DayTrading: Piątek 17.05.2013

[BOCZEK]

łał, spadli 7 pipsów już 3 odrobili, szaleńi czi azjaci

[pr7emo]

etka poniewierają, ejek powinien pójść w ślady

[BOCZEK]

etka

[kashper]

Pożyczyłem sobie wykres. (moje na niebiesko)
http://www.efixpolska.com/C/P/doc/Anali ... iowy.rhtml

[Bemowo]

kangur,

dotarliśmy tam, gdzie zakładałem.

Niestety geometrycznie nie znalazłem miejsca naprzystanek

[niemiaszek]

Hello


EUROPE: The calendar quietens somewhat Friday, although there is data and
central bank speak on both sides of the Atlantic. The calendar gets underway at
0600GMT, with the release of the EMU April ACEA new car registrations numbers.
At 0630GMT, the Bank of France will release its April retail survey numbers.
Then, at 0900GMT, the EMU March construction output data will cross the wires.
Eurozone central bank speakers get under way from 0915GMT, when ECB Executive
Board member Benoit Coeure is slated to speak on the ECB's monetary strategy at
AFSE event, in Orleans, France. At 0930GMT, ECB Executive Board member Joerg
Asmussen to be the guest of honour at a press breakfast, in Berlin. At 1015GMT,
ECB Executive Board member Peter Praet participates in a conference organized by
the Cercle de Lorraine, in Brussels.



UK PRESS: The FT headlines that UK Chancellor George Osborne faces a budget
black hole of stg 9 billion, as government departments have identified only stg
2.5 bn from a needed stg 11.5 bn. However, the paper does add that departmental
discussions are at an early stage and the Treasury is still confident it will
reach targets.

UK PRESS: The BOE has questioned the IMF methodology used in calculating the
Bank stands to lose up to 6% of UK GDP on its QE operations. The BOE notes the
IMF takes no account of capital gains and coupon payments in its calculations.

UK PRESS: A government sale of its stake in Lloyds Banking Group has come a step
closer, the Telegraph reports, as the shares are within a whisker of the break
even point. The government currently holds a 39% stake in the group.

UK PRESS: The head of the CBI, the British industry poressure group, has warned
over the impact on UK business leaving the EU would impose, the Guardian
reports. In an interview with the paper, John Cridland says: "Bing a member of a
reformed EU is the best way to preserve market access."

UK PRESS: UK clearer RBS, 82% owned by the UK taxpayer, is set to cut a further
1400 jobs, largely at their head office in Edinburgh, as the company looks to
map a route back to the private sector, the Independent says.



US/CANADA:The North American calendar gets underway from 1230GMT, with the release of the
Canadian April CPI numbers and the March Wholesale sales data.
The US data calendar starts at 1355GMT, with the release of the May University
of Michigan preliminary Consumer Sentiment data.
The Michigan Sentiment index is expected to rise to a reading of 78.0 in
early-May from the sharply upward revised 76.4 preliminary estimate in April.
Even with that revision, however, the index remained below the March, halting
the upward trend seen to that point in 2013. The Conference Board's confidence
data, however, did rebound in April after a dip in March, suggesting that the
impact of the sequester hit the surveys at different points.
At 1400GMT, the April BLS State Unemployment numbers are set to hit screens,
with the April Leading Indicator numbers expected at the same time.
The index of leading indicators is expected to rise 0.3% in April after falling
0.1% in March. Positive contributions are expected from rising stock prices and
consumer expectations and falling jobless claims.
Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Narayana Kocherlakota is on a panel
on monetary policy and financial regulation at the University of Chicago Booth
School, starting at 1745GMT.




EURO SUMMARY: Euro-dollar closed Thursday's NY session at $1.2881 with early
trade into Asia contained within a tight $1.2880/90 range before the sell off in
the Aussie (and Kiwi) weighed and pressed rate down to an eventual low of
$1.2855 during the Asian afternoon. Rate recovered to settle between $1.2860/65
into Europe. Strong demand again reported between $1.2850/40 with sovereign
interest being linked, a break below to open a deeper move toward $1.2825/20
ahead of $1.2800. Resistance remains at $1.2890/$1.2900 ($1.2900 61.8%
$1.2930-1.2855), a break to open a move toward $1.2913 (late NY recovery high)
ahead of stronger interest placed between $1.2930/40. EZ car production at
0600GMT and EZ construction at 0900GMT the morning's data focus, though a couple
of ECB speakers are also lined up at 1100GMT (Praet and Mersch). US Michigan
Sentiment (1355GMT) the only stand out US data for this afternoon. Euro remains
heavy but into the weekend, and with the lack of tradable data, we could be open
to some recovery effort.

