DayTrading: Poniedziałek 11.02.2013

[Adam]

Morgan Stanley otworzył długie pozycje na USD/JPY
Bank uważa, że dalsze osłabianie się Jena jest nieuniknione i celuje w 100 Jenów za Dolara. Stop Loss został ustawiony na poziomie 91.80.
Źródło: eFXnews
http://www.efxnews.com/story/17235/excl ... sking-9180

przeciez mieli krotkie

-- Dodano: pn 11-02-2013, 8:57 --

i czekali na 88 na USD JPY jak sie nie myle co osanio podawane bylo

nie sam dawałem mieli oczekujące L-ki a teraz otworzyli ale taki news to pic

[Kondek]

Słuchajcie Panie i Panowie, czy teraz to nie jest okazja na CFD na emisję dwutlenku węgla? Przecież max może spaść do 0. Nie mylę się? Depozyt tylko 7,48 zł na 0,01 lota. Co o tym sądzicie?
[img]http://www.kondek_2007.republika.pl/carbon1002a.GIF[/img]

[Nowy123]

duzo ostatnio mowi o wojnach wlutowaych zobaczymy co to za raport wymysla OLI w weekend sie wypowiadal na ten temat

[davor5]

ustala sztywne kursy wymiany walut i skonczy sie forex trzeba bedzie skoczyc na metale szlachetne

[Nowy123]

ustala sztywne kursy wymiany walut i skonczy sie forex trzeba bedzie skoczyc na metale szlachetne

taa jak z CHF

[davor5]

z CHF sobie poradzili to i poradzą sobie z EUR

[Kondek]

A co z dwutlenkiem węgla? Nie widzicie okazji?

[richard.cali]

Sprawa nie przesądzona co do wejścia w S na 1.3390, walka, nadal możliwa kontynuacja wzrostu 1.342X

[niemiaszek]

Hello


EUROPE: Monday sees data on both sides of the calendar, although it is a slow
start to the session as much of Asia is on holiday to celebrate the Lunar New
Year. The European calendar starts at 0745GMT, with the release of the French
December Industrial output data. At 0815GMT, Bundesbank board member Andreas
Dombret is set to speak on regulation at a Vienna banking conference. Back on
the Continet, at 1200GMT, the EMU December OECD leading indicator index will be
released. Eurozone finance ministers are meeting in Brussels from 1400GMT, with
Cyprus among issues on the agenda.
Eurozone speakers are due from 1530GMT, when ECB Governing Council member Ewald
Nowotny gives the closing speech at banking conference in Vienna.
At 1600GMT, ECB Governing Council Member Jens Weidmann is slated to give a
lecture on crisis management in Freiburg, Germany.

ITALY: Italy must pursue structural reforms and keep public finances in balance
in order to strengthen the confidence of financial markets, Bank of Italy
Governor Ignazio Visco said Saturday, arguing that sovereign borrowing costs do
not reflect economic fundamentals. In a speech to a financial conference in the
northern city of Bergamo, Visco, who is a member of the ECB's Governing Council,
argued that Italy's banking system remains fundamentally sound and its exposure
to derivative risks under control, despite the recent revelations concerning
Monte dei Paschi di Siena (MPS).

SPAIN: Fitch affirmed Spain's sovereign rating at 'BBB' late Friday and
also maintained its negative outlook. Fitch said the the negative outlook
reflects the following risk factors that may, individually or collectively,
result in a downgrade of the ratings:
1. Failure to place the public debt ratio on a firm downward path over m/t.
2. Greater uncertainty over continuity of economic and fiscal policy stance.
3. A deeper and longer recession than currently forecast. This would undermine
the fiscal consolidation effort, and could erode bank asset quality further than
currently anticipated.
4. A sustained deterioration in fiscal funding conditions caused by an
intensification of the eurozone crisis. This would feed through to tighter
private sector lending conditions and deepen the recession.

GREECE: The Greek government is set to outline more favourable payment terms for
Greek individuals as the amount of tax owed to the sate rose E13 bn in 2012,
eKathimerini reports

EUROPEAN PRESS: The European Central Bank has no foreign exchange rate target,
ECB Executive Board member Joerg Asmussen said in an interview with the German
business daily andelsblatt published Sunday, warning not to let talk of
currencies distract from the ongoing need for structural reforms in the
Eurozone. "Our basic position is unchanged: We have no exchange rate target.
Exchange rates should be market-based," Asmussen told the newspaper. "Such a
debate should not be allowed to distract from needed reforms that countries must
undertake themselves."

