DayTrading: Wtorek 19.02.2012

Dyskusje na temat aktualnej sesji: komentarze, analizy, opinie.

Prognoza EURUSD na dzisiaj

Czas głosowania minął 19 lut 2013, 23:46

Wzrost
17
33%
Bez zmian
7
13%
Spadek
28
54%
 
Liczba głosów: 52

JaqueQ
Stały bywalec
Stały bywalec
Posty: 52
Rejestracja: 04 lut 2013, 01:21

Re: DayTrading: Wtorek 19.02.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: JaqueQ »

roberttheus pisze:taa zasadzić ske na ejku juz cza :564:
Na H4 masz dywergencję byka... tak na marginesie :d

Dmn112
Gaduła
Gaduła
Posty: 143
Rejestracja: 20 lut 2012, 21:24

Re: DayTrading: Wtorek 19.02.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: Dmn112 »

Mnie się udało wbić do pociągu na gbp/aud do 1.495 powinno być w miare bezpiecznie.

Awatar użytkownika
niemiaszek
Przyjaciel Forum
Przyjaciel Forum
Posty: 5097
Rejestracja: 08 lis 2010, 15:02

Re: DayTrading: Wtorek 19.02.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: niemiaszek »

Hello


EU: The European calendar gets underway at 0700GMT, with the release of the EMU ACEA
new car registrations numbers for January.
Further data is expected at 1000GMT, with the release of the EMU December
construction output numbers.
Also at 1000GMT, the session's likely main release sees the German February ZEW
survey cross the wires. Markets are looking for a small uptick in the number,
although there is the outside chance of disappointment in the wake of the weaker
than expected German Q4 GDP.
At 1915GMT, ECB Executive Board member Joerg Asmussen is set to participate in a
panel discussion on euro crisis, in Bratislava.

EURO: Latvian PM says the country is likely to apply for membership of the
single currency in early March, the Guardian reports

EUROPE: The FT says a further eurozone crisis hurdle was overcome late Monday as
an agreement between the EC, the European Parliament and national governments on
the setting up of a working group to study the feasibility of a eurozone debt
redemption fund was reached.


Switzerland' SNB Chairman Thomas Jordan is scheduled to give a speech on the
strong franc at the Swiss Institute of International Studies, in Zurich. Jordan
is set to speak at 1800GMT.


UK PRESS: The FT says funds are selling sterling in a trade being called the
"Carney Short", with many saying they hear echoes of "Abenomics" in thoughts and
views of the incoming Governor.

UK PRESS: Competitive bidding for the UK 4G spectrum licenses could provide a
modest revenue boost for the government the Times says, with the process now
expected to raise around stg 4bn against early estimates for a return of stg 3
bn.



US/CANADA: At 1330GMT, Canadian December international securities
transactions numbers will be released, along with the December Wholesale sales
and inventories data.
The US returns from the long holiday weekend, but there is only a limited data
calendar. At 1430GMT, the MNI Capital Goods Index for the Feb 15 week will be
released, followed by the release of the MNI Retail Trade Index for the Feb 16
week at 1530GMT.
In between, at 1500GMT, the February NAHB Index will cross the wires.




EURO-DOLLAR: Closed Monday's North American devoid session at $1.3352, the rate
having seen a range of $1.3322-79 during the day, recovering off a late dip to
$1.3333 into the close. Rate initially spiked to $1.3365 in early Asia before
dropping back to mark lows at $1.3339 before it slowly recovered through the
Asian afternoon to settle around $1.3350 into Europe. Trade in euro-dollar was
basically sidelined in Asia, more interest seen in yen and Aussie as markets
awaited Minutes from their respective central banks. No real surprises from the
Minutes, the RBA possibly less dovish than some had hoped. ECB Draghi comments
Monday, again noting the impact a strong currency can have on growth, could have
some negative effect on the euro into Europe, with a returning US later may also
highlight these comments. However, rate currently seen settled into a range with
demand in the area between $1.3325/00 cushioning the base in recent sessions,
while offers $1.3380/00 provide the initial upside hurdles. EU Almunia, Barnier,
Rehn and Steinbrueck are due to speak in Brussels from 0715GMT. Spain sell
3-mos, 9-mos bills at 0930GMT, with EZ construction data, along with Germany
ZEW, due at 1000GMT to provide the morning interest.

