DayTrading: Piątek 10.05.2013
Re: DayTrading: Piątek 10.05.2013
żaba, jaki jest najblizszy opor na eurusd m30??
Re: DayTrading: Piątek 10.05.2013
Kabel dziś znowu zjazd 
Nie masz wymaganych uprawnień, aby zobaczyć pliki załączone do tego posta.
"Zawsze rób tak, by było dobrze- bo jak sobie pościelesz, tak się wyśpisz" H. P.
Re: DayTrading: Piątek 10.05.2013
nie rozumiem z czego wynika na Twoim wykresie że kabel znowu zjazd, skoro pokazujesz wzrostowy nanał, który jeszcze nie został wybity,
Proszę mnie oświecić , Dzięki
Proszę mnie oświecić , Dzięki
Money flow.
"pips to the people"
"pips to the people"
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niemiaszek
- Przyjaciel Forum
- Posty: 5097
- Rejestracja: 08 lis 2010, 15:02
Re: DayTrading: Piątek 10.05.2013
Hello
Friday sees the G7 finance ministers and central bankers gathering in the UK for
a weekend summit. There could be some comments from officials today, but the
main statements and press conferences are expected Saturday.
EUROPE:At 0600GMT, the German March trade balance data is expected, followed at 0800GMT
by the release of the Italian March industrial output data.
ITALY: Senior Italian politicians have warned Europe could become a "nightmare"
as austerity and social concerns push voters towards "xenophobic and populist"
parties.
UK: Outside G7, the UK calendar gets underway at 0830GMT, with the release of the
March Trade Balance and the April BOE Quoted Rates data.
At the same time, the UK March Construction Output numbers will cross the wire,
with analysts looking for a confirmation of less worse data seen in recent PMI
surveys.
UK PRESS: The FT says the UK Treasury is likely to face IMF calls to "loosen his
austerity drive", as the institution completes its annual health check of the UK
economy. However, the paper adds the Treasury will not take any criticism lying
down and will "give as good as they get."
UK PRESS: UK house builders Barratt Developments say the UK housing market is in
its strongest position for five years, the Telegraph reports, helped by the
governments latest buyers scheme.
US/CANADA: At 1230GMT, the Canadian April Employment is due.
There is little US data, but Fed officials are due to speak.
At 1330GMT, Federal Reserve Chair Ben Bernanke is set to deliver a speech at a
Chicago Fed banking conference. At 1800GMT, Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank
President Esther George will deliver a speech on the economy in Jackson,
Wyoming.
Late data sees the release of the April Treasury Statement at 1800GMT. The
Treasury is expected to post a $106.5 billion budget surplus in the April tax
month, compared with the $59.1 billion surplus in April 2012. Through the first
six months of the fiscal year, the year-to-date gap for 2013 was about $178
billion narrower than in the same period a year earlier.
EURO SUMMARY: Closed in NY Thursday at $1.3034 after rate had been pressed to
extended pullback lows of $1.3011 after the dollar was given a general boost by
a strong dollar buy program, with the largest demand seen versus the yen. Early
trade in Asia consolidated the corrective pullback with trade contained within a
tight range around $1.3040 before it dipped to session lows of $1.3022,
recovered to again meet resistance ahead of $1.3050 which capped highs at
$1.3047. Rate then settled into a tighter range around $1.3040 for the balance
of the session, trading around $1.3043 into Europe. Asian traders still mention
that we could see dollar recycling from local sovereigns, following on from
recent dollar buys, suggest they may still be interested buyers into dips (have
already been seen overnight selling back into dollar-yen's extended recovery).
Reported demand is seen into $1.3000, a break below to expose next band of
support between $1.2970-50. Above $1.3050 and minor resistance seen into $1.3080
ahead of stronger offers at $1.3100. Germany trade data at 0600GMT provides
early interest, ahead of a light US data calendar, though market could be open
to headline reactions as the G7 FinMin/Central bankers meeting begins.
STERLING SUMMARY: Cable closed in NY Thursday at $1.5442 after rate had been
pressed to lows of $1.5426, the move seen pressured on large dollar program
demand and led by dollar-yen's spike up through Y100.00. This pullback seen
after rate had seen highs earlier in the session of $1.5589 post better than
forecast UK IP/MP, and the reaction to the BOE MPC leaving rates/QE unchanged.
