DayTrading: Czwartek 28.03.2013

Dyskusje na temat aktualnej sesji: komentarze, analizy, opinie.

Prognoza EURUSD na dzisiaj

Czas głosowania minął 29 mar 2013, 00:17

Wzrost
25
50%
Bez zmian
5
10%
Spadek
20
40%
 
Liczba głosów: 50

Bemowo

Re: DayTrading: Czwartek 28.03.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: Bemowo »

aud
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ForexTig3r
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Re: DayTrading: Czwartek 28.03.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: ForexTig3r »

cajto pisze:D1 na Edku = 0 cienia na dole, po takim zejściu wątpie że sobie będą tak maszerowali dalej w górę, zakładam że jest to klasyczna pompka przed kolejną zwałą. EJ też w górę, zapewne po wykasowanie stopów ponad maxami z wieczora. Powyżej bardzo prawdopodobne zrobienie sygnału na S
Lud jest głodny wzrostów
dlatego ta pompa, niech będzie wiadomo że jest UP, niech się wszyscy popakują w L...
Ja sobie poczekam :wink:

Na kablu możliwy RGR, tworzymy 2 ramię, R/R 4/1 SL na szczycie, TP poniżej minimów, w średnim terminie gra warta świeczki, wg mnie oczywiście.
Zgadzam się jak są głupkowate sytuacja, z których nic nie wiadomo to zazwyczaj jest to S.
Przedstawione, poglądy, oceny i wnioski są wyrazem osobistych poglądów autora i nie mają charakteru rekomendacji. Wyłączną odpowiedzialność za decyzje inwestycyjne, podjęte i z wykorzystaniem wniosków w nich zawartych, ponosi inwestor.
subsilver2 趋势线

Bemowo

Re: DayTrading: Czwartek 28.03.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: Bemowo »

Lud powinien uznać korektę na kablu za doskonałe miejsce na long. Ciekawe ile tam pootwierają?

psxor
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Re: DayTrading: Czwartek 28.03.2013

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Bemowo pisze:Lud powinien uznać korektę na kablu za doskonałe miejsce na long. Ciekawe ile tam pootwierają?
Ja wczoraj zlapalem na 1.51 i dzisiaj rano mi złapało 50 pipków ;)

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Re: DayTrading: Czwartek 28.03.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: ForexTig3r »

m10 rgr :?:
Ale byki mają krzepę, nie ma co ....

Pod dane :?:

Koniec świata :?:
Ostatnio zmieniony 28 mar 2013, 09:11 przez ForexTig3r, łącznie zmieniany 2 razy.
Przedstawione, poglądy, oceny i wnioski są wyrazem osobistych poglądów autora i nie mają charakteru rekomendacji. Wyłączną odpowiedzialność za decyzje inwestycyjne, podjęte i z wykorzystaniem wniosków w nich zawartych, ponosi inwestor.
subsilver2 趋势线

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Re: DayTrading: Czwartek 28.03.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: niemiaszek »

Hello


Obrazek

NEWS: MOODY'S: NEGATIVE OUTLOOK REFLECTS EURO-AREA EVENT RISK
NEWS: MOODY'S AFFIRMS PORTUGAL'S BA3 RATING, NEGATIVE OUTLOOK
NEWS: MOODY'S AFFIRMS IRELAND BA1 GOVT BOND RTG, NEGATIVE OUTLOOK


EUROZONE: The risk of a euro exit by Cyprus is substantial, but not a central
scenario, Moody's Investors Service says. "Following the economic dislocation
that will be caused by the restructuring of the island's two largest banks and
the imposition of capital controls in the country, it is possible that the risk
of euro exit will increase further. If that were to occur, the maximum rating
Moody's would assign to Cypriot securities would fall further," Moody's says,
while lowering its assessment of the highest rating that can be assigned to a
domestic debt issuer in Cyprus to Caa2, based on the increasing risk of an exit
by the country from the euro area. Any rating actions taken as a result of the
new country ceiling will be released during the coming week, Moody's says.

