Eur/Usd H4
Para walutowa wytraciła tempo i ma szansę na realizację korekty jako fala 4 . Górne ograniczenie w kanale trendowym będzie hamować barierę popytową zaś najbliższe wsparcie to ok. 1.28.
DayTrading: Poniedziałek 20.05.2013
Re: DayTrading: Poniedziałek 20.05.2013
Nie masz wymaganych uprawnień, aby zobaczyć pliki załączone do tego posta.
If you do not have the patience and discipline to wait for conditions with a high probability outcome according to your trade plan, you are not a trader. You are a game player with no respect for rules.
Re: DayTrading: Poniedziałem 20.05.2013
Gratuluje widać awatar lubi właścicielaNowy123 pisze:pozamykane S z PIatku na U Jpikenie oplcalao sie wziac
Re: DayTrading: Poniedziałek 20.05.2013
majowa prognoza udsjpy
Nie masz wymaganych uprawnień, aby zobaczyć pliki załączone do tego posta.
-
ZielonaMgielka
- Maniak
- Posty: 2976
- Rejestracja: 15 lis 2012, 11:00
Re: DayTrading: Poniedziałek 20.05.2013
Zazwyczaj ramie jest ponizej ostatniego HIGH w przypadku H&S. Moze Zeuss coas wiecej powie na ten tematpr7emo pisze:majowa prognoza udsjpy
Jeszcze nie czas na sprzedaz. Reakcja rynku na dane z Japonii jest taka jak reakcja S&P na slabe dane z sektora pracy. To pretekst do sprzedazy dla detalistow ale interes instytucjonalny nadal moze stworzyc dobre warunki do dystrybucji pare figur wyzej.
-
niemiaszek
- Przyjaciel Forum
- Posty: 5097
- Rejestracja: 08 lis 2010, 15:02
Re: DayTrading: Poniedziałek 20.05.2013
Hello
Monday sees a very quiet calendar, with many European centres set to enjoy the
Whitsun holidays, although markets remain open. The main focus for the week will
be testimony on the Hill from Fed Chairman Bernanke and minutes from the Fed,
RBA and BOE.
EU:The only event on the European calendar is the release of the Italian March
industrial orders numbers.
GREECE: The head of Germany's IfO says Greece will leave the euro within the
next few years, the Times reports. Hans Werner Sinn says Greek electorate will
not accept austerity measures for an extended period, noting they will soon turn
ti radical parties seeking an exit from the EMU block, the paper says.
GREECE: Greek public companies set for sale under privatisation plans will have
to return EU structural fund payments, eKathimerini reports and is likely to
further delay the programme.
SLOVENIA: Fitch Ratings downgraded Slovenia's rating late
Friday by 1 notch to BBB+ from A-; and left outlook negative. Fitch
noted following reasons for the downgrade: 1. The macroeconomic and
fiscal outlook has deteriorated significantly since Fitch's last rating
review in Aug 2012. Fitch now forecasts a 2% contraction in real GDP in
2013 and -0.3% in 2014. 2. Fitch forecasts that the general government
deficit (GGD, net of bank recapitalisation costs) will rise to 5% of GDP
in 2013 from 4% in 2012, against a target set down in the end-2012
budget law of 2.8%. Fitch now projects that a larger GGD than
previously expected. 3. "A significant divergence between official &
Fitch estimates of bank recapitalisation costs. 4. The new intermim
coalition government is comprised of disparate parties whose agendas
sometimes conflict, and whose term may not extend beyond mid-2014. This
could hamper its ability to respond to economic shocks. S&P rates
Slovenia at A- (stable) and Moody's at Ba1 (neg outlook).
EUROPEAN PRESS: Prime Minister Antonis Samaras said the Greek government would
offer any Chinese national investing more than E250,000 in real estate in Greece
a five-year residence permit without having to fulfill any other criteria, the
Kathimerini reported. Greece also aims to offer bigger investors citizenship in
a bid to attract investment from China, the report said. Samaras's pledge came
as he prepared to conclude his first official visit to the Asian country.
UK: Late UK data sees the release of the April Markit Household Finance Index
numbers at 2300GMT
UK PRESS: The Times says UK PM Cameron is likely to face further pressure from
back benchers on Monday, as more parts of the Government's legislation plans
come under attack, the Times reports. The paper says unrest over the same-sex
marriage proposals are set to undermine further Cameron's authority.
UK PRESS: Officials in Downing St are "conceding" that UKIP could come first in
the European elections next year, the Times says, as attempts by PM Cameron to
sop the defection of Tory voters seems to be missing the mark.
