekObrazekObrazek

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TGV
Gaduła
Gaduła
Posty: 200
Rejestracja: 12 gru 2011, 16:22

Re: DayTrading 10.10.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: TGV »

E/U-M5__VS__SPF-H4
Nie masz wymaganych uprawnień, aby zobaczyć pliki załączone do tego posta.

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MERLIN
Maniak
Maniak
Posty: 4023
Rejestracja: 20 kwie 2011, 14:57

Re: DayTrading 10.10.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: MERLIN »

TGV pisze:E/U-M5__VS__SPF-H4
co masz na myśli :roll:

marekdt
Pasjonat
Pasjonat
Posty: 1187
Rejestracja: 30 sty 2011, 15:14

Re: DayTrading 10.10.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: marekdt »

EJ LONG do okolic 101.156 od teraz.
Moim zdaniem będzie odbicie, po czym od powyższego poziomu dostaniemy mocne uderzenie.... w stronę przeciwną (spadkową) - I ten ruch spadkowy będzie dużo bardziej profitowy. :)
Quo Vadis? Już wiesz ?
"Rynek nagradza cierpliwych"
↱↴↱↴ więc siedź na dupie i czekaj↱↴↱↴↴↴

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niemiaszek
Przyjaciel Forum
Przyjaciel Forum
Posty: 5097
Rejestracja: 08 lis 2010, 15:02

Re: DayTrading 10.10.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: niemiaszek »

Hello


EUROPE: A fairly light calendar is seen for Wednesday, although again
data is largely second tier on both sides of the Atlantic. European data
starts at 0645GMT, when French August industrial production data is
release, followed at 0800 GMT with the release of the Italian industrial
output numbers. In between, at 0700GMT, ECB Governing Council member
Jens Weidmann is to give opening the remarks at a Bundesbank conference
in Frankfurt. Other speakers at the conference include Bundesbank board
member Carl-Ludwig Thiele (0720GMT) and ECB Executive Board member Peter
Praet at 1230GMT.



US: The US calendar starts at 1100GMT, when MBA Mortgage Application
Index for the Oct 5th week are released. At 1400GMT, the US August
Wholesale Inventories data are released, along with the July JOLTS Labor
Turnover Survey. 1800GMT sees perhaps the main data release for the day,
when the Federal Reserve's Beige Book hits screens. Two Fed speakers are
up later in the session. At 1845GMT, Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank
Pres. Naryana Kocherlakota speaks to business and community leaders in
Montana, and after will answer questions from the audience. At 2045GMT,
Dallas Federal Reserve Bank Pres. Richard Fisher speaks to the Cato
Institute conference and after will answer questions of the audience and
the media. The conference title is "Europe's Crisis and the Welfare
State: Lessons for the United States."


EURO-DOLLAR: Closed in NY at $1.2879 after rate extended its corrective
pullback (off post Friday's NFP highs of $1.3072) through the NY session
to a low of $1.2859. Rate touched an early high at $1.2885 in Asian
trading before turning lower again, influenced by early Japanese sales
of euro-yen, followed by decent sales of euro-Aussie on demand seen for
a syndicated Australian government bond. Rate eased through the NY base
before finding initial support at $1.2850, the rate then recovered to
$1.2876. Another round of selling emerged to press rate below $1.2850,
the move triggering stops which extended lows to $1.2835. Recovery has
seen rate edge to $1.2864 ($1.2866 76.4% $1.2876-35) ahead of the
European open. Bids said to remain in place at $1.2835, a break to
expose the 200-dma at $1.2823 ahead of Oct1 lows at $1.2804. Decent
demand linked to these technical levels seen placed between $1.2820/00.
Resistance now seen at $1.2875/85, a break to allow for a move toward
$1.2900. Industrial production from France and Italy provides the data
interest, with France Hollande meeting Spain Rajoy also in focus.

