DayTrading: Poniedziałek 22.04.2013

[pr7emo]

dziś upadnie bastion 130,00 i znajdziemy się niżej do końca miesiąca

[pax]

Nie radzę kupować Edka w tym tygodniu. Ja co prawda nie jestem Daytraderem ale z dużym prawdopodobieństwem mogę powiedzieć, że wtorkowe PMI będą słabe; rynek oczekuje ożywienia w Europie, jak go nie dostanie, będzie mocna przecena.

[freakout]

według mnie również na edku czekają nas spore spadki, ciekawie wygląda również sytuacja na parach jenowych bo tutaj zjazdy mogą być o wiele większe tydzień ten zapowiada się więc bardzo ciekawie...

[pr7emo]

Nie radzę kupować Edka w tym tygodniu. Ja co prawda nie jestem Daytraderem ale z dużym prawdopodobieństwem mogę powiedzieć, że wtorkowe PMI będą słabe; rynek oczekuje ożywienia w Europie, jak go nie dostanie, będzie mocna przecena.

jasne że poleci w dół , dopiero od drugiej połowy roku można liczyć na wzrosty za obietnicą jegomości z EBC :]

[Vanitas Vanitatum]

Ja co prawda edka nie dotykam, ale sądząc po ilości pewnych siebie misiowatych postów na forum to szykują się spore wzrosty.

A tak z innej beczki to kangur może też chcieć mocno rosnąć w tym tygodniu, bo coś już nie chce spadać, a ostatnimi dniami dostał ostry wpiernicz, więc przynajmniej korekta się należy, a może nawet nowe szczyty jeśli tylko złoto też zacznie odrabiać.

[Hodis]

Edek duże L

[pr7emo]

jedziemy na ejku :] (na południe)

na pobudke http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ASO_zypdnsQ

[crok.]

Edek duże L

no mam nadzieje bo sloneczko wyszlo a wykres az do 1,34 sie prosi

-- Dodano: pn 22-04-2013, 8:13 --

Edek duże L

no mam nadzieje bo sloneczko wyszlo a wykres az do 1,34 sie prosi

no ale najpierw poprawic low skosnym trzeba

[cajto]

Co za ancymony dziś szpasują na Ejmanie - na kilkanaście p przed domknięciem luki zawrotka i do góry, 5p przed linią znów zawrotka i do dołu. A to hultaje

[niemiaszek]

Hello


EUROPE: Although only limited data is expected Monday, there is still a full
list of speaking events scheduled for Monday. The session licks off with the
release of the eurozone 2012 1st release of general Govt deficit and debt data.
The Bundesbank monthly report is due at 1000GMT and is followed by a speech from
ECB Executive Board member Benoit Coeure, speaking on the new euro banknotes, in
Vienna. At 1315GMT, Norges Bank Governor Oystein Olsen is slated to give a
lecture in Bergen, Norway. EU Vice President Olli Rehn will give a speech to the
Paris Europlace forum in New York. At 1500GMT, French Finance Minister Pierre
Moscovici will speak at the Europlace conference, in New York. France Bank of
France Gov. Christian Noyer speaks at the forum in New York from 1700GMT.

ITALY: Fo those who may have missed the announcement, Italian President Giorgio
Napolitano was re-elected as President of the Republic Saturday, the first to
serve a second term.



UK: UK Bank of England Deputy Gov. Paul Tucker is on a panel about OTC derivatives
at the New York forum from 1830GMT

UK PRESS: Sandwich chain Pret a Manger is set to extend a nationwide school
leavers program and create up to 500 new jobs, the Guardian reports

UK PRESS: The Independent says rising costs and falling wages are again
impacting on household finances, as the Markit Household Index fell for the
first time this year in April, touching 37.3, down from 39.3 in March.

UK PRESS: The Times says the governments eventual sale of RBS to UK tax payers
could be hampered by EU rules, which under Single Market legislation would look
for the offer to be extended to all and not just UK taxpayers.

