Z nedzy do pieniedzy ..:)

[andy11]

SS aud/usd 1.0291, S/L 1.0306, TP 1.0236

przestawiony S/L 1.0283 BE +8 pipek

przestawiony S/L 1.0277 BE +14 pipek

pozycja zamknieta S/L zadzialal 1.0277 zysk +14 pipek

[andy11]

aud/usd H4 - tworzy sie pozytywny Pin Bar ktory odbil sie od 1.0235 ( gdyby odbil sie od 1.0218 to zahaczyl by fibo z D1 ) a tak trzeba poczekac do 20.00 i zobaczymy jaka nastepna swieczka zrobi sie..

a jakie sa wasze opinie..?

[andy11]

Ropa WTI D1 - cena doszla do 61,8% fiba ...

czy fibo bedzie na tyle silne aby zatrzymac ten spadek ?

[tyler_durden]

aud/usd H4 - tworzy sie pozytywny Pin Bar ktory odbil sie od 1.0235 ( gdyby odbil sie od 1.0218 to zahaczyl by fibo z D1 ) a tak trzeba poczekac do 20.00 i zobaczymy jaka nastepna swieczka zrobi sie..

a jakie sa wasze opinie..?

Myślę, że idziemy do 1,3 - do najbliższej ZL.
Poczekam jednak na świecę h1.

Oj, sorry - pomyliłem kangura z edkiem

W każdym razie, przewidywania dla edka są aktualne.

Co do kangura, to myślę że fajnym poziomem jest ekstremum na 1,02678

[andy11]

Dane 24.10.2012

02:00 AUD DEWR Internet Skilled Vacancies MoM (SEP) -2.9%
02:30 AUD Consumer Prices Index (YoY) (3Q) 1.6% 1.2%

02:30 AUD Consumer Prices Index (QoQ) (3Q) 1.0% 0.5%
02:30 AUD Consumer Prices Index RBA Trimmed Mean (QoQ) (3Q) 0.6% 0.5%
02:30 AUD Consumer Prices Index RBA Trimmed Mean (YoY) (3Q) 2.2% 2.0%
02:30 AUD Consumer Prices Index RBA Weighted Median (QoQ) (3Q) 0.6% 0.7%
02:30 AUD Consumer Prices Index RBA Weighted Median (YoY) (3Q)2.2% 1.9%

03:45 CNY HSBC Flash Manufacturing PMI (OCT) 47.9

09:30 EUR German Purchasing Manager Index Manufacturing (OCT A) 48 47.4
09:30 EUR German Purchasing Manager Index Services (OCT A) 50 49.7

10:00 EUR Euro-Zone Purchasing Manager Index Composite (OCT A)46.5 46.1
10:00 EUR Euro-Zone Purchasing Manager Index Manufacturing (OCT A) 46.5 46.1
10:00 EUR Euro-Zone Purchasing Manager Index Services (OCT A) 46.4 46.1
10:00 EUR German IFO - Business Climate (OCT) 101.6 101.4
10:00 EUR German IFO - Current Assessment (OCT) 110.0 110.3
10:00 EUR German IFO - Expectations (OCT) 93.6 93.2

11:00 EUR Euro Area Second Quarter Government Debt (2Q)

12:00 GBP CBI Business Optimism (OCT) -2 -6
12:00 GBP CBI Trends Selling Prices (OCT) 6 3
12:00 GBP CBI Trends Total Orders (OCT) -6 -8

13:00 USD MBA Mortgage Applications (OCT 19) -4.2%

14:58 USD Markit US PMI Preliminary (OCT) 51.5 51.5

15:00 CAD Teranet/National Bank HPI (MoM) (SEP) 0.2%
15:00 CAD Teranet/National Bank HPI (YoY) (SEP)4.1%
15:00 CAD Teranet/National Bank HP Index (SEP)155.52

16:00 USD House Price Index (MoM) (AUG)0.2%
16:00 USD New Home Sales (SEP) 382K 373K
16:00 USD New Home Sales (MoM) (SEP) -0.3%

16:30 Bank of Canada Monetary Policy Report (CAD)
16:30 USD DOE Cushing OK Crude Inventory (OCT 19) -140K
16:30 USD DOE U.S. Crude Oil Inventories (OCT 19) 2860K
16:30 USD DOE U.S. Distillate Inventory (OCT 19) -2218K
16:30 USD DOE U.S. Gasoline Inventories (OCT 19) 1720K

20:15 USD Federal Open Market Committee Rate Decision (OCT 24) 0.25% 0.25%

22:00 NZD Reserve Bank of New Zealand Rate Decision (OCT 25) 2.5% 2.5%

[andy11]

HSBC flash China PMI 49.1 vs 47.9 in Sept
Australian Q3 CPI 2.0% y/y vs 1.6% exp
Swan: inflation remains contained
Australian DEWR skilled vacancies -3.7% vs -3.4% prior
OIS prob of RBA cut to 60% from 80%
US FHFA home prices +4.7% y/y
China and Japan met last week on disputed islands
Nikkei -0.3%
Shanghai comp +0.35%
AUD leading, GBP lagging

The strong CPI release and higher HSBC PMI in the Asian session has caught a few wrong footed again as AUD bounces back up through 1.0300 again. Odds of a rate cut in November have diminished ( but not vanished by any means).

Annual inflation’s running around 2.5% which is in line with the RBA recent forecasts but the Central Bank has warned of a gloomier economic outlook, so all bets are still on for a future cut possibly in December

AUD’s currently just off day’s highs of 1.0318, but offers remain up to 1.0320 and again in the 1.0340/50 level which includes the 200 day MA at 1.0344 and the 61.8% fibonacci retracement of the 1.0625-1.0145 move at 1.0443.

On the downside bids have resurfaced down at 1.0280/00 with sell stops back in place on a break. Below there is yesterday tech support/low of 1.0236 and large bids ahead of a 1.0200 barrier.

Today’s option expiries October 24, 2012

EUR/USD: 1.2915, 1.3000, 1.3100
GBP/USD: 1.6000
EUR/GBP: 0.8155, 0.8160
USD/JPY: 79.00, 79.65, 80.00
AUD/USD: 1.0215, 1.0235, 1.0250, 1.0285, 1.0300, 1.0350
AUD/NZD: 1.2600
USD/CAD: 1.0000
USD/CHF: 0.9350

[andy11]

LL usd/pln 1.1863 zamkniete 3,1967 zysk +104pipki

[andy11]

LL aud/usd 1.0330 zamkniete 1.0337 zysk +7 pipek

[andy11]

za pare min raport zapasow ropy (na tydzien konczacy sie 19.10.2012)..

[bartek1916]

Widze ze zlotym tez nie gardzisz Ja kiedys mocno poleglem i juz nie tykam sie PLN