1. W wątku DT omawiamy bieżąca sytuacje na rynku i to co dotyczy danego dnia. Od dłuższych prognoz jest dział Prognozy, komentarze, analizy
2. Zamieszczamy tylko i wyłącznie swoje analizy. Nie kopiujemy z innych serwisów.
3. Komentarz do własnej analizy nie może mieć charakteru rekomendacji. (to nie jest dział z sygnałami)
4. Kłótnie, ataki na innych użytkowników są niedopuszczalne.
5. Nie zaśmiecamy wątku. (wypowiedzi w stylu: "dałem S", "ja kończę na dziś" itp. jak i chwalenie się swoimi statami)
Nagminne łamanie powyższych zasad będzie skutkować nałozeniem zakazu pisania do końca bieżącego tygodnia.
Recydywa będzie karana ostrzeżeniami.
Przypominam że ponadto obowiązuje Regulamin Forum
Przedstawione poglądy, oceny, opinie i wnioski są wyrazem osobistych poglądów
autorów i nie mają charakteru rekomendacji do nabycia lub zbycia albo
powstrzymania się od dokonania transakcji w odniesieniu do jakichkolwiek walut.
Poglądy te jak i inne treści nie stanowią "rekomendacji" lub "doradztwa"
w rozumieniu ustawy z dnia 29 lipca 2005 o obrocie instrumentami finansowymi.
Wyłączną odpowiedzialność za decyzje inwestycyjne, podjęte lub zaniechane
na podstawie poniższych analiz ponosi inwestor.
EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, GOLD
Ostatnio zmieniony 21 wrz 2012, 18:59 przez Esco, łącznie zmieniany 1 raz.
EUROPE: French Q2 employment data is released at 0645GMT. Next on the
European calendar, at 0810GMT, ECB Governing Council member Erkki
Liikanen is to speak at a Finnish parliamentary hearing, in Helsinki
At 1030GMT, Riksbank Governor Stefan Ingves is scheduled to give a
luncheon speech entitled "Financial crisis - causes consequences and
cures." The German Finance Ministry releases its monthly fiscal and
economic report, in Berlin, although no time is scheduled. At 1300GMT,
German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble talks to the foreign press,
in Berlin.
SPAIN: Catalan regional officials have reportedly asked Brussels for
guidance on the legality and practicalities of secession from Spain and
membership of the EU and euro, the Telegraph adds. However, the paper
notes Spanish government officials says they secession is "illegal" and
they will use their veto to block Catalan EU membership "indefinitely."
GREECE: Two sets of talks in Athens and both end in stalemate,
eKathimerini says, as both inter coalition talks on further cuts and the
discussions with the Troika on the package both ended Thursday without
agreement.
GERMANY PRESS: Eurozone member states appear to have reached an
agreement on a legally binding statement that addresses the conditions
stipulated by Germany's highest court before the ESM Treaty can be
ratified, clearing what may now be the final hurdle for the
implementation of the ESM, Der Spiegel reports. The daily says
ambassadors of the 17 eurozone states plan to sign a so-called
"interpretive declaration" in Brussels next Wednesday. THis makes it
increasingly probable that the ESM will be able to start its work in
just a few weeks time, the report says.
BUNDS: Dec bunds are called 25 ticks lower at open.
UK: The data calendar gets underway just ahead of 0600GMT, when UK
retailer John Lewis release their latest weekly sales numbers. Despite a
fairly sluggish UK retail sector. Lewis has been an outperformer. UK
public sector finance data is expected at 0830GMT. Recent monthly
headline PSNB-X figures have shown some deterioration on a year ago,
although August may show a slight improvement, in part due to base
effects from a poor outturn in Aug 2011. Also at 0830GMT, UK June BOE
Consolidated Worldwide Claims numbers are released.
UK PRESS: The ECB's new headquarters, expected to open in 2014, is
running over budget and is likely to exceed initial estimates by E200
mn, the Telegraph says.
US: No major US releases are expected at 1230GMT, but Canadian inflation
data is slated for release, with consumer prices for August and also
wholesale sales numbers for July expected. US data kicks off at 1400GMT,
with he release of the August BLS unemployment and mass lay-off data.
At 1640GMT, Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank Pres Dennis Lockhart speaks
to the Atlanta Institute of Internal Auditors on the subject of "U.S.
Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy." He will answer questions from the
audience. Late data, out at 2015GMT, sees U.S. C&I loans numbers hit
the screens.