UK PRESS: The FT says around half the companies the UK government holds a major
stake in will be either wholly or partly privatised in the next few years. The
paper says the sell-offs will be used to help cut the UK's public debt.



US: The US calendar gets underway later in the day, when the MNI Capital Goods Index
for the April 19 week is released at 1330GMT, At 1430GMT, the MNI Retail Trade
Index for the week ending April 20 will be released.
In between, at 1400GMT, US March Existing Home Sales numbers will cross the
wires.
The last scheduled data release is at 1900GMT, with the release of the April
Treasury Allotments numbers.

FED: A scheduling note for later in the year shows Fed Chair Bernake will note
be at the Jackson Hole symposium in August, the first Fed Chair to miss the
gathering in 25 years, the Telegraph adds. Bernanke will miss the event due to a
personal scheduling conflict.

US PRESS: Japan's four biggest life insurers, along with a number of smaller
ones, are due to unveil their investment plans for the fiscal year that began
April 1 starting today, the Wall Street Journal reported. They're likely to say
they're increasing the amount of money they put into foreign bonds, the report
says citing asset managers, traders and analysts familiar with these insurers'
investment plans. Such a move would signal the first stirrings of a shift from
safe but low-yielding Japanese government bonds -- which now account for 44% of
the insurers' total assets -- to other investments where returns are higher, the
report said.




FOREX: Speculative accounts trimmed their net euro short position but added to
their net yen short position as of April 16, according to U.S. CFTC data
released late Friday. The CFTC's COT report - non-commercial, futures-only
section, excluding options - showed speculators had a net euro short position of
-29,764 contracts as of Tuesday, compared to last week's net euro short of
-50,858 and the prior week's net short of -65,701 contracts, which was the
largest net euro short position since November 27. Spec accounts had a net yen
short of -93,411 contracts as per April 16, versus the prior week's net yen
short of -77,697 contracts. This week's position is very close to the yen short
of -94,401 contracts from December 11, which was the largest net yen short
position since July 2007. The record net yen short of -188,077 contracts was
seen June 26, 2007. The euro closed near $1.3177 and dollar-yen at Y97.54 April
16, which compared to late day levels Friday at $1.3059 and Y99.52.


EURO SUMMARY: Euro-dollar closed in NY Friday at $1.3052, after easing off a
session high of $1.3130, with rate marked higher into early Wellington trade on
the back of expected euro-yen demand (following no censure from G20 on Japan for
recent monetary policy moves), as well as Italy eventually re-electing president
Napolitano which is expected to bring about some political stability in the EZ
third biggest economy. Rate was initially marked higher into the Wellington
open, the rate spiking on to $1.3117 in thin conditions before dropping back to
$1.3039 before it bounced to $1.3094 before the main centre session of Asia
opened. Rate eased off to $1.3054, where it met decent demand in the area
between $1.3060/50, edging back to $1.3084 before drifting back to $1.3064 ahead
of the European open. A fairly light data calendar through the European morning,
though several speakers due up. Little US data (US existing home sales 1400GMT)
with EZ consumer confidence also due at 1400GMT. Eurozone flash PMI data Tuesday
seen as the early focus this week. Bids remain in place to $1.3050 with stops
noted on a break of $1.3040. Further demand $1.3010/00. Resistance seen from
$1.3125 through to $1.3150.


