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13-gru-2012 6:01
AUSSIE TECHS: Spikes Above Upper Bollinger Expected To Continue
RES 4: $1.0856 - 2012 high Feb 29
RES 3: $1.0693 - High Mar 7
RES 2: $1.0624 - Monthly high Sept 14
RES 1: $1.0583 - High Dec 12
LATEST PRICE: 1.0550
SUP 1: $1.0523 - Low Dec 12
SUP 2: $1.0463 - Low Dec 11
SUP 3: $1.0447 - 21 day moving average
SUP 4: $1.0442 - Low Dec 6
COMMENTARY: Immediate focus remains on the Sept monthly highs for the AUD/USD
with a break above then seeing the 2012 highs come into the picture. Below the
21-DMA is needed to shift focus back to Nov monthly lows with a close below the
Dec 6 low now needed for a confirmation of a break of the 21-DMA. The upper
Bollinger band comes in at $1.0565 today with spikes above expected to continue.
13-gru-2012 6:02
KIWI TECHS: Below 21-DMA Needed To Shift Focus Lower
RES 4: $0.8840 - Monthly high Aug 1 2011
RES 3: $0.8677 - High Aug 3 2011
RES 2: $0.8568 - High Aug 31 2011
RES 1: $0.8469 - 2012 high Feb 29
LATEST PRICE: 0.8442
SUP 1: $0.8386 - Low Dec 12
SUP 2: $0.8284 - Low Dec 6
SUP 3: $0.8249 - 21 day moving average
SUP 4: $0.8215 - Low Dec 4
COMMENTARY: The Kiwi continues to oscillate around the sharply rising 21 day
upper Bollinger band ($0.8438) with current focus firmly on retests of the 2012
highs set back in late Feb. A close below the initial support at $0.8386 is
needed to relieve the current topside pressure with back below the 21-DMA now
needed to shift focus back to retests of the Nov monthly lows.
13-gru-2012 6:03
AUSSIE-YEN TECHS: Fast Approaching 2012 High
RES 4: Jpy94.93 - High Aug 28 2008
RES 3: Jpy90.74 - Monthly high Sept 28 2008
RES 2: Jpy89.63 - High Apr 28 2011
RES 1: Jpy88.64 - 2012 high Mar 19
LATEST PRICE: 88.20
SUP 1: Jpy87.70 - Hourly support Dec 13
SUP 2: Jpy86.90 - Low Dec 12
SUP 3: Jpy85.92 - 21 day moving average
SUP 4: Jpy85.27 - Low Nov 28
COMMENTARY: AUD/JPY is fast approaching the 2012 high set on Mar 19 with a close
above then targeting the monthly highs from Sept 2008. Spikes above the sharply
rising upper Bollinger band (Jpy87.91) are expected to continue with a close
back below the Dec 12 low needed to relieve the immediate topside pressure.
Overall a close below the 21-DMA is needed to shift focus lower.
13-gru-2012 6:04
DOLLAR-SING TECHS: Narrow Ranges Persist
RES 4: Sgd1.2313 - 100 day moving average
RES 3: Sgd1.2296 - High Nov 16
RES 2: Sgd1.2271 - Double daily top Nov 19 & 21
RES 1: Sgd1.2243 - High Nov 28
LATEST PRICE: 1.2212
SUP 1: Sgd1.2172 - Low Dec 4
SUP 2: Sgd1.2153 - 2012 low Oct 22 2012
SUP 3: Sgd1.2074 - Low Sept 8 2011
SUP 4: Sgd1.2021 - Low Aug 31 2011
COMMENTARY: USD/SGD remains confined to narrow ranges with above the Nov 28 high
needed to confirm a break back above the 21-DMA (Sgd1.2220) and shift focus to
retests of the Nov 16 high. While Nov 28 highs cap the risk of a retest of 2012
low remains. The relatively flat lower Bollinger comes in around the Dec 4 lows
today which adds significance to this region with closes below the lower Bolli a
rarity.
13-gru-2012 6:05
DOLLAR-WON TECHS: Targeting Falling Daily Channel Base
RES 4: Krw1109.9 - Previous daily support now resistance
RES 3: Krw1094.4 - High Nov 16
RES 2: Krw1182.9 - 21 day moving average
RES 1: Krw1180.7 - Previous daily support now resistance
LATEST PRICE: 1072.5
SUP 1: Krw1071.5 - 2012 low Dec 12
SUP 2: Krw1060.4 - Monthly low Sept 2
SUP 3: Krw1051.5 - Falling daily channel base
SUP 4: Krw1048.3 - 2011 low Aug 1
COMMENTARY: USD/KRW is pausing ahead of the fresh 2012 lows with initial
resistance now noted at the Krw1180.7 level. We will continue to look for a
close above the 21-DMA to relieve the immediate downside pressure with a close
above the Nov 16 highs needed to shift focus higher and the 55-DMA also noted
around this level today. While the focus remains lower we will continue to
target the falling daily channel base.
