DayTrading: Poniedziałek 15.10.2012

[niemiaszek]

Hello


EUROPE:/UK - A quiet start to the week in Europe, as the market gears up
for the EU leaders summit, expected Thursday into Friday. Although Spain
and Greece are likely to be topics, Brussels sources suggest the talks
will centre on "project" matters, such as the banking union and new
fiscal rules. Today, there is no eurozone data, although the Bank of
Portugal will release its official bulletin, although there is no
scheduled time. In the UK, at 0830GMT, the October Home Grown Food
Prices data is released. At 1515GMT, European Commission President Jose
Manuel Barroso and European Council President Herman Van Rompuy are to
speak at the opening conference of Single Market Week, in Brussels.

EUROPE: The communist party was amongst the gainers in Czech local
elections at the weekend, as voters "repudiated" austerity measures of
the centre-right government, the FT reports.

GREECE: Talks between the Greek government and the Troika continued over
the weekend, eKathimeini reports, as both sides attempt to get a deal in
place ahead of the EU leaders summit at the end of the week.

BELGIUM: The FT noted Flemish nationalists made strong gains across
Belgium's northern regions in local elections at the weekend, boosting
the hopes of separatists for a break-up of the country.


UK PRESS: UK PM Cameron will tell Cabinet colleagues he will veto
eurozone banking union plans if they threaten the City, the Times says.
Although the UK favours a union for the eurozone, overseen by the ECB,
Cameron says he will demand safeguards that eurozone primacy will not
affect "groupthink" at other European agencies, such as the EBA, the
paper adds.

UK PRESS: The UK will see an upturn in the second half of 2012, the
latest Ernst & Young Item Club report shows, but says the UK will see
annual downturn of 0.2%, the Guardian says. However, Item Club says the
2013 growth figures should show an upturn of 1.2%, with 2.4% in 2014,
the paper says.

UK PRESS: Leading retailers in the UK are asking the government to
freeze business rates to help overcome "brutal" conditions on the high
street, the FT reports.



US: On the other side of the Atlantic, the US retail sales data for
September are released at 1230GMT. Retail sales are expected to rise
0.8% in September after sharp gains in the previous two months. Vehicle
sales rose in the month after seasonal adjustment, while AAA reported
gasoline prices rose further in September. Nonauto retail sales are
forecast to rise 0.7%. Also at 1230GMT, the U.S. NY Fed Empire State
Survey is released. The Index is expected to rise to a reading of -4.0
in October after falling sharply in both August and September to levels
below the breakeven point. The regional data were generally pessimistic
in September, but the ISM data were more positive than in August, so the
predictive power of the regional data in October is likely to be
questioned.

US: (2) Its a heavy day fro Fed speak, starting at 1245GMT, when New
York Federal Reserve Bank Pres. William Dudley speaks to the 54th Annual
NABE meeting on the "Intersection Between Finance and Real Activity." At
1300GMT, Canadian September CREA existing home sales numbers will hit
screens. At 1330GMT, the MNI Capital Goods Index will be released,
followed at 1430GMT with the release of the MNI Retail Trade Index for
the Oct 8 week. At 1400GMT, the September Business Inventories data is
due. Inventories are forecast to rise 0.5% in August. Factory
inventories were already reported up 0.6%, while wholesale inventories
rose 0.5%.

US: (3) Fed speakers continue at 1645GMT, when Richmond Federal Reserve
Bank Pres. Jeffrey Lacker speaks to business and government leaders in
Roanoke, Va., on the topic of "Economic Outlook, October 2012." After he
was answer questions from the audience and the media. At 1710GMT, St.
Louis Federal Reserve Bank Pres. James Bullard speaks to the 3rd Annual
Economic Forum of the Missouri Council on Economic Education on the
topic of the "U.S. Economy and Monetary Policy," and answering questions
from the audience and the media. Lastly, at 0030GMT San Francisco
Federal Reserve Bank Pres. John Williams speaks to the Financial Women's
Association on "A Prospective on the Economy," after which he answers
questions from the audience.



EURO-DOLLAR: Closed in NY Friday at $1.2951 having recovered off earlier
lows of $1.2938 around the London fixings. Euro-dollar nudged higher on
the Asian open touching $1.2962, before supply from a US name pressed
lower. Fresh euro concerns as another weekend passed without a Spanish
request for aid added weight and the pair slumped, triggering stops
through $1.2920 and $1.2900 to print lows of $1.2891. Rate initially
bounced back above $1.2900 and settled in a tight range as volumes were
seen light ahead of Europe. Support seen at $1.2890 (Broken resistance)
with stops set, through here opens bids at $1.2875/70, stronger behind
at $1.2855/45. Afternoon data today includes Empire Manufacturing and
Advance Retail Sales released at 1230GMT.


