DayTrading: Poniedziałek 4.03.2013

[molmomas]

nie wiem, naprawdę, gdzie jest to RGR, próbowałem nawet zeza zrobić żeby znaleźć tą formację i nic.

[cajto]

lukasz2021 - Świece działają na każdym TF. Jeśli chcesz grać w oparciu o nie, ćwicz wyznaczanie stref wsparć i oporów - tam szukaj formacji odwrócenia lub kontynuacji trendu. Bez tego polegniesz w przedbiegach i niepotrzebnie się zniechęcisz.

MowmiSasiad słusznie poruszył ten problem. Sam wchodzę na podstawie M1 i czasami dwóch różnych broków miało różnicę nie przekraczającą 1p w zamknięciu / otwarciu ale pomimo tego sygnał był lub też nie. Obecnie korzystam z wykresu Armady i jestem bardzo zadowolony.

[MowmiSasiad]

witam panowie czy według was czyktoś krzysta może z formacji świecowych i czy one działaja na niżsych interwałach np m1?

Na interwale M1 mogą zdarzać się różnice pomiędzy brokerami na tyle duże, że robią różnice. Odpowiadając więc na pytanie myślę, że działają ale zależy u kogo

[ForexTig3r]

04/03/2013 Poniedziałek 10:42
https://www2.gotomeeting.com/register/603233690

[molmomas]

edek wybił z formacji, po dokonaniu retestu zasięg do okolic 1.297

[niemiaszek]

Hello


EU: Eurozone data is expected at 0800GMT, with the release of the Spanish February
unemployment data.
Further eurozone data is expected at 1000GMT, when the EMU January PPI will
cross the wires.
At 1250GMT, ECB Governing Council member Jozef Makuch is to speak at a Matej Bel
University event, in Banska Bystrica (Slovakia).
At some stage, Germany's IG Metall union will issue its wage hike
recommendations for upcoming pay round.
At 1400GMT, EMU Eurozone finmins meet to discuss Cyprus, Ireland
and Portugal in Brussels.

ITALY: Italian President Giorgio Napollitano is looking at options fro pulling
together a fresh "technocrat" government, the Daily Telegraph writes, as efforts
by the political parties to build a coalition in the wake of elections find
stalemate.

PORTUGAL: Portugal is set to become the latest of the "bailout nations" to seek
easier terms, the WSJ meets. The WSJ says easing of terms for Portugal and
Ireland will be to the fore when the Eurogroup meets in Brussels later today.

NETHERLANDS: Austerity rifts spread to the Netherlands, as unions attack an
additional E4 bn of planned cuts by the government in order to hit EU spending
targets, the FT reports.



UK: The main UK release is expected at 0930GMT, as the February CIPS/Markit
Construction PMI numbers are due.

UK PRESS: Despite the recent sovereign rating downgrade by Moody's, UK Gilts are
likely to remain in demand by many foreign investment funds, including SWFs, as
the UK market wins a "least ugly" competition over other bonds, the FT says.

UK PRESS: The Telegraph says this week's BOE MPC meet could well lead to an
increase in the stock of QE. The paper notes, as MNI analysis noted after the
minutes, occasions when Governor Mervyn King has been in the minority, the MPC
has moved swiftly in line in subsequent months.

UK PRESS: Further signs of a thawing in the UK economy, as the latest Reed Jobs
Index shows an increase in the numbers of jobs on offer in 41 of the 43 sectors
covered, the Independent reports.

UK PRESS: The latest UK survey of house prices underlines the North/South split,
the Independent reports. According to the latest Hometrack survey, more than
three-quarters of postal areas registering price gains are in London or the
Southeast, the paper says.



US:At 1300GMT, US Federal Reserve Vice Chair Janet Yellen will
give a speech to the NABE conference in Washington. At 1345GMT, Treasury
Undersecretary for Domestic Finance Mary Miller gives a speech on financial
regulatory reform to Institute for Int'l Bankers, also in Washington.
In the US, at 1430GMT, Congressional Budget Office Director Douglas Elmdorf will
deliver a speech to the NABE conference.
At 1430GMT, the MNI Capital Goods Index for the March 1 week will be released,
followed by the MNI Retail Trade Index for the March 2 week at 1530GMT.
In between, at 1445GMT, the February ISM-NY Business Index will be released.
After the European markets close, at 1815GMT, US Federal Reserve Gov. Jerome
Powell gives a speech to the Institute for Intl Bankers in Washington, followed
at 1930GMT BY FDIC Chair Martin Gruenberg.