13-gru-2012 6:06
GOLD TECHS: Spike Above 21-DMA Quickly Reversed
RES 4: $1795.9 - 2012 high Oct 5
RES 3: $1754.0 - Monthly high Nov 23
RES 2: $1735.0 - Previous daily support now resistance
RES 1: $1718.9 - 21 day moving average
LATEST PRICE: 1701.2
SUP 1: $1685.6 - Low Dec 5
SUP 2: $1673.0 - Low Nov 5
SUP 3: $1661.3 - 200 day moving average
SUP 4: $1646.2 - Low Aug 31
COMMENTARY: Yesterday's spike above the 21-DMA has been quickly reversed and we
continue to look for a close above the $1735 level as confirmation of a break of
the 21-DMA and a subsequent shift higher in focus. For now focus remains on
retests of the $1660-75 region with the 200-DMA noted at $1661.6. The 21 day
lower Bollinger continues to head lower with spikes below expected to resume.
13-gru-2012 7:02
MNI EURO-DOLLAR TECHS: May 1 Trendline Key Initial Resistance At $1.3101
RES 4: $1.3284 High May 1
RES 3: $1.3172 High Sept 17
RES 2: $1.3127/3148 Reversal High Dec 5, Upper Bollinger Band
RES 1: $1.3101 May 1 trendline
LATEST PRICE: $1.3083
SUP 1: $1.3006/3017 5-DMA, 23.6% Fibonacci of $1.2662 to $1.3127
SUP 2: $1.2947/2949 21-DMA, 38.2% Fibonacci of $1.2662 to $1.3127
SUP 3: $1.2924 55-day moving average
SUP 4: $1.2880/2894 Low 28 Nov, 50.0% Fibonacci of $1.2662 to $1.3127
COMMENTARY: Euro-dollar failed to match the Dec 5 high which will
disappoint bulls, the May 1 trendline held yesterday's rise and is now
key initial resistance at $1.3101. A break and close above here will
turn the pair bullish, another failure will encourage bears. Initial
support seen at $1.3006/3017, the 5-DMA and 23.6% of $1.2662/$1.3127.
Daily studies mixed with momentum trending lower.
13-gru-2012 7:10
MNI CABLE TECHS: Bulls Hit $1.6172, Now Eye Apr 2011 Resistance Line
RES 4: $1.6309 2012 high Sep 21
RES 3: $1.6238 Apr 2011 res line
RES 2: $1.6218 High 5 Oct
RES 1: $1.6172-96 High Dec 12, Boll top, 76.4% of $1.6309-1.5829
LATEST PRICE: $1.6141
SUP 1: $1.6121/26/31 Nov 15 supp line, 61.8% $1.6309-1.5829, High Dec 4
SUP 2: $1.6091 23.6% of $1.5829 to $1.6172
SUP 3: $1.6023/34/41 21 & 55-DMAs, 38.2% of $1.5829 to $1.6172
SUP 4: $1.6000 50.0% of $1.5829 to $1.6172
COMMENTARY: Cable held above the Nov 15 trendline, now initial support
at $1.6121 alongside the 61.8% of $1.6309-1.5829 and Dec 4 high. Daily
studies are near overbought levels and 10-day momentum shows a little
negative divergence. Bulls will aim to break yesterday's high and close
above the trendline. Bears aim to close below the trendline and move
down to the 23.6% of $1.5829-1.6172, further support at $1.6091.
13-gru-2012 7:28
MNI DOLLAR-YEN TECHS: Breaks Apr 2011 Res Line, Eyes 200-Wk MA At Y85.05
RES 4: Y85.53 Reversal high 6 Apr
RES 3: Y85.05 200-week MA
RES 2: Y84.18 Reversal high 15 Mar
RES 1: Y83.67 Hourly high
LATEST PRICE: Y83.64
SUP 1: Y82.62/69 Former Nov 22 resistance line, Tenkan line
SUP 2: Y82.25/28 21-DMA
SUP 3: Y81.76/77 High Nov 20, Nov 28 support line
SUP 4: Y81.38 Kijun Line
COMMENTARY: Dollar-yen storms higher as it breaks above the descending
triangle and then breaks the Apr 2011 resistance line. Initial
resistance seen as the hourly high at Y83.67, and further resistance
seen at Y84.18, the Mar 15 reversal high. Above here bulls eye the
200-week MA at Y85.05. Daily studies are firmly bullish, although
stochastics is entering overbought levels.
13-gru-2012 7:40
MNI EURO-YEN TECHS: Bulls Still In Control, Now Aim For Oct 5 Res Line
RES 4: Y115.47 123.6% of Y111.42 to Y94.28
RES 3: Y115.06 200-week moving average
RES 2: Y111.44 High Mar 21
RES 1: Y110.11 Oct 5 resistance line
LATEST PRICE: Y109.37
SUP 1: Y107.96/108.00 High Dec 5, High Apr 20
SUP 2: Y107.72 Tenkan line
SUP 3: Y106.49/67/72 21-DMA, Weekly Ichimoku Cloud top, 100-week MA
SUP 4: Y104.90 Kijun line
COMMENTARY: Euro-yen continues to rise, with bulls now looking to test
initial resistance at Y110.11, the Oct 5 resistance line. Daily studies
are also bullish as slow stochastics shows a buy-signal despite being in
overbought territory, 10-day momentum rises. Further resistance seen at
Y111.44, the Mar 21 high, followed by the 200-week MA at Y115.06.
Initial support now seen at Y107.96/108.00, the Dec 5 and Apr 20 highs.