EUROZONE: Nomura analysts say the type of capital controls imposed in Cyprus
(with clear cross border focus), their breadth and the uncertainty about their
duration, clearly separates euros in Cyprus from the rest of the currency union.
"It is a function of your temperament, whether you call it a breakup or not."
According to them, "If expectations are that the controls will be long-lived, we
will ultimately move towards a dual currency regime, where euros in Cyprus are
treated differently. Over time, we could even imagine a secondary market for
such Euros (officially, or in a black market), in which the Cypriot euros would
trade at a discount. If controls are extended beyond the four days next week,
that would push us further towards the black side: a more pronounced degree of
currency separation."



UK: In Europe, the calendar gets underway at 0700GMT, with the release of the UK
Nationwide House Price index. Month-on-month, analysts are looking for a further
uptick as the spring buying season gets underway, offering a platform to build
on in coming months as government initiatives start to kick in. There is only
limited UK data at 0930GMT, with the release of the January Index of Services.

UK: EGAN-JONES DOWNGRADES UNITED KINGDOM FROM AA- TO A+



EURO-DOLLAR: Closed in NY Wednesday at $1.2780, after recovering off a low of
$1.2750 to $1.2790, with corrective pullbacks ahead of the close contained by
$1.2765. Rate edged to an early high of $1.2786 in Asian trade, reversed to mark
lows at $1.2774 before continuing its recovery, slowly stepping its way to an
overnight high of $1.2794, settling around $1.2790 ahead of the European open.
Cyprus remains the key focus with today's bank re-openings to provide interest.
Germany retail sales data due at 0700GMT (-0.6% m/m the median, 1.20% y/y) with
Eurozone M3 at 0900GMT provides the morning's data interest, with US Q4 GDP and
initial jobless claims at 1230GMT. The Chicago Report then due at 1345GMT.
Market seen sitting short euros with a possible paring of part of these
positions ahead of the weekend likely, one bank suggesting that its end month
model is showing a sell signal for dollars, albeit weak. If rate does attempt a
recovery there appears to be a mix of interest between $1.2800/20, offers noted
in this area, with talk also of stops through $1.2810/20. Stronger offers then
seen into $1.2840/50. Support remains into $1.2750, corporate demand interest
again reported into dips, a break of $1.2730 to expose barriers at $1.2700.

EURO-DOLLAR: Corrective pullback away from early Europe traded highs of $1.2815,
seen after the release of strong Germany retail sales data, with the react
meeting willing sellers ahead of $1.2820, seen meeting demand into $1.2782 (50%
$1.2750-1.2815). Stronger support seen between $1.2775/65, the area containing
the 61.8% and 76.4% of that $1.2750-1.2815 recovery, along with the Asian low at
$1.2773.

EURO-DOLLAR: Fundamental levels (orders, options, technicals)
$1.2930/50 Medium offers/Stops
$1.2920 Medium offers/Stops
$1.2890/910 Stops
$1.2880/90 Medium offers/$1.2884 200-dma
$1.2867 Wednesday high
$1.2840/50 Strong offers
$1.2820 Medium offers/Stops

$1.2815 Int.Day high Europe, Asia $1.2795
$1.2804 ***Current mkt rate 0715GMT Thursday
$1.2773 Int.Day low Int.Day low Asia
$1.2750 Medium demand/Stops
$1.2735/25 Medium demand/Stops mixed in below $1.2730
$1.2700 Option barrier/Strong bids ahead
$1.2680 Tech 61.8% $1.2043-1.3711
$1.2662 Tech Nov13 2012 low/$1.2043 July24 2012 low



CABLE: Closed in NY Wednesday at $1.5131 after rate had recovered off its traded
lows of $1.5093. An early Asia dip to $1.5125 attracted fresh demand to allow
this recovery to extend to a high of $1.5150 before momentum faded. Rate eased
off to $1.5132 before settling between $1.5132/38 into Europe. Traders in Asia
have reported subdued markets with focus already turning to the long weekend
Easter holidays. Cable demand seen back in place between $1.5100/1.5090, a break
to open a deeper move toward $1.5070 with stops below. Resistance $1.5150 ahead
of $1.5180/85. Euro-sterling was contained within stg0.8439/52 through Asia, the
extended easing in this rate providing cable with its buoyancy. No sign as yet
of expected European sovereign end month demand for the cross, though with one
trader noting that their end month model would favour cable demand, this could
be partially offset if it emerges. UK Nationwide house prices due at 0700GMT
with Index of Services then due up at 0930GMT. Direction on the day to be mainly
dictated by euro-dollar moves with the reopening of banks in Cyprus of interest.
Easter weekend looms with a possible readjustment of positions to be seen into
the long weekend.