Trade in Asia consolidated this move, trade overnight contained within a tight
range of $1.5437/57, while euro-sterling was held between stg0.8433/47. UK
domestic data includes trade balance and construction output at 0830GMT.
However, after such a big dollar move expect crosses to take prominence in
Europe as these rates adjust, and on this note traders have suggested that the
decent support seen in recent sessions ahead of stg0.8400 could allow for a
stronger recovery, though still seen needing a clear above stg0.8500 to confirm.
Cable demand at $1.5520, $1.5500 ahead of $1.5480 should provide cushioning,
with resistance now seen at $1.5455/65 with stronger interest then noted between
$1.5490/1.5510.
CABLE: Under fresh pressure into early Europe as rate extends pullback lows to
$1.5422 in opening trade (Asia low $1.5437/NY $1.5426), but reported demand into
$1.5420 so far able to cushion. Rate currently trades around $1.5428.
YEN SUMMARY: A reported large dollar-yen buy program executed Thursday was cited
for the rate making its eventual break above Y100.00, the demand said to have
begun from around Y99.40 and extended to Y100.40, with added stops through the
figure adding to the upside pressure as rate marked highs in NY at Y100.79. Rate
initially drifted back to Y100.54 in early Asia before fresh demand emerged into
Tokyo. PRDC related buying, as well as Japanese importers covering shorts after
option interests were knocked out on the move through Y100.00, provided the
early upside push, with triggered stops above Y100.80 initially meeting decent
supply from Asian sovereigns (said to be continuing recent dollar recycling from
intervention activity). The same name cited for the major move Thursday again
emerged to take rate through Y101.00 and on to an extended high of Y101.20, the
rate settling between Y100.85/101.10 into Europe. CitiFX Wire Ichimoku analyst
had suggested resistance into Y101.25 (1999 low) with a break here to expose the
2005 low at Y101.69. Main demand seen back at Y100.35/30 from macro and importer
accounts. Euro-yen extended its recovery highs to Y131.91 in Asia (NY high
Y131.75, closed at Y131.17).
DOLLAR-YEN: Risk appetite continues in Europe with the dollar lifting back
through Y101.00 to Y101.10, as traders assess the overnight move. The Asian high
provides initial resistance at Y101.20, through here and key techs at Y101.45
(Reversal high Apr 2009). Strong offers protect the Y101.50 barrier, a break
triggers large stops opening Y101.90 (3.00% MA envelope top), ahead of the next
barrier at Y102.00.
JAPAN STOCKS CLOSE: Japan's benchmark stocks are lower Friday, ending at a fresh
5-year high. The Nikkei 225 was higher by 416.06 points, or 2.93%, at 14607.54.
Into the close, the broader-based TOPIX was higher by 27.57 points at 1209.40.
Market breadth indicators saw 189 issues higher, 22 lower and 4 unchanged.
Preliminary volume stood at 2.75 bn shares.
OPTIONS: FX: Option expiries for today's 1000ET cut,
* Euro-dollar; $1.2920, $1.3020, $1.3100, $1.3150/55
* Dollar-yen; Y99.00, Y99.25, Y100.00, Y100.50, Y101.00
* Euro-yen; Y130.00
* Cable; $1.5500, $1.5550, $1.5660
* Aussie; $1.0200
EUROZONE T-BILL ISSUANCE: Italy will be the final Eurozone sovereign to come to
the T-bill market on Friday, with plans to issue E3.0bln in new Flexi Dec 19,
2013 BOT and E7.0bln in new 12-month May 14, 2014 BOT. To recap auctions so far
this week, on Monday Netherlands sold E1.27bln 3-month DTC at average yield
-0.039% and sold E1.32bln 6-month DTC at average yield -0.018%. In the
afternoon, France sold E3.999bln 3-month BTF at average yield -0.004%, E2.193bln
6-month BTF at average yield 0.001% and E1.975bln 12-month BTF at average yield
0.018%. On Tuesday the ESM sold E2.936bln new 3-month Aug 11 at average yield
-0.0237%. On Wednesday Greece sold E1.3bln new 26-week T-bill at average yield
4.20%.
