DayTrading: Piątek 4.01.2012

Dyskusje na temat aktualnej sesji: komentarze, analizy, opinie.

Prognoza EURUSD na dzisiaj

Czas głosowania minął 04 sty 2013, 21:56

Wzrost
20
38%
Bez zmian
2
4%
Spadek
31
58%
 
Liczba głosów: 53

Puszkin
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Re: DayTrading: Piątek 4.01.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: Puszkin »

Nie ma znaczenia czy 1.3013 czy coś tam innego. Aktualnie jest jeden otwarty rynek Australia Nowa Zelandia. Tak przynajmniej mi pokazuje skrypt. Czyli płynność mała. Może się zdarzyć wszystko. Ja mam sell i jak nie będą spadać to zamykam i idę lulu

kamil52
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Re: DayTrading: Piątek 4.01.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: kamil52 »

Srebro najtańsze od sierpnia :)

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ForexTig3r
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Re: DayTrading: Piątek 4.01.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: ForexTig3r »

3052 / 3072max i spadki do 1.29
NIEPRAWDA
Obrazek
Po kanale widać jak ładnie się znów układa. Świeczki potwierdzają.
Do 3080 chyba zajedziemy jako ograniczenie górne kanału.
Przedstawione, poglądy, oceny i wnioski są wyrazem osobistych poglądów autora i nie mają charakteru rekomendacji. Wyłączną odpowiedzialność za decyzje inwestycyjne, podjęte i z wykorzystaniem wniosków w nich zawartych, ponosi inwestor.
subsilver2 趋势线

crok.
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Re: DayTrading: Piątek 4.01.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: crok. »

dokladnie mi stopa na 1.3019 zaliczylo , gnojstwo piatkowe :)
jak uzyskać parytet na edku -swieca z 03.12 - tu podjada pod 1,053 i wtedy rura w jeden dzien 500 piepek :)

zbankimuiwdynke
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Re: DayTrading: Piątek 4.01.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: zbankimuiwdynke »

Spadamy dalej

crok.
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Re: DayTrading: Piątek 4.01.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: crok. »

no to citi sie zabawilo znowu z sl skosnych wiec teraz albo odbitka bo na h1
jak uzyskać parytet na edku -swieca z 03.12 - tu podjada pod 1,053 i wtedy rura w jeden dzien 500 piepek :)

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Re: DayTrading: Piątek 4.01.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: niemiaszek »

Hello


EUROPE: European data for Friday starts at 0700GMT when German retail sales area
expected to come in at 0.4% m/m, -0.4% y/y. Friday also sees the Services PMI
data from Europe, including Spain at 0813GMT and Italy at 0843GMT, with final
details from France at 0848GMT, Germany at 0853GMT and the EMU number at
0858GMT. Data then continues at 1000GMT with flash HICP, which is expected to
come in at 2.2%.



UK: UK data sees the CIPS/Markit Services PMI at 0930GMT along with House
Purchase Approvals, Net Mortgage Lending, Consumer Credit and also M4 data. The
previous PMI surveys showed the UK's dominant services sector continuing to
expand activity, but the narrative was one of fast-slowing growth in the sector
which has been the one bright spot on the UK economic horizon. In November,
business activity rose at its slowest rate for 23 months and new business was
down for the first time since December 2010. Service sector confidence was also
at its lowest in 11 months. The All-Sector PMI will be released at the same time
today, November's 50.2 reading having been seen as a clear warning of a slip
back into overall economic contraction in Q4. PMIs this week should also be read
closely for evidence of input and output price pressures as firms seek to pass
on recent rises in utility, food and fuel costs.


US: US data starts with the main event for Friday, as nonfarm payrolls are
forecast to rise by 150,000 in December after increasing by 146,000 in November
while the unemployment rate is expected to hold steady at 7.7%. Hourly earnings
are forecast to increase 0.1%, while the average workweek is expected to remain
at 34.4 hours. US data at 1500GMT includes the ISM Non-Manufacturing Index and
Factory Orders data. The ISM non-manufacturing index is forecast to fall to a
reading of 54.5 in December from the 54.7 reading in November. Factory new
orders are expected to rise 0.3% in November, as durable goods orders were
already reported up 0.7%. This is followed at 1530GMT by the weekly EIA Natural
Gas Stocks data and at 1600GMT by the EIA Crude Oil Stocks data

US: The UK Times writes on Friday how the White House is moving to secure the
replacement of Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner before, as the Times puts it
"Washington hits its next financial crisis." The article talks of Geithner
leaving by the end of the month and being replaced by President Obama's Chief of
Staff, Jacob Lew, although other potential candidates are named as Erskine
Bowles, a director at Morgan Stanley, Kenneth Chenault, CEO of American Express
or Roger Altman, founder of Evercore Partners.



