DayTrading: Poniedziałek 3.12.2012

[BOCZEK]

MERLIN, czyli Twój cel tyhc formacji jak by nie patrzył to 1,34 do 1,39 tak? dla lewej formacji, i trak dla prawej wychodzi góry pułap formacji z lewej czyli 1,39, i następnie 1,43, mam rację, ale to nie analiza

[MERLIN]

MERLIN, czyli Twój cel tyhc formacji jak by nie patrzył to 1,34 do 1,39 tak?

tak mi wychodzi ,ale to będzie zależało od sentymentu

[Peter_FX]

Peter masz jakiś SL na te S-ki, to sprawa personalna już
Ciągniesz temat jak makaron na talerzu...daj rade

nie wiem czy mogę w tym temacie publikować sygnały, no i potem będą mieli pretensje że ich powycinało

z godzinnego, entry 1.6076 stop mój 1.6099 bezpieczniej 1.6108 (ale to redukuje RR) TP jeszcze nie wiem jak długo to trzymać ale minimum 40 pipsów (counter trend więc w miarę szybko na BE)

[richard.cali]

MERLIN, czyli Twój cel tyhc formacji jak by nie patrzył to 1,34 do 1,39 tak?

tak mi wychodzi ,ale to będzie zależało od sentymentu

Nie, jeszcze z 30-40 pips wycisniemy na L klete i spadek....Peter czy twoje E-ski są bezpieczne

DT wątek czy formacje miesięczne?

[BOCZEK]

jak ty odnajdujesz te formacje, pewnie już miesiące praktyki, co?
czasami trzeba rzucić okiem na mn by mieć pełniejszy obraz na h1, a stad już blisko do m5

[Nowy123]

dzwonimy 977 - 300

[richard.cali]

dzwonimy 977 - 300

Meciej? Zapodał właśnie L na 30-40 pips na otwartej linii...
dane jakie teraz bedą? pomogą ale S Petera Pana może wyważyć...1.3063-70 i runie

[marekdt]

drukują już Usiaki.

EUR/USD at six-week highs of 1.3049, crosses firmer too
Merkel - Won't rule out future Greek debt write-down  Bild
UK Nov Manuf. PMI 49.1 vs 47.0 prev, 48.0 exp
E.Zone Nov Manf PMI 46.2 vs 45.4 prev, flash 46.2
German Nov Manf PMI 46.8 vs 46.00 prev, 46.8 flash
Swiss Oct retail sales 2.7% y/y vs 5.4% prev, 4.1% exp
Swiss Nov PMI 48.5 vs 46.1, 47.0 exp
BoJ Gov Shirakawa  Respects market but willing to stand up to it
Japan MoF Nakao  JPY appreciation since Lehman spec, excessive
Japan MoF Nakao  will take firm ccy measures when needed
Private equity firms shut out from major Japan deals  WSJ
China Nov official mfg PMI 50.6, as eyed Oct 50.2
ECB/BdF Noyer - Bulk of EUR business should be done in EZ  FT

Looking Ahead - Economic Data (GMT)  
13:58  Markit PMI final Nov prev 52.4
15:00  ConstSpend Oct mkt +0.5% m/m, prev +0.6%
15:00  ISM Manufacturing Nov mkt 51.3, prev 51.7
Looking Ahead - Events, Other Releases (GMT)  
14:00  FRB New York's Dudley at mortgage rate workshop
16:00  Fed o/r Tsy cpn sale 12/31/15-01/31/16 $7.00-8.00 bln
17:15  FRB Boston's Rosengren at mtg rate workshop; NY
18:40  FRB St. Louis's Bullard  on the economy; Little Rock


Currency Summaries EUR/USD Another very slow Monday with speculators sitting short Euros, and growing frustrated at the currency’s resilience to bad news. This time it  was Moody’s downgrade of the EFSF that was shrugged aside with ease. However, where Asia bought Euros, Europe has done virtually nothing. The presence of option barriers at 1.3050, 1.3075 and 1.3100, is staying the hand of specs, who look on the cusp on bailing out of shorts, The DXY’s dip under 80.00 adding some reasoning with specs  more broadly long the dollar. Few flows were seen.
Japanese selling of EUR/JPY.
Mid East buyers of EUR/USD and EUR/GBP buying linked to UK corp dividend payments.  
USD/JPY has traded an 81.99-82.50 range so far today, note that a large 82.00 expiry should attract spot into the NY cut today. EUR/JPY moved higher from 106.77 (in twilight trading in Wellington), to reach 107.53 later in Asia, ahead of the relapse. Note that according to IMM data, speculative net shorts are at its highest since 2007 at 79466.
AUD/JPY and GBP/JPY ranges have been 85.40-86.00 and 131.65-132.25 respectively.   

USD/CHF A six-week low and again the move into the CHF reflecting the pick up in the EUR vs the USD and a rise in Chinese PMI playing a supporting role.

Swiss sales data disappointed but the PMI beat the consensus but remained in contraction mode. USD/CHF plays 0.9243 to 0.9290 and has a 0.9240 break look about it. EUR/CHF operating in a higher plane of 1.2051 to 1.2066 and again taking its lead from a frothy EUR/USD.  

GBP/USD rose to test 1.6069 (50% of 1.6310-1.5828) during the European am, courtesy of 11:00GMT quarterly dividend payment-related demand for GBP and a better-than-expected UK mfg sector PMI. Offers are touted ahead of 1.6100 (option barriers), inclusive of interest at 1.6080.

EUR/GBP met a headwind just shy of touted offers at 0.8130 during the European am, with a retreat to threaten 0.8100-10 bids ensuing. 0.8104 was today’s early Asian session low.  

USD/CAD holds in tight familiar ranges at the start of a new week. Lows by 0.9920 support the downside, while the upside is stalled ahead of 0.9950. Corporate bids are at 0.9900/10 and there is a potential base on the charts.  Key tech resistance lies at 0.9968 and sell orders tipped at 0.9970.

AUD/USD buyers under 1.0400 propped overnight losses and an Asian sovereign name was reportedly on the bid from around 1.0400. Spot has been bought up to the 1.0420s again in Europe although heavy offers are tipped by 1.0450 ahead of the RBA interest rate announcement Tues. Soft Retail Sales and jobs numbers overnight heightened expectations of a cut.

NZD/USD met a headwind just shy of 0.8217 (early Asia high) during the European am after extending north from 0.8170. The latter 10-day low was plumbed in Asia after the 00:30GMT disclosure of Australia’s zero Oct retail sales--before the 01:45GMT small upward revision to HSBC’s China mfg PMI to a 13mth high of 50.5.

The RBNZ is expected to keep its OCR at 2.5% this week. The OCR has been at 2.5% since it was cut to that level in March 2011.   CHARTING FX USD/CAD: Potential base, 21 DMA pivotal The 100 DMA by 0.9915 continues to lend support to USD/CAD. Below the lower Bollinger around the 21 DMA at 0.9896 and the 38.2% fibo of the 0.9633/1.0057 move at 0.9895 are a likely base. Day indicators are heading higher although a break of the 21 DMA at 0.9968 is needed to get the upside moving again. Use intraday dips as fresh buying opportunities with a stop and reverse below the aforementioned fibo.

[Klimek84]

Co się dzieje na lini frontu UJ? od 5 minut na m1 swiece doji bez knotów ?

[richard.cali]

Peter_FX masz SLna S? 1.3080...nie powinno tam Cię siegnąć