Z nedzy do pieniedzy ..:)

[andy11]

Today’s orderboard (26.04.2013)



EUR/USD:
Offers 1.3045/55 (55 day MA 1.3055, cloud base 1.3057), tech 1.3075/80 (1.3077 50% of 1.3201-1.2954) some buy stops just above, ahead of fibo res of the same fall at 1.3108 (61.8%). Further offers 1.3120/30 level with buy stops through 1.3130 (April 19 high 1.3129).
Bids initially at 1.2990/10 and 1.2970/80, with sell stops below. Tech support/bids 1.2945/60 (200 day MA 1.2947), sell stops below

GBP/USD:
Bids 1.5430/40, sell stops below ahead of bids 1.5370/80 and 1.5335/45 (tenkan line 1.5338).
Offers 1.5480/00 (barrier 1.5500, tech Feb 19 high 1.5505, cloud top 1.5507) buy stops through 1.5510 ahead of more offers 1.5540/.50

EUR/GBP:
Bids 0.8410/15 and 0.8390/95 (Jan 24 low 0.8391) ahead of supp 0.8365/70 (Jan 22 lows, 61.8% of year’s rise 0.8365). Offers 0.8445/50 (100 day MA 0.8450), tech res 0.8475/80 ( cloud base 0.8480) and offers /tech 0.8505/10 (21 day MA 0.8510)

USD/JPY:
Bids 98.00/20 (importers), sell stops below through 97.90 (tenkan line 97.91), with more through 97.70.
Offers 99.45/55, 99.65/75 ahead of large offers 99.90/00 (barrier 100.00). Very large buy stops above ahead of offers towards further rumoured barriers at 100.50 and 101.00.

EUR/JPY:
Offers 128.80/00, 129.40./50 and 129.90/00. Buy stops above ahead of further offers 130.50/70 and more buy stops above. Bids 128.00/10, sell stops through 127.80 (tenkan line 127.83) ahead of bids 127.50/70, likely sell stops below

AUD/USD:
Offers 1.0330/40 ahead of offers/tech res 1.0355/75 (1.0358 daily cloud top, fibo 1.0359- 38.2% of 1.0582/1.0221,). Further offers /tech res 1.0390/00 (200/100 day MA’s 1.0397/1.0400), buy stops above through 1.0405.
Bids 1.0390/00, 1.0270/80 possible sell stops below with stronger bids 1.0250/60 and 1.0220/30 (sovereign related).

AUD/JPY:
Bids 101.30/40 (21 day MA 101.34, also session low), 101.00/10 (tenkan 101.08). Likely sell stops through 100.75(Tues low).
Offers 102.35/45, 102.65/75 and 102.90/00, likely buy stops through 103.10 (103.05- 61.8% of 105.43-99.21)

[andy11]

BOJ’s Kuroda: Didn’t discuss further easing today (26.04.2013)


_not appropriate to comment on forex levels or direction
Pres conference release out now. .more to come
-BOJ is conducting monetary easing for price stability, not to target forex
-board members Sato and Kiuchi against 2% inflation forecast for 2016
-unlikely that longer term rates will rise now
-will continue to buy JGBs in balanced way to impact yield curve and make adjustments as needed
-BOJ will not stop buying short term debt despite speculation that they might
-wil be able to curb rises in long term
-all board members shared the view that the forecast period in today’s semi-annual review should be extended
-Japan’s public finances are not sustainable. it is necessary to achieve primarty surplus as soon as possible

[andy11]

Rynek juz smiga...
zero reakcji na Wlochy....

Dane w nocy 28/29 kwietnia 2013

CNY Leading Index (MAR)100.23

Mon Apr 29

01:01 GBP Lloyds Business Barometer (APR)20
01:01 GBP Hometrack Housing Survey (MoM) (APR)0.3%
01:01 GBP Hometrack Housing Survey (YoY) (APR)0.0%

[andy11]

cienka plynnosc bedzie na parach jenowych - Japonia ma swieto... ponadto Chiny maja wakacje Poniedzialek, Wtorek, Sroda.....