EUROZONE: The FT says a proposal for a Cyprus bailout set to be discussed by the
Eurogroup on Monday would see losses for uninsured depositors in Cypriot banks
and for sovereign bond holders, the FT reports.



UK: In the UK, the Debt Management Office (DMO) sells a new 5-year 1.25% July
2018 Gilt issue on Thursday for Stg4.0bln. Ahead of this, the DMO is due to
announce Tuesday the size details of the 0.125% 2044 index-linked Gilt that is
due to be sold on Feb 21. In addition, the DMO may also announce further details
of its next syndicated offering, which is the re-opening of the 0.25% 2052
index-linked Gilt in the week commencing Feb 25, subject to market conditions.
The UK debt agency previously announced that it will give information about the
conduct of the offer, including the composition of the syndicate in due course.

UK PRESS: The BOE is set to cut its UK growth forecast this week, the Telegraph
warns, as UK household spending is set to remain weak for longer amid the "Big
Squeeze."

UK PRESS: UK clearer Barclays is set to cut costs by up to stg 2 bn, with as
many as 2000 jobs at risk in the investment banking department, the FT reports.
The paper adds jobs are also at risk in other departments as the banking group
looks to trim 10% from its annual cost base.

UK PRESS: The latest Lloyds Business Survey showed economic activity picked up
in 8 of the UK's 9 regions in January, with only the North-East weighed by
further weakness in manufacturing, the Independent reports.



US: On the other side of the Atlantic, there is only a limited calendar, with
the release of the MNI Capital Goods Index for the Feb 8 week due at 1430GMT and
the MNI Retail Trade Index for the Feb 9 week released at 1530GMT. Back in the
US, at 1800GMT, US Federal Reserve Vice Chair Janet Yellen gives a speech on the
implications of the slow recovery to the AFL-CIO in Washington.


Markets in China, Taiwan, Singapore Hong Kong, Malaysia are all closed today to
mark the Lunar New Year holidays. In addition, Japanese markets are also closed
to mark National Foundation Day.
Monday sees data on both sides of the calendar, although it is a slow start to
the session as much of Asia is on holiday to celebrate the Lunar New Year.



EURO-DOLLAR: Closed in NY Friday at $1.3370, having extended its corrective
pullback to $1.3353 during the session, before performing a slight recovery into
the close. Stops below $1.3350 became the early target into Asia, the tripping
of which took rate to extended lows of $1.3325 before profit take demand emerged
to correct rate back above $1.3350, extending the move to $1.3380 before
momentum faltered. Rate then settled between $1.3365/80 through the balance of a
fairly quiet session, Japan and several Chinese centres closed for new year
making Sydney the only major centre open. Traders note today's Eurogroup meeting
(Cyprus bail-out package a topic of discussion) along with end of week G20 which
could make for headline reaction risk. US retail sales Wednesday seen as the
standout data release, the market to judge the spending of US consumers after
January tax hikes kicked in. Bids seen in place at $1.3325/20 ahead of $1.3300.
Resistance $1.3380, $1.3400/10 and $1.3430. Asian holidays and weekend US
weather could act to make Monday's session fairly subdued.

EURO-DOLLAR: Keeps pressure on the overnight high at $1.3392 in early European
trade, with sell interest seen scattered from above $1.3390 through to $1.3405.
Stops seen through $1.3405/10, which if triggered to expose Friday's high at
$1.3430.


CABLE: Closed in NY Friday at $1.5801, after rate had seen highs in the NY
session of $1.5845, easing back to $1.5792 before edging back into the close.
Sterling's recent poor performance was given some respite, Mark Carney's
appearance before the TSC Thursday showed him to be less dovish than had been
perceived and prompted a paring of short sterling positions into the weekend.
For this week UK CPI on Tuesday provides the early interest, analysts expecting
a slight move higher in inflation. Wednesday brings the Inflation Report, though
this not seen as carrying the same weight as it has done in the past as regards
predicting policy action (RBC). Holidays in several Asian centres, Chinese new
year and Japan National Foundation Day, expected to make for a fairly subdued
Monday session. Sterling moves expected to again come from euro-sterling
activity, trade open to headline risk as the Eurogroup meets, which could prompt
some comment from officials. Cable extended its corrective pullback lows to
$1.5785 in early Asia before it recovered to hold around $1.5800 for most of the
overnight session before edging to $1.5810 into Europe. Offers $1.5810/15 ahead
of $1.5830 and $1.5845/50. Support $1.5785/75, stops below $1.5770.

