DayTrading: Poniedziałek 19.11.2012

Dyskusje na temat aktualnej sesji: komentarze, analizy, opinie.

Prognoza EURUSD na dzisiaj (19.11.2012)

Czas głosowania minął 19 lis 2012, 19:36

Wzrost
48
59%
Bez zmian
2
2%
Spadek
32
39%
 
Liczba głosów: 82

pr7emo
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Re: DayTrading: Poniedziałek 19.11.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: pr7emo »

Kuczynski mówił że we Wtorek jakieś finansowanie Grecji będzie decydowane, na dwa lata aż. Jeśli tak to z eLka zaczekałbym do jutra.

menago
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Re: DayTrading: Poniedziałek 19.11.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: menago »

Nowy123 pisze:chyba ze po SL skosnym w nocy a Usaka z piatku pojada

myslisz ze zjada do 1,267000 po sl?

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molmomas
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Re: DayTrading: Poniedziałek 19.11.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: molmomas »

klimokrates pisze:
molmomas pisze:ponadto łatwo zauważyć formację V -
tzn. duże prawdopodobieństwo wzrostów już dziś :D
Łatwo zauważyć, że słyszałeś gdzieś o tej formacji ale nie doczytałeś jak powstaje i jak przebiega.





W Pani Domu słyszałem,
Money flow.
"pips to the people"

menago
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Re: DayTrading: Poniedziałek 19.11.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: menago »

pr7emo pisze:Kuczynski mówił że we Wtorek jakieś finansowanie Grecji będzie decydowane, na dwa lata aż. Jeśli tak to z eLka zaczekałbym do jutra.
to czekaj ,jutro moze byc za pozno,nie wiesz ze rynek wyprzedza fakty???
ja ma l-ki od tamtego tygodnia,a wszyscy szukali s-ki,a one juz ze stopkami9 plusowymi,
poza tym o tym co piszesz juz wiadome bylo we czwartek

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niemiaszek
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Re: DayTrading: Poniedziałek 19.11.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: niemiaszek »

Hello


EUROPE: Its a fairly quiet start to the week Monday, a holidy shortened
week in The US that sees the Thanksgiving Day holiday on Thursday. The
European session sees only limited data Monday, but there are ECB
speakers. At 0830GMT, ECB Governing Council member Jens Weidmann to is
scheduled to a give keynote speech at 15th Euro Finance Week, in
Frankfurt. At 0900GMT, ECB Executive Board member Benoit Coeure gives a
keynote speech at the financial stability conference of the European
Commission, in Brussels. Norges Bank Governor Oystein Olsen is scheduled
to give a speech at to the ECB, in Frankfurt, although no time is
scheduled. European data is expected at 1000GMT, with the release of the
EMU September construction output data. At 1330GMT, ECB Executive Board
member Peter Praet is set to participate in a panel discussion at the
15th Euro Finance Week, in Frankfurt.

GERMAN PRESS: German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble reiterated his
opposition to any haircut on Greek debt held by the public sector. Schaeuble
told German ARD public television that under national budget rules such a
haircut would forbid the government to give any new loans to Greece or sign
guarantees for loans given to the country.

GERMAN PRESS: ECB Executive Board member Joerg Asmussen said Sunday that Greece
is likely to need a third bailout program, since expectations that the country
can regain access to capital markets by 2015/2016 appear unrealistic. "Next
week we should finalize funding for the year 2013 and 2014, but you have to be
honest and say we do not really expect the country to have access to markets in
2015 and 2016," Asmussen said. "That means a follow-up programme would be
necessary."



UK PRESS: With City jobs still seen disappearing through 2013,
headhunter Astbury Marsden says 73% of City staff expect the bulk of job
creation in coming years to be in Asia, the Independent says

UK: Speaking to Sky News at the weekend BOE policy maker David Miles
said there could be the likelyhood for more QE, dependent on "how the
headwinds holding back growth play out."

UK PRESS: The FT says any hopes the UK government has of boosting growth
through infrastructure projects are being stalled by a "stand-off" with
City investors who are looking for greater Treasury support.

UK PRESS: The FT says the EU is attempting to make budget plans without
the UK, which is demanding a freeze in the budget. However, the FT
admits the UK is not alone in its demands and also says there is no
legal or diplomatic agreement on how the talks could progress without
all members.



US: The US calendar starts at 1430GMT, with the released of the Nov 16
week MNI Capital Goods Index. At 1500GMT, the November Housing Market
Index (NAHB) is released, along with the October Existing Home Sales.
The pace of existing home sales is expected to hold roughly steady at a
4.74 million annual rate in October after slowing in September.
Hurricane Sandy likely impacted sales in the affected regions as
closings, which this report measures, were delayed into November in some
areas. At 1530GMT, the MNI Retail Trade Index for the week November 17
are released.