EURO-DOLLAR: The release of hawkish FOMC minutes where several members
suggested the idea of cutting QE or halting it before year-end added
weight to the currency pair. Euro-dollar extended losses in the US
afternoon and flushed some stops through $1.3050 to close at session
lows of $1.3046. Short covering around the Asian open briefly lifted to
$1.0354 before fresh selling emerged and pressed lower. Stop-losses were
flushed through $1.3040 and $1.3030 to print lows of $1.3019, before
meeting demand from a US named bank. The rate made an attempted recovery
and ground to $1.3040 ahead of Europe. On the downside strong demand
seen through $1.3015/00, techs at $1.2987/85 (55-day ma, 50% of
$1.2662-1.3308), with system stop sell orders on a break of $1.2980.
Markets expected thin and choppy today ahead of US Non-Farm Payrolls at
1330GMT, they are forecast to rise by 150,000 in December after
increasing by 146,000 in November.


CABLE: Sterling remained on the defensive and after posting an Asian
session high of $1.6256, slippage continued in the US afternoon. Release
of hawkish FOMC minutes pressed further and the rate triggered stops to
lows of $1.6091, before a modest bounce towards the close. Euro-sterling
eased off US afternoon highs of stg0.8120 to close at stg0.8105. Early
demand in Asia lifted cable to $1.6099 before fresh selling emerged and
pared light gains. Stops flushed in euro-dollar added further weight and
extended losses to $1.6059, before the rate bounced to $1.6075 and
settled in a tight range ahead of Europe. On the downside strong demand
seen into $1.6050 which also holds key tech support from the 100-day ma,
a break opens $1.6040 (61.8% of $1.5829-1.6381). Euro-sterling slipped
to stg0.8100 where the rate met strong support, held firm, and recovered
to stg0.8114 amid light flow. Data release light in the UK today with
highlights from PMI Services, released at 0930GMT.


DOLLAR-YEN: Dollar-yen was given a boost in US afternoon trade on
release of slightly hawkish FOMC minutes. The rate spiked to highs of
Y87.35, before meeting resistance from the 2 Jan high and later eased to
Y87.20. Euro-yen trade was tied to a narrow Y113.65-114.21 NY range. The
cross pared gains on release of FOMC minutes and closed at Y113.78.
Dollar-yen opened on a bid tone in Asia and after strong demand from
importers and custodial names took out the Y87.50 barrier, the pair
flushed stops on the move and extended to highs of Y87.76. Asian reserve
manager supply pared light gains, profit take sales added further weight
to Y87.56. Fresh demand bounced and the rate lifted to its highest since
Jul 10, peaking at Y87.83, before easing to Y87.75 ahead of Europe.
Reported CTA offers at Y87.90 with large exporter offers protecting the
next barrier at Y88.00. Euro-yen tracked dollar moves and lifted from
Y113.80 to Y114.52 into the European open. Traders look ahead to release
of US Non-Farm Payroll data at 1330GMT for added direction.

JAPAN STOCKS CLOSE: JAPAN NIKKEI 225 INDEX ENDS UP 2.82% AT 10688.11


GOLD: Spot gold prices are trading lower Friday extending their losses
from the previous trading day. Spot gold ended Thursday's session $22.70
lower at $1663.99/oz pressured by minutes published last night from the
Federal Reserve's December policy meeting, which showed that some voting
members of the FOMC were increasingly concerned about the potential
risks of the Fed's asset purchases on financial markets, even though it
looks set to continue an open ended stimulus programme for now. Spot
gold prices have extended their move lower during Asian traded hours
this morning, as the Fed minutes continue to weigh on billion prices,
whilst a stronger showing from the US dollar this morning also takes its
toll on the precious metal. Spot gold posted an intra-day low during the
first half of the Asian session at $1645.48/oz before edging back above
$1650 to highs of $1654.28/oz and now trade at $1650.80/oz, down $13.19
on the session.