CABLE: Pressing on overnight lows of $1.5785 in early Europe, the selling able
to extend the intraday base to $1.5779 at writing with rate holding heavy. Bids
have been reported to $1.5775, with stops placed on a break of $1.5770. A break
here to allow for a deeper move toward $1.5750. Rate trades around $1.5783 at
posting.


YEN: Dollar-yen closed in NY Friday at Y92.68 after rate had extended its
corrective pullback of recent highs of Y94.07 (Feb6) to Y92.17 before recovering
to Y92.92 ahead of the close. Trade in a holiday thinned Asian session (Sydney
the only major centre open due to Chinese new year and Japan Natl Foundation
Day) kept rate confined to a range of Y92.37/90, the high seen in opening trade
before rate sank to the lows on euro-yen profit take sales. Rate recovered,
settling between Y92.50/70 ahead of Europe. Euro-yen closed NY at Y123.87,
having seen lows in this session of Y123.43, the rate posting highs into early
trade of Y124.10 before turning lower on that reported profit take selling,
pressing to lows of Y123.50 before it recovered ahead of Europe to hold around
Y124.00. Asian holidays and adverse weather in the US could make for a subdued
Monday session, with headline risk moving back to the fore with Eurogroup
meeting today and G20 at the end of the week.


OPTIONS: FX: Option expiries for today's 1000ET cut,
* Euro-dollar; $1.3325, $1.3500, $1.3550
* Dollar-yen; Y92.00, Y92.50, Y92.75, Y93.00, Y93.50, Y94.00
* Euro-sterling; stg0.8625, stg0.8660
* Dollar-Swiss; Chf0.9150, Chf0.9245
* Euro-Swiss; Chf1.2320
* Aussie; $1.0400


EUROZONE ISSUANCE: Sovereign bond issuance in the eurozone this week is
scheduled from Germany, Italy and the Netherlands and expected to come in around
E17.0bln vs E17.69bln sold last week. Tuesday is a busy day, with the
Netherlands due to re-open its 5-year benchmark 1.25% Jan 2018 DSL issue for
between E2.0bln-E3.0bln indicative size. Germany re-opens its 0.75% Apr 2018
Boblei linker issue on Tuesday for E1.0bln. In addition, the EFSF tops-up 2.25%
Mar 2022 bond for up to E1.0bln.On Wednesday, Germany sells a new 2-year
benchmark Mar 2015 Schatz issue for up E5.0bln. Key focus is on Italy's regular
mid-month BTP auctions scheduled Wednesday, which includes tap of the June 2017
CCTeu for between E1.0bln-E1.5bln, tap of 3-year benchmark 2.75% Dec 2015 BTP
for between E2.5bln-E3.5bln, tap of the 15-year benchmark 4.50% Mar 2026 BTP for
between E1.0bln-E1.75bln and also benchmark 30-year 5.00% Sep 2040 BTP for
between E1.0bln-E1.75bln. In terms of reinvestment flows, there are no
redemptions due this week with moderate coupon payments from Portugal E0.22bln
-- leaves net cash flow negative at E16.8bln vs -E17.7bln. For full details of
forthcoming issues, please see MNI Eurozone Net Cash Flow Matrix.

EUROZONE T-BILL ISSUANCE: Eurozone Sovereign T-bill issuance for this week are
planned from Germany, France, Spain, Italy, Greece, Belgium and Ireland. Supply
is estimated to be around E26.5bln, higher than E16.98bln issued last week.
First up on Monday will be Germany who will issue new 6-month Aug 14, 2013
Bubill for up to E4.0bln. In the afternoon France tap 3-month May 9 BTF for
between E3.6-E4.0bln, re-open 6-month Jul 11 BTF for between E1.3-E1.7bln and
issue new 12-month Feb 6, 2014 BTF for between E1.5-E1.9bln. On Tuesday, Spain
will re-open 6-month Aug 23 Letra and issue new Feb 21, 2014 Letra with
indicative size to be announced on Monday. Italy will issue new 12-month Feb 14,
2014 BOT for E8.5bln. Greece will issue new 13-week May 17 T-bill for E1.0bln.
Belgium will re-open 3-month May 16 T-bill and issue new 12-month Feb 13, 2014
T-bill for indicative target range of E2.8-E3.3bln. Finally on Thursday, Ireland
are scheduled to issue new 3-month May 9 T-bill for E500mln, details to be
confirmed Tuesday. In terms of T-bill redemptions for this week, we have, France
E7.993bln, Germany E4.0bln, Italy E9.153bln, Spain E9.241bln, Belgium E5.06bln
and Greece E1.6bln, giving potential positive net cash flow of E10.5bln.