FOREX: Speculative accounts flipped to a net euro short position and trimmed
their net yen short position as of Feb 26, according to U.S. CFTC data, released
Friday. The CFTC's COT report -- non-commercial, futures-only section, excluding
options -- showed speculators had a net euro short position of -9,394 contracts
as of Tuesday, compared to last week's net euro long of +19,103 contracts. This
is the first net euro short position since the week of January 8. Speculative
accounts had a net yen short of -65,344 contracts as per February 26, versus the
prior week's net yen short of -65,891 contracts and the yen short of -94,401
contracts from December 11, which was the largest net yen short position since
July 2007. The euro closed near $1.3061 and dollar-yen at Y91.97 February 26,
which compared to closing levels Friday at $1.3025 and Y93.58.


EURO-DOLLAR: Closed in NY Friday at $1.3022, having been pressed to session lows
of $1.2966 before recovering to $1.3042 then drifted off into the close. A
fairly subdued session for euro-dollar through Asia with trade contained within
a relatively tight range of $1.3002/31, trading around $1.3006 into Europe.
Italian Beppe Grillo's comment over the weekend about the country leaving the
euro had little effect on trade, he had said similar in his election campaign.
Euro-yen demand provided the lift to the overnight highs but traders noted
supply sitting above $1.3030 preventing further upside progress. Support seen
back in place between $1.3000/1.2990, a break to expose Friday's lows. Offers
from above $1.3030, stronger between $1.3040/50 ahead of $1.3070/80. Eurozone
PPI data due up at 1000GMT in an otherwise data light morning. However, the week
ahead provides interest with central bank decisions due from the RBA, BOC, ECB,
BOE and BOJ, though no change expected in policy from any of them (ECB Draghi
will outline key elements of the quarterly staff projections). US employment
report Friday to end the week.


CABLE: Closed in NY at $1.5038 after rate had managed to recover of session lows
of $1.4985 to $1.5044 before drifting off into the close. Sterling was seen
under pressure Friday following the release of weak manufacturing PMI data. This
will turn attention onto services PMI data Tuesday, a weak reading here expected
to put the market on a QE extension footing. BOE rate decision due this week
(Thursday), but despite the recent 6-3 split at the last meeting to keep QE
unchanged, most expect rates and QE to again hold steady (despite BOE King's
vote for stg25bln extension last meeting). Trade through Asia was confined to a
tight $1.5024/47 range, trading around $1.5034 into Europe. Offers remain in
place toward $1.5050, a break to open a move toward $1.5080 ahead of $1.5100.
Support now seen at $1.5000, a break to expose Friday's low at $1.4985, with
bids now seen placed between $1.4985/80. Below here and rate can ease toward
$1.4965/60 then $1.4950. Euro-sterling held within a range of stg0.8645/65
through Asia, as it consolidated Friday's volatile session which had seen it
spike to stg0.8686 before dropping back to stg0.8636 with a weak pound countered
in this rate by Eurozone concerns.


YEN: Dollar-yen saw a late drive higher in NY Friday, the rate pushing to a high
of Y93.68, from day lows of Y92.44, before it drifted to Y93.59 into the close.
Rate nudged up to Y93.70 in early Asian trade on Kuroda comments (suggested size
and type of assets the BOJ now buys not enough to achieve its 2.0% inflation
target, though noted buying foreign bonds would be difficult). Nothing
particualry new in Kuroda's comments though was seen as him accepting the
nomination for BOJ Governor. Corporate supply greeted the early rally, and with
the Nikkeo reversing early gains, saw rate ease to Y93.29. Rate settled between
Y93.30/50 into Europe. Euro-yen closed NY at Y121.87 after easing off late rally
highs of Y122.17. Early volatility into Asian trade, with rate dropping to
Y121.43 before recovering to Y121.99 into the fix. Decent offers said to reside
at Y122.00, with sell interest here able to reverse this early move, taking it
back to Y121.38. Rate recovered to Y121.80 before heading lower again into
Europe on general euro sales, the rate easing to Y121.28 at posting.



