DayTrading: Poniedziałek 13.05.2013

Dyskusje na temat aktualnej sesji: komentarze, analizy, opinie.

Prognoza EURUSD na dzisiaj

Czas głosowania minął 13 maja 2013, 22:46

Wzrost
30
61%
Bez zmian
4
8%
Spadek
15
31%
 
Liczba głosów: 49

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kashper
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Rejestracja: 11 mar 2013, 20:16

Re: DayTrading: Poniedziałek 13.05.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: kashper »

No to chyba mamy wreszcie czyjąś rzetelną aukcję systemu forex. Ten ktoś nie oddaje go za bezcen, "szanuje" swoją widzę i odpowiednio wysoko ją ceni.
Czy można mu zaufać? Wysoka cena = wysoka jakość?
Niektórzy tak sądzą.
Kto sprawdzi?
http://allegro.pl/forex-system-daje-sre ... 15868.html

Obrazek
Jeden TF daje wystarczająco dużo wątpliwości co do kierunku przyszłego ruchu.
O dywersyfikacji + wypłaty + statystyki + podsumowanie z pierwszego dziennika

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roberttheus
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Rejestracja: 28 gru 2011, 21:52

Re: DayTrading: Poniedziałek 13.05.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: roberttheus »

a niech to w dupę teraz to już nie mam nic do stracenia albo zaraz spadamy na eur/aud albo kończę z forexem
windsurfing na falach trendu

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molmomas
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Re: DayTrading: Poniedziałek 13.05.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: molmomas »

cierpliwości młody człowieku, może spadniemy potem, rgr jeszcze nie zanegowane.
Money flow.
"pips to the people"

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roberttheus
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Re: DayTrading: Poniedziałek 13.05.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: roberttheus »

teraz jest gra o to czy przebije 1.3 na moje 80/20 wynosi prawdopodobieństwo że po danych z chin im się to uda
windsurfing na falach trendu

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niemiaszek
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Re: DayTrading: Poniedziałek 13.05.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: niemiaszek »

Hello


EU:With G7 finance ministers and central bankers out of London, the calendar
quietens somewhat Monday, with a lack of data in Europe.
Central bankers fly from London to Switzerland for the latest meeting of the
BIS.
Eurozone finance ministers meet for the Eurogroup in Brussels on Monday night
and will have a lot to discuss given the continuing growth slippage in the zone
and the push from many states for more time to hit their budget deficit targets.
A final decision on the Commission recommendation that these states get two more
years to get their deficits down to 3% will not come until the Eurogroup meets
in June or July, however.
They are also set to approve the next tranches of aid payment for both Greece
and Cyprus.
The limited European data calendar gets underway at 0630GMT, with the release of
the Bank of France business survey.
At 1230GMT, German Chancellor Angela Merkel is set to give a speech at a
conference on sustained development, in Berlin. Wage talks for Germany's
metalworking and engineering sector continue in southwestern German city of
Boeblingen, getting underway at 1300GMT.
At 1315GMT, German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble will give a speech at a
tax advisers conference, in Dresden

GERMANY: German FinMin Schaueble says a single "EU bailout fund and rescue fund"
is legally untenable. Writing in the FT, Schaueble says there is a need for a
"two-step approach" that would leave any qualifying bank rescues in the hands of
an appropriate "network" of national authorities.


G7: The Group of Seven leading economies reaffirmed their commitment to focusing
on domestic policy goals and not targeting exchange rates, and their differences
on fiscal policy have been exaggerated, UK Chancellor of the Exchequer George
Osborne says. The UK currently holds the rotating G7 presidency, and Osborne put
a positive gloss on the meeting here, downplaying splits over fiscal policy and
highlighting areas of agreement. Earlier, Canadian Finance Minister Jim Flaherty
said some concerns were raised over exchange rates. However, Osborne said all
the G7 countries are sticking by their pledges not to aim for currency
devaluations.