UK PRESS: Employees in the UK are more insecure over employment prospects than
at any time in the last 20 years, the FT reports. The paper adds public sector
workers are more concerned about job losses than those in the private sector.
UK PRESS: The UK's Manufacturing Advisory Service says growth expectations for
UK manufacturers is at a 12-month high, the Independent reports. The group's
quarterly barometer found 93% on companies planned staff hiring or retention
plans, with "two-thirds" expecting increased sales.
UK PRESS: The FT says low global interest rates are failing to fuel an M&A boom,
as companies instead access bond markets to refinance and pay dividends.
UK PRESS: The Ernst & Young Item club says higher inflation is likely to prove
sticky in the UK, warning the issue could soon dent the credibility of incoming
BOE head Mark Carney, the Times says. E&Y says higher inflation could re-emerge
as higher wages appear.
US: The US calendar is also light, with little on the calendar. At 1330GMT, the MNI
Capital Goods Index for the May 17 week will be released, followed by the MNI
Retail Trade Index data for the May 18 period.
At 1700GMT, the Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Charles Evans is
scheduled to give a speech on the outlook to the CFA Society in Chicago.
The week ahead will feature housing data, minutes of the last meeting of the
Federal Open Market Committee and the bi-annual testimony from Federal Reserve
Chairman Ben Bernanke.
Bernanke will testify before the Congressional Joint Economic Committee
Wednesday, discussing current monetary policy and the state of the economy.
The softening of both inflationary pressure and job growth in recent months have
tempered expectations for an upcoming "tapering" of open market purchases by the
Fed, though Federal Reserve members continue to note that the latest data likely
represent a blip, not a new trend. Bernanke's testimony could refine the
conventional knowledge of how the Fed views the latest news, particularly as it
relates to asset purchases.
The minutes of the last meeting of the FOMC will also be released Wednesday and
could shed additional light on how and when members will adjust purchases.
EURO SUMMARY: Euro-dollar closed NY Friday at $1.2839 after recovering off a
session low of $1.2797. Rate was marked lower into opening Asian trade, opening
the session at $1.2821 before marking lows at $1.2817. Rate bounced to $1.2849
as main Asian centres opened, only to get knocked back to $1.2820 as yen spiked
higher on reported Amari comments 'yen strength has been largely corrected',
dropping euro-yen 150 points from its open. Recovery in yen pairs relieved the
early pressure with euro-dollar able to edge its way to an overnight high of
$1.2852 before it settled between $1.2840/45 into Europe. Whitsun holiday seen
in some European centres and expected to add to a usually subdued Monday trading
session. Sovereign demand seen placed on approach to $1.2800 ($1.2797 Friday
low), with talk of stronger interest between $1.2790/70 ahead of $1.2750. Offers
$1.2850/60, $1.2890/00 with weak stops above. If stops triggered to expose next
band of resistance between $1.2910/20. A very light EZ data calendar with most
turning focus toward Thursday's release of flash PMI's as well as Friday's
Germany Ifo (forward looking after recent weak GDP). Wednesday Bernanke
testimony to the JEC and FOMC Minutes Wednesday seen key to dollar direction.
STERLING SUMMARY: Cable closed in NY Friday at $1.5169, just off session lows of
$1.5158. Recovery extended into Asia, the rate able to edge to $1.5202 before it
got sold back to $1.5166 as yen spiked higher on the back of Tokyo reaction to
Amari comments 'yen strength has been largely corrected'. However, buyers
quickly emerged in yen crosses to take advantage of the dip which allowed cable
to edge back above $1.52 and onto $1.5207. Rate dipped to $1.5188 but had
settled back around $1.5200 into Europe. Euro-sterling, which had seen recovery
highs of stg0.8461 in NY, off session lows of stg0.8430 (Thursday lows
stg0.8420), consolidated this correction between stg0.8447/59 through Asia,
opening Europe at stg0.8455. A light UK domestic data calendar with focus this
week on Tuesday CPI, MPC Minutes Wednesday (no change expected in the 9-0 rates
unchanged, 6-3 for QE unchanged). Retail sales and Q1 GDP second reading due
Thursday. Cable demand remains in place on approach to $1.5150, more between
$1.5130/20. Resistance $1.5210/20, $1.5250, $1.5260/65.
