DayTrading: Wtorek 13.11.2012

[Coluche]

Teraz wytną Żółtkom SL tylko że tym razem w drugą stronę.Jakby nie patrzył zawsze po ryju

[niemiaszek]

Hello


EUROPE: The European session starts with French data, as 0745GMT sees
the release of the September current account numbers and the third
quarter employment data. Spain's October final HICP data is released at
0800GMT, followed by Italian inflation data at 0900GMT. At 0900GMT, the
latest IEA monthly oil market report is set to cross the wires. The main
eurozone release for the day is the German November ZEW survey, with
analysts looking for a small increase in sentiment to -10 from -11.5,
but a modest slip in current conditions to +8.5 from 10. Also Tuesday,
the European Union finance ministers gather at the monthly Ecofin
meeting and Greece is likely to feature high up the agenda.
Additionally, the Bank of Portugal is scheduled to publish its Autumn
Economic Bulletin, with the country buoyed by warm words Monday from
German Chancellor Angela Merkel.

GERMAN PRESS: Italy's aggressive reform pace is necessary to correct decades of
missed opportunities, Italian Finance Minister Vittorio Grilli said in an
interview published Tuesday with German daily Sueddeutsche Zeitung. "We
Italians long missed the opportunity to make our country competitive," Grilli
told the paper. "Budget discipline is therefore urgently necessary. And also the
pace at which we are currently reforming our country, is absolutely necessary."

GERMAN PRESS: German Prime Minister Angela Merkel's visit to Portugal
has fuelled "spite, hate and fierce protests" in Portugal's population,
reports Die Zeit. The population is scared that further savings measures
will lead to more upheaval and an even more frugal lifestyle than they
have already had to adopt. The article draws on the example of a hair
dresser who says, because of the Portuguese government's increase in
tax, almost unable to pay her rent now. A Portuguese exit from the
Eurozone is not unthinkable for the Portuguese population because "what
do you have to lose if you have lost everything?", she is quoted as
saying.

FRENCH PRESS: In an interview with Le Figaro, Italian PM Mario Monti
said Eurobonds are not a measure to be taken in a situation of urgency.
However, he also said it was not yet the time to completely exclude them
either. Speaking about the Eurocrisis he said that in the long-term it
was necessary to reform treaties as of 2015, as Berlin has suggested. He
also said that a leadership of 27 European states, as taken by Germany,
was both necessary and desirable; in this respect he also mentions that
the weaker EU economies should not be using Brussels as a "scapegoat".

IRELAND: With next month's 2013 Budget statement looming large, Irish
Finance Minister Michael Noonan has refused to rule out a deal on the
nation's E64 bn bank debt, the Irish Independent says, although the
prospects of such a deal are remote.

IRELAND: The Bank of Ireland is set to become the first of the Irish
bailed-out banks to return to the bond markets, after saying it plans to
raise funds secured on some of its pool of Irish mortgages, the Irish
Independent says.



UK: UK data gets underway at 0930GMT, with the now joint release of
producer and consumer inflation data. In terms of the PPI data, oil
prices fell back in October having risen in September, which should have
fed through to a fall in input prices. Lag effects and rising food
prices suggest output prices, however, may have nudged higher. CPI
dropped to 2.2% on the year in September from 2.5% in August, but it
is expected to start to climb again. Increasing food prices, impacted by
poor harvests, helped drive the British Retail Consortium's October Shop
Price Index higher, with the SPI showing prices up 1.5% on a year ago
compared with up 1.0% in September. The disinflationary effect of lower
oil prices in October will take time to feed through to retail prices
and the increases in utility bills are starting to kick-in, along with
the increase in tuition fees. Also expected at 0930GMT are the UK
September House Price Index from the ONS and the November Weekly Fuel
Prices data.

UK PRESS: Despite winning a Parliamentary vote on suspending the next
increase in fuel duty, sources suggest the Treasury is still going to
drop the planned 3 p a litre increase in the Autumn Statement, the Times
reports.

UK PRESS: Industry sources suggest UK online spending will hit stg 4.6
bn in the first two weeks of December, up from stg 3.7 bn in 2011.