EURO-DOLLAR: Continue to get reports linking demand in the area between
$1.2850/40 to sovereign interest, with one trader also noting Chinese names on
bid at $1.2840. Stops are getting confirmed below $1.2840. Rate currently trades
around $1.2859, off traded lows at $1.2850.


STERLING SUMMARY: Cable closed in NY Thursday at $1.5268 after rate had
performed a decent recovery off intraday lows of $1.5197 to a NY high of
$1.5322, pulling back to $1.5258 before a slight recovery into the close. Early
demand into Asia extended the recovery to $1.5282, settling during the early
part of thr session between $1.5275/80 before getting pressed lower on reaction
to the heavy sell off in the Aussie and Kiwi. Rate sold off to $1.5236 before
meeting support, settling around $1.5250 into Europe. Euro-sterling seen as the
main driver in cable moves, the rate having broken under support at stg0.8435/25
Thursday to a low of stg0.8421, with trade in Asia consolidating this move
between stg0.8433/40. Traders now focus on the stg0.8400/0.8390 support area, a
break here could potentially open a deeper move toward stg0.8300. A very light
UK domestic calendar with BOE MPC member Martin Weale due to speak at 0930GMT
(Birmingham). Cable support seen into $1.5225/20, a break to open a deeper move
toward $1.5200/1.5190 with stops below. Resistance $1.5280, $1.5300 and
$1.5320/25.



YEN SUMMARY: Dollar-yen closed in NY Thursday at Y102.23 after rate had
corrected off an intraday high of Y102.68 to Y101.83 before recovering into the
close. Rate came under renewed pressure into early Asia, trading down to Y102.08
before recovering to Y102.38 and settling between Y102.20/35 through the Asian
afternoon. Rate took the strong sell off in Aussie and Kiwi in its stride,
despite talk of Japanese retail investors being seen as heavy sellers of
Aussie-yen. However, talk surfaced that funds were not being repatriated and
were likely heading toward high yielders like Mexico. Strong demand said to
remain in place into Y101.80, with decent sized stops noted below. Further
demand then seen into Y101.50. Offers remain in place from Y102.75 and said to
extend through to barrier interest at Y103.00 (though size of sell interest here
not to the extent it was at the beginning of the week). Euro-yen trade was
confined to a range of Y131.48/82, opening Europe around Y131.63. Asian traders
mention a build up of system linked stops below Y130.90.

JAPAN STOCKS CLOSE: Japan's benchmark stocks are higher again Friday, with the
Nikkei 225 ending just shy of a fresh record 5-year high. The Nikkei 225 was
higher by 100.88 points, or 0.67%, at 15138.12. Into the close, the
broader-based TOPIX was higher by 8.56 points at 1253.79. Market breadth
indicators saw 165 issues higher, 54 lower and 6 unchanged. Preliminary volume
stood at 2.8 bn shares.


OPTIONS: FX: Option expiries for today's 1000ET cut,
* Euro-dollar; $1.2825, $1.2865, $1.2900, $1.2940, $1.2950, $1.3000
* Dollar-yen; Y101.50, Y101.60, Y102.00, Y102.50, Y103.00. Exotic Y103.00 KO
* Cable; $1.5200
* Euro-sterling; stg0.8400
* Dollar-Swiss; Chf0.9675
* Dollar-Canada; C$1.0230, C$1.0300



EUROZONE ISSUANCE: There is no sovereign issuance in the eurozone scheduled
Friday after Belgium cancelled its Optional Reverse Inquiry (ORI) bond auction.
Overall, sovereign bond supply has totalled a YTD record weekly size E36.69bln
after Spain launched a new 10-year syndicated bond on Tuesday for E7.0bln and
Italy's new 30-year benchmark BTP for E6.0bln. This compares to E14.89bln total
supply issued last week. As a recap, Italy kicked off supply on Monday, with tap
of its 3-year benchmark 2.25% May 2016 BTP for E3.5bln, off-the-run 4.50% Mar
2026 BTP for E1.5bln and new floater Nov 2018 CCTeu for E3.0bln. On Wednesday,
Germany launched a new 2-year benchmark 0.00% June 2015 Schatz issue for up
E5.0bln. On Thursday, France tapped its 2-year benchmark 0.25% Nov 2015 OAT,
off-the-run 3.75% Apr 2017 OAT and 5-year benchmark 1.00% May 2018 OAT issues
for E7.988bln along with linker issues -- 0.25% July 2018 OATei, 1.30% July 2019
OATi, 0.25% July 2024 OATei for E1.192bln. In terms of reinvestment flows, there
was a dearth of redemptions this week, with moderate coupon payments from Italy
E0.435bln and Belgium E0.01bln - leaves net cash flow negative to the tune of
E36.3bln vs -E14.8bln last week.