EURO-DOLLAR: Closed in NY at $1.2968 after recovering off lows at
$1.2920 to $1.2974. Recovery off that mentioned low extended in early
Asian trade with rate edging to an early high of $1.2980. Sales of
euro-yen knocked rate back to $1.2963 before meeting fresh demand that
based the move before allowing it to recover. Rate pushed to $1.2983,
dropping back to $1.2970 before advancing on to $1.2992 ahead of the
European open. Rate retains a firm tone, currently trading around
$1.2985. Offers seen in place to $1.3000 ($1.2998 61.8% $1.3076-1.2920),
a break to open a move toward stronger sell interest placed between
$1.3005-25. Support seen at the overnight low at $1.2963, with
further demand seen into $1.2950. A break here to expose Thursday#'s low
at $1.2920 with interim interest noted at $1.2935. Stops remain in place
below $1.2920. Further demand seen into $1.2900 with more stops below.
Fairly light data calendar to end the week on with moves to come from
headline comments. Those with the orders expected to again be in
control.
MNI EURO-DOLLAR: Fundamental levels (orders, options, technicals)
$1.3150 Minor offers
$1.3115/25 Medium offers
$1.3100 Minor offers $1.3076-85 Recovery high Wednesday off $1.2993-Sep19 high
$1.3045/50 Medium offers/$1.3047 50% $1.3173-1.2920)
$1.3030 Stops
$1.3005/25 Medium offers dotted between
$1.3004 Int.Day high Europe, Asia into Europe $1.3000
$1.2995 ***Current mkt rate 0609GMT Friday
$1.2963 Int.Day low Asia $1.2920 Strong demand/Thursday Sep20 low/Stops
$1.2900 Medium demand on approach/Stops $1.2855/50 Strong demand/Pullback low seen into FOMC
$1.2829 Tech 200-dma/$1.2935 Option expiry
CABLE: Closed in NY at $1.6215 after extending its recovery
off intraday lows of $1.6164 to $1.6219 ahead of the close. Rate touched
an early low at $1.6213 before tracking euro-dollar higher, the rate
pushing to an initial high of $1.6229 before momentum faded and move
reversed on Japanese sales of euro-yen. Cable retested the early low
before picking up stronger demand which lifted rate to back to challenge
$1.6230 resistance. The break above this level opened a move up to
$1.6261, with rate holding firm into early Europe. Strong resistance
seen in the area between $1.6265/75 (recent highs between $1.6268/73),
with weak talk in recent sessions suggesting barrier interest at
$1.6275. A break here then exposes confirmed barrier interest at
$1.6300, with 2012 highs (Apr30) at $1.6302 sitting close behind. Stops
noted on break of $1.6310, which if triggered to open a move toward
$1.6330/35 ahead of $1.6350. A break and close above $1.6302 would also
add to the underlying positive tone going forward. Support seen at
$1.6230/20 ahead of $1.6200. UK public borrowing data due at 0830GMT.
YEN: Dollar-yen closed in NY at Y78.26, the rate having remained buoyed
above Y78.00 through Thursday. Rate saw lows of Y78.02 in the session
before recovering back as market picked up a recovering risk tone, the
rate edging to a high of Y78.36. An early dip back to Y78.20 in early
Asia found demand which allowed rate to push up to highs of Y78.37
before momentum faded. Sales of euro-yen had provided some headwinds,
eventually weighing on the pair to take it back through Y78.20 and down
to Y78.13. Japanese trust banks were noted buyers of the pair through
the overnight session, providing underlying buoyancy. Strong demand
remains in place on approach to Y78.00, a break to expose stops, which
if triggered to allow for a deeper move toward Y77.80. Euro-yen tracked
euro-dollar's recovery in Asia, though move up was tempered by that
reported sell interest in Asia, the rate edging up from an early low of
Y101.45 to Y101.67, before settling within a tight range around Y101.50
ahead of the European open. China-Japan situation causing some
background concern though market not sure how it effects risk.
JAPAN STOCKS CLOSE: Japan's benchmark stock indices ended Friday's
session higher. The Nikkei 225 was higher by 23.02 points, or 0.25%, at
9118.00. Just ahead of the close, the broader-based TOPIX was higher by
2.61 points at 756.42. Preliminary volume in the Nikkei stocks totalled
970 mn shares, with 160 issues higher, 44 lower and 21 unchanged.