UK PRESS: The FT says departmental heads of the UK government are
preparing "worst case" plans for a further 20% in cuts that are likely
to stretch well into the next Parliament. The paper says the Autumn
Statement, due Dec 5, is likely to outlines austerity measures will
extend into 2017/18.

UK PRESS: The Telegraph notes that Italian prosecutors have filed
charges against the former president of Standard & Poor's, along with
six other credit rating agency officials, for issuing downgrades that
destablised the country and fuelled the peninsula's debt crisis.



US: The US calendar gets underway at 1430GMT with the release of the MNI
Capital Goods Index for the Nov 9 week, followed at 1530GMT by the
release of the MNI Retail Trade Index for the Nov 10 week. In between,
at 1500GMT, the November IBD/TIPP Econ Optimism Index data is released.
Late US data sees the October Treasury Budget Statement cross the wires.
The U.S. government is expected to post a $113 billion budget deficit in
October, which would be wider than the $98.5 billion budget gap seen in
October 2011. Last year the first of the month fell on a Saturday which
caused some outlays to be pushed into September of the prior fiscal year
resulting in a narrower budget gap, however, revenues will also likely
be higher with two additional days of revenues. At 1930GMT, the
Financial Stability Oversight Council of regulators meets in open
session and on the agenda will be proposed recommendations regarding
money market mutual funds. Last up, at 2030GMT, Federal Reserve Vice
Chair Janet Yellen speaks to the University of California, Berkely's
Haas School, afterwards taking questions from the audience.

US PRESS: As fiscal discussions are set to dominate the "lame duck"
Congress that sits from today, the Washington Post notes that up to 2
million Americans stand to lose their jobless benefits unless Congress
reauthorises federal emergency unemployment help before the end of the
year.



wersja poglądowa AT

13-lis-2012 8:10
MNI EURO-DOLLAR TECHS: Fades From 38.2% Level, Daily Boll Bands Wider
RES 4: $1.2906 Former 23.6% Fibonacci of $1.2043-1.3172
RES 3: $1.2881 55-day moving average
RES 2: $1.2817/26 200-DMA, Low Oct 11
RES 1: $1.2741 38.2% of Jul/Sep rally
LATEST PRICE: $1.2688
SUP 1: $1.2641 100-day moving average
SUP 2: $1.2608 50.0% Retracement of Jul/Sep rally
SUP 3: $1.2474 61.8% Retracement of Jul/Sep rally
SUP 4: $1.2442/44 Highs Aug 6 & 7
COMMENTARY: Euro-dollar continues to trend lower and approaches the
100-DMA, initial support at $1.2641. The daily Bollinger bands are
widening, which indicates the potential for increased volatility and
daily studies continue to look bearish. Last session posts a doji which
cautions bears. Initial resistance seen at $1.2741, the former 38.2%
retracement of the Jul-Sep rally.


13-lis-2012 8:20
MNI CABLE TECHS: 38.2% Level Holds As Resistance, Bears Eye 200-DMA
RES 4: $1.6081 Former Sep 21 falling trendline
RES 3: $1.6036/57/64 21-DMA, 55-DMA, Frmer 23.6% of $1.5269-1.6309
RES 2: $1.5939 100-week moving average
RES 1: $1.5912 38.2% of $1.5269-$1.6309 move, High Aug 23, Low Oct 23
LATEST PRICE: $1.5870
SUP 1: $1.5849/51 Jun Rising Trendline, 200-DMA
SUP 2: $1.5789/93 50.0% of Jun-Sep rally, High Jun 18
SUP 3: $1.5755 Low Aug 28
SUP 4: $1.5666 61.8% Fibonacci of Jun-Sep rally
COMMENTARY: Cable tested the former 38.2% retracement level as
resistance, but closed lower, now trades just above the 200-DMA which is
new initial support at $1.5851. We see bears eyeing the 200-DMA and
looking to also break this support level and try to move down to the
50.0% Fibonacci retracement level of the Jun-Sep Rally. Bulls will try
and move back towards the 38.2% level.