YEN SUMMARY: Dollar-yen pushed up to Y103.32 Friday before closing the week
around Y103.20. Rate opened slightly lower at Y103.12 and continued its
corrective pullback in early Asia before Tokyo opened and dropped the rate down
to Y101.97 as the market reacted to reported comments from the Economics
Minister Amari saying that, 'it is being said that the correction of the strong
yen largely completed,' adding that 'if the yen weakened a lot more it will have
negative impact on peoples' lives.' Buyers quickly emerged into the dip allowing
the rate to push back to Y102.92, despite Japan upgrading its economic
assessment for the first time in two months, but seen more as a reaction to the
strong close on Wall St, with the Japanese retail market leading the demand off
lows. Traders noted that the recovery encountered decent offers placed above
Y102.90, with talk in Asia that sell interest seen dotted from here through
Friday's high and onto Y103.50. Rate eased off recovery highs, settling around
Y102.60 into Europe. Euro-yen tracked dollar-yen, dropping from Y132.30 (NY
close Y132.50) to Y131.00, recovered to Y132.10, settling between Y131.80/90
into Europe. BOJ, Bernanke testimony and FOMC Minutes in focus Wednesday.
JAPAN STOCKS CLOSE: Japan's benchmark stocks are higher again Monday, with the
Nikkei 225 ending at a fresh record 5-year closing high and just shy of the best
intraday levels. The Nikkei 225 was higher by 222.69 points, or 1.47%, at
15360.81. Into the close, the broader-based TOPIX was higher by 15.9 points at
1269.14. Market breadth indicators saw 162 issues higher, 53 lower and 12
unchanged. Preliminary volume stood at 3.32 bn shares.
JAPAN PRESS: Around 2,200 Japanese firms whose fiscal years end in March are
expected to pay out a total of about Y6.37 trillion in dividends for the fiscal
year ending in March 2014, up 9% from the previous fiscal year, the Nikkei
reported. About one out of four firms is expected to raise or resume dividend
payments in the current fiscal year. If the forecast for fiscal 2013 holds, the
payout will surpass the record-high Y6.16 trillion reached in fiscal 2007, the
report said.
JAPAN PRESS: Many say the yen's excessive strength has been largely "corrected,"
and further weakness could be harmful, Japan's economy minister said Sunday,
suggesting the Japanese government may be happy with the currency's current
level, the Nikkei reported at the weekend. Economy minister Akira Amari, who was
speaking on a Sunday television talk show, responded to a question on how far
the yen should weaken, "it's being said that the correction of the strong yen is
largely completed. If the yen keeps on weakening a lot more, it will have a
negative impact on peoples' lives."
OPTIONS: FX: Option expiries for today's 1000ET cut,
* Euro-dollar; $1.2750, $1.2800, $1.2825, $1.2840, $1.2850, $1.2860, $1.2900,
$1.2930
* Dollar-yen; Y101.50, Y102.00, Y102.50, Y103.00
* Cable; $1.5150, $1.5300
* Euro-Swiss; Chf1.2410, Chf1.2425
* Aussie; $0.9700, $0.9750, $0.9825, $0.9845, $0.9850
* Aussie-yen; Y101.00
EUROZONE ISSUANCE: Eurozone sovereign bond issuance this week is expected to
slow down substantially to around E10.0bln vs YTD record weekly supply E36.69bln
last week. Slovakia kicks off issuance on Monday with tap of the floater 2016
SLOVGB218 and 3.375% 2024 SLOVGB223 issues, where Ardal estimates reasonable
bids at E100mln each issue, respectively. On Wednesday, Germany launches a new
10-year benchmark May 2023 Bund for up to E5.0bln. On Thursday, Spain returns to
the bond market after successful launch of its syndicated new 10-year bond on
Tuesday for E7.0bln. The Tesoro Publico re-opens its 3-year benchmark 3.30% July
2016 Bono, 5-year benchmark 4.50% Jan 2018 Bono and 15-year benchmark 5.90% July
2026 Obligacion issue -- size details are due to be announced on Monday for an
expected size of up to E4.5bln. In terms of reinvestment flows, there are no
redemptions due next week, with moderate coupon payments from Greece E0.5bln and
Austria E0.1bln - leaves net cash flow negative to the tune of E9.5bln vs
-E36.3bln last week. For full details of forthcoming issues, please see eurozone
bond auction calendar & MNI Eurozone Net Cash Flow Matrix.