US PRESS: A rport by the WSJ shows US companies are scaling back
investment plans at the fastest rate since the recession.



EURO-DOLLAR: Closed in NY Friday at $1.2740, the rate recovered off
pullback lows of $1.2690 following calming fiscal cliff comments, after
earlier posting a high of $1.2753. Demand in the crosses predominately
from euro-yen lifted the rate to $1.2760 in early Asia, flushing light
stops on the move. Tight range trade continued and the pair ground
higher to $1.2773 on market talk that Greece will get the next tranche
after Finance Minister Stournaras said there were no outstanding issues
with Athens ahead of tomorrow's eurozone FinMin's meeting. On the
topside light stops noted on a break of $1.2790, a break opens strong
offers at $1.2805/10 ($1.2808 - 200-day ma), with more stops through
$1.2815. US data light today with highlights from Exisitng Home Sales
released at 1500GMT.


CABLE: Cable recovered off lows of $1.5836 after the London fixing on
Friday and extended gains to $1.5901 in the US afternoon. The rate later
pared light gains and closed around $1.5880. Euro-sterling remained on
the defensive and late trade saw the cross bounce off intraday lows of
stg0.8010 to close at stg0.8020 and under the 55-day ma. A positive
start for Asian equities lifted cable in early trade through $1.5900 to
$1.5907 as risk appetite increased. Tight range continued as the pair
tracked euro-dollar's extended recovery to settle around $1.5918. Tech
resistance seen at $1.5939 from the 100-week ma, ahead of offers at
$1.5940/50 ($1.5944 - 50% of $1.6043-1.5882). Euro-sterling trade was
light tied to a narrow stg0.8011-26 Asian range. Strong demand seen on
the downside at stg0.8005/00, ahead of stg0.7970 (13 Nov low).


DOLLAR-YEN: Closed in NY Friday at Y81.30, the rate recovered of US
afternoon pullback lows of Y81.15 after earlier printing highs of Y81.44
where once again strong resistance was met ahead of the Y81.50 barrier.
The cross tracked dollar-yen's extended recovery to Y103.69, before late
profit take sales eased to Y103.55. Tokyo Spec names were noted buyers
of yen crosses in early Asia and this lifted dollar-yen through the
Y81.50 option barrier, flushing stops to highs of Y81.59. Momentum faded
and the rate eased through the Tokyo fix on supply from Japanese names,
profit take sales added weight and the pair eased to Y81.12. Late trade
bounced to Y81.25 as dealers look ahead to the BOJ tomorrow, although
it's unlikely we will get any new easing measures ahead of the election
on Dec 16. Euro-yen tracked early dollar demand and flushed stops
through Y104.00 to print Y104.11, before easing after the fix and
settle around Y103.75.


OIL: January NYMEX WTI prices are trading higher Monday extending their
gains from the previous session. January WTI prices ended Friday's
session $1.05 higher, or 1.2%, at $86.92 a barrel after the December
contract expired 1.4% higher at $86.67 a barrel. Nervousness surrounding
tensions in the Middle East continues to force out some short positions
in WTI, with prices remaining underpinned by concerns that the latest
unrest may disrupt oil supplies, after Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu
said Sunday that the army were prepared to "significantly widen the
operation". WTI prices have continued to the upside this morning,
advancing from lows of $87.14 to an intra-day high of $87.98 a barrel a
few moments ago, with some fresh risk-on sentiment seen so far this
morning. January WTI now trades at $87.87 a barrel, up 95 cents on the
session.


GOLD: Spot gold prices are trading higher Monday underpinned by some
moderate weakness observed in the US dollar so far this morning. Spot
gold prices ended last week's session 1% lower at $1713.75/oz. Gold
prices have advanced during Asian traded hours this morning, underpinned
by some fresh risk-on sentiment anticipated across European equity
markets after comments by US House Speaker John Boehner late Friday
suggested that discussions between lawmakers to avoid the US fiscal
cliff had been constructive. Gold prices may also be attracting some
haven support this morning, as tensions continue in the Middle East.
Spot gold has advanced from lows of $1714.50/oz to an intra-day high of
$1724.80/oz taking their cue from a slightly softer US dollar so far,
with the spot gold price now currently trading near session highs at
$1724.10/oz, up $10.35 on the session.