ITALY T-BILL AUCTION PREVIEW: The Italian Dipartimento Del Tesoro plan to issue
E3.0bln of a new Flexi Dec 19, 2013 and E7.0bln new 12-month May 14, 2014 BOT on
Friday. BOT yields have continued to fall since the last 12-month auction as ECB
cuts its main refinancing rate and hints at possible further action if required.
Also talk of ECB buying asset backed securities is seen helping the southern
periphery economies, especially Italy. In the grey market, mid-yield on the new
Flexi BOT is seen trading around 0.46%, representing a 4.5bps discount to the
old 12-month Dec 13 BOT. The last Flexi BOT auction was back on Feb 27, 2012 and
therefore not comparable. As for the new 12-month BOT, mid-yield on the grey
market is seen trading around 0.68%, representing a 4.0bps discount to Apr 14
BOT. At the last 12-month auction on Apr 10, The finance ministry sold E8.0bln
at average yield 0.922% and bid-to-cover of 1.64. There will be a E7.0bln BOT
redemption on May 14, leaving net cash flow negative to the tune of E3.0bln,
which could reduce demand. Results due to be announced at around 0905GMT.
EUROZONE: Timeline of key events in the eurozone for next few weeks:
- May 10 ECB Draghi & Asmussen attend G7 in Buckinghamshire, UK
- May 10/11 G7 meeting in in Buckinghamshire, UK
- May 10/11 G8 FinMin & central bank governors meeting in the U.K
- May 10 ECB publishes 3-year LTRO repayment amount for following week
- May 10 Italy sells E7bln 12-month BOTs, E3.0bln flexible BOTs
- May 10 Greek T-bill redemption for E1.6bln
- May 10 Cyprus Apr Target2 data and central bank lending figures
- May 10 Ireland Apr Target2 data and central bank lending figures
- May 13 Eurogroup meeting
- May 13 Italy taps 2016-/2026 BTPs, new Nov 2018 CCTeu for up to E8.0bln
- May 13 Portugal PM Coelho meets Spain PM Rajoy in Madrid
- May 14 EcoFin meeting
- May 14 Spain T-bill 6-/12-month auction
- May 14 Italy T-bill redemption for E7.0bln
- May 14 German May ZEW survey
US: Timeline of key events in the US thus far for 2013:
- May 10 G8 meeting in UK
- May 10 Fed Chair Bernanke at Chicago Fed conf at 0930ET
- May 10 Tsy Cpn Purchases Feb 15 2036-Feb 15 2043 $1.25-$1.75B
- May 10 Fed George (voter) in Jackson, WY at 1400ET
- May 10 Apr Treasury Statement, Apr'12 was +$59.1Bn, CBO est +$112Bn at 1400ET
- May 13 UST announces 4wk at 1100ET - May 13 UST auctions 3/6m bills at 1130ET
- May 14 CBO budget update
- May 14 NY Fed Q1 report on household debt at 1100ET
- May 14 Tsy Cpn Purchases May 15 2020-Feb 15 2023 $2.75-$3.50B
- May 14 Fed Plosser (non-voter) at SNS in Stockholm at 0200ET
- May 14 Fannie Mae to announce Benchmark Note issuance
- May 14 UST auctions 4wk at 1130ET
- May 15 Mar Tsy Intl Capital System at 0900ET
- May 15 Tsy Cpn Purchases Aug 15 2023-Feb 15 2031 $0.75-$1.00B
- May 16 Fed Plosser (non-voter) in Milan at 0345ET
Friday sees the G7 finance ministers and central bankers gathering in the UK for
a weekend summit. There could be some comments from officials today, but the
main statements and press conferences are expected Saturday.
EUROPE:At 0600GMT, the German March trade balance data is expected, followed at 0800GMT
by the release of the Italian March industrial output data.
ITALY: Senior Italian politicians have warned Europe could become a "nightmare"
as austerity and social concerns push voters towards "xenophobic and populist"
parties.
UK: Outside G7, the UK calendar gets underway at 0830GMT, with the release of the
March Trade Balance and the April BOE Quoted Rates data.
At the same time, the UK March Construction Output numbers will cross the wire,
with analysts looking for a confirmation of less worse data seen in recent PMI
surveys.