MNI EURO-DOLLAR: Fundamental levels (orders, options, technicals)
$1.2990/000 Strong offers/$1.2991
$1.2960/65 Medium offers
$1.2930 Medium offers
$1.2905/10 Stops
$1.2885/900 Medium offers
$1.2885 Int.Day high Asia
$1.2862 ***Current mkt rate 0622GMT Wednesday
$1.2835 Int.Day low Asia
$1.2823 Terch 200-dma
$1.2820-00 Strong demand/Stops/$1.2804 Oct1 low
$1.2780 Medium demand
$1.2760/50 Medium demand/$1.2758 61.8% $1.2502-1.3172
$1.2739 Tech rising trend line sppt from Jul24


CABLE: Closed in NY at $1.6000 after rate had trailed euro-dollar's
deeper decline to $1.5975 (61.8% $1.5826-1.6217), the move lower
provided some buoyancy by euro-sterling extending its corrective
pullback away from stg0.80995 to stg0.8042, closing below a key tech
level at stg0.8058. Cable posted an early high into Asian trade at
$1.6003 before again trailing euro-dollar lower, the rate meeting
support ahead of its NY low at $1.5976. The reluctant move lower allowed
the cross to extend its pullback to stg0.80335, though was holding back
at stg0.8040 into Europe. Cable recovered off lows, trading around
$1.5994 into Europe. No UK data on today's calendar so moves to come
from outside influence.Cable support remains in place at $1.5975, a
break to allow for a deeper move toward $1.5950 ahead of $1.5920
($1.5918 76.4%). Resistance $1.6000/10 with stops above, a break to
allow for a move toward $1.6025/30 with stronger interest noted between
$1.6045/55.


AUSSIE: The aussie has recouped earlier losses and is up at $1.0220
vs $1.0205 U.S. close as local equities pared losses and the Shanghai
Composite rose. RBC Capital strategists say they are still biased toward
accumulating aussie on dips despite disappointing consumer sentiment
report which supports more RBA rate cut expectations. They note iron ore
prices rose another 6%+, notching a cumulative gain of around 35% from
the early-September lows and in Jul/Aug, the selloff in iron ore led
the eventual selloff in aussie by about six weeks. "A lead time of six
weeks would suggest AUD begins responding to the rally in iron ore
soon," they wrote in a note. Near-term resistance for the aussie comes
in at the 100dma at 1.0259 while support is at the 1.0149/50 level,
which corresponds with the recent low, they say.


GOLD: Spot gold prices are trading modestly lower Wednesday extending
their losses from the previous day. Spot gold ended Tuesday's session
$10.65 lower at $1764.30/oz as bullion prices came under pressure in
observation of some continued strength from the US dollar. Europe's
ongoing debt crisis also took its toll on risk assets, with German
Chancellor Angela Merkel making no promise of additional aid for Greece
after her visit to the country was greeted by angry protesters. The euro
moved sharply lower throughout the afternoon session, with spot gold
falling away sharply from $1775.80 to around $1760.70/oz. Gold prices
have continued to decline during Asian traded hours this morning,
although prices have been tied to a narrow range so far after
yesterday's third consecutive decline, with the precious metal paring
back from a high of $1765.85 to an intra-day low of $1760.85. Spot gold
is currently trading $1762.10 a troy ounce, down $2.20 on the session.


OIL: November Nymex WTI prices are trading in negative territory
Wednesday after posting a strong recovery the previous day. November WTI
futures ended Tuesday's session $3.06 higher, or 3.4%, at $92.39 a
barrel after rising concerns surrounding the Middle East took centre
stage. Continued tension between Syria and Turkey has generated
speculation that around 400,000 barrels a day of oil shipped to Turkey
from Iraq's northern Kurdistan region could be at risk in a border
skirmish, with possibilities that Iran could support Syria against
Turkey in such a dispute also weighing heavily on the market. In terms
of supply, focus now turns to the American Petroleum Institute weekly
report due to be published later today, delayed by one day by the
Columbus Day holiday. WTI prices have pared back slightly during Asian
traded hours this morning, edging lower from a session high of $92.33 to
hold at an intra-day low of $91.71, with the November contract currently
seen trading $92.03 a barrel, down 36 cents on the session.