EUROZONE ISSUANCE: Looking ahead into next week, eurozone sovereign issuance is
expected to slow down substantially to around E10.0bln vs YTD record weekly
supply E36.69bln this week. Slovakia kicks off issuance on Monday with tap of
the floater 2016 SLOVGB218 and 3.375% 2024 SLOVGB223 issues, where Ardal
estimates reasonable bids at E100mln each issue, respectively. On Wednesday,
Germany launches a new 10-year benchmark May 2023 Bund for up to E5.0bln. On
Thursday, Spain returns to the bond market after successful launch of its
syndicated new 10-year bond on Tuesday for E7.0bln. Whilst a tap of this new
10-year issue is a bit too soon, most strategists expect re-opening of the
3-year benchmark 3.30% July 2016 Bono, 5-year benchmark 4.50% Jan 2018
Obligacion and also possible 30-year benchmark 4.70% July 2041 Obligacion issue
-- the Tesoro Publico is due to announce auction details today and size details
on Monday for an expected size of up to E4.5bln. In terms of reinvestment flows,
there are no redemptions due next week, with moderate coupon payments from
Greece E0.5bln and Austria E0.1bln - leaves net cash flow negative to the tune
of E9.5bln vs -E36.3bln last week.

EUROZONE T-BILL ISSUANCE: Eurozone sovereign T-bill issuance has been completed
for this week, with E21.416bln allocated by Germany, France, Spain, Greece,
Belgium, Slovenia, Portugal and Ireland compared to E24.993bln allotted last
week. To recap auctions so far this week, on Monday Germany sold E3.82bln
6-month bubill at average yield 0.0013%. In the afternoon France sold E4.195bln
3-month BTF at average yield 0.005%, E1.995bln 6-month BTF at average yield
0.014% and E1.795bln 12-month BTF at average yield 0.033%. On Tuesday Spain sold
E1.013bln 6-month Letra at average yield 0.492% and E3.034bln 12-month Letra at
average yield 0.994%. Greece sold E1.3bln 13-week T-bill at average yield 4.02%.
Belgium sold E404mln 3-month TC at average yield of -0.001% and E1.555bln
12-month TC at average yield 0.056%. Slovenia sold E19.75mln 3-month T-bill at
average price 99.875 and E34.95mln 6-month T-bill at average price 99.247. On
Wednesday Portugal sold E500mln 6-month T-bill at average yield 0.811% and
E1.25bln 12-month T-bill at average yield 1.232%. On Thursday Ireland sold
E500mln 3-month T-bill at average yield 0.129%. T-bill issuance expected to fall
next week with plans from France, Spain, Netherlands & ESM totalling E16.0bln.

EUROZONE: Timeline of key events in the eurozone for next few weeks:
- May 15/19 Greek PM Samaras travels to China
- May 16 EU Rehn speaks on global trade relations in Helsinki
- May 17 Greece Apr Target2 data and central bank lending figures
- May 17 Portugal T-bill redemption for E2.398bln
- May 17 Spain T-bill redemption for E5.684bln
- May 17 Greek T-bill redemption for E1.6bln
- May 20 Greek Bond redemption for E5.59bln
- May 20 Ireland T-bill redemption for E500mln
- May 21 Spain sells 3-/9-month T-bills
- May 21 Belgium Mar Target2 data and central bank lending figures
- May 22 European Council Summit
- May 22 Portugal bond redemption for 5.45% 2013 bond for E5.829bln
- May 23 Spain bond auction
- May 28 Italy CTZ/linker auction
- May 29 European Commission response to Spanish govt fiscal consolidation plan

[home21]

co powiesz na 0.9580? zawrotka albo przynajmniej korekta?

[overall]

łał, spadli 7 pipsów już 3 odrobili, szaleńi czi azjaci

Skosni lecą w sajgonki. Widac ze nie dane a dodruk tutaj króluje. Ten wczorajszy mizerny spadek po tak fatalnych danych mowil wszystko. Dzisiaj za wiele danych z usa nie mamy to tez pewnie ciezko bedzie o jakies spadki

[Bemowo]

eur aud

miejsca kolejnych przystanków

ten w czerwonej ramce najbardziej mi odpowiada

[rajdel]

łał, spadli 7 pipsów już 3 odrobili, szaleńi czi azjaci

Skosni lecą w sajgonki. Widac ze nie dane a dodruk tutaj króluje. Ten wczorajszy mizerny spadek po tak fatalnych danych mowil wszystko. Dzisiaj za wiele danych z usa nie mamy to tez pewnie ciezko bedzie o jakies spadki

Dzisiaj wystapienia publiczne: 3 x EBC i 1 x Fed, dolar powinien się umacniać dzisiaj, więc może pobujać ale nie musi.