13-lis-2012 8:27
MNI DOLLAR-YEN TECHS: Breaks Below Kijun Line, Eyes 100-DMA
RES 4: Y80.16 Nov 2 resistance line
RES 3: Y80.00/04 High Oct 23, 23.6% Fib Sep-Nov rally
RES 2: Y79.76/82/88 Nov 7 low, 38.2% Fib of Mar-Sep decline, Tenkan line
RES 1: Y79.64/68 38.2% Fib Sep-Oct rally, 200-DMA & Aug high
LATEST PRICE: Y79.25
SUP 1: Y79.08 Low Nov 9
SUP 2: Y78.79/86 55-DMA, 100-DMA
SUP 3: Y78.59 76.4% Fib of Sep-Oct rally
SUP 4: Y78.40 Top Ichimoku cloud
COMMENTARY: Dollar-yen leaves another doji, but has moved lower in
today's session. The pair moved towards the 200-DMA before declining and
we see initial support at Y79.08, Friday's low. Further support seen as
the 55 and 100-DMAs at Y78.79/86. Bears will look for a move towards
these two moving averages, however, bulls have tried to break above
Y79.64/68 for the past three sessions and shouldn't be ruled out.


13-lis-2012 8:35
MNI EURO-YEN TECHS: Trades In Ichimoku Cloud, Bears Eye 100-DMA
RES 4: Y102.87 21-day moving average
RES 3: Y102.21/38 Tenkan line, Kijun line
RES 2: Y102.12/16 Former 23.6% Fib, 200-day movng average
RES 1: Y101.52 55-day moving average
LATEST PRICE: Y100.60
SUP 1: Y99.54/55/64/68 Lows 11, 13, 27 Sep, 100-DMA
SUP 2: Y99.35/40 50.0% of Jul-Oct rally, Ichimoku cloud base
SUP 3: Y98.12 61.8% of Jul-Oct rally
SUP 4: Y97.99 Low Sep 5
COMMENTARY: Eur-yen moves into the Ichimoku cloud, bears now eye the
cloud base at Y99.40. Ahead of this, initial support seen from the
100-DMA at 99.68. The pair did test the Ichimoku cloud top as resistance
at Y101.07, however, failed to hold above. Bulls will continue to try
and reach this level. The pair trade just above the 38.2% retracement
level at Y100.59, the break below this level was not sustained.


GOLD: Spot gold prices are trading in negative territory Tuesday,
moderately extending their declines from the previous day. Spot gold
ended Monday's session $2.98 lower at $1728.20/oz after printing an
intra-day high of $1738.10/oz after lingering concerns surrounding the
U.S. fiscal cliff initially attracted some near-term haven demand.
Bullion prices have since slipped back a little, hampered by some gains
displayed by the US dollar which has firmed up against a basket of
currencies across FX markets. Some uncertainty surrounding another
tranche of financial aid for Greece has seen the euro drop to a
two-month low against the US dollar this morning, with FX pair
euro-dollar extending lower to around $1.2673 after stops were seen
triggering beneath $1.2685 amid a risk-off theme observed during Asian
traded hours this morning. Spot gold prices faded back from highs of
$1729.25/oz to hold at an intra-day low of $1721.55/oz, with the
precious metal now currently trading at $1726/oz, down $2.20 on the
session.


OIL: December NYMEX WTI prices are treading in negative territory
Tuesday extending their declines from the previous day. December WTI
futures ended Monday's session down 50 cents at $85.57 a barrel after
lingering concerns over the US fiscal cliff and whether Greece would
receive a bailout weighed on market risk sentiment. In terms of supply,
weekly data to be released this week by the American Petroleum Institute
(API) and the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) are expected to
show an increase of 1.5 million barrels in US commercial crude oil
stocks for the week ended November 9, Platts says citing its survey of
analysts. This week's data will be delayed one day due to the US
Veterans Day holiday, with the API report due Wednesday, while the US
EIA data is due on Thursday. December WTI futures have extended lower
during Asian hours this morning, falling from an intra-day high of
$85.63 a barrel to a low of $84.99 and the market now trades at $85.15 a
barrel, down 42 cents on the session.


NATURAL GAS: NYMEX December natural gas prices are trading marginally
higher Tuesday after posting some gains on Monday. December natural gas
futures ended Monday's session up 6.7 cents, or near 2%, at $3.57 per
million British thermal units (Btu) after trading between $3.47 and
$3.596 per mln Btu. Forecaster MDA EarthSat expects temperatures for the
eastern half of the nation to average normal or below normal this week,
with milder weather moving into the upper Midwest later this week and
next week. Colder trends were expected for the Southeast and much of the
East Coast during the six to ten day period. December natural gas
futures have edged their way higher this morning from lows of $3.560 to
an intra-day high of $3.611 and now trade at $3.583 per mln Btu,
moderately higher from last night's settlement of $3.570 per mln Btu.


