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21-May-2014 22:01
AUSSIE TECHS: Closes Below 55-DMA
*RES 4: $0.9335 - High May 20
*RES 3: $0.9310 - 21-DMA
*RES 2: $0.9275 - Hourly resistance May 20
*RES 1: $0.9250 - 55-DMA
*PRICE: $0.9233 @2000GMT
*SUP 1: $0.9205 - Low May 2
*SUP 2: $0.9172 - 200-DMA
*SUP 3: $0.9100 - 100-DMA
*SUP 4: $0.8997 - Low Mar 20
*COMMENTARY: The move lower continued on Wednesday with it having paused ahead
of the May 2 low so far. Bears remain firmly focused on a break lower that
initially targets the 200-DMA and then the 100-DMA. Bulls need to see a close
above $0.9275 to confirm an easing of bearish pressure whereas a close above the
21-DMA is needed to shift overall focus higher. Daily studies have corrected
back to more neutral levels and are no longer an issue.
21-May-2014 22:11
KIWI TECHS: $0.8501-18 Support Region
*RES 4: $0.8695 - High May 15
*RES 3: $0.8655 - High May 16
*RES 2: $0.8620 - Hourly resistance May 20, 21-DMA
*RES 1: $0.8601 - 55-DMA
*PRICE: $0.8561 @2000GMT
*SUP 1: $0.8518 - Low Apr 29
*SUP 2: $0.8501 - Low Mar 20
*SUP 3: $0.8480 - 38.2% Fibonacci 0.8052-0.8745
*SUP 4: $0.8462 - 100-DMA
*COMMENTARY: The kiwi finally broke lower, taking out and closing below both the
21-DMA ($0.8622) and 55-DMA ($0.8598) on Tuesday before continuing the move
lower yesterday. Immediate focus has seen bears now initially targeting the
$0.8501-18 region and then the $0.8440-60 region overall. Bulls need to see a
close back above the $0.8620 level to ease the renewed bearish pressure.
21-May-2014 22:25
AUSSIE-KIWI TECHS: Below NZ$1.0728 Initially Targets NZ$1.0644
*RES 4: NZ$1.0908 - 38.2% Fibonacci 1.1579-1.0476
*RES 3: NZ$1.0878 - High May 14
*RES 2: NZ$1.0858 - High May 19
*RES 1: NZ$1.0836 - Hourly resistance May 20
*PRICE: NZ$1.0783 @ 2000GMT
*SUP 1: NZ$1.0753 - 100-DMA
*SUP 2: NZ$1.0728 - Low May 7
*SUP 3: NZ$1.0701 - 21 day lower Bollinger band
*SUP 4: NZ$1.0644 - Low May 27
*COMMENTARY: The pair has worked its way through the NZ$1.0792-1.0810 support
region with bears now firmly focused on the NZ$1.0728-55 region and a break
lower seeing the NZ$1.0644 May 27 low. Bulls need a close above NZ$1.0836 to
ease the current bearish pressure and a close above NZ$1.0858 to shift focus
back to 2014 highs. Daily tech studies are heading lower from O/B levels and add
weight to the bearish case.
21-May-2014 22:40
AUSSIE-YEN TECHS: Focus Remains On 100 & 200-DMA's
*RES 4: Y95.22 - Alternating hourly support/resistance
*RES 3: Y94.78 - High May 20
*RES 2: Y94.28 - Low May 5 now resistance
*RES 1: Y93.98 - Hourly resistance May 20
*PRICE: Y93.72 @2000GMT
*SUP 1: Y93.33 - 100-DMA
*SUP 2: Y92.85 - 200-DMA
*SUP 3: Y91.18 - Low Mar 17
*SUP 4: Y90.05 - Monthly low Mar 3
*COMMENTARY: Following on from the sharp break and close below the 55-DMA on
Tuesday the pair continued the move lower Wednesday with a brief dip below the
100-DMA. Bears now need to see a close above the Y93.98-94.28 region to ease
bearish pressure and see focus shift higher to retests of the 21-DMA. Immediate
focus remains on the 100 & 200-DMA's with a close below the 200-DMA then seeing
the Y91.18 low from Mar 17.
21-May-2014 22:50
EURO-AUSSIE TECHS: 200-DMA Caps On First Attempt
*RES 4: A$1.5103 - 100-DMA
*RES 3: A$1.5021 - High Apr 29
*RES 2: A$1.4935 - 55-DMA
*RES 1: A$1.4874 - 200-DMA
*PRICE: A$1.4813 @ 2000GMT
*SUP 1: A$1.4706 - High May 19 now support
*SUP 2: A$1.4560 - 2014 Low May 15
*SUP 3: A$1.4510 - 21 week lower Bollinger band
*SUP 4: A$1.4476 - High Nov 13 2013 now support
*COMMENTARY: The hesitation around the recent fresh 2014 lows has been followed
up with a bounce that has seen the pair break back above the 21-DMA only to run
out of steam at the 200-DMA hurdle. Overall bears look for a close below $1.4706
to reconfirm bearish focus and retarget 2014 lows. Bulls now look for a close
above the 200-DMA to confirm a break higher with immediate focus shift to the
55-DMA.