EUROZONE ISSUANCE: Eurozone Sovereign T-bill issuance for this week
are planned from Netherlands, France, Spain, EFSF and Portugal. Supply
is estimated to be around E16bln, lower than E23.8bln issued last week.
First up on Monday will be Netherlands with plans to tap E1.0-E2.0bln
3-month Feb 28, 2013 DTC and tap E1.0-E2.0bln 6-month Apr 29, 2013 DTC.
In the afternoon France will tap E3.6-E4.0bln 3-month Feb 14, 2013 BTF,
tap E1.0-E1.4bln 6-month Apr 18, 2013 BTF and issue E1.2-E1.6bln new
12-month Nov 14, 2013 BTF. On Tuesday Spain plan to issue new 12-month
Nov 22, 2013 Letra and tap 18-month Apr 16, 2014 Letra with indicative
size to be announced on Monday. EFSF plan to issue new 6-month May 23,
2013 Bill for up to E2.0bln. Finally on Wednesday, Portugal will tap
3-month Feb 22, 2013 T-bill, tap 6-month May 17, 2013 T-bill and issue
new 18-month May 23, 2014 T-bill for indicative amount of E1.75-E2.0bln.
In terms of T-bill redemptions for this week, we have France E7.993bln,
Spain E5.392bln and EFSF E1.478bln, giving potential negative net cash
flow of E1.14bln.

DUTCH T-BILL AUCTION PREVIEW: The Dutch State Treasury Agency
(DSTA), re-opens E1.0-E2.0bln of a 3-month DTC maturing Feb 28, 2013 and
issues E1.0-E2.0bln 6-month DTC maturing Apr 29, 2013 on Monday. This
will be the first of two taps of the Feb 28, 2013 DTC and demand could
be below average. Current 3-month DTC yield is seen trading around
-0.018% and was last sold on Nov 5, were E1.22bln was allotted at an
average yield of -0.03% and covered 3.23 times. As for the 6-month Apr
29, 2013 DTC, mid-yield is seen around -0.015%, while at the last
6-month DTC, issued back on Nov 5 the DSTA sold E1.17bln at average
yield of -0.012% and covered 2.87 times. The Apr 29, 2013 DTC is not
scheduled to be tapped again this year, and with only E1.02bln
outstanding, could see very strong demand at the auction. With no Dutch
T-bill redemption next week, cash flow could be negative to the tune of
E4.0bln. Results due to be announced around 1040GMT.

FRANCE T-BILL AUCTION PREVIEW: France's Agence France Tresor (AFT)
will re-open E3.6-E4.0bln 3-month BTF maturing Feb 14, 2013, re-open
E1.0-E1.4bln of a 6-month BTF maturing Apr 18, 2013, and issue
E1.2-E1.6bln of a 12-month BTF maturing Nov 14, 2013 on Monday. This
will be the last time the Feb 14, 2013 BTF and possibly Apr 18, 2013 BTF
will be re-opened, and therefore demand could be very high. The new
12-month BTF chould also generate good interest as investors continue to
look for safe havens to park their cash. With a BTF redemption of
E7.993bln, net cash flow will be positive to the tune of E993mln. For
comparison on Nov 12, the AFT sold E3.996bln 3-month BTF at an average
yield of -0.014% with cover of 2.77 times, E1.335bln 6-month BTF at an
average yield of -0.002% with cover of 3.1 times, and E1.296bln 12-month
BTF at an average yield of 0.019% with cover of 3.64 times. Results due
to be announced around 1355GMT.



EUROZONE: Timeline of key events in the eurozone for next few weeks:
- Nov 19 EU Barnier, Spain Econ Minster De Guindos speak in Brussels
- Nov 19 Bank of Spain publishes bad loan data
- Nov 20 Eurogroup meeting (extension) to agree final details Greek aid
- Nov 20 EFSF sells 6-month T-bill for up to E2.0bln
- Nov 20 ESM Chief Regling gives keynote speech in Frankfurt
- Nov 21 Portgual sells 3-/6-/18-mth T-bill E1.75bln-E2.0bln
- Nov 22/23 EU leaders Summit discuss the EU budget
- Nov 22 Spain sells 2015-/2017-/2021 bonds
- Nov 22 ECB regular monthly 'non-policy' meeting
- Nov 22 EMU Nov flash manufacturing/services PMI
- Nov 23 Portugal YTD budget report
- Nov 23 German Nov IFO business survey
- Nov 23 Spain T-bill redemption for E5.39bln
- Nov 25 Elections in Catalonia
- Nov 27 Portugal parliament votes on 2013 Budget
... zbieraj pips do pipa bo jak nie to z depo będzie lipa... G."niemiaszek"

pr7emo
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Re: DayTrading: Poniedziałek 19.11.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: pr7emo »

menago pisze:
pr7emo pisze:Kuczynski mówił że we Wtorek jakieś finansowanie Grecji będzie decydowane, na dwa lata aż. Jeśli tak to z eLka zaczekałbym do jutra.
to czekaj ,jutro moze byc za pozno,nie wiesz ze rynek wyprzedza fakty???
ja ma l-ki od tamtego tygodnia,a wszyscy szukali s-ki,a one juz ze stopkami9 plusowymi,
poza tym o tym co piszesz juz wiadome bylo we czwartek
o 9:30 może jeszcze szef Bundesbanku utwierdzić niedowiarków w przekonaniu, według mnie po decyzjach sa bardziej zdecydowane ruchy, a że w zeszłym tygodniu pozytywny rezultat tematu Grecji zawrócił edka to fakt :)