CABLE: Closed in NY Friday at $1.6065 having bounced off the intraday
low of $1.6018, the rate consolidated gains despite decent US Consumer
Confidence data. Cable opened higher in light Asian trade to $1.6079,
before tracking sharp euro-dollar declines and slipping to $1.6027. Dip
demand later recovered to settle in a tight range and last trades
$1.6038 ahead of Europe. Support seen on the downside at $1.6025/15,
ahead of $1.6005/00. With the Lack of UK data today traders focus on
release of CPI numbers on Tuesday, followed by the Bank of England (BOE)
minutes on Wednesday. Euro-sterling closed in NY Friday at stg0.8065,
off earlier lows of stg0.8051. The cross lifted to stg0.8063 in early
Asian trade before easing lower in tandem with euro-dollar to stg0.8040
where the rate met support. Strong demand seen at stg0.8025/20
(stg0.8023 - 11 Oct low), ahead of bids at stg0.8005/0.7995.


DOLLAR-YEN: Closed in NY Friday at Y78.43, the rate having bounced off
lows of Y78.28 around the London fixings. Dollar-yen opened flat in Asia
before easing lower on cross yen supply to Y78.33, the pair encountered
usual Gotobi demand into the Tokyo fix with 2 banks seen buying in good
size, traders say. Dollar recovered to opening levels, before a fresh
wave of demand from Japanese names lifted to Y78.62. Resistance seen on
the topside at Y78.68/76 from the Ichimoku cloud base/100 dma, a break
opens offers into Y78.80. Euro-yen closed in NY Friday at Y101.58 having
recovered off Y101.31 in tandem with euro-dollar. The cross initially
lifted to Y101.62 in early Asia, before sharp cross supply pressed
through support to print Y101.04. Demand ahead of the Tokyo fix
recovered to Y101.30, extending to Y101.45 where the rate settled in a
tight range.


GOLD: Spot gold prices are trading in negative territory Monday
extending their losses from the previous session. Spot gold ended
Friday's session $12.87 lower at $1754.48/oz after falling in the wake
of some strong US data which showed U.S. consumer sentiment rose to a
five-year high, adding concerns that the latest wave of quantitative
easing from the U.S. Federal Reserve, aimed at improving the job market,
may be trimmed. Gold became subject of some stop loss selling as prices
breached $1747 on the downside to trade to a session low of $1741.75/oz.
Gold prices also remain pressured by some demand for the US dollar which
has posted some gains across the board in FX markets so far this
morning. Spot gold has tentatively edged back from its session low after
initially falling quite sharply as some sell stops entered the market,
recovering to just above $1746 ahead of the European cash equity
opening. Spot gold now trades at $1744.70 a troy ounce, down $9.78 on
the session.


OIL: November Nymex WTI prices are trading in negative territory Monday
as markets gear up for the EU leaders summit, expected Thursday into
Friday. November WTI ended Friday's session 21 cents lower at $91.86 a
barrel but still managed to post a gain on the week amid rising
geopolitical tensions between Turkey and Syria. Some fresh euro concerns
have returned to the market this morning, as another weekend passed
without a Spanish request for aid. November WTI prices fell away quite
sharply early on during Asian traded hours to retreat to a session low
of $90.82 a barrel before finding some support to get back above $91.
Oil prices also remain pressured by some gains seen in the US dollar
which has posted some gains across the board in FX markets so far this
morning. November WTI recovered to $91.27 from its intra-day low of
$90.82 and is now seen trading $91.06 a barrel, down 80 cents on the
session.


NATURAL GAS: Nymex November natural gas prices are trading lower Monday
after posting some slim gains during the previous session. November
natural gas prices ended Friday's session up 0.7% at $3.611 per million
British thermal units (Btu) after posting a new 2012 high of $3.638.
Prices ended the week around 6.3% higher. Some forecasts for fairly mild
US weather this week has seen some market participants of natural gas
take off some profits after prices have seen some strong momentum to the
upside in recent sessions. November natural gas has fallen from opening
highs of $3.600 posted early on during Asian traded hours to trade down
to a session low of $3.568 per mln Btu, with prices remaining heavy
currently seen trading $3.571 per mln Btu.