UK PRESS: The FT says the UK Treasury is likely to face IMF calls to "loosen his
austerity drive", as the institution completes its annual health check of the UK
economy. However, the paper adds the Treasury will not take any criticism lying
down and will "give as good as they get."
UK PRESS: UK house builders Barratt Developments say the UK housing market is in
its strongest position for five years, the Telegraph reports, helped by the
governments latest buyers scheme.
US/CANADA: At 1230GMT, the Canadian April Employment is due.
There is little US data, but Fed officials are due to speak.
At 1330GMT, Federal Reserve Chair Ben Bernanke is set to deliver a speech at a
Chicago Fed banking conference. At 1800GMT, Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank
President Esther George will deliver a speech on the economy in Jackson,
Wyoming.
Late data sees the release of the April Treasury Statement at 1800GMT. The
Treasury is expected to post a $106.5 billion budget surplus in the April tax
month, compared with the $59.1 billion surplus in April 2012. Through the first
six months of the fiscal year, the year-to-date gap for 2013 was about $178
billion narrower than in the same period a year earlier.
EURO SUMMARY: Closed in NY Thursday at $1.3034 after rate had been pressed to
extended pullback lows of $1.3011 after the dollar was given a general boost by
a strong dollar buy program, with the largest demand seen versus the yen. Early
trade in Asia consolidated the corrective pullback with trade contained within a
tight range around $1.3040 before it dipped to session lows of $1.3022,
recovered to again meet resistance ahead of $1.3050 which capped highs at
$1.3047. Rate then settled into a tighter range around $1.3040 for the balance
of the session, trading around $1.3043 into Europe. Asian traders still mention
that we could see dollar recycling from local sovereigns, following on from
recent dollar buys, suggest they may still be interested buyers into dips (have
already been seen overnight selling back into dollar-yen's extended recovery).
Reported demand is seen into $1.3000, a break below to expose next band of
support between $1.2970-50. Above $1.3050 and minor resistance seen into $1.3080
ahead of stronger offers at $1.3100. Germany trade data at 0600GMT provides
early interest, ahead of a light US data calendar, though market could be open
to headline reactions as the G7 FinMin/Central bankers meeting begins.
STERLING SUMMARY: Cable closed in NY Thursday at $1.5442 after rate had been
pressed to lows of $1.5426, the move seen pressured on large dollar program
demand and led by dollar-yen's spike up through Y100.00. This pullback seen
after rate had seen highs earlier in the session of $1.5589 post better than
forecast UK IP/MP, and the reaction to the BOE MPC leaving rates/QE unchanged.
Trade in Asia consolidated this move, trade overnight contained within a tight
range of $1.5437/57, while euro-sterling was held between stg0.8433/47. UK
domestic data includes trade balance and construction output at 0830GMT.
However, after such a big dollar move expect crosses to take prominence in
Europe as these rates adjust, and on this note traders have suggested that the
decent support seen in recent sessions ahead of stg0.8400 could allow for a
stronger recovery, though still seen needing a clear above stg0.8500 to confirm.
Cable demand at $1.5520, $1.5500 ahead of $1.5480 should provide cushioning,
with resistance now seen at $1.5455/65 with stronger interest then noted between
$1.5490/1.5510.
CABLE: Under fresh pressure into early Europe as rate extends pullback lows to
$1.5422 in opening trade (Asia low $1.5437/NY $1.5426), but reported demand into
$1.5420 so far able to cushion. Rate currently trades around $1.5428.
YEN SUMMARY: A reported large dollar-yen buy program executed Thursday was cited
for the rate making its eventual break above Y100.00, the demand said to have
begun from around Y99.40 and extended to Y100.40, with added stops through the
figure adding to the upside pressure as rate marked highs in NY at Y100.79. Rate
initially drifted back to Y100.54 in early Asia before fresh demand emerged into
Tokyo. PRDC related buying, as well as Japanese importers covering shorts after
option interests were knocked out on the move through Y100.00, provided the
early upside push, with triggered stops above Y100.80 initially meeting decent
supply from Asian sovereigns (said to be continuing recent dollar recycling from
intervention activity). The same name cited for the major move Thursday again
emerged to take rate through Y101.00 and on to an extended high of Y101.20, the
rate settling between Y100.85/101.10 into Europe. CitiFX Wire Ichimoku analyst
had suggested resistance into Y101.25 (1999 low) with a break here to expose the
2005 low at Y101.69. Main demand seen back at Y100.35/30 from macro and importer
accounts. Euro-yen extended its recovery highs to Y131.91 in Asia (NY high
Y131.75, closed at Y131.17).
