DayTrading: Wtorek 30.04.2013

Dyskusje na temat aktualnej sesji: komentarze, analizy, opinie.

Prognoza EURUSD na dzisiaj

Czas głosowania minął 30 kwie 2013, 23:38

Wzrost
14
30%
Bez zmian
4
9%
Spadek
28
61%
 
Liczba głosów: 46

movinghead
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Re: DayTrading: Wtorek 30.04.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: movinghead »

mechia pisze:dzień dobry, jaka jest szansa, że edek spadnie niebawem poniżej 1,3070? czy w ogóle spadnie?
wg mnie spadnie na pewno.

mechia
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Re: DayTrading: Wtorek 30.04.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: mechia »

movinghead pisze:
mechia pisze:dzień dobry, jaka jest szansa, że edek spadnie niebawem poniżej 1,3070? czy w ogóle spadnie?
wg mnie spadnie na pewno.
dzięki, a wiesz do ilu?

movinghead
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Re: DayTrading: Wtorek 30.04.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: movinghead »

mechia pisze:
movinghead pisze:
mechia pisze:dzień dobry, jaka jest szansa, że edek spadnie niebawem poniżej 1,3070? czy w ogóle spadnie?
wg mnie spadnie na pewno.
dzięki, a wiesz do ilu?
1.3150 moze przyhamować ale to jeszcze troche mu zajmie

na H1 wystąpiła dywergencja zobaczymy czy jest poprawna

-- Dodano: wt 30-04-2013, 8:34 --
birkof86 pisze:Ciekawe czy Ujek dzis wejdzie na te 99 :)
UJ - najblizsze miejsce 96.00 jak coś

miskof7
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Re: DayTrading: Wtorek 30.04.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: miskof7 »

kabel S, edek S, ujek L

spontfx
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Re: DayTrading: Wtorek 30.04.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: spontfx »

Witam

eS wlazl mi na szczycie :shock: ?????????

http://forex-nawigator.biz/forum/daytra ... 3-110.html

rafmax
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Re: DayTrading: Wtorek 30.04.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: rafmax »

spontfx pisze:Witam

eS wlazl mi na szczycie :shock: ?????????

http://forex-nawigator.biz/forum/daytra ... 3-110.html

Witam,

nadal screena nie dostałem, wpisuje jako trzeciego na liscie bajkopisarzy

http://forex-nawigator.biz/forum/daytra ... ml#p579649
"Buy the fu*king dip you fu*king idiot" :)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jllJ-HeErjU

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niemiaszek
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Re: DayTrading: Wtorek 30.04.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: niemiaszek »

Hello

Obrazek

EUROPE: The first data releases are expected at 0600GMT, with the release of the
German March retail sales data and the March ILO employment change. French data
kicks off at 0645GMT, with the release of the Mach housing starts
and permits, along with the March consumer spending numbers. The weakness of the
Spanish economy is likely to be underlined at 0700GMT, when the first quarter
flash GDP numbers will cross the wires. At 0755GMT, the final German April
unemployment numbers are expected. There is eurozone data expected at 0900GMT,
with the release of the March unemployment data and the April Flash HICP data.
Italian March flash HICP numbers are also expected at 0900GMT. The end of the
month sees the Japan intervention data at 1000GMT, although there are no
expectations tat the authorities were active in the forex markets through the
month. Also at 1000GMT, Bundesbank Vice President Sabine Lautenschlaeger is
slated to speak at an ICFW event, in F'furt. At 1015GMT, Norges Bank Governor
Oystein Olsen will deliver a statement on management of the Government Pension
Fund in Oslo. ECB Governing Council member Patrick Honohan is to appear before
Committee, in Dublin, from 1200GMT.

EUROPE: The Telegraph says Italy is on course for a showdown with Germany over
austerity measures, as the new PM Letta says Europe itself faces a "crisis of
legitimacy."

FRANCE: French President has condemned and distanced himself from attacks within
his own socialist party on German Chancellor Merkel over her "selfish
intransigence."