EURO-DOLLAR: Under pressure as Europe gets going, the rate extending lows to
$1.3336 after breaking under the Asian base at $1.3339. Strong demand seen in
place from around $1.3325 through to $1.3300, with traders noting Monday that
sovereign demand has emerged to cushion any down moves in recent sessions. Rate
currently trades around $1.3339.

EURO-DOLLAR: Fundamental levels (orders, options, technicals)
$1.3520 Weds Feb13 high
$1.3450/60 Medium offers
$1.3415/25 Medium offers
$1.3400 Medium offers/$1.3405 Stops
$1.3393 Fri Feb15 high (Weidmann react)
$1.3380 Medium offers on approach/$1.3379 Mon Feb18 high

$1.3366 Int.Day high Asia
$1.3357 ***Current mkt rate 0707GMT Tuesday
$1.3339 Int.Day low Asia
$1.3320 Strong demand on approach/$1.3322 Mon Feb18 low/Stops
$1.3300 Medium demand on approach/$1.3306 Fri Feb15 low
$1.3295 Stops
$1.3290/80 Strong demand/Large stops
$1.3265/60 Strong demand/Stops
$1.3250 Strong demand on approach



CABLE: Closed Monday at $1.5472, the rate having extended recent lows to $1.5438
earlier in the day before taking out stops above $1.5500, then drifting off to
$1.5457 ahead of the close. Rate extended this late recovery to $1.5480 into
early Asia, but move lacked the momentum to retest the $1.5500/10 area,
reversing to $1.5461 before recovering to $1.5475 into Europe. Moves basically
tracked euro-dollar, the cross contained within a relatively tight
stg0.86235/0.86325. Sterling remains on the back foot, recent released
disappointing data along with sterling negative comments from BOE MPC members
adding to the tone. For cable sell interest seen between $1.5510/20, stronger
toward $1.5550, these levels suggested for fresh short opening. Stops noted
above $1.5560. Bids seen at $1.5460/50, more toward Monday's low at $1.5438
ahead of $1.5420 and barrier interest at $1.5400. The domestic calendar seen
light, with moves to come from outside action, a returning North American market
to also add influence. Euro-sterling offers remain into stg0.8650, bids into
stg0.8600.

CABLE: Picking up a bid tone into early Europe, retesting its overnight high at
$1.5489. Minor sell interest seen place between $1.5490 through to $1.5500, a
move above to expose Monday's recovery highs at $1.5510, with offers said to
remain here through to $1.5520. Stronger sell interest noted on approach to
$1.5520.

CABLE: MNI Cable: Fundamental levels (orders, options, technicals),
$1.5650 Medium offers on approach
$1.5600/10 Medium offers/$1.5600 option expiry
$1.5585 NY high Weds/Strong offers
$1.5550 Strong offers on approach/Many look to short here
$1.5520 Medium offers
$1.5500/10 Medium offers/$1.5510 recovery high Monday off $1.5438
$1.5490 Int.Day high Europe, Asia $1.5489
$1.5487 **Current market rate 0713GMT Tuesday
$1.5461 Int.Day low Asia
$1.5438 Monday Feb18 low
$1.5420 Medium demand
$1.5400 Strong demand on approach/Option barrier
$1.5390 Medium demand/Stops
$1.5350 Option barrier/Demand ahead
$1.5269 Low Jun 2012

EURO-STERLING: MNI Euro-sterling: Fundamental levels (orders, options,
technicals)
stg0.8717 Feb1 high
stg0.8685/90 Strong offers/stg0.8685 Feb13, stg0.8688 Feb5 highs
stg0.8667 Thu Feb14 high
stg0.8650 Medium offers on approach/stg0.8648 Mon Feb18 high
stg0.86325 Int.Day high Asia
stg0.8616 ***Current market rate 0717GMT Tuesday
stg0.8614 Int.Day low Europe, Asia stg0.86235
stg0.8615/00 Medium demand dotted between/Stops
stg0.8575/70 Medium demand
stg0.8545/40 Medium demand
stg0.8520/15 Medium demand
stg0.8442 Monday Feb11 low