[andy11]

Dane (29.04.2013)

11:00 EUR Euro-Zone Business Climate Indicator (APR) -0.91 -0.86
11:00 EUR Euro-Zone Economic Confidence (APR)89.3 90
11:00 EUR Euro-Zone Industrial Confidence (APR)-13.5 -12.5
11:00 EUR Euro-Zone Consumer Confidence (APR F)-22.3 -22.3
11:00 EUR Euro-Zone Services Confidence (APR)-7.1 -6.7

14:00 EUR German Consumer Price Index (MoM) (APR P)-0.2% 0.5%
14:00 EUR German Consumer Price Index (YoY) (APR P)1.4% 1.4%
14:00 EUR German Consumer Price Index - EU Harmonised (MoM) (APR P)-0.1% 0.4%
14:00 EUR German Consumer Price Index - EU Harmonised (YoY) (APR P) 1.7% 1.8%

14:30 USD Personal Income (MAR)0.4% 1.1%
14:30 USD Personal Spending (MAR)0.1% 0.7%
14:30 USD Personal Consumption Expenditure Deflator (MoM) (MAR)-0.1% 0.4%
14:30 USD Personal Consumption Expenditure Deflator (YoY) (MAR)1.0% 1.3%
14:30 USD Personal Consumption Expenditure Core (MoM) (MAR)0.1% 0.1%
14:30 USD Personal Consumption Expenditure Core (YoY) (MAR)1.2% 1.3%

16:00 USD Pending Home Sales (MoM) (MAR)1.0% -0.4%
16:00 USD Pending Home Sales (YoY) (MAR)5.0%

16:30 USD Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity (APR)7.4

[andy11]

Opcje (29.04.2013)

USDJPY 96.50,97.50,98.00,98.30,98.80,100.00,100.25

EURUSD 1.2700,1.2800,1.2850,1.2900

AUDUSD 1.0100,1.0160,1.0200,1.0260,1.0280,1.0285,1.0295,1.0300,1.0365,1.0450

AUDJPY 102.00

USDCAD 1.0340

NZDUSD 0.8295,0.8350

EURGBP 0.8600,0.8640

[andy11]

Opcje (30.04.2013)


EUR/USD: 1.2900, 1.3050, 1.3090, 1.3095, 1.3100, 1.3250

USD/JPY: 97.50, 97.95, 98.00, 98.20, 98.35, 98.50, 99.00

EUR/GBP: 0.8475

AUD/USD: 1.0260, 1.0290, 1.0330, 1.0350, 1.0400

USD/CHF: 0.9425

[andy11]

Dane (30.04.2013)


09:55 EUR German Unemployment Change (APR) 2K 13K
09:55 EUR German Unemployment Rate s.a. (APR)6.9% 6.9%

10:00 EUR Italian Unemployment Rate (SA) (MAR P)11.7% 11.6%

10:30 GBP Net Consumer Credit (MAR)0.5B 0.6B
10:30 GBP Net Lending Sec. on Dwellings (MAR)0.6B 0.9B
10:30 GBP M4 Ex IOFCs 3M Annualised (MAR)3.1% 3.1%
10:30 GBP M4 Money Supply (MoM) (MAR) -0.5%
10:30 GBP M4 Money Supply (YoY) (MAR)0.5%
10:30 GBP Mortgage Approvals (MAR)52.7K 51.7K

11:00 EUR Euro-Zone Consumer Price Index Estimate (YoY) (APR)1.6% 1.7%
11:00 EUR Euro-Zone Unemployment Rate (MAR)12.1% 12.0%

14:30 CAD Gross Domestic Product (YoY) (FEB)1.3% 1.0%

14:30 CAD Gross Domestic Product (MoM) (FEB)0.2% 0.2%
14:30 CAD Industrial Product Price (MoM) (MAR)0.0% 1.4%
14:30 CAD Raw Materials Price Index (MoM) (MAR)0.5% 2.2%
14:30 USD Employment Cost Index (1Q)0.5% 0.4%