NATURAL GAS: Nymex November natural gas prices are trading higher
Wednesday, extending their gains from the previous session. November
natural gas futures ended Tuesday's session up 6.4 cents, or 1.9%, at
$3.467 per million British thermal units (Btu) after falling to a low of
$3.346 per mln Btu early on in the session, with prices reversing higher
backed by a slightly cooler turn in noon computer weather model
projections. Reports of the amended forecast saw prices advance strongly
to the upside just before 1230EDT when a spike in trading volume saw
prices go from $3.36 to above $3.40 in a matter of minutes, with volumes
of above 1000 contracts a minute posted on the exchange. November
natural gas prices have continued to advance during Asian hours this
morning, picking up from an intra-day low of $3.464 to a session high of
$3.507, with the market currently trading $3.500 per mln Btu.



FX: Option expiries for today's 1000EDT cut,
* Euro-dollar; $1.2880, $1.2900, $1.3000, $1.3150(large)
* Dollar-yen; Y78.25, Y78.55, Y78.60, Y79.00
* Euro-yen; Y100.00, Y99.95
* Cable; $1.6000, $1.6050
* Dollar-Swiss; Chf0.9375, Chf0.9350
* Aussie; $1.0115, $1.0150, $1.0250


EUROZONE ISSUANCE: Italy is the final Eurozone country to come to
the T-bill market on Wednesday. Italy plans to sell E3.0bln new 3-month
BOT maturing Jan 14, 2013, and E8.0bln 12-month BOT maturing Oct 14,
2013. To re-cap on Monday Germany sold E2.42bln 6-month Bubill at
average yield -0.0218% and covered 2.3 times, then in the afternoon
France sold a combined total E6.989bln in 3-/6-/12-month T-bills. The
Tresor sold E3.796bln 3-month BTF at average yield -0.018% and covered
3.06 times, E1.595bln 6-month BTF at average yield -0.010% and covered
4.89 times, and E1.598bln 12-month BTF at average yield 0.018% and
covered 3.26 times. On Tuesday Greece sold E1.3bln 26-week T-bill at
average yield 4.46% and covered 1.6 times. Slovenia then allotted
E26.85ml 3-month T-bill at average yield 1.19% and covered 1.7 times and
allotted E62.32mln 6-month T-bill at average yield 2.90% and covered 1.5
times.

ITALY T-BILL AUCTION PREVIEW: The Italian Dipartimento Del Tesoro
issue E3.0bln of a new 3-month BOT maturing Jan 14, 2013 and E8.0bln of
a new 12-month BOT maturing Oct 14, 2013 on Wednesday. The grey market
is currently indicating new 12-month BOT to be around 1.95%,
representing a discount of under 10bps against Sep 13 BOT, which looks a
little rich. At the last 12-month BOT auction back on Sep 12, the Tesoro
sold E9.0bln at average yield of 1.692% with cover 1.65 times. As for
the new 3-month BOT, grey market is indicating mid-yield of 0.90%, and
represents a 4bps discount on current Jan 14 BOT, looks a little cheap.
At the last 3-month BOT auction, also on Sep 12, the Tesoro sold E3.0bln
at average yield of 0.70% and cover of 2.25 times. Demand could be
weaker and tails wider than average at the auction as there will only be
a E7.7bln BOT redemption on Oct 15, leaving net cash flow negative to
the tune of E3.3bln. Results due to be announced around 0910GMT.