FX: Option expiries for today's NY 1000GMT cut,
* Euro-dollar; $1.2700, $1.2725, $1.2775, $1.2800
* Aussie; $1.0350, $1.0370, $1.0420, $1.0440, $1.0465, $1.0475, $1.0500
* Dollar-yen; Y79.20, Y79.40, Y79.50, Y80.20, Y80.35
* Euro-sterling; stg0.8100
* Aussie-yen; Y82.50, Y82.60


EUROZONE ISSUANCE: There will be three sovereign T-bill auctions on
Tuesday with Italy issuing E6.5bln new 12-month Nov 14, 2013 BOT. Greece
are planning to issue E2.125bln new 4-week Dec 14 T-bill and E1.0bln new
13-week Feb 15, 2013 T-bill. Finally Belgium will sell 3-month Feb 14,
2013 T-bill and issue new 12-month Nov 14, 2013 T-bill for between
E2.4-E2.8bln. To recap, on Monday Germany sold E3.52bln 6-month Bubill
at average yield -0.0116%. In the afternoon, France sold E3.996 3-month
BTF at average yield -0.014%, E1.335bln 6-month BTF at average yield
-0.002% and E1.296bln 12-month BTF at average yield 0.019%.

DUTCH AUCTION PREVIEW: The Dutch State Treasury Agency (DSTA) is
due to re-open its 10-year benchmark 2.25% July 2022 DSL issue Tuesday
for indicative size of E2.0bln-E3.0bln. This is the penultimate bond
auction for this year from the DSTA, with the last sale expected to be
of the 3-year benchmark 2015 DSL on Nov 27. Given the DSTA has sold
E55.84bln worth of DSL bonds of capital market programme of around
E60bln worth so far in 2012, according to MNI calculations -- the risk
is that the DSTA will aim to sell towards the lower end of the
indicative range. The 2.25% July 2022 DSL issue trades at 1.596%
mid-yield or richest level since early August. However, from a RV point
of view, the 2022 DSL is at +26bps vs 10-year German Bund issue, and
above its richest level of +22bps seen on Oct 19. Most strategists
expect to see decent demand given current risk-off sentiment and given
this is the last opportunity to buy Dutch 10-year paper this year. For
comparison purposes, this 10-year DSL issue was last sold on Sep 11 for
E2.0bln at average yield of 1.846%. Auction results due around 0920GMT.

ITALY T-BILL AUCTION PREVIEW: The Italian Dipartimento Del Tesoro
issue E6.5bln of a new 12-month BOT maturing Nov 14, 2013 on Tuesday.
BOT yields have remained relatively stable over the past couple of weeks
and reflects well since risk-off sentiment increased during the same
period. The grey market is currently indicating mid-yield to be around
1.79%, representing a discount of under 11bps against Oct 14, 2013 BOT,
and therefore looks a little rich, but further weakness is expected
before the auction. At the last 12-month BOT auction back on Oct 10, the
Tesoro sold E8.0bln at average yield of 1.941% with cover 1.77 times.
With a E5.5bln BOT redemption on Nov 15, net cash flow will be negative
to the tune of E1.0bln, but with the amount to be allotted being the
lowest since June, demand could remain high and the tail tighter than
average. Results due to be announced around 1010GMT.

GREECE T-BILL AUCTION PREVIEW: Greece's Public Debt Management
Agency (PDMA) is planning to issue E2.125bln new 4-week Dec 14 T-bill ,
and E1.0bln new 13-week Feb 15, 2013 T-bill Tuesday. Last night the
Eurogroup agreed a 2-year extension to reduce its debt, but, as expected
did not agree the next aid tranche. Greece needs to raise E5.0bln to
cover the Nov 16 T-bill redemption, so the PDMA will issue an extra 30%
in non-competitive bids and another 30% in secondary exercise. Newswire
reported at the weekend that Greek banks - who are expected to be
dominant buyers at the auction, can only raise about E3.5bln of
collateral acceptable to the ECB under the Emergency Liquidity
Assistance (ELA) program. The report said that if the banks could not
find the E1.5bln in other forms of collateral, Greece may seek to use
funds from the E3.0bln reserved for bank recapitalisation. This will be
the first ever Eur0-era 4-week T-bill, while the last 13-week T-bill
auction back on Oct 16, the PDMA sold E1.625bln at an average yield of
4.24%, & covered 1.9 times. Results due to be announced around 1015GMT.