15:00 USD NAPM-Milwaukee (APR)51.50 50.98
15:00 USD S&P/CS 20 City s.a. (MoM) (FEB)0.9% 1.02%
15:00 USD S&P/Case-Shiller Composite-20 (YoY) (FEB)9.0% 8.1%
15:00 USD S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index (FEB)146.43 146.14

15:45 USD Chicago Purchasing Manager (APR)52.5 52.4

16:00 USD Consumer Confidence (APR)61.0 59.7

[andy11]

Today’s orderboard (30.04.2013)



EUR/USD:
Offers 1.3120/30 (April 19 high 1.3129) buy stops above ahead of tech res 1.3155/60 (100 day MA 1.3158) and strong offers 1.3190/00.
Bids 1.3040/60 (tenkan line 1.3041, 55 day MA 1.3043) suggested sell stops below ahead of supp /bids 1.2990/10 and 1.2970/80 and sell stops just below.

GBP/USD:
Offers 1.5500/10, possible buy stops just above ahead of tech res/offers 1.5540/50 (Feb 15 highs of 1.5550) and day MA at 1.5567. Further offers 1.5500/10, (50% retracement of the year’s fall at 1.5606).possible buy stops above.
Initial bids 1.5475/85, with some possible sell stops just below ahead of bids 1.5415/25 (Friday lows 1.5418), likely sell stops just below.

EUR/GBP:
Bids 0.8395/05 sell stops through 0.8390 (Jan 24 low 0.8391) below ahead of supp 0.8365/70 (Jan 22 lows, 61.8% of year’s rise 0.8365).
Offers 0.8455/65 (100 day MA 0.8457), and offers /tech 0.8505/15 (21 day MA 0.8511)

USD/JPY:
Bids 97.50/60 and 97.35/45 (Mon low 97.35) running down to 97.20 (Apr 16 lows 97.19) ahead of tech supp 97.11 (38.2% of 92.52-99.94), with some possible sell stops below and through 97.00. Further bids 96.70/90 with possible sell stops below.
Offers 97.95/05, larger towards 98.25/35 (late Friday NY recovery high 98.33), possible buy stops through 98.40 ahead of tenkan line 98.60 and firmer offers 98.70/90.

EUR/JPY:
Offers 128.40/50 possible buy stops above ahead of more offers 128.80/00 (tenkan line 128.85) buy stops above.
Bids 127.50/70, likely sell stops below ahead of tech supp/bids 127.15/25 (127.17 (61.8% of 125.00-130.66).

AUD/USD:
Tech res 1.0376 (21 day MA), resistance/offers 1.0390/00 (100/200 Day MA at 1.0397/98). Buy stops above ahead of more offers 1.0340/50.
Bids 1.0320/30 and 1.0290/10 (tenkan line 1.0297) and 1.0270/80 with sell stops on a break of 1.0260 (Friday low 1.0263)

AUD/JPY:
Bids 101.00/10, possible sell stops below ahead of supp/bids 100.50/60 and 100.30/40 (Friday’s lows 100.32)
Offers 101.50/65 (tenkan line 101.59, 21 day MA 101.64) and 101.80/00, buy stops above ahead of more offers 102.55/65 and 102.90/00

EUR/AUD:
Offers 1.2660/70 larger up at 1.2700/10 (1.2707 61.8% of last week’s fall, 1.2709 daily cloud top), suggested buy stops through 1.2710 ahead of tech res 1.2730/35 and 1.2775/80 (Apr 23 high 1.2776).
Bids/tech support 1.2600/10 (55 day MA 1.2603), sell stops below through 1.2585 (1.2587 Apr 16 low) ahead of tech supp 1.2520/25 (daily cloud base 1.2524)

[andy11]

Opcje (01.05.2013)


EUR/USD: 1.2950, 1.2955, 1.3100, 1.3150

USD/JPY: 96.30, 97.00, 98.20, 98.50, 99.00(L), 99.50, 100.00

EUR/GBP: 0.8425, 0.8475

AUD/USD: 1.0300, 1.0325, 1.0350, 1.0410