GERMAN AUCTION PREVIEW: The Deutsche Finanzagentur re-opens its
5-year benchmark 0.50% Oct 2017 Bobl issue Wednesday for up to E4.0bln.
The issue trades at 0.538% mid-yield or a roll of +12bps versus the old
0.50% Apr 2017 Bobl issue. The auction is seen underpined by strong
reinvestment flows that are due from Germany this week, which includes
redemption for E16.0bln and coupon payment for E1.35bln. In addition,
historic results have been decent. At the inaugural auction on Sep 12,
E3.972bln was alloted at average yield of 0.61%, covered 1.4 times, with
Buba retaining 20.6% of the sale. Prior to this, it was sold on Aug 1
where E3.354bln of the old 0.50% Apr 2017 Bobl was alloted at record
low average yield of 0.31%, and then covered an impressive 2.6 time,
with the Buba retaining just 16.2% of the sale. This issue is expected
to be re-opened again on Nov 7 for E4.0bln also Nov 28 for E3.0bln,
according to the DFA's auction calendar. Auction results are due after
auction bidding close at 0930GMT.



EARNINGS: Some of biggest names to report Q3 earnings include:
Date Company Estimate/share
Oct 11 Safeway Inc $0.43
Oct 12 JPMorgan Chase $1.19
Oct 12 Wells Fargo & Co $0.87
Oct 15 Charles Schwab Corp $0.17
Oct 15 Citigroup $0.97
Oct 16 Coca-Cola Co $0.50
Oct 16 Goldman Sachs Group $2.42
Oct 16 Intel Corp $0.50
Oct 17 State Street Corp $0.96
Oct 17 US Bancorp $0.74
Oct 17 Bank of New York Mellon $0.54
Oct 17 American Express Co $1.08
Oct 17 Bank of America Corp $0.16
Oct 17 eBay Inc $0.54
Ostatnio zmieniony 10 paź 2012, 08:51 przez niemiaszek, łącznie zmieniany 1 raz.
... zbieraj pips do pipa bo jak nie to z depo będzie lipa... G."niemiaszek"

Awatar użytkownika
Nowy123
Fanatyk
Fanatyk
Posty: 19955
Rejestracja: 13 sie 2012, 16:43

Re: DayTrading 10.10.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: Nowy123 »

ahaha zaniaza dan z spolke USA standardow procedura byle by pokazac ze sa lepsze coz wybory :) i drukowane dane o stopie bezrobocia :)

Awatar użytkownika
rabit
Pasjonat
Pasjonat
Posty: 1139
Rejestracja: 02 gru 2011, 01:10

Re: DayTrading 10.10.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: rabit »

:idea:
Nie masz wymaganych uprawnień, aby zobaczyć pliki załączone do tego posta.
Ze mnie dupa nie trejder!!! :D

Scorpiman
Pasjonat
Pasjonat
Posty: 517
Rejestracja: 21 kwie 2011, 18:43

Re: DayTrading 10.10.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: Scorpiman »

niemiaszek pisze:Hello


EUROPE: A fairly light calendar is seen for Wednesday, although again
data is largely second tier on both sides of the Atlantic. European data
starts at 0645GMT, when French August industrial production data is
release, followed at 0800 GMT with the release of the Italian industrial
output numbers. In between, at 0700GMT, ECB Governing Council member
Jens Weidmann is to give opening the remarks at a Bundesbank conference
in Frankfurt. Other speakers at the conference include Bundesbank board
member Carl-Ludwig Thiele (0720GMT) and ECB Executive Board member Peter
Praet at 1230GMT.



US: The US calendar starts at 1100GMT, when MBA Mortgage Application
Index for the Oct 5th week are released. At 1400GMT, the US August
Wholesale Inventories data are released, along with the July JOLTS Labor
Turnover Survey. 1800GMT sees perhaps the main data release for the day,
when the Federal Reserve's Beige Book hits screens. Two Fed speakers are
up later in the session. At 1845GMT, Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank
Pres. Naryana Kocherlakota speaks to business and community leaders in
Montana, and after will answer questions from the audience. At 2045GMT,
Dallas Federal Reserve Bank Pres. Richard Fisher speaks to the Cato
Institute conference and after will answer questions of the audience and
the media. The conference title is "Europe's Crisis and the Welfare
State: Lessons for the United States."