EUROZONE ISSUANCE: Possible sovereign syndicated deals still in the pipeline
also include Belgium, Italy and Spain. Belgium has in the past launched three
new benchmark bonds every year since 2008 and so far only sold two syndicated
deals -- 5-/10-year benchmark OLO issues this year. Possible candidates include
15 or 30-year OLO issues, as existing benchmark have outstanding sizes of
E16.639bln and E12.373bln, respectively. Spain is likely to issue a new 15-year
benchmark bond issue by syndication -- if market conditions are stable according
to Ignacio Fernandez-Palomero Morales, Spain's deputy head of the Treasury and
head of funding and debt management who told MNI in March. The issue comes in
the wake of recent successful launch of new 10-year benchmark 10-year issue. In
addition, Italy is planning to launch a new 10-year linker bond later year,
according to Italian debt chief Maria Cannata who told MNI in March.
EUROZONE T-BILL ISSUANCE: Eurozone Sovereign T-bill issuance for this week are
planned from France, Spain, Netherlands and ESM. Supply is estimated to be
around E14.4bln, down from E21.416bln issued last week. First up on Monday
afternoon will be France with plans to tap 3-month Aug 14 BTF for between
E3.6-E4.0bln, tap 6-month Oct 31 BTF for between E1.3-E1.7bln and tap 12-month
Apr 30, 2014 BTF for between E1.3-E1.7bln. On Tuesday, Spain plan to re-open
3-month Aug 23 Letra and re-open 9-month Feb 21, 2014 Letra, with size set to be
announced on Monday. Netherlands plan to tap 3-month Aug 30 DTC for between
E1.0-E2.0bln and tap 6-month Nov 29 DTC for between E1.0-E2.0bln. Finally the
European Stability Mechanism (ESM) plan to issue new 6-month Nov 21 Bill for up
to E2.0bln. In terms of T-bill redemptions for this week, we have France
E7.387bln, Ireland E500mln and Germany E3.0bln giving potential negative net
cash flow of E3.5bln.
EUROZONE: Timeline of key events in the eurozone for this week:
- May 20 Greek Bond redemption for E5.59bln
- May 20 Ireland T-bill redemption for E500mln
- May 21 Spain sells 3-/9-month T-bills
- May 21 Bundesbank issues monthly report
- May 21 Belgium Mar Target2 data and central bank lending figures
- May 21 ECB to publish Consolidated Financial Statement of the Eurosystem
- May 22 European Council Summit in Brussels
- May 22/24 ICMA Annual General Meeting - ESM Frankel speaks
- May 22 Portugal bond redemption for 5.45% 2013 bond for E5.829bln
- May 23 EMU May flash manufacturing/services PMI
- May 23 ECB Draghi speak on "The future of Europe in Global Economy", London
- May 23 Spain bond auction
- May 23 French President Hollande speech at SPD jubilee event in Leipzig
- May 23 Cyprus President Anastasiades meets EU Barroso in Brussels
- May 25 German Merkel to meet China PM Li in Berlin
US: Timeline of key events in the US for the next few days:
- May 20 UST announces 4wk at 1100ET
- May 20 Tsy Cpn Purch Feb 15 2036-Feb 15 2043 $1.25-$1.75b
- May 20 UST auctions 3/6m bills at 1130ET
- May 20 Fed Evans (voter) at CFA Society in Chicago at 1300ET
- May 21 Freddie Mac to announce Reference Note issuance
- May 21 Tsy Lew testifies on FSOC to Senate Banking Committee at 1000ET
- May 21 Tsy Cpn Purch Aug 15 2020-May 15 2023 $2.75-$3.50b
- May 21 UST auctions 4wk at 1130ET
- May 21 Fed Bullard (voter) in Frankfurt at 1130ET
- May 21 Fed Pres Dudley at Japan Society in NY at 1300ET
- May 22 Fed Chair Bernanke testifies before Joint Economic Committee at 1000ET
- May 22 Tsy Lew testifies on FSOC to House Finl Svcs Committee at 1000ET
- May 22 Tsy Cpn Purch Feb 15 2036-May 15 2043 $1.25-$1.75b
- May 22 ECB Exec Board Praet at Peterson Inst in Washington at 1230ET
- May 22 FOMC Meeting Minutes from May 1 at 1400ET
Monday sees a very quiet calendar, with many European centres set to enjoy the
Whitsun holidays, although markets remain open. The main focus for the week will
be testimony on the Hill from Fed Chairman Bernanke and minutes from the Fed,
RBA and BOE.
EU:The only event on the European calendar is the release of the Italian March
industrial orders numbers.
GREECE: The head of Germany's IfO says Greece will leave the euro within the
next few years, the Times reports. Hans Werner Sinn says Greek electorate will
not accept austerity measures for an extended period, noting they will soon turn
ti radical parties seeking an exit from the EMU block, the paper says.