G7: Finance ministers and central bank governors from the Group of Seven
industrialized nations have reiterated their strong commitment to not targeting
exchange rates, seemingly to be satisfied - for the time being at least - that
Japan's controversial reflationary strategy does not breach this key rule of the
advanced economies club. As expected, the G7 money men's meeting was low key,
helped by the UK host's decision to return the forum to its informal roots and
not to issue a joint communique.



UK PRESS: The economy in London and the South-East is showing solid signs of
recovery, the Guardian reports, but says the recovery is two-speed and much of
the country is being left behind, deepening the divide across the country.

UK PRESS: UK Opposition leader Ed Milliband will today argue a referendum on the
UK's membership of Europe is "wrong" saying the UK should stay at the heart of
Europe and the Labour Party will argue for the national interest.

UK PRESS: The Independent on Sunday said HSBC could announce further global job
losses later this week, as the group looks to push foward as a "leaner, more
streamlined bank."

UK PRESS: The latest CBI report suggests the UK econony is set to grow 1% in
2013 and the 2% next year, the Independent reports

UK PRESS: The Bank of England's Quarterly Inflation Reports, due this week and
Sir Mervyn King's last as Governor, could see the BOE raise its growth targets
for the year at the same time as lowering inflation forecasts, the Telegraph
reports.

UK PRESS: The position of some UK ministers and their stance on Europe became
clearer at the weekend, with two Tory Cabinet ministers saying they would back
withdrawing from Europe in a referendum if the UK's relationship with the EU
remained as it is, the FT reports.



US: The US April Retail and Food Sales numbers are released at
1230GMT. Retail sales are forecast to fall 0.3% in April, with motor vehicle
growth a bit slower. AAA already reported that gasoline fell slightly in the
month, a negative for non-auto retail sales, which are forecast to also decline
0.3%. Sales excluding both motor vehicles and gasoline would be expected to be
soft for the second straight month.
At 1330GMT, the MNI Capital Goods Index for the May 10 week will
be released, followed at 1430GMT by the MNI Retail Trade Index data for the May
11 week.
In between, at 1400GMT, the March Business Inventories data will cross the
wires. Inventories are expected to rise 0.2% in March, with factory inventories
already reported flat and wholesale inventories up 0.4%, suggesting that
analysts expect retail inventories to post a modest increase. Retail sales fell
0.6% in March before revisions.




EURO SUMMARY: Closed in NY Friday at $1.2989 after rate had managed to recover
off extended lows of $1.2936. The absence of any aggressive communication out of
the weekend G7, they reaffirmed their commitment to refrain from deliberately
weaken currencies through monetary policies without making any reference to
recent moves in Japan, and along with the release of the much rumoured piece
from WSJ Hilsenrath which reported that the FOMC has mapped out a strategy for
winding down QE, acted to boost the dollar into Asian trade Monday.
Euro-dollar
was marked down to $1.2969 at the open, touching an early low of $1.2947 before
settling between $1.2960/80 through the balance of the session once Tokyo had
opened and acted to quell the early volatility. Support remains at Friday's low
of $1.2935 (61.8% $1.2745-1.3243), a break to open a deeper move toward $1.2900.
Resistance $1.2980, more into $1.2995/1.3000. A light EZ data calendar Monday,
with attention more on official comment following on from the weekend G7 and
reported comment over the weekend by ECB Draghi and Germany Schaeuble concerning
the option of ABS purchases.


EURO-DOLLAR: Extends recovery to $1.2988 (closing the gap left from Friday's NY
close to the Asia $1.2969 open) in early European trade, though move fails to
prompt any increased upside momentum. Offers are seen into $1.3000, a break to
open a move toward $1.3015/20 ahead of stronger interest between $1.3040/50.
Rate currently trades back at $1.2977. Friday's close below the 200-dma
($1.2993, today $1.2995), as well as the close below the 40-dma at $1.3002 (seen
focal for CTA's), is seen keeping the recent underlying negative tone in place.