EURO-DOLLAR: Closed in NY at $1.2879 after rate extended its corrective
pullback (off post Friday's NFP highs of $1.3072) through the NY session
to a low of $1.2859. Rate touched an early high at $1.2885 in Asian
trading before turning lower again, influenced by early Japanese sales
of euro-yen, followed by decent sales of euro-Aussie on demand seen for
a syndicated Australian government bond. Rate eased through the NY base
before finding initial support at $1.2850, the rate then recovered to
$1.2876. Another round of selling emerged to press rate below $1.2850,
the move triggering stops which extended lows to $1.2835. Recovery has
seen rate edge to $1.2864 ($1.2866 76.4% $1.2876-35) ahead of the
European open. Bids said to remain in place at $1.2835, a break to
expose the 200-dma at $1.2823 ahead of Oct1 lows at $1.2804. Decent
demand linked to these technical levels seen placed between $1.2820/00.
Resistance now seen at $1.2875/85, a break to allow for a move toward
$1.2900. Industrial production from France and Italy provides the data
interest, with France Hollande meeting Spain Rajoy also in focus.

MNI EURO-DOLLAR: Fundamental levels (orders, options, technicals)
$1.2990/000 Strong offers/$1.2991
$1.2960/65 Medium offers
$1.2930 Medium offers
$1.2905/10 Stops
$1.2885/900 Medium offers
$1.2885 Int.Day high Asia
$1.2862 ***Current mkt rate 0622GMT Wednesday
$1.2835 Int.Day low Asia
$1.2823 Terch 200-dma
$1.2820-00 Strong demand/Stops/$1.2804 Oct1 low
$1.2780 Medium demand
$1.2760/50 Medium demand/$1.2758 61.8% $1.2502-1.3172
$1.2739 Tech rising trend line sppt from Jul24


CABLE: Closed in NY at $1.6000 after rate had trailed euro-dollar's
deeper decline to $1.5975 (61.8% $1.5826-1.6217), the move lower
provided some buoyancy by euro-sterling extending its corrective
pullback away from stg0.80995 to stg0.8042, closing below a key tech
level at stg0.8058. Cable posted an early high into Asian trade at
$1.6003 before again trailing euro-dollar lower, the rate meeting
support ahead of its NY low at $1.5976. The reluctant move lower allowed
the cross to extend its pullback to stg0.80335, though was holding back
at stg0.8040 into Europe. Cable recovered off lows, trading around
$1.5994 into Europe. No UK data on today's calendar so moves to come
from outside influence.Cable support remains in place at $1.5975, a
break to allow for a deeper move toward $1.5950 ahead of $1.5920
($1.5918 76.4%). Resistance $1.6000/10 with stops above, a break to
allow for a move toward $1.6025/30 with stronger interest noted between
$1.6045/55.


AUSSIE: The aussie has recouped earlier losses and is up at $1.0220
vs $1.0205 U.S. close as local equities pared losses and the Shanghai
Composite rose. RBC Capital strategists say they are still biased toward
accumulating aussie on dips despite disappointing consumer sentiment
report which supports more RBA rate cut expectations. They note iron ore
prices rose another 6%+, notching a cumulative gain of around 35% from
the early-September lows and in Jul/Aug, the selloff in iron ore led
the eventual selloff in aussie by about six weeks. "A lead time of six
weeks would suggest AUD begins responding to the rally in iron ore
soon," they wrote in a note. Near-term resistance for the aussie comes
in at the 100dma at 1.0259 while support is at the 1.0149/50 level,
which corresponds with the recent low, they say.