OIL: February NYMEX WTI prices are trading lower Friday after posting
some marginal losses during the previous session. NYMEX February light
sweet crude oil futures settled down $0.20 at $92.92 per barrel, after
trading in a $92.49 to $93.30 range. WTI prices have eased this morning
amid concerns that the US Federal Reserve policy makers may end their
$85bln monthly bond purchases sometime in 2013, according to minutes of
its latest meeting released yesterday. February WTI futures have
extended lower this morning in the wake of the FOMC minutes, falling
from intra-day highs of $92.87 to lows of $92.14 a barrel. In terms of
supply, US EIA weekly stocks data is due to be published at 1530GMT.
Also eyed will be today's US non-farm payroll data, due at 1330GMT, as
nonfarm payrolls are forecast to rise by 150,000 in December after
increasing by 146,000 in November while the unemployment rate is
expected to hold steady at 7.7%. February WTI futures now trade at
$92.20 a barrel, down 72 cents on the session.


NATURAL GAS: NYMEX February natural gas prices are trading marginally
higher Friday after posting another set of losses during the previous
session. February natural gas futures ended Thursday's session down 3.5
cents, or just over 1%, at $3.198 per million British thermal units (mln
Btu) after trading in a $3.164 to $3.236 range. Warmer weather forecasts
continue to have a negative impact on natural gas prices, with the
eastern half of the US projected to experience above normal temperatures
at least through the first half of January and possibly beyond. February
natural gas prices have remained tied to a narrow trading range so far
this morning, advancing from an intra-day low of $3.193 per mln Btu to a
high of $3.212, with the market currently remaining on its session high,
currently trading $3.212 per mln Btu.


FX: Option expiries for today's 1000 NY cut,
* Euro-dollar; $1.2900, $1.3100, $1.3200, $1.3285
* Euro-sterling; stg0.8100
* Aussie; $1.0400
* Dollar-yen; Y86.00, Y86.50
* Cable; $1.6200


EUROZONE: Timeline of key events in the eurozone for next few weeks:
- Jan 04 Chancellor Merkel at CDU New Year's reception in Wilhelmshaven
- Jan 04 Eurozone Dec flash HICP
- Jan 04 European Dec services PMI survey (final)
- Jan 05 German Merkel Lower Saxony state election rally Braunschweig
- Jan 10 ECB meeting, Draghi press conference
- Jan 14 Italy T-bill redemption for E11.5bln
- Jan 16 ECB start of reserve maintenance period
- Jan 18 Spain T-bill redemption for E5.395bln
- Jan 18 Portugal T-bill redemption for E1.266bln
- Jan 20 German Lower Saxony election
- Jan 21 Eurogroup meeting
- Jan 21 Ireland T-bill redemption for E500mln
... zbieraj pips do pipa bo jak nie to z depo będzie lipa... G."niemiaszek"

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pkubiu
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Re: DayTrading: Piątek 4.01.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: pkubiu »

panowie co sie dzieje wyjechałam na narty do Szwajcarii z moim szefem jeszcze przed świętami z krótkimi pozycjami na edku 1,3220 i pacze a on dzis ma ta sama wartość choć pacząc na wykresy mało c o nie osiwiałam!
w końcu jaki mamy trend na edku?

-- Dodano: 04 sty 2013, 08:28 --

panowie co sie dzieje wyjechałam na narty do Szwajcarii z moim szefem jeszcze przed świętami z krótkimi pozycjami na edku 1,3220 i pacze a on dzis ma ta sama wartość choć pacząc na wykresy mało c o nie osiwiałam!
w końcu jaki mamy trend na edku?
chciwość jest dobra

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Re: DayTrading: Piątek 4.01.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: niemiaszek »

wersja poglądowa AT :wink:


04-sty-2013 7:02
EURO-DOLLAR TECHS: Double-Top Pattern Confirmed As Studies Remain Bearish
RES 4: $1.3333 Upper Bollinger Band
RES 3: $1.3308 High Dec 19
RES 2: $1.3134/3141/3156 5-DMA, 21-DMA, 23.6% of $1.2662 to $1.3308
RES 1: $1.3061/3083 38.2% of $1.2662-$1.3308, Former May 1 trendline
LATEST PRICE: $1.3036
SUP 1: $1.2985/2987 50.0% of $1.2662 to $1.3308, 55-DMA
SUP 2: $1.2948/2956 Lower Bollinger band, Jul 24 support line
SUP 3: $1.2909/2915 61.8% of $1.2662 to $1.3308, 100-DMA
SUP 4: $1.2781 200-day moving average
COMMENTARY: The double-top pattern is confirmed as Euro-dollar slides and closes
below the 38.2% and former May 1 trendline, now initial resistance. The pair has
almost completed the measured move to $1.3010, below here we see support from
the 50.0% of $1.2662 to $1.3308 and the 55-DMA at $1.2985/2987, respectively.
Daily studies are also bearish although stochastic study creeps into oversold
territory.