STERLING SUMMARY: Cable closed in NY Friday at $1.5358 after recovering off lows
of $1.5315. Rate had been pressed lower through Friday's session, extending its
corrective pullback off recent highs of $1.5589, as the dollar performed a
general recovery based off improved employment data. Trade in Asia consolidated
Friday's move with dealing contained within a range of $1.5337/66, recovering
off that low to currently trade around $1.5361 into Europe. Euro-sterling was
squeezed lower into early Asia as it reacted to euro-dollar's mark down into the
new session, the rate touching a low of stg0.8440 before bouncing to stg0.8452
then settling around stg0.8450 through the session and into Europe. A light
domestic calendar in the UK, the CBI issuing a report earlier in the day noting
that the UK economy is improving, though at a slower pace, with moves today to
come from outside influences. Wednesday's BOE Inflation Report (King's last) has
market expecting the Bank to revise up its growth forecasts a little and revise
down its inflation outlook.
Cable support remains in place at $1.5315, more
toward $1.5300, with stops seen through $1.5295/90. Resistance $1.5366 (50%
$1.5417-1.5315) ahead of $1.5380.


YEN SUMMARY: The weekend G7 meeting concluded without any aggressive
communication, reaffirming their commitment to refrain from deliberately weaken
currencies via monetary policy without highlighting recent actions by Japan,
acted to weaken the yen into early Asian trade, dollar-yen marked up from its NY
Friday close of Y101.62 (after rate had seen session highs of Y101.985) to bring
pressure to bear on the well reported option barrier level at Y102.00. The rate
managed to trade at Y102.05, dipped to Y101.75 before making another run higher,
extending on to Y102.15 into the Tokyo open where the local market met the rise
with decent offers. Talk has suggested option barrier interest at Y102.25, which
has drawn decent sell interest into the Y102.20 level, while others note offers
in euro-yen at 132.40 as also aiding the resistance. Rate slipped back to spend
the balance of the session between Y101.80/95, before fund sales into early
Europe extended the corrective pullback to Y101.60. Recovery efforts have been
shallow, touching Y101.75 before extending lows to Y101.58. Bids reported into
Y101.50 ahead of Y101.25/20 and Y101.00. Resistance remains ahead of barrier
interest at Y102.25, with larger barrier interest noted at Y102.50 and Y103.00.

JAPAN STOCKS CLOSE: Japan's benchmark stocks are higher Monday, again ending at
a fresh 5-year high. The Nikkei 225 was higher by 174.67 points, or 1.20%, at
14782.21. Into the close, the broader-based TOPIX was higher by 20.14 points at
1230.74. Market breadth indicators saw 137 issues higher, 82 lower and 6
unchanged. Preliminary volume stood at 3.44 bn shares.


OPTIONS: FX: Option expiries for today's 1000ET cut,
* Euro-dollar; $1.2950, $1.3050, $1.3070, $1.3085, $1.3100
* Dollar-yen; Y100.00, Y101.50, Y102.35, Y102.50
* Cable; $1.5400, $1.5550
* Euro-Swiss; Chf1.2365
* Aussie; $0.9900, $0.9970, $1.0000, $1.0065, $1.0145
* Dollar-Canada; C$1.0085