OPTIONS: FX: Option expiries for today's 1000ET cut,
* Euro-dollar; $1.3000(large), $1.3025, $1.3050, $1.3100
* Dollar-yen; Y92.00, Y92.50, Y93.00, Y93.75, Y94.00
* Cable; $1.4900, $1.5050
* Euro-sterling; stg0.8700



EUROZONE T-BILL ISSUANCE: Eurozone Sovereign T-bill issuance for this week are
planned from Netherlands, France, Greece, Belgium and ESM. Supply is estimated
to be around E16.0bln, down from E18.172bln issued last week. First up on Monday
will be Netherlands who plan tap 3-month May 31, 2013 DTC for between
E1.0-E2.0bln and issue new 6-month Sep 30 DTC for between E1.0-E2.0bln. In the
afternoon France plan to issue new 3-month Jun 6 BTF for between E3.6-E4.0bln,
re-open 6-month Aug 8 BTF for between E1.4-E1.7bln and tap 12-month Feb 6, 2014
BTF for between E1.4-E1.7bln. On Tuesday, Greece plan to issue new 26-week Sep 6
T-bill for E875mln. Belgium plan to tap 3-month Jun 30 T-bill and 6-month Aug 15
for between E2.8-E3.3bln. Finally ESM plan to issue new 3-month Jun 6 Bill for
up to E2.0bln. In terms of T-bill redemptions for this week, we have, France
E7.758bln, Greece E1.4bln and EFSF E1.432bln, giving potential positive net cash
flow of E5.4bln.

EUROZONE ISSUANCE: Eurozone sovereign bond issuance this week is scheduled from
Austria, Belgium, France, Germany and Spain -- expected to come in around
E17.65bln vs E10.57bln last week. Austria kicks off issuance on Tuesday with tap
of the 3.40% Nov 2022 RAGB & 3.15% June 2044 RAGB issues for combined size of
E1.65bln. On Wednesday, Germany reopens its 5-year benchmark 0.50% Feb 2018 Bobl
issue for up to E4.0bln. On Thursday, France taps 4.25% Oct 2018 OAT, 4.25% Oct
2022 OAT & 2.75% Oct 2027 OAT for between E6.5bln-E7.5bln indicative size. Also
on Thursday, Spain taps 3.75% 2015 Bono, 4.50% 2018 Bono and 5.40% 2023
Obligaciones bonds for an expected size of up to E4.0bln -- auction maturity
details are due to be announced today by Tesoro. On Friday, Belgium conducts its
Optional Reverse Inquiry (ORI) bond auction, but will confirm whether it will go
ahead with it on Thursday. In terms of reinvestment flows, there are no
redemption payments scheduled this week with minor coupon payments from Belgium
for E0.1bln -- leaves net cash flow negative to the tune of E17.55bln. For full
details of forthcoming issues, please see Eurozone bond auction calendar & MNI
Eurozone Net Cash Flow Matrix.

DUTCH T-BILL AUCTION PREVIEW: The Dutch State Treasury Agency (DSTA), re-opens
3-month May 31, DTC for between E1.0-E2.0bln, and issue new 6-month Sep 30 DTC
for between E1.0-E2.0bln on Monday. This will be the second of two taps of May
31 DTC and with only E4.37bln currently outstanding demand could be high.
Current 3-month DTC mid-yield is seen trading above between 0.0% and 0.02% and
was last sold on Feb 18, were E2.09bln was allotted at an average yield 0.07%
and covered 1.96 times. As for the new 6-month Sep 30 DTC, this will be tapped
again on Mar 18, but could see high demand on save haven buying. There is
currently no grey market for the new T-bill, but at the last 6-month DTC auction
also back on Feb 18, E1.11bln was allotted at average yield of 0.026% and
covered 2.66 times. With no Dutch T-bill redemption this week, cash flow could
be negative to the tune of E4.0bln. Results due to be announced around 1040GMT.