-- Dodano: pn 19-11-2012, 9:37 --

zaraz miśki wku*** się i nacisną guzik :twisted:
Ostatnio zmieniony 19 lis 2012, 09:37 przez pr7emo, łącznie zmieniany 1 raz.

menago
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Re: DayTrading: Poniedziałek 19.11.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: menago »

pr7emo pisze:
menago pisze:
pr7emo pisze:Kuczynski mówił że we Wtorek jakieś finansowanie Grecji będzie decydowane, na dwa lata aż. Jeśli tak to z eLka zaczekałbym do jutra.
to czekaj ,jutro moze byc za pozno,nie wiesz ze rynek wyprzedza fakty???
ja ma l-ki od tamtego tygodnia,a wszyscy szukali s-ki,a one juz ze stopkami9 plusowymi,
poza tym o tym co piszesz juz wiadome bylo we czwartek
o 9:30 może jeszcze szef Bundesbanku utwierdzić niedowiarków w przekonaniu, według mnie po decyzjach sa bardziej zdecydowane ruchy, a że w zeszłym tygodniu pozytywny rezultat tematu Grecji zawrócił edka to fakt :)

to dlaczego grubasy nie graja na info????/
bo dla nich trend jest wazny nie info

-- Dodano: 19 lis 2012, 10:46 --
pr7emo pisze:
menago pisze:
pr7emo pisze:Kuczynski mówił że we Wtorek jakieś finansowanie Grecji będzie decydowane, na dwa lata aż. Jeśli tak to z eLka zaczekałbym do jutra.
to czekaj ,jutro moze byc za pozno,nie wiesz ze rynek wyprzedza fakty???
ja ma l-ki od tamtego tygodnia,a wszyscy szukali s-ki,a one juz ze stopkami9 plusowymi,
poza tym o tym co piszesz juz wiadome bylo we czwartek
o 9:30 może jeszcze szef Bundesbanku utwierdzić niedowiarków w przekonaniu, według mnie po decyzjach sa bardziej zdecydowane ruchy, a że w zeszłym tygodniu pozytywny rezultat tematu Grecji zawrócił edka to fakt :)

-- Dodano: pn 19-11-2012, 9:37 --

zaraz miśki wku*** się i nacisną guzik :twisted:

masz guzik niedowiarku,pisze o tym a wy mnie nie sluchacie

s-ki wyciete???? ha ha ha

pr7emo
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Re: DayTrading: Poniedziałek 19.11.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: pr7emo »

czekaj, czekaj, dopiero dzień się zaczął, martwi mnie duża ilość graczy na eLkach

menago
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Re: DayTrading: Poniedziałek 19.11.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: menago »

pr7emo pisze:czekaj, czekaj, dopiero dzień się zaczął, martwi mnie duża ilość graczy na eLkach

dlatego ,ze wiedza jaki jest trend i nie chca oddaxc wolumenu,stad zjazdy po skalp ,kreowanie falszywych spadajacych gwiazd,by pozabierac s-ki,ja nie przecze ze nie bedzie jeszcze zjazdu,tylko ze nie bedzie glebokieko,to twierdze,ale tren od tamtego wtorku jest up

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Nowy123
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Re: DayTrading: Poniedziałek 19.11.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: Nowy123 »

10:00 EUR Nowe Zamówienia Przemysłowe we Włoszech (raz w miesiącu) -4.0% -0.8%

-- Dodano: pn 19-11-2012, 11:02 --
menago pisze:
pr7emo pisze:czekaj, czekaj, dopiero dzień się zaczął, martwi mnie duża ilość graczy na eLkach

dlatego ,ze wiedza jaki jest trend i nie chca oddaxc wolumenu,stad zjazdy po skalp ,kreowanie falszywych spadajacych gwiazd,by pozabierac s-ki,ja nie przecze ze nie bedzie jeszcze zjazdu,tylko ze nie bedzie glebokieko,to twierdze,ale tren od tamtego wtorku jest up

a ja mysle ze jeszcze 50 % fibo zobaczymy :) 12608- 620

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