GOLD: Spot gold prices are trading modestly lower Wednesday extending
their losses from the previous day. Spot gold ended Tuesday's session
$10.65 lower at $1764.30/oz as bullion prices came under pressure in
observation of some continued strength from the US dollar. Europe's
ongoing debt crisis also took its toll on risk assets, with German
Chancellor Angela Merkel making no promise of additional aid for Greece
after her visit to the country was greeted by angry protesters. The euro
moved sharply lower throughout the afternoon session, with spot gold
falling away sharply from $1775.80 to around $1760.70/oz. Gold prices
have continued to decline during Asian traded hours this morning,
although prices have been tied to a narrow range so far after
yesterday's third consecutive decline, with the precious metal paring
back from a high of $1765.85 to an intra-day low of $1760.85. Spot gold
is currently trading $1762.10 a troy ounce, down $2.20 on the session.


OIL: November Nymex WTI prices are trading in negative territory
Wednesday after posting a strong recovery the previous day. November WTI
futures ended Tuesday's session $3.06 higher, or 3.4%, at $92.39 a
barrel after rising concerns surrounding the Middle East took centre
stage. Continued tension between Syria and Turkey has generated
speculation that around 400,000 barrels a day of oil shipped to Turkey
from Iraq's northern Kurdistan region could be at risk in a border
skirmish, with possibilities that Iran could support Syria against
Turkey in such a dispute also weighing heavily on the market. In terms
of supply, focus now turns to the American Petroleum Institute weekly
report due to be published later today, delayed by one day by the
Columbus Day holiday. WTI prices have pared back slightly during Asian
traded hours this morning, edging lower from a session high of $92.33 to
hold at an intra-day low of $91.71, with the November contract currently
seen trading $92.03 a barrel, down 36 cents on the session.


NATURAL GAS: Nymex November natural gas prices are trading higher
Wednesday, extending their gains from the previous session. November
natural gas futures ended Tuesday's session up 6.4 cents, or 1.9%, at
$3.467 per million British thermal units (Btu) after falling to a low of
$3.346 per mln Btu early on in the session, with prices reversing higher
backed by a slightly cooler turn in noon computer weather model
projections. Reports of the amended forecast saw prices advance strongly
to the upside just before 1230EDT when a spike in trading volume saw
prices go from $3.36 to above $3.40 in a matter of minutes, with volumes
of above 1000 contracts a minute posted on the exchange. November
natural gas prices have continued to advance during Asian hours this
morning, picking up from an intra-day low of $3.464 to a session high of
$3.507, with the market currently trading $3.500 per mln Btu.



FX: Option expiries for today's 1000EDT cut,
* Euro-dollar; $1.2880, $1.2900, $1.3000, $1.3150(large)
* Dollar-yen; Y78.25, Y78.55, Y78.60, Y79.00
* Euro-yen; Y100.00, Y99.95
* Cable; $1.6000, $1.6050
* Dollar-Swiss; Chf0.9375, Chf0.9350
* Aussie; $1.0115, $1.0150, $1.0250


EUROZONE ISSUANCE: Italy is the final Eurozone country to come to
the T-bill market on Wednesday. Italy plans to sell E3.0bln new 3-month
BOT maturing Jan 14, 2013, and E8.0bln 12-month BOT maturing Oct 14,
2013. To re-cap on Monday Germany sold E2.42bln 6-month Bubill at
average yield -0.0218% and covered 2.3 times, then in the afternoon
France sold a combined total E6.989bln in 3-/6-/12-month T-bills. The
Tresor sold E3.796bln 3-month BTF at average yield -0.018% and covered
3.06 times, E1.595bln 6-month BTF at average yield -0.010% and covered
4.89 times, and E1.598bln 12-month BTF at average yield 0.018% and
covered 3.26 times. On Tuesday Greece sold E1.3bln 26-week T-bill at
average yield 4.46% and covered 1.6 times. Slovenia then allotted
E26.85ml 3-month T-bill at average yield 1.19% and covered 1.7 times and
allotted E62.32mln 6-month T-bill at average yield 2.90% and covered 1.5
times.