DOLLAR-YEN: Risk appetite continues in Europe with the dollar lifting back
through Y101.00 to Y101.10, as traders assess the overnight move. The Asian high
provides initial resistance at Y101.20, through here and key techs at Y101.45
(Reversal high Apr 2009). Strong offers protect the Y101.50 barrier, a break
triggers large stops opening Y101.90 (3.00% MA envelope top), ahead of the next
barrier at Y102.00.
JAPAN STOCKS CLOSE: Japan's benchmark stocks are lower Friday, ending at a fresh
5-year high. The Nikkei 225 was higher by 416.06 points, or 2.93%, at 14607.54.
Into the close, the broader-based TOPIX was higher by 27.57 points at 1209.40.
Market breadth indicators saw 189 issues higher, 22 lower and 4 unchanged.
Preliminary volume stood at 2.75 bn shares.
OPTIONS: FX: Option expiries for today's 1000ET cut,
* Euro-dollar; $1.2920, $1.3020, $1.3100, $1.3150/55
* Dollar-yen; Y99.00, Y99.25, Y100.00, Y100.50, Y101.00
* Euro-yen; Y130.00
* Cable; $1.5500, $1.5550, $1.5660
* Aussie; $1.0200
EUROZONE T-BILL ISSUANCE: Italy will be the final Eurozone sovereign to come to
the T-bill market on Friday, with plans to issue E3.0bln in new Flexi Dec 19,
2013 BOT and E7.0bln in new 12-month May 14, 2014 BOT. To recap auctions so far
this week, on Monday Netherlands sold E1.27bln 3-month DTC at average yield
-0.039% and sold E1.32bln 6-month DTC at average yield -0.018%. In the
afternoon, France sold E3.999bln 3-month BTF at average yield -0.004%, E2.193bln
6-month BTF at average yield 0.001% and E1.975bln 12-month BTF at average yield
0.018%. On Tuesday the ESM sold E2.936bln new 3-month Aug 11 at average yield
-0.0237%. On Wednesday Greece sold E1.3bln new 26-week T-bill at average yield
4.20%.
ITALY T-BILL AUCTION PREVIEW: The Italian Dipartimento Del Tesoro plan to issue
E3.0bln of a new Flexi Dec 19, 2013 and E7.0bln new 12-month May 14, 2014 BOT on
Friday. BOT yields have continued to fall since the last 12-month auction as ECB
cuts its main refinancing rate and hints at possible further action if required.
Also talk of ECB buying asset backed securities is seen helping the southern
periphery economies, especially Italy. In the grey market, mid-yield on the new
Flexi BOT is seen trading around 0.46%, representing a 4.5bps discount to the
old 12-month Dec 13 BOT. The last Flexi BOT auction was back on Feb 27, 2012 and
therefore not comparable. As for the new 12-month BOT, mid-yield on the grey
market is seen trading around 0.68%, representing a 4.0bps discount to Apr 14
BOT. At the last 12-month auction on Apr 10, The finance ministry sold E8.0bln
at average yield 0.922% and bid-to-cover of 1.64. There will be a E7.0bln BOT
redemption on May 14, leaving net cash flow negative to the tune of E3.0bln,
which could reduce demand. Results due to be announced at around 0905GMT.