GREECE: Greek public companies set for sale under privatisation plans will have
to return EU structural fund payments, eKathimerini reports and is likely to
further delay the programme.
SLOVENIA: Fitch Ratings downgraded Slovenia's rating late
Friday by 1 notch to BBB+ from A-; and left outlook negative. Fitch
noted following reasons for the downgrade: 1. The macroeconomic and
fiscal outlook has deteriorated significantly since Fitch's last rating
review in Aug 2012. Fitch now forecasts a 2% contraction in real GDP in
2013 and -0.3% in 2014. 2. Fitch forecasts that the general government
deficit (GGD, net of bank recapitalisation costs) will rise to 5% of GDP
in 2013 from 4% in 2012, against a target set down in the end-2012
budget law of 2.8%. Fitch now projects that a larger GGD than
previously expected. 3. "A significant divergence between official &
Fitch estimates of bank recapitalisation costs. 4. The new intermim
coalition government is comprised of disparate parties whose agendas
sometimes conflict, and whose term may not extend beyond mid-2014. This
could hamper its ability to respond to economic shocks. S&P rates
Slovenia at A- (stable) and Moody's at Ba1 (neg outlook).
EUROPEAN PRESS: Prime Minister Antonis Samaras said the Greek government would
offer any Chinese national investing more than E250,000 in real estate in Greece
a five-year residence permit without having to fulfill any other criteria, the
Kathimerini reported. Greece also aims to offer bigger investors citizenship in
a bid to attract investment from China, the report said. Samaras's pledge came
as he prepared to conclude his first official visit to the Asian country.
UK: Late UK data sees the release of the April Markit Household Finance Index
numbers at 2300GMT
UK PRESS: The Times says UK PM Cameron is likely to face further pressure from
back benchers on Monday, as more parts of the Government's legislation plans
come under attack, the Times reports. The paper says unrest over the same-sex
marriage proposals are set to undermine further Cameron's authority.
UK PRESS: Officials in Downing St are "conceding" that UKIP could come first in
the European elections next year, the Times says, as attempts by PM Cameron to
sop the defection of Tory voters seems to be missing the mark.
UK PRESS: Employees in the UK are more insecure over employment prospects than
at any time in the last 20 years, the FT reports. The paper adds public sector
workers are more concerned about job losses than those in the private sector.
UK PRESS: The UK's Manufacturing Advisory Service says growth expectations for
UK manufacturers is at a 12-month high, the Independent reports. The group's
quarterly barometer found 93% on companies planned staff hiring or retention
plans, with "two-thirds" expecting increased sales.
UK PRESS: The FT says low global interest rates are failing to fuel an M&A boom,
as companies instead access bond markets to refinance and pay dividends.
UK PRESS: The Ernst & Young Item club says higher inflation is likely to prove
sticky in the UK, warning the issue could soon dent the credibility of incoming
BOE head Mark Carney, the Times says. E&Y says higher inflation could re-emerge
as higher wages appear.
US: The US calendar is also light, with little on the calendar. At 1330GMT, the MNI
Capital Goods Index for the May 17 week will be released, followed by the MNI
Retail Trade Index data for the May 18 period.
At 1700GMT, the Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Charles Evans is
scheduled to give a speech on the outlook to the CFA Society in Chicago.
The week ahead will feature housing data, minutes of the last meeting of the
Federal Open Market Committee and the bi-annual testimony from Federal Reserve
Chairman Ben Bernanke.
Bernanke will testify before the Congressional Joint Economic Committee
Wednesday, discussing current monetary policy and the state of the economy.
The softening of both inflationary pressure and job growth in recent months have
tempered expectations for an upcoming "tapering" of open market purchases by the
Fed, though Federal Reserve members continue to note that the latest data likely
represent a blip, not a new trend. Bernanke's testimony could refine the
conventional knowledge of how the Fed views the latest news, particularly as it
relates to asset purchases.
The minutes of the last meeting of the FOMC will also be released Wednesday and
could shed additional light on how and when members will adjust purchases.