STERLING SUMMARY: Cable closed in NY at $1.5231 after rate's corrective pullback
off earlier highs of $1.5368 was given added weight through the London fix, with
Fitch providing a further shove as it downgraded the UK's rating to AA+ from AAA
(a move widely expected though still prompted a negative response). Rate was
marked higher into early Wellington trade, the rate tracking euro-dollar's
higher mark up, but the move quickly attracted sellers which eased the rate back
toward the NY close into main Asia open. Selling continued, the rate eventually
touching a low of $1.5202 before buyers emerged ahead of the figure which took
it back up to $1.5246. Rate slowly eased off this recovery high, settling around
$1.5230 ahead of the European open. Euro-sterling, after seeing lows Friday of
stg0.8503 the rate was pushed back up to stg0.8582 on the mentioned late
sterling weakness/Fitch reaction, with trade through Asia consolidating this
recovery between stg0.8578/92, resting on the lows into Europe. Focus this week
will be on Thursday's Q1 GDP first reading with pessimism already noted for a
potential negative read. Cable support remains into $1.5200, stops sub $1.5195
with further demand noted between $1.5180/70. Resistance $1.5250/60.


YEN SUMMARY: Dollar-yen closed in NY Friday at Y99.52 (off a session high of
Y99.68), the rate having picked up a bid tone through the day's session as
markets began to take note that Japan would not be censured for recent policy
moves that have weakened the yen. Early demand into Wellington took advantage of
thin conditions to advance this recovery to Y99.90 but strong sell interest
placed between Y99.90/100.00 provided stiff resistance. Rate eased off to Y99.70
into the Tokyo fix, with Japanese corporate accounts noted buyers (some said to
hold interest in the Y100.00 level, which if broken would trigger dollar calls
from lower down) post fix took the rate back to retest the Y99.90/100.00 area.
Some talk that size of offers placed here amount to around $1.5bln, with stops
above of an identical amount. Rate settled around Y99.80 through the balance of
the session, easing off to session lows of Y99.59 as it looked to close a small
gap left from the NY close/Asia open to Y99.53, but traders have noted decent
Asian demand seen into the dip. Market awaits announcements from Japanese life
companies as regards investment plans (Asahi Mutual Life considering adding up
to Y50bln in foreign bonds to portfolio).

BOJ: Easing aim is to beat deflation, not to weaken yen, says BOJ's Kuroda.

JAPAN PRESS: Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda welcomed the G-20 statement
and said the BOJ can confidently pursue its asset purchase program now that it
has received the backing of the group, the Nikkei reported "The statement is a
welcome one for the BOJ," Kuroda was cited saying at a joint press conference
with Finance Minister Taro Aso. "I explained to my G-20 partners that the BOJ's
bold easing is aimed at achieving the domestic policy objective of overcoming
deflation. Now that we have obtained the support of the international community,
we will be able to implement our program with confidence."

JAPAN PRESS: Finance Minister Taro Aso said Japan will draw up a midterm plan to
rebuild public finances this summer in response to a call from the Group of 20
major economies, the Asahi Shimbun reported at the weekend. "It is clear that
confidence in finances will be lost if we push only bold monetary policies
without working to restore fiscal health," Aso said in a speech in Washington on
April 19. "Unless we pursue fiscal rehabilitation, interest rates could also
spike."

JAPAN PRESS: The approval rating for PM Shinzo Abe's cabinet has reached 76%, up
7 points from March, as improving indicators continue to fuel expectations for
an economic recovery, according to the latest Nikkei survey. The public
continues to give high marks to Abe's economic initiatives, with 58% of the
respondents anticipating an economic recovery, compared with 25% who do not. On
the Bank of Japan's aggressive monetary easing decided on April 3-4, a key
component of Abenomics, 58% of those surveyed favor the policy while 18%
disapprove.

JAPAN STOCKS CLOSE: Japan's benchmark stocks are sharply higher Monday, again
helped by the weaker yen in the wake of the G20 communique. The Nikkei 225 was
ahead by 251.89 points, or 1.89%, at 13568.37. Into the close, the broader-based
TOPIX was higher by 18.78 points at 1145.45. Market breadth indicators saw 208
issue higher, 11 lower and 6 unchanged. Preliminary volume stood at 2.158 bn
shares.