BELGIUM T-BILL AUCTION PREVIEW: Belgium's Debt Agency re-opens a
3-month T-bill maturing Feb 14, 2013, and issue new 12-month T-bill
maturing Nov 14, 2013 for an indicative amount of E2.4-E2.8bln on
Tuesday. This will be the last tap of the Feb 14 T-bill, and with only
E4.052 outstanding, demand could be above average. Mid-yield is seen
trading around 0.1%, while at the last 3-month T-bill auction on Nov 6
the Belgium Treasury allotted E1.205bln at average yield 0.004% and
covered 3.39 times. As for the new 12-month Nov 14 T-bill, this is not
scheduled to be tapped again until next year and therefore could see
high demand. Mid-yield on the grey market is seen trading around 0.085%,
while the last 12-month T-bill auction was on Oct 16 were E1.605bln was
allotted at average yield of 0.072% and covered 2.17 times. There will
be a T-bill redemption of E5.41 this week, so net cash flow could be
positive to the tune of E2.61bln and underpin demand. Results are due to
be announced around 1040GMT.


EUROZONE: Timeline of key events in the eurozone for next few weeks:
- Nov 13 EU Van Rompuy/Barroso meet to prepare Nov. 22-23 summit
- Nov 13 EcoFin meeting to discuss two-pack legislation
- Nov 13 German FinMin Schaeuble gives budget speech in parliament
- Nov 13 Portugal Autumn economic bulletin
- Nov 13 Greece sells 4-week-/13-week T-bill for E3.125bln
- Nov 13 Italy to sell 12-month T-bill for E6.5bln
- Nov 13 EU Barroso to meet Greek PM Samaras
- Nov 13 Italy PM Monti meets UK PM Cameron in Rome at 1445GMT
- Nov 14 Italy to sell 2015 BTP-/2023-/2039 BTP for up to E5.0bln
- Nov 14 Spain's main labor unions CCOO and UGT call general stike
- Nov 14 Portuguese CGTP union calls for a strike
- Nov 15 Eurozone Q3 advanced GDP
- Nov 15 Italy T-bill redemption for E5.5bln
- Nov 16 Greece T-bill redemption E5.0bln--Date Greece runs out of cash
- Nov 20 Eurogroup meeting (extension) to agree final details Greek aid



PORTUGAL: Fitch Ratings affirmed Portugal's rating at 'BB+',
outlook negative.

RATINGS: Losses for banks from potential litigation over the alleged
manipulation of Libor are highly uncertain and difficult to quantify than
regulatory fines and would be more likely to have credit-negative rating
implications, Moody's Investors Service says in a report. However, any future
regulatory fines would likely to absorbable within each bank's annual earnings
and not be significant enough to prompt rating actions, Moody's says.

[pentional]

Witam,

czy na złocie macie szpilkę w góre do ~1737 ok 7:32?
Taka sytuacja trafiła mi się na Admiral Markets.

[molmomas]

ja też tak mam, choć też mam AM

[sliwka00]

na Bossafx, o 7:32 max: 1724,80.

[molmomas]

u mnie 1736

[expedient warzywniaka]

Noo, teraz osiągnięcie 2710 będzie sporym sukcesem.
Nie miałem żadnych ticków na złocie.

[pentional]

Rozumiem, że reklamację można zgłosić mailowo. Jest jakiś czas 'deadline' na taką reklamację?
Co w takim wypadku się dzieje? Ponownie otwierają pozycję, którą zamknęli?

[molmomas]

musiało by wyjść ponad 1.2690

a na złocie może jakiś trik ,brokerski?

[Coluche]

2665
Wystarczy im czy jeszcze dołożą ????

Na Goldzie żadnych szpilek.