EURO SUMMARY: Euro-dollar closed NY Friday at $1.2839 after recovering off a
session low of $1.2797. Rate was marked lower into opening Asian trade, opening
the session at $1.2821 before marking lows at $1.2817. Rate bounced to $1.2849
as main Asian centres opened, only to get knocked back to $1.2820 as yen spiked
higher on reported Amari comments 'yen strength has been largely corrected',
dropping euro-yen 150 points from its open. Recovery in yen pairs relieved the
early pressure with euro-dollar able to edge its way to an overnight high of
$1.2852 before it settled between $1.2840/45 into Europe. Whitsun holiday seen
in some European centres and expected to add to a usually subdued Monday trading
session. Sovereign demand seen placed on approach to $1.2800 ($1.2797 Friday
low), with talk of stronger interest between $1.2790/70 ahead of $1.2750. Offers
$1.2850/60, $1.2890/00 with weak stops above. If stops triggered to expose next
band of resistance between $1.2910/20. A very light EZ data calendar with most
turning focus toward Thursday's release of flash PMI's as well as Friday's
Germany Ifo (forward looking after recent weak GDP). Wednesday Bernanke
testimony to the JEC and FOMC Minutes Wednesday seen key to dollar direction.
STERLING SUMMARY: Cable closed in NY Friday at $1.5169, just off session lows of
$1.5158. Recovery extended into Asia, the rate able to edge to $1.5202 before it
got sold back to $1.5166 as yen spiked higher on the back of Tokyo reaction to
Amari comments 'yen strength has been largely corrected'. However, buyers
quickly emerged in yen crosses to take advantage of the dip which allowed cable
to edge back above $1.52 and onto $1.5207. Rate dipped to $1.5188 but had
settled back around $1.5200 into Europe. Euro-sterling, which had seen recovery
highs of stg0.8461 in NY, off session lows of stg0.8430 (Thursday lows
stg0.8420), consolidated this correction between stg0.8447/59 through Asia,
opening Europe at stg0.8455. A light UK domestic data calendar with focus this
week on Tuesday CPI, MPC Minutes Wednesday (no change expected in the 9-0 rates
unchanged, 6-3 for QE unchanged). Retail sales and Q1 GDP second reading due
Thursday. Cable demand remains in place on approach to $1.5150, more between
$1.5130/20. Resistance $1.5210/20, $1.5250, $1.5260/65.
YEN SUMMARY: Dollar-yen pushed up to Y103.32 Friday before closing the week
around Y103.20. Rate opened slightly lower at Y103.12 and continued its
corrective pullback in early Asia before Tokyo opened and dropped the rate down
to Y101.97 as the market reacted to reported comments from the Economics
Minister Amari saying that, 'it is being said that the correction of the strong
yen largely completed,' adding that 'if the yen weakened a lot more it will have
negative impact on peoples' lives.' Buyers quickly emerged into the dip allowing
the rate to push back to Y102.92, despite Japan upgrading its economic
assessment for the first time in two months, but seen more as a reaction to the
strong close on Wall St, with the Japanese retail market leading the demand off
lows. Traders noted that the recovery encountered decent offers placed above
Y102.90, with talk in Asia that sell interest seen dotted from here through
Friday's high and onto Y103.50. Rate eased off recovery highs, settling around
Y102.60 into Europe. Euro-yen tracked dollar-yen, dropping from Y132.30 (NY
close Y132.50) to Y131.00, recovered to Y132.10, settling between Y131.80/90
into Europe. BOJ, Bernanke testimony and FOMC Minutes in focus Wednesday.
JAPAN STOCKS CLOSE: Japan's benchmark stocks are higher again Monday, with the
Nikkei 225 ending at a fresh record 5-year closing high and just shy of the best
intraday levels. The Nikkei 225 was higher by 222.69 points, or 1.47%, at
15360.81. Into the close, the broader-based TOPIX was higher by 15.9 points at
1269.14. Market breadth indicators saw 162 issues higher, 53 lower and 12
unchanged. Preliminary volume stood at 3.32 bn shares.
JAPAN PRESS: Around 2,200 Japanese firms whose fiscal years end in March are
expected to pay out a total of about Y6.37 trillion in dividends for the fiscal
year ending in March 2014, up 9% from the previous fiscal year, the Nikkei
reported. About one out of four firms is expected to raise or resume dividend
payments in the current fiscal year. If the forecast for fiscal 2013 holds, the
payout will surpass the record-high Y6.16 trillion reached in fiscal 2007, the
report said.
JAPAN PRESS: Many say the yen's excessive strength has been largely "corrected,"
and further weakness could be harmful, Japan's economy minister said Sunday,
suggesting the Japanese government may be happy with the currency's current
level, the Nikkei reported at the weekend. Economy minister Akira Amari, who was
speaking on a Sunday television talk show, responded to a question on how far
the yen should weaken, "it's being said that the correction of the strong yen is
largely completed. If the yen keeps on weakening a lot more, it will have a
negative impact on peoples' lives."