UK PRESS: The Barclays LIBOR rigging case brought by Guardian Care Homes, the
first such case to get on the court docket, has been delayed until the spring of
2014 as the bank wins the right to challenge aspects of the case in the high
court.

UK PRESS: UK opposition leader was pressured in an interview to explain Labour
policies, as he said the party would look to implement a "temporary" srtg 12 bn
cut in VAT, but could not - or would not - explain whether it would add to UK
borrowing, the Telegraph reports

UK PRESS: The UK Treasury is set to look for the banks to lead the Royal Mail
privatisation sale, with the IPO expected to be pushed through in the current
fiscal year, the Independent says.



US/CANADA:US data gets underway from 1145GMT, with the release of the
ICSC-Goldman Store Sales numbers for the April 27 week. At 1230GMT, the first
quarter Employment Cost Index numbers are expected.
There is also Canadian data expected at 1230GMT, with the release of the
February Real GDP at basic prices and the March Industrial product prices.
At 1255GMT, the Redbook Average for the April 27 week will cross the wires. At
1300GMT, the February S&P/Case-Shiller Index will be released, with expectations
for further evidence that the housing recovery is gaining momentum.
At 1345GMT, the April MNI Chicago Report will be released. At 1400GMT, the April
Conference Board Consumer Confidence numbers are expected, followed at 1430GMT
by the release of the April Dallas Fed Services Survey. At 1900GMT, the April
monthly US Agriculture Prices will cross the wires. As noted, the Fed's FOMC
begins the two-day April meet.




EURO SUMMARY: Euro-dollar closed in NY Monday at $1.3101 after pivoting around
$1.3100 within a $1.3077-1.31167 range. Euro-dollar has been basically sidelined
with Thursday's ECB rate decision in focus (many believe the ECB will cut rates
at this meeting), though this decision surrounded by key data from Europe and
the US.
This sidelining continued through the overnight Asian session with trade
contained within $1.3084-1.3103, opening Europe around $1.3094. Thursday's
decision is surrounded by key data, releases and holidays. For today we have
Germany retail sales at 0600GMT, followed by Spain GDP at 0700GMT, Germany
employment at 0755GMT and EZ CPI at 0900GMT. US Chicago Report and US consumer
confidence at 1345 and 1400 respectively provide the afternoon interest. Europe
holiday Wednesday likely to further subdue trade once these events pass.

Euro-dollar offers remain in place to $1.3120 with talk now of stops placed from
$1.3120 through to $1.3140, though if triggered to run into offers at $1.3150.
Main bid interest seen below current market between $1.3030/10, Asian sovereign
and European corp interest noted here. Today being month end some interest to be
shown in the fixes though no major signals seen for the euro.
:!:

EURO-DOLLAR: Fundamental levels (orders, options, technicals)
$1.3170/80 Medium offers
$1.3169 Tech 1.618% swing proj. of $1.3094-1.2989
$1.3145/50 Strong offers
$1.3135 Medium offers/$1.3135/40 Stops

$1.3120/30 Medium offers/Stops
$1.3121 Int.Day high Europe-Asia
$1.3081 ***Current mkt rate 0639GMT Tuesday
$1.3080 Int.Day low Europe, Asia $1.3085
$1.3075-60 Medium demand/Stops
$1.3030/10 Strong demand, Asian sovereign, European corps

$1.3000 Medium demand
$1.2988-87 Apr25 low off $1.3094
$1.2986 Tech 40-dma (CTA's like this dma on close basis)

$1.2980 Medium demand on approach/Stops $1.2980-70
$1.2960/50 Strong demand/$1.2954 Wednesday Apr24 low (Ifo react), 200dma


STERLING SUMMARY: Cable closed in NY at $1.5500 after the pound pared early
European gains, the rate having seen an extended recovery $1.5548 before sinking
back to $1.5484 in NY before recovering into the close. Cable came under further
pressure into Asia with the release of a weaker UK GfK survey providing added
weight as rate dipped under the NY low to $1.5476. Cable recovered through the
Asian afternoon, edging on to $1.5497 ahead of Europe. Euro-sterling reflected
this softening in sterling, the rate having recovered off early lows Monday at
stg0.8406 to stg0.8458 in NY, with Asia keeping up the pressure through the
overnight session though holding just below Monday's high. Lending data at
0830GMT provides the morning's domestic data interest with moves more likely to
come from outside. Data from the Eurozone through the morning to influence
euro-sterling.
Cable demand seen placed into $1.5470, more toward $1.5450.
Resistance $1.5500/10. Euro-sterling offers stg0.8460, a break to open a move
toward stg0.8480/85. Main support remains toward stg0.8400.