EUROZONE ISSUANCE: Sovereign bond issuance in the eurozone is scheduled from
France, Germany, Italy and the Netherlands this week-- total supply is estimated
to be E24.5bln vs E14.89bln last week. Italy kicks off supply on Monday, with
tap of its 3-year benchmark 2.25% May 2016 BTP for between E2.5bln-E3.5bln,
off-the-run 4.50% Mar 2026 BTP for between E750mln-E1.5bln and new floater Nov
2018 CCTeu for between E2.0bln-E2.0bln. On Tuesday, the Dutch State Treasury
Agency (DSTA) re-opens its 5-year benchmark 1.25% Jan 2018 DSL for between
E1.5bln-E2.5bln. On Wednesday, Germany sells a new 2-year benchmark June 2015
Schatz issue for up E5.0bln. On Thursday, France tap 0.25% Nov 2015 OAT, re-open
3.75% Apr 2017 OAT and re-open 1.0% May 2018 OAT for between E7.0bln-E8.0bln.
France will also tap 0.25% Jul 2018 OATei, 1.30% Jul 2019 OATei and 0.25% Jul
2024 OATei for between E0.8bln-E1.2bln. In terms of reinvestment flows, there
are no redemptions due this week, with coupon payments from Italy E0.435bln -
leaves net cash flow negative to the tune of E24.065bln vs -E14.8bln this week.
For full details of forthcoming issues, please see eurozone bond auction
calendar & MNI Eurozone Net Cash Flow Matrix.

EUROZONE T-BILL ISSUANCE: (1) Eurozone Sovereign T-bill issuance for this week
are planned from Germany, France, Spain, Greece, Belgium, Slovenia, Portugal and
possibly Ireland. Supply is estimated to be around E18.5bln, down from
E24.993bln issued last week. First up on Monday will be Germany with plans to
issue new 6-month Nov 13, 2013 for up to E4.0bln. In the afternoon France plan
to issue new 3-month Aug 14 BTF for between E3.8-E4.2bln, tap 6-month Oct 31 BTF
for between E1.6-E2.0bln and tap 12-month Apr 30, 2014 BTF for between
E1.4-E1.8bln. On Tuesday, Spain plan to re-open 6-month Nov 22 Letra and issue
new 12-month May 16, 2014 Letra, with size set to be announced on Monday. Greece
plan to issue new 13-week Aug 16, 2013 T-bill for E1.0bln. Belgium plan to tap
3-month Aug 15 T-bill and issue new 12-month May 15, 2014 T-bill for between
E1.7-E2.1bln. Slovenia plan to re-open 3-month Aug 16 T-bill and issue new
6-month Nov 14 T-bill for up to E60mln. On Wednesday Portugal plan to issue new
6-month Nov 22 T-bill and re-open 12-month May 23, 2014 T-bill for between
E1.5-E1.75bln.

EUROZONE T-BILL ISSUANCE: (2) On Thursday there is a possibility Ireland will
issue new 3-month T-bill for E500mln, details of which would be announced on May
14. In terms of T-bill redemptions for this week, we have France E5.561bln,
Italy E7.0bln, Spain E5.683bln, Greece E1.6bln, Germany E4.0bln, Portugal
E2.398bln, and Belgium E5.846bln giving potential positive net cash flow of
E14.0bln.


ITALY AUCTION PREVIEW: Italy's Dipartimento Del Tesoro plans to tap its 3-year
benchmark 2.25% May 2016 BTP for between E2.5bln-E3.5bln, off-the-run 4.50% Mar
2026 BTP for between E750mln-E1.5bln and new floater Nov 2018 CCTeu for between
E2.0bln-E3.0bln Monday. BTP yields have pared back some of recent moves lower as
the market positions itself ahead of Monday's auction. This will be the first
tap of the new 2.25% May 2016 BTP since it was first issued on Apr 11, 2013 were
E4.0bln was allotted at average yield of 2.29% and covered 1.4 times. Mid-yield
is currently seen at 1.942%. As for the off-the-run 4.50% Mar 2026 BTP,
mid-yield is seen at 4.07%, having pared back some of the gains at the beginning
of May. For comparison at the last auction on Feb 13, E862.5mln was sold at an
average of yield 4.55% and covered 1.59 times. As for the new 5-year Nov 2018
CCTeu floater, this will be the first new floater bond since Mar 29, 2012 and
therefore could see high demand. At the last 5-year CCTeu auction on Apr 11, the
Tesoro sold E1.5bln at average yield 2.74% and covered 1.28 times. There are
small re-investment flows from coupon payments totalling E0.435bln. Auction
results are due around 0910GMT.