FRANCE T-BILL AUCTION PREVIEW: France's Agence France Tresor (AFT) plan to issue
new 3-month Jun 6, 2013 BTF for between E3.6-E4.0bln, re-open 6-month Aug 8,
2013 BTF for between E1.4-E1.7bln, and tap 12-month Feb 6, 2014 BTF for between
E1.4-E1.7bln on Monday. With eonia rates falling on increased chance of action
by the ECB next week, demand is expected to be high and yields lower at the BTF
auction. There will be a BTF redemption this week of E7.758bln, leaving net cash
flow negative to the tune of E358mln. For comparison on Feb 25, the AFT sold
E3.792bln 3-month BTF at an average yield of 0.012% with cover of 1.91 times,
E1.897bln 6-month BTF at an average yield of 0.041% with cover of 2.47 times,
and E1.794bln 12-month BTF at an average yield of 0.112% with cover of 3.4
times. Results due to be announced around 1355GMT.


EUROZONE: Timeline of key events in the eurozone for next few weeks:
- Mar 04 Eurogroup meeting
- Mar 05 ECOFIN meeting
- Mar 05 ESM sells 3-month bill for up to E2.0bln
- Mar 05 Greece sells 26-week T-bill for E875mln
- Mar 05 European Feb services PMI data
- Mar 06 EMU Q4 2nd estimate GDP data
- Mar 06 Merkel, Hollande, Necas, Orban, Fico joint press conference
- Mar 07 ECB Governing Council meeting, Draghi press conference
- Mar 07 Spain sells 2015-/2018-/2023 bonds
- Mar 08 Greek T-bill redemption for E1.4bln
- Mar 12 Italy T-bill auction
- Mar 12 Spain sells 6-/12-month T-bills
- Mar 13 ECB start of reserve maintenance period
- Mar 14/15 European Council Summit
- Mar 14 Italy T-bill redemption for E8.685bln


US: Timeline of key events in the US for the next few days:
- Mar 04 Fed Vice Chair Yellen (voter) at NABE ann conf in Washington
- Mar 04 CBO Director Elmdorf speaks at NABE annual conf in Washington
- Mar 04 UST announces 4 wk at 1100ET
- Mar 04 UST auctions 3/6m bills at 1130ET
- Mar 05 MonPol & Trade Subcomm on Bernanke's House & Senate testimony
- Mar 05 UST auctions 4wk, 52wk at 1130ET
- Mar 05 Fed Lacker (non-voter) at NABE ann conf in Washington at 1400ET
- Mar 06 Fed Plosser (non-voter) in PA at 0815ET
- Mar 06 Cap Mkts & GSE Subcomm on FNMA and FHLMC role in finl crisis
- Mar 06 Beige Book at 1400ET
- Mar 06 Feb Treasury STRIPS at 1500ET
- Mar 07 UST announces 3/6m bills at 1100ET
- Mar 07 Feb Treasury Auction Allotments at 1500ET
- Mar 07 Fed releases results from supervisory stress tests of largest banks at
1630ET

[Mpapiez]

edek wybił z formacji, po dokonaniu retestu zasięg do okolic 1.297

Ja tam widzę edka na wsparciu.

Biorąc pod uwagę że niedługo wejście Londynu, oraz że największe szarpnięcia są w 30-40 minucie z reguły, to życzę ci żebyś się nie zdziwił .

Po co w piątek by bronili poziomu, skoro w poniedziałek mialoby spadać ?

[Vanitas Vanitatum]

Dziś sporo danych po 10, uciekacie z edka przed danymi?

[molmomas]

to jest jedna z możliwych opcji,
nie zawsze musi się spełnić, ale może,
jeszcze troszkę do wyprzedania rynku brakuje, i 1.297 pasowałoby na utworzenie podwójnego dna np.

[Seboolek]

ale mi internet dał po dupie teraz. Nie chcial sie polaczyc, nie ustawilem tp i nie wiedzialem co sie z moja kasa dzieje... stresy od samego rana..