OPTIONS: FX: Option expiries for today's 1000ET cut,
* Euro-dollar; $1.2975, $1.3000, $1.3095, $1.3100, $1.3110, $1.3120
* Dollar-yen; Y98.50, Y98.55, Y99.25, Y99.50, Y100.00(large), Y100.50
* Euro-yen; Y128.00, Y129.00, Y130.00
* Cable; $1.5300
* Euro-sterling; stg0.8525
* Aussie; $1.0205, $1.0350, $1.0400, $1.0410
* Aussie-yen; Y102.20
* Kiwi; $0.8400
* Dollar-Canada; C$1.0175, C$1.0230


EUROZONE T-BILL ISSUANCE: Eurozone Sovereign T-bill issuance for this week are
planned from France, Spain, and Italy. Supply is estimated to be around
E19.0bln, down from E23.583bln issued last week. First up on Monday afternoon
will France with plans to re-open 3-month Jul 18 BTF for between E3.6-E4.0bln,
re-open 6-month Oct 3 BTF for between E1.6-E2.0bln and re-open 12-month Apr 3,
2014 BTF for between E1.6-E2.0bln. On Tuesday, Spain plan to tap 3-month Jul 19,
2013 Letra and tap 9-month Jan 24, 2014 Letra with indicative size to be
announced on Monday, with expectations of between E3.5-E4.5bln. The ESM plan to
sell new 6-month Oct 24 Bill for up to E3.0bln. On Friday Italy plan to issue
new 6-month Oct 31, 2013 BOT with confirmation of the size to be released on
Monday evening, but expected up to E8.5bln. In terms of T-bill redemptions for
this week, we have, Germany E3.0bln, France E8.825bln, and EFSF E1.989bln giving
potential negative net cash flow of E5.2bln.


EUROZONE: Timeline of key events in the eurozone for next few weeks:
- Apr 22 EMU 1st release 2012 general Govt deficit and debt
- Apr 22 Slovenia "non-deal" roadshow for investors
- Apr 22 EU Rehn speaks at United Nations Economic and Social Committee in NY
- Apr 22 EU Barroso meets US Secretary of State Kerry
- Apr 22 Ireland T-bill redemption for E500mln
- Apr 23 Troika starts tenth review of Irish bailout program
- Apr 23 Spain 3-/9-month T-bill auctions
- Apr 23 EMU Apr flash manufacturing/service PMI
- Apr 24 Napolitano may appoint new Premier, according to Corriere Della Serra
- Apr 24 ECB quarterly Bank Lending Survey
- Apr 24 German Apr Ifo business survey
- Apr 24 Italy taps CTZ/linker bonds for up to E3.25bln
- Apr 24 German debt chief Tammo Diemer speaks at Euromoney conference Berlin
- Apr 25 German Merkel meets Slovenian President Pahor in Berlin
- Apr 26 Italy T-bill auction

US: Timeline of key events in the US for the next few weeks:
- Apr 22 Outright Tsy Cpon Purc Jan 01 2019-Mar 31 2020 $3.00-$3.75B
- Apr 22 UST announces 4 wk at 1100ET
- Apr 22 UST auctions 3/6m bills at 1130ET
- Apr 22 Apr Treasury Allotments at 1500ET
- Apr 23 Outright Tsy Cpon Purc Aug 15 2023-Feb 15 2031 $0.75-$1.00B
- Apr 23 UST auctions 4 wk at 1130ET
- Apr 23 UST auctions $35Bn 2y at 1300ET
- Apr 24 Outright Tsy Cpon Purch Feb 15 2036-Feb 15 2043 $1.25-$1.75B
- Apr 24 UST auctions $35Bn 5y at 1300ET
- Apr 25 Freddie Mac to announce Reference Note issuance
- Apr 25 UST announces 3/6m bills, 52wk at 1100ET
- Apr 25 UST auctions $29Bn 7y at 1300ET
- Apr 25 Money Supply (M2) at 1630ET
- Apr 26 Q1 GDP, early est 3.1%? at 0830ET
- Apr 26 Outright Tsy Cpon Purc May 15 2020-Feb 15 2023 $2.75-$3.50B