ITALY T-BILL AUCTION PREVIEW: The Italian Dipartimento Del Tesoro
issue E3.0bln of a new 3-month BOT maturing Jan 14, 2013 and E8.0bln of
a new 12-month BOT maturing Oct 14, 2013 on Wednesday. The grey market
is currently indicating new 12-month BOT to be around 1.95%,
representing a discount of under 10bps against Sep 13 BOT, which looks a
little rich. At the last 12-month BOT auction back on Sep 12, the Tesoro
sold E9.0bln at average yield of 1.692% with cover 1.65 times. As for
the new 3-month BOT, grey market is indicating mid-yield of 0.90%, and
represents a 4bps discount on current Jan 14 BOT, looks a little cheap.
At the last 3-month BOT auction, also on Sep 12, the Tesoro sold E3.0bln
at average yield of 0.70% and cover of 2.25 times. Demand could be
weaker and tails wider than average at the auction as there will only be
a E7.7bln BOT redemption on Oct 15, leaving net cash flow negative to
the tune of E3.3bln. Results due to be announced around 0910GMT.

GERMAN AUCTION PREVIEW: The Deutsche Finanzagentur re-opens its
5-year benchmark 0.50% Oct 2017 Bobl issue Wednesday for up to E4.0bln.
The issue trades at 0.538% mid-yield or a roll of +12bps versus the old
0.50% Apr 2017 Bobl issue. The auction is seen underpined by strong
reinvestment flows that are due from Germany this week, which includes
redemption for E16.0bln and coupon payment for E1.35bln. In addition,
historic results have been decent. At the inaugural auction on Sep 12,
E3.972bln was alloted at average yield of 0.61%, covered 1.4 times, with
Buba retaining 20.6% of the sale. Prior to this, it was sold on Aug 1
where E3.354bln of the old 0.50% Apr 2017 Bobl was alloted at record
low average yield of 0.31%, and then covered an impressive 2.6 time,
with the Buba retaining just 16.2% of the sale. This issue is expected
to be re-opened again on Nov 7 for E4.0bln also Nov 28 for E3.0bln,
according to the DFA's auction calendar. Auction results are due after
auction bidding close at 0930GMT.



EARNINGS: Some of biggest names to report Q3 earnings include:
Date Company Estimate/share
Oct 11 Safeway Inc $0.43
Oct 12 JPMorgan Chase $1.19
Oct 12 Wells Fargo & Co $0.87
Oct 15 Charles Schwab Corp $0.17
Oct 15 Citigroup $0.97
Oct 16 Coca-Cola Co $0.50
Oct 16 Goldman Sachs Group $2.42
Oct 16 Intel Corp $0.50
Oct 17 State Street Corp $0.96
Oct 17 US Bancorp $0.74
Oct 17 Bank of New York Mellon $0.54
Oct 17 American Express Co $1.08
Oct 17 Bank of America Corp $0.16
Oct 17 eBay Inc $0.54

ciekawe $1.3150(large) czyżby chcieli tam dotrzeć??

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niemiaszek
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Posty: 5097
Rejestracja: 08 lis 2010, 15:02

Re: DayTrading 10.10.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: niemiaszek »

Scorpiman pisze:ciekawe $1.3150(large) czyżby chcieli tam dotrzeć??
wydaje mi się, że w tym wypadku to chodzi o to aby aktualna cena była jak najdalej od tego poziomu, bo wtedy większa premia dla tego co wystawiał taka opcję :wink:
... zbieraj pips do pipa bo jak nie to z depo będzie lipa... G."niemiaszek"

Scorpiman
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Posty: 517
Rejestracja: 21 kwie 2011, 18:43

Re: DayTrading 10.10.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: Scorpiman »

niemiaszek pisze:
Scorpiman pisze:ciekawe $1.3150(large) czyżby chcieli tam dotrzeć??
wydaje mi się, że w tym wypadku to chodzi o to aby aktualna cena była jak najdalej od tego poziomu, bo wtedy większa premia dla tego co wystawiał taka opcję :wink:
ale ktoś będzie cchiał zmniejszyć stratę z tej opcji więc będzie starał się podbijać kurs do góry

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