GOLD: Spot gold prices are trading in marginal positive territory Friday
after closing around unchanged levels during the previous session. Spot
gold prices ended Thursday's session $1.80 lower at $1768.60 a troy
ounce, with prices recovering from lows of around $1756/oz. Some
additional weak US data gave prices a boost for the afternoon session,
with the recovery moderately extending during Asian traded hours this
morning. Spot gold has picked up from lows of $1766.90 to edge higher to
an intra-day high of $1773.75 a troy ounce amid a weaker showing from
the US dollar so far this morning. Spot gold now trades at $1771.70/oz,
up $3.10 on the session. Metals brokers report no significant flow of
activity so far.
METALS: Spot silver is little changed at $34.79 an ounce, currently up
12 cents on the session. The white metal is edging higher after hitting
an intraday low of $33.82 an ounce in the previous session, in line with
firmer gold prices. Spot platinum is now higher $14 at $1640.50 an
ounce, rising on reports of clashes at top platinum firm Anglo American
Platinum's South African mine, which come a day after strikers at
Lonmin's nearby Marikana mine agreed to return to work. Spot palladium
is now up $4.50 at $667 an ounce.
OIL: November Nymex WTI prices are trading higher Friday attempting to
recover some sharp losses suffered over the course of the week. November
WTI futures ended Thursday's session 12 cents higher at $92.42 a barrel,
with the October contract expiring at $91.87 a barrel. WTI prices have
recovered to trade back above $93 this morning amid concerns about
Libya's precarious security situation and lower North Sea production
which is stoking some supply fears. OPEC member and Africa's third
biggest producer Libya swiftly ramped up oil output after last year's
revolution, but an assault last week on the US consulate heightened
fears about the new government's ability to impose its authority, and
this is likely to delay the already slow return of expatriate oil
workers to the country. Adding to the worries about supply disruptions,
two more cargoes of North Sea Forties crude loading in October were
delayed because of lower production. November WTI prices have advanced
from a low of $92.80 in Asian traded hours to session highs of $93.23 a
barrel, with the market currently trading $93.21, up 79 cents.
NATURAL GAS: Nymex October natural gas prices are trading higher Friday
after prices managed to close in positive territory the previous
session. October natural gas futures ended Thursday's session up 3.5
cents, or 1.3%, at $2.797 per million British thermal units (Btu)
breaking a run of six consecutive down days. Prices received a boost
from some technical buying and short covering after Thursday's US Energy
Information Administration (EIA) report showed total gas inventories
climbed last week to 3.496 trillion cubic feet, still a record high for
this time of year. Prices gyrated between $2.767 and $2.821 after the
report was published. This morning, natural gas prices have extended
some of their recovery from lows of $2.805 to an intra-day high of
$2.827, with the market currently seen trading $2.817 per mln Btu.
Witam. Japończyki jednej nocy do góry, później w dół i znowu do góry. Ostatnio piątki były wzrostowe, ale dzisiaj może być inaczej. Poziom 1.3000 może się obroni i pojedziemy znowu w okolice 1.2930. Może trochę niżej.
Nie masz wymaganych uprawnień, aby zobaczyć pliki załączone do tego posta.
Przeczytanie powyższej wypowiedz może doprowadzić do błędnej oceny sytuacji, spowodować przecenienie własnych możliwości, czego konsekwencją mogą być błędnie podjęte decyzje. Ofiarami mogą paść początkujący jak i doświadczeni inwestorzy. Tak myślę!
Przeczytanie powyższej wypowiedz może doprowadzić do błędnej oceny sytuacji, spowodować przecenienie własnych możliwości, czego konsekwencją mogą być błędnie podjęte decyzje. Ofiarami mogą paść początkujący jak i doświadczeni inwestorzy. Tak myślę!
ale dlaczego do 11,00 co potem? 1,22 mi padł system i leże w gruzach, na około słyszę tylko wybuchy i jęki
Przeczytanie powyższej wypowiedz może doprowadzić do błędnej oceny sytuacji, spowodować przecenienie własnych możliwości, czego konsekwencją mogą być błędnie podjęte decyzje. Ofiarami mogą paść początkujący jak i doświadczeni inwestorzy. Tak myślę!
napisałeś 3140 jako tp?
na pierwszy ogień kablem?
mi padł system i leże w gruzach, na około słyszę tylko wybuchy i jęki