EUROZONE: Timeline of key events in the eurozone for next few weeks:
- May 10 ECB Draghi & Asmussen attend G7 in Buckinghamshire, UK
- May 10/11 G7 meeting in in Buckinghamshire, UK
- May 10/11 G8 FinMin & central bank governors meeting in the U.K
- May 10 ECB publishes 3-year LTRO repayment amount for following week
- May 10 Italy sells E7bln 12-month BOTs, E3.0bln flexible BOTs
- May 10 Greek T-bill redemption for E1.6bln
- May 10 Cyprus Apr Target2 data and central bank lending figures
- May 10 Ireland Apr Target2 data and central bank lending figures
- May 13 Eurogroup meeting
- May 13 Italy taps 2016-/2026 BTPs, new Nov 2018 CCTeu for up to E8.0bln
- May 13 Portugal PM Coelho meets Spain PM Rajoy in Madrid
- May 14 EcoFin meeting
- May 14 Spain T-bill 6-/12-month auction
- May 14 Italy T-bill redemption for E7.0bln
- May 14 German May ZEW survey
US: Timeline of key events in the US thus far for 2013:
- May 10 G8 meeting in UK
- May 10 Fed Chair Bernanke at Chicago Fed conf at 0930ET
- May 10 Tsy Cpn Purchases Feb 15 2036-Feb 15 2043 $1.25-$1.75B
- May 10 Fed George (voter) in Jackson, WY at 1400ET
- May 10 Apr Treasury Statement, Apr'12 was +$59.1Bn, CBO est +$112Bn at 1400ET
- May 13 UST announces 4wk at 1100ET - May 13 UST auctions 3/6m bills at 1130ET
- May 14 CBO budget update
- May 14 NY Fed Q1 report on household debt at 1100ET
- May 14 Tsy Cpn Purchases May 15 2020-Feb 15 2023 $2.75-$3.50B
- May 14 Fed Plosser (non-voter) at SNS in Stockholm at 0200ET
- May 14 Fannie Mae to announce Benchmark Note issuance
- May 14 UST auctions 4wk at 1130ET
- May 15 Mar Tsy Intl Capital System at 0900ET
- May 15 Tsy Cpn Purchases Aug 15 2023-Feb 15 2031 $0.75-$1.00B
- May 16 Fed Plosser (non-voter) in Milan at 0345ET
... zbieraj pips do pipa bo jak nie to z depo będzie lipa... G."niemiaszek"
Re: DayTrading: Piątek 10.05.2013
Może to sugestia jego przebicia. Ale przyznam, że to dość odważna koncepcja.molmomas pisze:nie rozumiem z czego wynika na Twoim wykresie że kabel znowu zjazd, skoro pokazujesz wzrostowy nanał, który jeszcze nie został wybity,
Proszę mnie oświecić , Dzięki
Jeden TF daje wystarczająco dużo wątpliwości co do kierunku przyszłego ruchu.
O dywersyfikacji + wypłaty + statystyki + podsumowanie z pierwszego dziennika
O dywersyfikacji + wypłaty + statystyki + podsumowanie z pierwszego dziennika
Re: DayTrading: Piątek 10.05.2013
kolejny raz całe depo w ESCE 
na Edziu
na Edziu
Re: DayTrading: Piątek 10.05.2013
A mogę spytać z jakiego poziomu?tafams pisze:kolejny raz całe depo w ESCE
-
zastapmnie
- Pasjonat
- Posty: 1195
- Rejestracja: 04 cze 2012, 23:17
Re: DayTrading: Piątek 10.05.2013
a już myślałem, że będzie jakieś odbicie na edku, a znów zdusili
Staram się przetrzymywać straty i ciąć zyski, bo tak podobno robi większość, która przecież nie może się mylić...
Re: DayTrading: Piątek 10.05.2013
Na edziu rynek wygląda oprócz tego że zrobił się mały rgr, jak by miał się odbić do góry ale bardziej z niższych pozycji.
Na tygodniowym edku jest rgr, ja będę na niego grał. Technicznie wygląda na 1.14-1.15 edek w long termie.
Kiwi long term - 0.9580
Na tygodniowym edku jest rgr, ja będę na niego grał. Technicznie wygląda na 1.14-1.15 edek w long termie.
Kiwi long term - 0.9580
Ostatnio zmieniony 10 maja 2013, 09:13 przez psxor, łącznie zmieniany 3 razy.
Re: DayTrading: Piątek 10.05.2013
Spokojnie, od 1,3085 do 1,3115 czeka stu-procentowa dziewicza strefa i aż prosi by w nią wejśćzastapmnie pisze:a już myślałem, że będzie jakieś odbicie na edku, a znów zdusili
tylko czy chłopcy się na nią skuszą? Raczej tak, niepewność może wnieść iż trafimy na pedał... 