CABLE: Stronger than expected Nationwide house price data, along with
euro-dollar's extended recovery on release of strong German retail sales data,
provides the lift to take rate above its overnight high at $1.5150 and on to
$1.5171. Rate seen holding firm, currently around $1.5166. Next offers of note
seen at $1.5180/85 ahead of $1.5200/10. Support $1.5150.


YEN: Dollar-yen closed in NY at Y94.43 after recovering off a pullback low of
Y94.02. Rate came under fresh sell pressure into Asia as risk took a knock from
the negative opening in China stocks, this market reacting to an order for banks
to tighten controls over wealth management products. The downside move picked up
momentum as Tokyo market opened, with Japanese exporters the stand out sellers
for month-FY end, with macro also adding weight as rate eased back toward the NY
low. A minor bounce off Y94.02 to Y94.17 attracted fresh sellers as they turned
their attention to reported stops sub Y94.00. Rate touched a low of Y93.98
before profit take demand quickly emerged to edge rate back up to Y94.24 into
Europe. Euro-yen closed in Ny at Y120.68, after recovering off its show under
Y120.00 at Y119.95. This rate dipped in tandem with dollar-yen to Y120.14,
though a slight positive tone in the euro provided some buoyancy and allowed for
a late recovery to Y120.62 into Europe. Yen open to end month flows though
Japanese markets will be open Friday, with talk earlier in the week that a
government pension fund could show dollar-yen demand interest at Friday's Tokyo
fix.

JAPAN STOCKS CLOSE: Japan's benchmark stocks are trading lower Thursday. The
Nikkei 225 was lower by 157.83 points, or 1.25%, at 12335.96. Into the close,
the broader-based TOPIX was lower by 9.52 points at 1036.95. Market breadth
indicators saw 25 issue higher, 196 lower and 3 unchanged. Preliminary volume
stood at 1.707 bn shares.


SEK: Traders link this interest to the recent massive 3mth 6.25 dollar-Sek
option that traded earlier this week:- Tele2 AB sells Tele2 Russia to VTB Group
in a cash transaction comprising $2.4 billion
http://www.tele2.com/press-release-arti ... publish.ne.
cision.com/Release/GetReleaseDetail?releaseId=1287168


OPTIONS: FX: Option expiries for today's 1000ET cut,
* Euro-dollar; $1.2700, $1.2750, $1.2780, $1.2850, $1.2875, $1.2900
* Dollar-yen; Y94.10, Y94.25, Y94.75, Y95.00, Y95.20, Y96.00, Y96.50
* Cable; $1.5100, $1.5150, $1.5195, $1.5300
* Aussie; $1.0375, $1.0450, $1.0480, $1.0500


EUROZONE ISSUANCE: Sovereign bond issuance in the eurozone has now been
completed for this week and totals E20.96bln and compares to E24.7bln sold last
week. As a recap, Belgium tapped its 5-year benchmark 1.25% June 2018 OLO,
10-year benchmark 2.25% June 2023 OLO and also 20-year benchmark 4.00% Mar 2032
OLO issues for combined size of E3.485bln. Italy tapped its 2-year zero coupon
Dec 2014 CTZ bond for E2.825bln and also linkers 1.70% Sep 2018 BTPei & 2.60%
Sep 2023 BTPei issues for combined size of between E1.0bln. On Tuesday, the
Netherlands re-opened its 5-year benchmark 1.25% Jan 2018 DSL for between
E2.225bln and France priced its syndicated new 30-year benchmark OAT issue. On
Wednesday, Italy sold a new benchmark 5-year 3.50% June 2018 BTP for E3.91bln
and tapped the benchmark 10-year 4.50% Mar 2023 BTP for E3.0bln. In terms of
reinvestment flows, there redemptions from Slovakia E0.04bln and Belgium
E12.72bln and coupon payments from Italy E0.2bln and Belgium E6.8bln -- leaves
net cash flow negative to the tune of E1.2bln vs E24.5bln last week. For full
details of forthcoming issues, please see eurozone bond auction calendar & MNI
Eurozone Net Cash Flow Matrix.