GERMAN T-BILL AUCTION PREVIEW: The Deutsche Finanzagentur is planning to issue
up to E4.0bln new 6-month Bubill maturing Aug 14, 2013 on Monday. 6-month Bubill
yield has marginally increased since last months auction as market sentiment
improves. currently there is no grey market mid-yield on the new 6-month Bubill
but expectations are for it to come in around 0.02%. For comparison at the last
6-month T-bill auction back on Jan 7, the treasury allotted E3.515bln at an
average yield of -0.0091%, cover of 2.1 times, and with E485mln or 12% retained
for secondary market operations. At last months sale, the 6-month Eonia rate was
around 0.063%, therefore giving a spread of -7.21bps, currently 6-month Eonia is
seen around 0.125% level. There will be a Bubill redemption of E4.0bln next
week, leaving net cash flow flat. Results due to be announced shortly after
1030GMT.

FRANCE T-BILL AUCTION PREVIEW: France's Agence France Tresor (AFT) will re-open
3-month May 9, 2013 BTF for between E3.6-E4.0bln, re-open 6-month Jul 11, 2013
BTF for between E1.3-E1.7bln, and issue new 12-month Feb 6, 2014 BTF for between
E1.5-E1.9bln on Monday. This will be the last tap of May 9 BTF and therefore
demand could be high. Yield on the 6-month BTF has remained unchanged since last
Monday's auction, while the yield on the old 12-month BTF has fallen by around
3bps. There will be a BTF redemption this week of E7.993bln, leaving net cash
flow positive to the tune of E393mln, which is seen as underpinning demand. For
comparison on Feb 4, the AFT sold E3.995bln 3-month BTF at an average yield of
0.011% with cover of 2.1 times, E1.89bln 6-month BTF at an average yield of
0.047% with cover of 2.67 times, and E1.497bln 12-month BTF at an average yield
of 0.162% with cover of 3.71 times. Results due to be announced around 1355GMT.


EUROZONE: Timeline of key events in the eurozone for next few weeks:
- Feb 11 Eurogroup meeting in Brussels
- Feb 12 ECOFIN meeting in Brussels
- Feb 12 ECB Draghi press briefing following visit to Spanish Parliament
- Feb 12 Italy sells 12-month T-bill for E8.5bln
- Feb 12 Spain sells 6-/12-month T-bills
- Feb 12 Greece sells new 13-week T-bills for up to E1.0bln
- Feb 12 EFSF tops-up 2.25% Mar 2022 bond for up to E1.0bln
- Feb 13 European Commission publishes forecasts
- Feb 13 Italy sells CCTeu/BTPs for up to E8.5bln
- Feb 14 Ireland sells T-bills
- Feb 14 Eurozone Q4 advanced GDP
- Feb 14 Italy T-bill redemption for E9.153bln
- Feb 14 ECB start of reserve maintenance period
- Feb 14/15 G20 FinMin and central bank governors' deputies meeting
- Feb 15 ECB Draghi joint presser with Bank of Russia Chairman Ignatiev

US: Timeline of key events in the US for the next few weeks:
- Feb 11/15 Chinese Lunar New Year holiday
- Feb 11 Fed Outright Tsy Coupon Purch 2/15/2036-11/15/2042 $1.25-$1.75bn
- Feb 11 UST announces 4 week at 1100ET
- Feb 11 UST auctions 3/6m bills at 1130ET
- Feb 11 Fed Vice Chair Yellen (voter) at AFL-CIO in Washington at 1300ET
- Feb 12 CBO Dir Elmendorf at Senate Budget Committee hearing at 1030ET
- Feb 12 Fed Outright Tsy Coupon Purch 02/15/2020-11/15/2022 $2.75-$3.50bn
- Feb 12 UST auctions 4 week at 1130ET
- Feb 12 UST auctions $32BN 3-yr in Feb refunding 1300ET
- Feb 12 Fed George (voter) at Uni of Nebraska-Omaha Business School 1130ET
- Feb 12 Fed Lockhart (non-voter) at Instituto de Empresas in Madrid at 1330ET
- Feb 12 Treasury Statement at 1400ET
- Feb 12 Fed Lacker (non-voter) in Lancaster, PA at 1930ET
- Feb 12 Fed Plosser (non-voter) at Stanford Inst Econ Pol Research's (SIEPR)
- Feb 12 Pres Obama gives State of Union at 2100ET

[Nowy123]

http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/ ... _drone.jpg