FX: Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut,
* Euro-dollar; $1.2895, $1.2900, $1.2925, $1.2970 (Large), $1.3000,
$1.3050, $1.3100
* Cable; $1.6150 (Large)
* Aussie; $1.0100, $1.0200, $1.0250
* Euro-yen; Y101.00
* Dollar-swiss; chf0.9525
* Kiwi-dollar; nz$0.8200

CFTC: Speculative accounts added to their net euro short positions,
but trimmed their net yen long positions this week, according to U.S.
CFTC data, released Friday. The CFTC's COT report -- non-commercial,
futures-only section, excluding options -- showed speculators had a net
euro short of -72,570 contracts as of October 9, compared to the net
short of -50,265 contracts seen last week. This week's net short
contrasts to the record net euro long of +119,538 contracts seen May 15,
2007 and the record net euro short of -214,418 contracts, seen June 5,
2012. Spec accounts had a net yen long of +12,914 contracts as per
October 9, versus last week's net yen long of +29,335 contracts. The
euro closed near $1.2884 and dollar-yen at Y78.23 October 9, which
compared to closing levels Friday at $1.2960 and Y78.40.


EARNINGS: Some of biggest names to report Q3 earnings include:
Date Company Estimate/share
Oct 15 Citigroup $0.97
Oct 15 Charles Schwab Corp $0.17
Oct 16 Coca-Cola Co $0.50
Oct 16 Goldman Sachs Group $2.42
Oct 16 Intel Corp $0.50
Oct 16 Johnson & Johnson $1.22
Oct 16 IBM $3.61
Oct 17 State Street Corp $0.96
Oct 17 US Bancorp $0.74
Oct 17 Bank of New York Mellon $0.54
Oct 17 American Express Co $1.08
Oct 17 Bank of America Corp $0.16
Oct 17 Pepsico Inc $1.16
Oct 17 eBay Inc $0.54

EUROZONE: Timeline of key events in the eurozone for next few weeks:
- Oct -- Possible Moody's Spain ratings action (due anytime October)
- Oct 15 EU Barroso/Barnier speaks in European Parliament
- Oct 15 Italy T-bill redemption for E7.0bln
- Oct 15 Italy BTP redemption for E18.373bln
- Oct 16 German Merkel to meet Swedish PM Reinfeldt in Berlin
- Oct 16 Bank of Italy releases Quarterly Economic Bulletin
- Oct 16 Greece to sell 13-week T-bill for E1.25bln
- Oct 16 Spain T-bill auction (12-/18-month)
- Oct 16 EFSF sells new 6-month T-bill for E2.0bln
- Oct 17 Portugal sells 3-/6-/12-mth T-bill for E1.75bn-E2.0bn combined
- Oct 18 ECB meeting
- Oct 18/19 EU Leaders Summit, Brussels
- Oct 18 Spain bond auction
- Oct 19 Spain T-bill redemption for E9.02bln
- Oct 19 Greek T-bill redemption for E1.625bln

[kamasoni]

EU REHN: US FISCAL CLIFF COULD HAVE CONSIDERABLE IMPACT
EU Rehn: Spanish Govt Is Open to Considering Bailout Request
EU Rehn: Considering Giving Greece More Time for Fiscal Reforms

[richard.cali]

Kroi się małe bum
http://beforeitsnews.com/financial-mark ... 60740.html

nic z tego, niżej siedzą Ci co się nie załapali na wzrosty i tylko podbierają na korektach

Co z tą podfalą Fali C? Warunki i poziomy?

[zeuss]

sentyment spadkowy na DT, więc można śmiało wchodzić w długie pozycje.

[kamasoni]

mówisz, że to taki antywskaźnik?

[zeuss]

kojarzycie taką świece??

[Nowy123]

ESm nie ma na razie dla Hispzani kasy wiec juz Goldmanki i inne brukowce Rutery i Boolbergi nie maja co plot puszczac

[Stforex]

Taa, silny wykup. Challenger leci na orbitę
Wygląda, że dolary będą się pchały do europy. Mało się teraz pisze o zadymie w US.

Nowy123: Już rano newsy były o lewarze dla ESM.

[Nowy123]

Edziu odrobil spadek z Azji zamkniete L

S na skalp i chyba trzeba poszukac znowu L

-- Dodano: pn 15-10-2012, 10:15 --

Taa, silny wykup. Challenger leci na orbitę
Wygląda, że dolary będą się pchały do europy. Mało się teraz pisze o zadymie w US.

Nowy123: Już rano newsy były o lewarze dla ESM.

tak skonczy sie na jakis czas puszczanie plot pod Hiszpanie

[TGV]

Cześć, kierować się będziemy raczej na Południe.

Potencjalny target:
dzienny - 1.26
4h - okolice 1.277-1.28
1h - 1.288

Sygnał : Potencjalny RGR. na 2H/ 4h oraz M15

EURJPY - również możliwy RGR M30

mały rgr red zanegowany
to duzy da zarobić