Z nedzy do pieniedzy ..:)

[andy11]

How to use option expiry info

I/we frequently get asked about the relevance of the daily option expiry posts.
I’ve scrolled back through the archives and find that this has been a common question from way before my time here ( just an almost virginal 8 months now ) and so it’s high time that we had a definitive-ish post to which we can all refer.

First off let me say that these contracts are “vanilla” ( for more detail see our jargon busting guide here). This invariably means that the contract will still be “live”/in play until expiry time which is generally designated at 10.00 am NY ( 14.00 GMT) each week day. This is different to a ” barrier” option which is “dead” once breached.

If the prevailing price is close, say 30-50 pips away, and the expiry is large ( $500m + but smaller in less liquid pairs) we can often see the price affected/magnetized as battle ensues from both buyer and seller. We don’t see the details of whether it’s a “put” or “call” but the price action leading up to the event is what we’re really looking for.

There is no precise science to this and any impact will largely depend on the prevailing market sentiment, but yes we can sometimes see a sharp reveral leading into the expiry only to resume previous trend after.

Yesteday’s $1 bln USDJPY expiries for example had a magnetic containing effect on the price action into expiry time and for a while after before then exploding higher. Co-incidence?

There is no rule- of-thumb trading recommendation we can make except to just be aware of these contracts rolling off. There are definitely occasions when it will help to explain prevailing, and subsequent, price action.

There are those, ney many, traders who dismiss any notion of connection/impact but we leave that final judgement to each and every one of you.

[andy11]

obecne pozycje

1.usd//jpy - LL
2.aud/usd - SS

[andy11]

usd/jpy-ciekawe czy cena zrobi powrot na poziom 115,573(na tym poziomie pewnie wielu czeka, dlatego moze sie zdarzyc tak jak czesto ze cena tam nie dojdzie-ale zalozmy 10-30pips wyzej) i rozpocznie marsz dalej na polnoc...

patrzac na wykres kilkudziesiecioletni widac ze LT wypada na poziomie 123-124... daleko prawda, wielu dwuetatowcow bedzie sie nasmiewac oraz pisac te swoje madrosci...
obecna cena wynosi 115,908

[andy11]

Raport z Nowej Zelandii
czytaj dalej: http://www.rbnz.govt.nz/financial_stabi ... ty_report/

[andy11]

Opcje (12.11.2014)

USDJPY: 116.50 (USD 300m) 113.80 ( USD 400m)
EURUSD: 1.2500 (EUR 960m) 1.2540-50 (EUR 403m) 1.2400 (EUR 391m)
GBPUSD: 1.5835 (GBP 263m) 1.5900 1.6000
AUDUSD: 0.8600 (AUD 829m) 0.8660 ( AUD 257m)
USDCAD: 1.1360 (USD 261m) 1.1280 (USD 252m) 1.1255 (USD 275m)
NZDUSD: 7750 (NZD 412m) 0.7820 (NZD 305m) 0.7870 (NZD 316m)

[andy11]

gbp-usd
po publikacji raportu mala hustawka i lup w dol (spadek ponad 140pipek) , kto wyczekal ten zarobil $$..

usd-jpy wykres H1
cena pikuje od wczorajszego szczytu 116,09 po rajdzie z poziomu 115,50, cena w dniu dzisiejszym dotarla do poziomu 114,88 gdzie zatrzymala dalszy spadek srednia 100,srednia 200 znajduje sie na poziomie 113,80 gdzie tez wypada S2, pivot 114,80, S1 114,40, patrzac na D1 punkt zatrzymania widzialal bym na poziomach 113,54, 111,93, 110,64
oczywiscie wszystko moze sie zmienic jak cena zamkniecia bedzie powyzej sredniej 100, ale czy to da sile na dalsze wzrosty.... dobre dane z Ameryki w tym tygodniu napewno daly by impulsu do dalszych wzrostow, oczywiscie pierdki pana Abe tez by pomogly....ale to takie moje przemyslenia...

aud-usd oraz nzd-usd
spokojne parki bardzo przewidyalne dajace godziwe nagrody....

[andy11]

GBP-usd

poziom ktory moze zatrzymac spadek 1.5700-1.5730

[andy11]

Forex Investors May Face $1 Billion Loss as Trade Site Vanishes

The first time Rajibuddin Mandal, a family doctor in Birmingham, England, tried his hand at trading currencies online, he lost 2,000 British pounds. From that experience, he concluded that the foreign-exchange market was too big, too complex and too hazardous for amateur investors like himself. He decided he needed help from the professionals.

One site he found on the Internet in early 2013 seemed to be speaking directly to him. Called secureinvestment.com, the website acknowledged that currency trading was risky.

czytaj dalej: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-11-1 ... ishes.html

[1to1]

Andy zmieniasz branże.
Jakie prognozy na przyszły kwartał?

[andy11]

Andy zmieniasz branże.
Jakie prognozy na przyszły kwartał?

zalezy w jakiej materii....