YEN SUMMARY: Dollar-yen closed in NY at Y97.77, the rate having recovered off
earlier lows of Y97.35 to Y98.20 before drifting off into the close. Rate picked
up a bid tone into early Asia, with offers placed into Y98.00 providing the
initial resistance before hedge fund and Asian demand emerged to take rate on to
Y98.13. This move allowed euro-yen to trigger stops above Y128.25 which took
rate on to Y128.46. The cross settled back between Y128.10/35 range into Europe.
Dollar-yen offers seen placed between Y98.10/20, stops then seen on a break of
Y98.25. However, heavier sell interest said to return from Y98.50 through to
Y98.80, more into Y99.00 with stops above. Bids seen from Y97.50 and said to be
layered every 20 pips down to Y96.80. Asian traders note Y98.00 strikes have
seen good interest as well as 8-day Y98.50s and 9-day Y98.75s (selling
interest).


The end of the month sees the Japanese intervention data expected at 1000GMT,
although there are no expectations tat the authorities were active in the forex
markets through the month.


JAPAN STOCKS CLOSE: Japan's benchmark stocks are mixed Tuesday, as markets
return after the holiday weekend. The Nikkei 225 was lower by 23.27 points, or
0.17%, at 13860.86. Into the close, the broader-based TOPIX was higher by 5.56
points at 1166.75. Market breadth indicators saw 122 issue higher, 93 lower and
10 unchanged. Preliminary volume stood at 2.014 bn shares.


KIWI: The kiwi is slightly lower at $0.8557 vs $0.8566 U.S. close after a strong
performance overnight when expectations of more stimulus from key central banks
put risk currencies in favor. Data release today include building consents for
March and later it is ANZ's April monthly business survey. BNZ analysts expect
the business survey to stay as upbeat as it was in March, consistent with annual
GDP growth of 3% to 4%. They note the kiwi now has early-April high of around
$0.8670 in sight but a revisit will be highly dependent on risk appetite for the
rest of the week. They remind there is "plenty of potential to upset the apple
cart with a stacked US and EU data agenda ahead."


OPTIONS: FX: Option expiries for today's 1000ET cut,
* Euro-dollar; $1.2900, $1.3050, $1.3090, $1.3095, $1.3100
* Dollar-yen; Y97.50, Y97.95, Y98.00, Y98.20, Y98.35, Y98.50, Y99.00
* Euro-sterling; stg0.8475
* Dollar-Swiss; Chf0.9425
* Aussie; $1.0260, $1.0290, $1.0330, $1.0350, $1.0400
* Dollar-Canada; C$1.0150


EUROZONE T-BILL ISSUANCE: Belgium will be the final sovereign to come to the
Eurozone sovereign T-bill market Tuesday with plans to tap 3-month Jul 18, 2013
T-bill and tap 6-month Oct 17, 2013 T-bill for indicative amount of between
E1.5bln and E2.0bln. To recap so far this week, on Monday, Germany sold
E2.815bln 12-month bubill at average yield 0.0018%. In the afternoon France sold
E4.001bln 3-month BTF at average yield -0.002%, E1.996bln 6-month BTF at average
yield 0.008% and E1.83bln 12-month BTF at average yield 0.029%.

