crok. pisze:to to londek 100 pip (teoretycznie) w plecy bo pieknie przywalili
kiedys przynajmniej wracali przed jazda w gore a teraz up i up"_
Wcześniej pewnie zaliczymy "80".
Kompletnie nie widzę jak na razie sygnałów na S z wykresu.
ale nieskonczenie tez leciec nie moze
miesiac temu armagedon ez robili a teraz skup euro na calego , to pomoze kiepskiej gospodarce , ehh po co takie teorie grac jak daja
jak uzyskać parytet na edku -swieca z 03.12 - tu podjada pod 1,053 i wtedy rura w jeden dzien 500 piepek
EU: At 0800GMT, the Spanish October services survey and industrial output
numbers are released.
The ECB October current account numbers are released at 0900GMT.
Also at 0900GMT, the Italian October industrial orders numbers and the
German IFO business survey for December will cross the wires.
At 1000GMT, EMU October construction output numbers will cross the
wires.
At 1300GMT, the Norges Bank announces its latest interest rate decision,
with expectations for the bank to stand pat.
GREECE: Leaders of all three parties in the Greek coalition met Tues, in order
to map out a strategy for the tough challenges ahead, eKathimerini reports.
BUNDS: Mar Bunds open down 15 ticks Wednesday at 144.26.
UK: The main release of the day for sterling markets comes at 0900GMT, with the
release of the BOE MPC Minutes from the December meeting. As we know the
committee held fire in November following the Treasury's announcement of a
stg37bn transfer of cash coupons from the BOE's stock of QE gilts. It is likely
that the minutes will show members pointing to the need for further stimulus in
the near term - most likely via QE - given the dearth of policy tools at the
BOE's disposal. But the MPC will no doubt hang on until February and the
completion of the next Inflation Report forecast round before making its next
move.
UK PRESS: The US has expressed concerns over the UK's "slide towards the
European exit door", the Telegraph says. The US is concerned that an EU without
the UK will be less for free trade and less reliable on both defence and foreign
policy issues.
EURO-DOLLAR: Closed in NY at $1.3227 after easing off session highs at $1.3238.
Rate marked overnight lows at $1.3223 in early Asia before French name buys of
euro-yen provided some lift. Rate touched $1.3236 but failed to find the
momentum to move above the NY high on this initial rally. Rate found support at
$1.3225 on the pullback before picking up fresh demand which took it through
$1.3240. The move triggered stops which took out barrier interest at $1.3250.
Rate edged on to $1.3256 before momentum faded leaving it to settle around
$1.3250 ahead of Europe. Risk remains in favour, as the two sides in the US
Fiscal Cliff debate appear to be getting closer to a deal, or at least not
moving away from each other, and with noted sovereign demand (Singapore agent
banks noted dollar buyers overnight), seen keeping the underlying tone buoyant.
S&P lifting Greek ratings 6 notches also aided the positive outlook. Resistance
$1.3260, stops above. Further offers $1.3280/85 ahead of $1.3300. Bids
$1.3245/40, $1.3220. Germany Ifo 0900GMT the morning focus.
CABLE: Closed in NY at $1.6249 after getting driven to highs at $1.6270
following the break above $1.6230, which in turn provided the momentum to take
out barrier interest at $1.6250. The move lagged euro-dollar's recovery and
allowed euro-sterling to extend its recent recovery to stg0.8145 in NY, with
Asia taking it on to stg0.8149. Cable touched an early low in Asia at $1.6246,
matching the NY pullback off $1.6270, and again met willing buyers into the dip.
Rate recovered through the Asian session to $1.6267, the move seen tracking
euro-dollar as euro-sterling was confined to a tight range of stg0.8136/49.
Pullback off the highs found support around $1.6260 with outlook into early
Europe remaining firm. Traders Tuesday suggested the cross has room to push up
to stg0.8165, which if proves true to provide some counter to cable gains. Cable
offers $1.6270/80 (barrier $1.6275?) ahead of $1.6300/10 ($1.6310 2012 high
Sep21). Support $1.6250/40. BOE Minutes at 0930GMT though no surprises expected
(8-1 split on QE, Miles expected dissenter), and CBI retail sales data at
1100GMT.