EUROZONE ISSUANCE: Looking ahead into next week, supply in the eurozone is only
so far scheduled from France, Germany and Spain -- expected to total E15.5bln.
Germany kicks off supply on Wednesday with re-opening of its 5-year benchmark
0.50% Feb 2018 Bobl issue for up to E4.0bln. On Thursday, Spain sells a new
3-year benchmark 3.30% July 2016 Bono and taps its 4.10% July 2018 Obligacion
and also 5.50% Apr 2021 Obligacion issues for an expected size of up to E4.0bln.
Also on Thursday, France conducts its regular OAT auctions -- the AFT is
expected to tap its 10-year benchmark 2.25% Oct 2022 OAT and also off-the-run
OAT issues for an expected size of up to E7.5bln -- details due to be announced
today due to Good Friday holiday. In terms of reinvestment flows, there are no
redemptions due and minor coupon payments from Italy E0.22bln and Spain E0.11bln
-- to leave net cash flow negative to the tune of E15.2bln.
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... zbieraj pips do pipa bo jak nie to z depo będzie lipa... G."niemiaszek"

psxor
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Re: DayTrading: Czwartek 28.03.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: psxor »

Jak edek przebije 1.2825 to urwie 1.29

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cugan
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Re: DayTrading: Czwartek 28.03.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: cugan »

Bez interwencji banków nie widzę wzrostów na EUR/USD :!: :!: :!:
Przedstawione, poglądy, oceny i wnioski są wyrazem osobistych poglądów autora i nie mają charakteru rekomendacji autora.Wyłączną odpowiedzialność za decyzje inwestycyjne, podjęte i z wykorzystaniem wniosków w nich zawartych, ponosi inwestor.

Bemowo

Re: DayTrading: Czwartek 28.03.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: Bemowo »

psxor pisze:Jak edek przebije 1.2825 to urwie 1.29
tu paniki nie ma,
ale na kablu sytuacja jest napięta jak "jajka baranie"
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Re: DayTrading: Czwartek 28.03.2013

Nieprzeczytany post autor: niemiaszek »

CABLE: MNI Cable: Fundamental levels (orders, options, technicals),
$1.5300 Medium offers
$1.5280 Strong offers on approach/Monday Mar25 high
$1.5240/50 Medium offers
$1.5220/25 Medium offers
$1.5200/10 Strong offers/$1.5207 Tuesday Mar26 high
$1.5180/85 Medium offers/$1.5181 hourly high Wednesday
$1.5171 Int.Day high Europe, Asia $1.5150
$1.5160 **Current market rate 0820GMT Thursday
$1.5150 Broken resistance now support
$1.5125 Int.Day low Asia
$1.5095/90 Medium demand/$1.5093 Weds Mar27 low
$1.5089-84 Mar20 intraday low-76.4% $1.5027-1.5269
$1.5070 Medium demand/Larger stops
$1.5042 UK Budget react low (Wed Mar20)/Bids $1.5050-40
$1.5027 Wednesday Mar20 low

EURO-STERLING: MNI Euro-sterling: Fundamental levels (orders, options,
technicals)
stg0.8555/65 Strong offers
stg0.8535/40 Minor offers
stg0.8510 Medium offers/Stops
stg0.8500 Strong offers on approach
stg0.8475/85 Medium offers
stg0.8452 Int.Day high Asia
stg0.8438 ***Current market rate 0830GMT Thursday
stg0.84365 Int.Day low Europe, Asia stg0.8439 (NY stg0.8438)
stg0.8425/20 Medium demand
stg0.8410/00 Medium demand
stg0.8395/90 Medium demand/Stops
stg0.8365/60 Medium demand
... zbieraj pips do pipa bo jak nie to z depo będzie lipa... G."niemiaszek"

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