BELGIUM T-BILL AUCTION PREVIEW: Belgium's Debt Agency re-opens a 3-month T-bill
maturing Aug 15, 2013, and re-open 6-month T-bill maturing Oct 17, 2013 for an
indicative amount of between E1.5-E2.0bln on Tuesday. This will be the first of
two taps of the Aug 15 T-bill, and with E3.316bln outstanding, demand is
expected to be on the high side. Mid-yield is currently seen trading around
0.017%, while at the last 3-month T-bill auction on Apr 16 the Belgium Treasury
allotted E1.406bln at average yield 0.015% and covered 3.02 times. As for the
6-month Oct 17, 2013 T-bill, this is not scheduled to be tapped again until
July, and therefore could see high demand. Mid-yield is currently seen around
0.032%, while at the last 6-month T-bill auction on Apr 2 E1.61bln was allotted
at average yield of 0.05% and covered 2.34 times. There will be no T-bill
redemption of this week leaving a potential net cash flow negative to the tune
of E2.0bln. The small indicative size of the auction plus the fact that there
will only be one auction in May, instead of the usual two, is seen as
underpinning demand. Results are due to be announced around 0940GMT.


EUROZONE: Timeline of key events in the eurozone for next few weeks:
- Apr 30 Eurozone Apr flash HICP; Mar unemployment data
- Apr 30 Italy PM Letta confidence vote in Senate
- Apr 30 Italy PM Letta, German Merkel press conference in Berlin at 1700GMT
- Apr 30 Cyprus parliament votes on bailout deal
- Apr 30 Portuguese govt holds extraordinary meeting to discuss budget plan
- Apr 30 Italy T-bill redemption for E9.2bln
- Apr 30 Italy CTZ bond redemption for E12.442bln
- Apr 30 Spain bond redemption for 2.30% Bono for E14.94bln
- May 02 ECB Governing Council meeting, Draghi press conference in Bratislava
- May 02 Spain Apr unemployment data
- May 02 European final Apr manufacturing PMI survey
- May 03 EU releases Spring Economic Forecasts
- May 03 German FinMin Schaeuble speaks at University of Ulm
- May 06 ECB Draghi speaks at LUISS Guido Carli in Rome
- May 06 European final Apr PMI services survey

US: Timeline of key events in the US thus far for 2013:
- Apr 30 UST auctions 4wk, 52wk at 1130ET
- Apr 30 Tentative outright Tsy op schedule release at 1400ET
- Apr 30-May 01 FOMC policy meeting
- May 01 UST refunding announcement, 3-10-30y at 1000ET
- May 01 FOMC policy statement at 1400ET (est unch QE at $85Bn)
- May 01 Tsy Miller at Investment Co Inst in Washington at 1530ET
- May 02 Fannie Mae to announce Benchmark Note issuance
- May 02 UST announces 3/6m bills at 1100ET
- May 02-04 Pres Obama travels to Mexico & Costa Rica
- May 03 April Nonfarm Payrolls, est +155k, +0.2 AHE at 0830ET
- May 03 Fed Gov Tarullo at Peterson Institute in Washington at 1230ET
- May 03 Fed Lacker (non-voter) at RMA in Richmond at 1245ET
- May 03 Treasury STRIPS at 1500ET
- May 06 UST announces 4wk at 1100ET
- May 06 UST auctions 3/6m bills at 1130ET
Nie masz wymaganych uprawnień, aby zobaczyć pliki załączone do tego posta.
... zbieraj pips do pipa bo jak nie to z depo będzie lipa... G."niemiaszek"

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kamasoni
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Re: DayTrading: Wtorek 30.04.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: kamasoni »

Nowy123 -dokad zamierzasz kisić te szorty na indeksach?

matvaaa
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Re: DayTrading: Wtorek 30.04.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: matvaaa »

Witam,
Moim zdaniem kabel można grać L do 1,5540 jak nie przebije poziomu 86.2
niżej screen

http://bankfotek.pl/image/1480976.jpeg
Cierpliwość popłaca.

antoniZ
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Re: DayTrading: Wtorek 30.04.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: antoniZ »

nadal screena nie dostałem, wpisuje jako trzeciego na liscie bajkopisarzy
Rafmax a dwaj pozostali to kto ?
Ehh na demo to super się pogrywało. 90k w jeden miesiąc na minus :) Nawet złotko miałem kupione po około 1586.
Just trade opposite of what you think, that's the whole secret.

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