OPTIONS: FX: Option expiries for today's 1000ET cut,
* Euro-dollar; $1.2750, $1.2800, $1.2825, $1.2840, $1.2850, $1.2860, $1.2900,
$1.2930
* Dollar-yen; Y101.50, Y102.00, Y102.50, Y103.00
* Cable; $1.5150, $1.5300
* Euro-Swiss; Chf1.2410, Chf1.2425
* Aussie; $0.9700, $0.9750, $0.9825, $0.9845, $0.9850
* Aussie-yen; Y101.00
EUROZONE ISSUANCE: Eurozone sovereign bond issuance this week is expected to
slow down substantially to around E10.0bln vs YTD record weekly supply E36.69bln
last week. Slovakia kicks off issuance on Monday with tap of the floater 2016
SLOVGB218 and 3.375% 2024 SLOVGB223 issues, where Ardal estimates reasonable
bids at E100mln each issue, respectively. On Wednesday, Germany launches a new
10-year benchmark May 2023 Bund for up to E5.0bln. On Thursday, Spain returns to
the bond market after successful launch of its syndicated new 10-year bond on
Tuesday for E7.0bln. The Tesoro Publico re-opens its 3-year benchmark 3.30% July
2016 Bono, 5-year benchmark 4.50% Jan 2018 Bono and 15-year benchmark 5.90% July
2026 Obligacion issue -- size details are due to be announced on Monday for an
expected size of up to E4.5bln. In terms of reinvestment flows, there are no
redemptions due next week, with moderate coupon payments from Greece E0.5bln and
Austria E0.1bln - leaves net cash flow negative to the tune of E9.5bln vs
-E36.3bln last week. For full details of forthcoming issues, please see eurozone
bond auction calendar & MNI Eurozone Net Cash Flow Matrix.
EUROZONE ISSUANCE: Possible sovereign syndicated deals still in the pipeline
also include Belgium, Italy and Spain. Belgium has in the past launched three
new benchmark bonds every year since 2008 and so far only sold two syndicated
deals -- 5-/10-year benchmark OLO issues this year. Possible candidates include
15 or 30-year OLO issues, as existing benchmark have outstanding sizes of
E16.639bln and E12.373bln, respectively. Spain is likely to issue a new 15-year
benchmark bond issue by syndication -- if market conditions are stable according
to Ignacio Fernandez-Palomero Morales, Spain's deputy head of the Treasury and
head of funding and debt management who told MNI in March. The issue comes in
the wake of recent successful launch of new 10-year benchmark 10-year issue. In
addition, Italy is planning to launch a new 10-year linker bond later year,
according to Italian debt chief Maria Cannata who told MNI in March.
EUROZONE T-BILL ISSUANCE: Eurozone Sovereign T-bill issuance for this week are
planned from France, Spain, Netherlands and ESM. Supply is estimated to be
around E14.4bln, down from E21.416bln issued last week. First up on Monday
afternoon will be France with plans to tap 3-month Aug 14 BTF for between
E3.6-E4.0bln, tap 6-month Oct 31 BTF for between E1.3-E1.7bln and tap 12-month
Apr 30, 2014 BTF for between E1.3-E1.7bln. On Tuesday, Spain plan to re-open
3-month Aug 23 Letra and re-open 9-month Feb 21, 2014 Letra, with size set to be
announced on Monday. Netherlands plan to tap 3-month Aug 30 DTC for between
E1.0-E2.0bln and tap 6-month Nov 29 DTC for between E1.0-E2.0bln. Finally the
European Stability Mechanism (ESM) plan to issue new 6-month Nov 21 Bill for up
to E2.0bln. In terms of T-bill redemptions for this week, we have France
E7.387bln, Ireland E500mln and Germany E3.0bln giving potential negative net
cash flow of E3.5bln.