04-sty-2013 7:10
CABLE TECHS: Shooting-Star Reversal Pattern Confirmed, Bears Eye 200-DMA
RES 4: $1.6381/6390 High Jan 2, 76.4% of $1.6747 to $1.5235
RES 3: $1.6301 Upper daily Bollinger band
RES 2: $1.6219 Apr 2011 former res line
RES 1: $1.6162 21-DMA
LATEST PRICE: $1.6076
SUP 1: $1.6023/37/40/50 Bolli band, 21-WMA, 61.8% of $1.5829-1.6381, 100-DMA
SUP 2: $1.5959/61 76.4% of $1.5829 to $1.6381, 100-week MA
SUP 3: $1.5902/37 200-DMA, Support line from Jun 2012
SUP 4: $1.5826/29/52 200-week MA, Low 15 Nov, 55-week MA
COMMENTARY: Cable falls off a cliff and confirms the shooting-star candle
pattern. Current price action trades under the Nov 16 former support line and
has met support around $1.6062, the 55-DMA. Daily studies are also lower and we
now see initial support at $1.6023 to $1.6050, consisting of the lower daily
Bolli band, 21-week MA, 61.8% level and the 100-DMA. Bears will be eyeing a move
down to the 200-DMA at $1.5902.


04-sty-2013 7:28
DOLLAR-YEN TECHS: Bulls Continue To Eye Monthly Cloud Base At Y89.22
RES 4: Y94.99 May 2010 reversal high
RES 3: Y93.99 38.2% Fibonacci of Y124.14 to Y75.35
RES 2: Y89.22 Monthly Ichimoku cloud base
RES 1: Y88.14/19 Apr 2010 reversal low, 3.00% MA Envelope
LATEST PRICE: Y87.74
SUP 1: Y86.21 Tenkan line
SUP 2: Y84.78/86/90 Kijun line, 21-day moving average, 200-week MA
SUP 3: Y84.18 Reversal high 15 Mar
SUP 4: Y82.83/84 Highs Dec 7 and Nov 22
COMMENTARY: Dollar-yen still gaining ground despite meeting heavy selling
pressure yesterday, leaving a doji with a long lower shadow. Daily studies
continue to push higher yet remain stretched and we see see initial resistance
at Y88.14/19, Apr 2010 reversal low and the 3.00% MA envelope top. Bears will be
looking to push towards initial support, which is seen as the Tenkan line at
Y86.21.


04-sty-2013 7:40
EURO-YEN TECHS: Potential Bearish Engulfing Candle, Bulls Eye Jan 2 High
RES 4: Y119.51 Monthly Ichimoku cloud base
RES 3: Y117.98 55-month MA
RES 2: Y116.44 76.4% of Y123.33 to Y94.12
RES 1: Y115.99 High Jan 2
LATEST PRICE: Y114.49
SUP 1: Y113.78 Tenkan line
SUP 2: Y112.17/29/50 61.8% Y123.33-94.12, 23.6% Y100.33-115.99, Dec 19 high
SUP 3: Y111.53/63 21-DMA and Nov 13 supp line
SUP 4: Y110.99 Kijun line
COMMENTARY: Euro-yen posts a long black candle yesterday, potentially a bearish
engulfing candle. 10-day momentum has been showing negative divergence and
stochastic study is in overbought levels. Initial support seen as the Tenkan
line at Y113.78, a break below here will encourage bears. However, the pair
remains bullish until a break below Y112.29 and Y111.63, the 23.6% level and Nov
support line. Bulls will try to regain the Jan 2 high of Y115.99.
... zbieraj pips do pipa bo jak nie to z depo będzie lipa... G."niemiaszek"

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Nowy123
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Re: DayTrading: Piątek 4.01.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: Nowy123 »

witam jak tam JPY ladnie pojechali na U J :)

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