CABLE: Continues to trade with a firm undertone into early European dealing,
with rate holding just off overnight highs at $1.6267, having touched a high at
$1.6270 in NY. Traders have noted decent sell interest in place between
$1.6270/80, with a suggested barrier at $1.6275 possibly providing the early
interest. Should this level give way traders suggest to fade any follow through.
Sovereign demand for cable and euro-dollar into year end though still expected
to provide a cushion on corrective pullbacks.
YEN: French name demand for euro-yen into early Asian trade took rate through a
reported stops level at Y111.50, with the added buying able to take rate on to
an initial high of Y111.69 (printing fresh 13-month highs Oct31 Y111.60). This
early move in the cross took dollar-yen to a high of Y84.44 but this rate
stalled ahead of barrier interest at Y84.50. Dollar-yen drifted off to Y84.22,
but euro-yen continued to push higher, as it then took its lead from
euro-dollar, extending highs to Y111.78 ahead of Europe. Dollar-yen had
recovered to Y84.35 ahead of the European open. Asian traders noted good demand
interest for Y85.00 strike dollar calls for Friday's Tokyo cut, with focus set
on the BOJ's policy announcement that day. Stops have been reported building
above Y84.55.
JAPAN STOCKS CLOSE: Japan's benchmark stock indices ended Wednesday's session
higher, closing through the 10,000 level for the first time in 8 months. The
Nikkei 225 was higher by 237.4 points, or 2.39%, at 10160.4. Just ahead of the
close, the broader-based TOPIX was higher by 21.27 points at 838.12. Preliminary
volume in the Nikkei stocks totalled 2.636 Bn shares, with 209 issues higher, 12
lower and 4 unchanged.
NEWS: JAPAN'S NIKKEI 225 ENDS UP 2.39% AT 10,160.40
GOLD: Spot gold prices are trading moderately higher Wednesday after
posting some sharp losses during the previous session. Spot gold ended
Tuesday's session $27.38 lower at $1670.77/oz after US fiscal
discussions dented the bullion's safe haven appeal with some market
participants shifting flows into equities as hopes increase that US
lawmakers may edge towards a pre-Christmas deal on the US deficit. Spot
gold prices have regained some ground so far this morning, drawing some
moderate strength from a slightly weaker US dollar, but bullion prices
remain near their lowest level seen in more than three months. There was
also some market chatter about a large options player returning to the
market who had previously been a big buyer of the Jan 1675 puts. This
time the market participant is rolling the strikes back to the Feb 1675
puts, paying a premium of $15 with 9k lots noted thus far as of
yesterday. Spot gold prices have tentatively edged their way back higher
in Asian hours this morning, advancing from lows of $1669.96/oz to an
intra-day high of $1676.87 and now trade at $1675.50, up $4.73.
OIL: February NYMEX WTI futures are trading marginally lower Wednesday
after posting some decent gains during the previous session. January WTI
futures, which expire at the end of trading today, settled up $0.73 at
$87.93 per barrel, after trading in a $87.21 to $88.16 range. The
February contract ended the session at $88.40 a barrel. Oil prices have
drawn some support from a rally seen in the majority of risk assets
towards year end as hopes remain that a budget crisis in the US may be
resolved. February WTI futures have been tied to a narrow range so far
this morning, paring back from an intra-day high of $88.50 to lows of
$88.26 and now trade at $88.36 a barrel, down 4 cents on the session.
NATURAL GAS: NYMEX January natural gas prices are trading lower
Wednesday after closing in positive territory for the second consecutive
session. January natural gas futures ended Tuesday's session up 6 cents,
or 1.8%, at $3.418 per million British thermal units (mln Btu) after
trading in a $3.336 to $3.45 range. Prices became subject to moderate
technical buying and expectations that heating demand will increase as
colder weather moves into the Northeast and Midwest later this week and
next week. Natural gas prices have given up some of yesterday's gains so
far this morning during Asian traded hours, gapping lower from an
intra-day high of $3.414 to lows of $3.375 and now trade at $3.383 per
mln Btu.
EUROZONE ISSUANCE: There is a dearth of eurozone sovereign bond supply this
week, with focus on issuance calendar's for 2013. Germany is likely to publish
its calendar sometime this week, along with Finland on Dec 21. Italy is the only
country left in the eurozone to conclude its 2012 issuance, with zero coupon CTZ
bond due to be sold on Dec 27 and month-end BTP auction due on Dec 28. For full
details of forthcoming issues, please see Eurozone bond auction calendar & MNI
Eurozone Net Cash Flow Matrix.