GERMAN T-BILL AUCTION PREVIEW: The Deutsche Finanzagentur is planning to issue
up to E4.0bln of a new 6-month Bubill maturing Nov 13, 2013 on Monday. Current
6-month Bubill yield has moderately fallen further below zero since the time of
the last auction, but in the last week or so has begun to par back some of the
move, as market does not expect the ECB to reduce rate, especially in the
near-term. For comparison at the last 6-month T-bill auction back on Apr 8, the
treasury allotted E3.49bln at an average yield of -0.002%, cover of 1.9 times,
and with E510mln or 12.75% retained for secondary market operations. At last
months sale, the 6-month Eonia rate was around 0.081%, therefore giving a spread
of -8.3bps, currently 6-month Eonia is seen around 0.069% level. There will be a
E4.0bln Bubill redemption next week, therefore leaving net cash flow flat.
Results due to be announced shortly after 0930GMT.

FRANCE T-BILL AUCTION PREVIEW: France's Agence France Tresor (AFT) plan to issue
new 3-month Aug 14, 2013 BTF for between E3.8-E4.2bln, tap 6-month Oct 31, 2013
BTF for between E1.6-E2.0bln, and tap 12-month Apr 30, 2014 BTF for between
E1.4-E1.8bln on Monday. The BTF yield curve has bear steepened this week as
market expectation for further ECB interest rate cuts has fallen amid talk of
possible ABS purchases. Yields are trading just above zero, but demand is likely
to remain high. There will be a BTF redemption this week of E5.561bln, leaving
net cash flow negative to the tune of E2.4bln. For comparison on May 6, the AFT
sold E3.999bln 3-month BTF at an average yield of -0.004% with cover of 2.23
times, E2.193bln 6-month BTF at an average yield of 0.001% with cover of 2.61
times, and E1.975bln 12-month BTF at an average yield of 0.018% with cover of
2.07 times. Results due to be announced around 1255GMT.
... zbieraj pips do pipa bo jak nie to z depo będzie lipa... G."niemiaszek"

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Nowy123
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Rejestracja: 13 sie 2012, 16:43

Re: DayTrading: Poniedziałek 13.05.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: Nowy123 »


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roberttheus
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Rejestracja: 28 gru 2011, 21:52

Re: DayTrading: Poniedziałek 13.05.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: roberttheus »

niedzwiedzie sie z lekka obudzily na euraud
windsurfing na falach trendu

rajdel
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Rejestracja: 25 kwie 2013, 00:01

Re: DayTrading: Poniedziałek 13.05.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: rajdel »

roberttheus pisze:niedzwiedzie sie z lekka obudzily na euraud
a jaki spadek przewidujesz?

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richard.cali
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Re: DayTrading: Poniedziałek 13.05.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: richard.cali »

roberttheus pisze:niedzwiedzie sie z lekka obudzily na euraud
ja to bym chciał wiedzieć dwie rzeczy, o czym ty piszesz? i właściwie do kogo to piszesz?...
"Analitycy i brokerzy pozostają, zmieniają się tylko inwestorzy"...Mr. Wong Hong Kong sierpień 2010
W 2012 ZEUSS obalił tezę Wonga :)
2013- Team Zeussa :)

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Tadzio
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Rejestracja: 23 wrz 2012, 21:13

Re: DayTrading: Poniedziałek 13.05.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: Tadzio »

kashper pisze:No to chyba mamy wreszcie czyjąś rzetelną aukcję systemu forex. Ten ktoś nie oddaje go za bezcen, "szanuje" swoją widzę i odpowiednio wysoko ją ceni.
Czy można mu zaufać? Wysoka cena = wysoka jakość?
Niektórzy tak sądzą.
Kto sprawdzi?
http://allegro.pl/forex-system-daje-sre ... 15868.html

Obrazek

OJ To warte uwagi :d

przepraszam za spam

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