EUROZONE: Timeline of key events in the eurozone for this week:
- May 20 Greek Bond redemption for E5.59bln
- May 20 Ireland T-bill redemption for E500mln
- May 21 Spain sells 3-/9-month T-bills
- May 21 Bundesbank issues monthly report
- May 21 Belgium Mar Target2 data and central bank lending figures
- May 21 ECB to publish Consolidated Financial Statement of the Eurosystem
- May 22 European Council Summit in Brussels
- May 22/24 ICMA Annual General Meeting - ESM Frankel speaks
- May 22 Portugal bond redemption for 5.45% 2013 bond for E5.829bln
- May 23 EMU May flash manufacturing/services PMI
- May 23 ECB Draghi speak on "The future of Europe in Global Economy", London
- May 23 Spain bond auction
- May 23 French President Hollande speech at SPD jubilee event in Leipzig
- May 23 Cyprus President Anastasiades meets EU Barroso in Brussels
- May 25 German Merkel to meet China PM Li in Berlin
US: Timeline of key events in the US for the next few days:
- May 20 UST announces 4wk at 1100ET
- May 20 Tsy Cpn Purch Feb 15 2036-Feb 15 2043 $1.25-$1.75b
- May 20 UST auctions 3/6m bills at 1130ET
- May 20 Fed Evans (voter) at CFA Society in Chicago at 1300ET
- May 21 Freddie Mac to announce Reference Note issuance
- May 21 Tsy Lew testifies on FSOC to Senate Banking Committee at 1000ET
- May 21 Tsy Cpn Purch Aug 15 2020-May 15 2023 $2.75-$3.50b
- May 21 UST auctions 4wk at 1130ET
- May 21 Fed Bullard (voter) in Frankfurt at 1130ET
- May 21 Fed Pres Dudley at Japan Society in NY at 1300ET
- May 22 Fed Chair Bernanke testifies before Joint Economic Committee at 1000ET
- May 22 Tsy Lew testifies on FSOC to House Finl Svcs Committee at 1000ET
- May 22 Tsy Cpn Purch Feb 15 2036-May 15 2043 $1.25-$1.75b
- May 22 ECB Exec Board Praet at Peterson Inst in Washington at 1230ET
- May 22 FOMC Meeting Minutes from May 1 at 1400ET
Nie masz wymaganych uprawnień, aby zobaczyć pliki załączone do tego posta.
... zbieraj pips do pipa bo jak nie to z depo będzie lipa... G."niemiaszek"
Re: DayTrading: Poniedziałek 20.05.2013
bo to jest rgr-ek w silnym trendzie wzrostowym, to chyba można dopasować kształt formacji do tego warunku
-
niemiaszek
- Przyjaciel Forum
- Posty: 5097
- Rejestracja: 08 lis 2010, 15:02
Re: DayTrading: Poniedziałek 20.05.2013
EURO-DOLLAR: Fundamental levels (orders, options, technicals)
$1.2993-009 55-dma, $1.2997 40-dma-$1.3009 200-dma
$1.2950 Strong offers on approach/Stops
$1.2942-43 Daily cloud base - May15 high
$1.2930/40 Medium offers/$1.2930 Thursday May16 high
$1.2910/25 Medium offers/Stops
$1.2890/900 Medium offers
$1.2850/60 Medium offers/Stops mixed in to $1.2865
$1.2853 Int.Day high Asia
$1.2848 ***Current mkt rate 0710GMT Monday
$1.2817 Int.Day low Asia
$1.2800 Medium demand/Sovereign interest noted on approach
$1.2797 May17 low
$1.2790-70 Strong demand
$1.2750/35 Tech $1.2745 Apr4-2013 low/Medium demand/Stops
$1.2710/00 Medium demand
$1.2993-009 55-dma, $1.2997 40-dma-$1.3009 200-dma
$1.2950 Strong offers on approach/Stops
$1.2942-43 Daily cloud base - May15 high
$1.2930/40 Medium offers/$1.2930 Thursday May16 high
$1.2910/25 Medium offers/Stops
$1.2890/900 Medium offers
$1.2850/60 Medium offers/Stops mixed in to $1.2865
$1.2853 Int.Day high Asia
$1.2848 ***Current mkt rate 0710GMT Monday
$1.2817 Int.Day low Asia
$1.2800 Medium demand/Sovereign interest noted on approach
$1.2797 May17 low
$1.2790-70 Strong demand
$1.2750/35 Tech $1.2745 Apr4-2013 low/Medium demand/Stops
$1.2710/00 Medium demand
... zbieraj pips do pipa bo jak nie to z depo będzie lipa... G."niemiaszek"
-
ZielonaMgielka
- Maniak
- Posty: 2976
- Rejestracja: 15 lis 2012, 11:00
Re: DayTrading: Poniedziałek 20.05.2013
Mozna tez to na sile dopasowac do klina, triple top i masy innych dziwnych patternow. 102 (obok 102.50) to kluczowy poziom na tej parze. Ewentualne jego przebicie bedzie swietna okazja do wejscia w shorty na pullbaku.pr7emo pisze:bo to jest rgr-ek w silnym trendzie wzrostowym, to chyba można dopasować kształt formacji do tego warunku