Nie masz wymaganych uprawnień, aby zobaczyć pliki załączone do tego posta.
... zbieraj pips do pipa bo jak nie to z depo będzie lipa... G."niemiaszek"
EUROZONE: Timeline of key events in the eurozone for next few weeks:
- Dec 19 Germany Dec IFO business survey
- Dec 19 Portugal monthly economic survey
- Dec 20 ESRB meeting
- Dec 20 Italy T-bill redemption for E3.5bln
- Dec 20 German FinMin releases monthy fiscal and economic report
- Dec 21 Italy PM Monti year-end press conference
- Dec 21 Greece T-bill redemption for E1.3bln
- Dec 21 Portugal T-bill redemption for E2.132bln
- Dec 27 Italy T-bill redemption for E3.0bln
- Dec 27 Italy T-bill/CTZ auction
- Dec 28 Italy BTP/CCTeu auctions
- Dec 31 Italy T-till redemption for E9.0bln
- Dec 31 Italy CTZ bond redemption for E11.833bln
- Jan 1 Ireland takes over 6-month Presidency of the Council of EU
- Jan 4 Eurozone flash HICP
... zbieraj pips do pipa bo jak nie to z depo będzie lipa... G."niemiaszek"
Przeglądam informacje na wielu portalach informacyjnych i ekonomicznych i nie mogę wyjść z podziwu jaka euforia i parcie na hossę obecnie zapanowało. Każdy widzi tylko wzrosty, ludzie zaczynają bawić się w fundusze inwestycyjne, a wśród moich znajomych od nowa rozgorzała dyskusja na temat wzięcia kredytu hipotecznego, "no bo przecież waluty będą teraz taniały, tak mówili w tvn24".
Mi osobiście wydaje się to wszystko jakoś nierealne. Przy takiej niekorzystnej koniunkturze akcje nie mogą rosnąć do nieba bez przerwy. Podniesiony rating Grecji utwierdził mnie tylko w przekonaniu, że niedługo możemy się spodziewać ogłoszenia mega hossy, krainy mlekiem i miodem płynącym, końca kryzysu w strefie Euro i porozumienia w sprawie klifu fiskalnego.
Później natomiast spodziewam się czegoś naprawdę poważnego, czegoś co sprawi, akcje polecą na łeb na szyję.
Może obniżenie ratingu Włoch, a może bliskie bankructwo Hiszpanii?
Asset pisze:Przeglądam informacje na wielu portalach informacyjnych i ekonomicznych i nie mogę wyjść z podziwu jaka euforia i parcie na hossę obecnie zapanowało. Każdy widzi tylko wzrosty, ludzie zaczynają bawić się w fundusze inwestycyjne, a wśród moich znajomych od nowa rozgorzała dyskusja na temat wzięcia kredytu hipotecznego, "no bo przecież waluty będą teraz taniały, tak mówili w tvn24".
Mi osobiście wydaje się to wszystko jakoś nierealne. Przy takiej niekorzystnej koniunkturze akcje nie mogą rosnąć do nieba bez przerwy. Podniesiony rating Grecji utwierdził mnie tylko w przekonaniu, że niedługo możemy się spodziewać ogłoszenia mega hossy, krainy mlekiem i miodem płynącym, końca kryzysu w strefie Euro i porozumienia w sprawie klifu fiskalnego.
Później natomiast spodziewam się czegoś naprawdę poważnego, czegoś co sprawi, akcje polecą na łeb na szyję.
Może obniżenie ratingu Włoch, a może bliskie bankructwo Hiszpanii?
Nie masz wymaganych uprawnień, aby zobaczyć pliki załączone do tego posta.
-Wygrywa tylko ten kto ma jasno określony cel i nieodparte pragnienie aby go osiągnąć.
-Mądry człowiek nie opłakuje przegranej, lecz szuka sposobu jak wyleczyć odniesione straty.
-"zwycięstwo to nie wszystko, a zaledwie część wszystkiego"
Mietek z geometrii rynku pisał o tym że 19 grudnia jest ważny.
Na grajdole LOP rośnie na wygasającej serii kontraktów
Ze starych kresek wychodziło mi 2611 na w.20 ale w obszarze 2596-2609 systemowcy ktorzy sa obecnie na S dostaną sygnał kupna więc poczekam. Cierpliwość popłaca.