YEN: Dollar-yen closed Monday's session at Y93.94, having failed to extend the
opening Asian highs of Y94.22 following the weekend G20 Communique. Rate had
seen pullback lows of Y93.76 before recovering into the close. Rate came under
heavier selling into Asia, extending corrective its pullback to Y93.57 with
traders linking this move to comments from FinMin Aso that the government was
not currently considering revisions to BOJ law, as well as not considering the
purchase of foreign bonds (possibly showing a rift between Aso and PM Abe). Rate
recovered to Y93.92 before momentum faded, the rate then settling back between
Y93.60/70 as the BOJ Minutes contained no major surprises. Chief Cabinet
Secretary Suga said that the next governor of the BOJ would be announced after
Abe returns from the US. Euro-yen closed Monday at Y125.45, having pulled back
from an extended high of $125.90, the corrective pullback extending in early
Asia to Y124.88 as it tracked dollar-yen's reaction to Aso comments. Recovery to
Y125.35 attracted fresh supply that eased it back to Y124.95 before it recovered
to Y125.20 into Europe.

JAPAN STOCKS CLOSE: Japan's benchmark stocks are narrowly mixed Tuesday. The
Nikkei 225 was lower by 35.53 points, or 0.31%, at 11372.34. Into the close, the
broader-based TOPIX was higher by 1.14 points at 963.83. Market breadth
indicators saw 114 issue higher, 93 lower and 18 unchanged. Preliminary volume
stood at 1.67 bn shares.


OPTIONS: FX: Option expiries for today's 1000ET cut,
* Euro-dollar; $1.3400, $1.3500
* Dollar-yen; Y92.00, Y92.70, Y93.00, Y93.50, Y94.00, Y94.30
* Euro-sterling; stg0.8500
* Euro-Swiss; Chf1.2320, Chf1.2400
* Aussie; $1.0270, $1.0200


EUROZONE T-BILL ISSUANCE: Spain, and ESM are due to come to the Eurozone
sovereign T-bill market Tuesday. Spain will be first up with a tap of 3-month
May 17 Letra and tap of 9-month Nov 22 Letra for an indicative amount of
E3.0-E4.0bln. ESM plan to issue new 6-month Aug 22 Bill for up to E2.0bln. To
recap, on Monday, Netherlands sold E2.09bln 3-month May 31 DTC at average yield
0.007% and sold E1.11bln 6-month Aug 30 DTC at average yield 0.026%. In the
afternoon, France sold E3.595 3-month BTF at average yield 0.015%, E1.798bln
6-month BTF at average yield 0.050% and E1.795bln 12-month BTF at average yield
0.131%. Still to come this week, Portugal plan to re-open 3-month May 17 T-bill
and issue new 12-month Feb 21, 2014 T-bill for indicative target range of
E1.25-E1.5bln on Wednesday. While on Thursday Finally Ireland is expected to
issue new 3-month May 9 T-bill for E500mln, to be confirmed on Tuesday.

EUROZONE ISSUANCE: Focus turns to Belgium's new 5-year syndicated benchmark bond
issue, where order books are expected to open as soon as Tuesday. Belgium
mandated Credit Agricole CIB, HSBC, ING and KBC Bank as leads for the new 5-year
OLO and said the issue will be launched in the near future, subject to market
conditions. Issuance so far has seen Slovakia tap its floater Nov 2016 SLOVGB218
and 4.625% Jan 2017 SLOVGB219 bonds on Monday for E255.2mln and E175mln,
respectively. Looking ahead, Germany re-opens its benchmark 10-year 1.50% Feb
2023 Bund on Wednesday for up to E5.0bln. On Thursday, France plans to sell
2.00% July 2015 BTAN, 4.25% Oct 2017 OAT, 1.00% May 2018 OAT on Feb 20 for
between E7.0bln-E8.0bln. In addition, France plans to sell a new 0.25% July 2025
OATei on Thursday for between E1.5bln-E2.5bln. The main focus is on Spain's bond
auctions on Thursday, where the Tesoro Publico taps the 2.75% Mar 2015 Bono,
4.30% Oct 2019 Obligaciones and also 5.40% Jan 2023 Obligaciones issues for
between E3.0bln-E4.0bln indicative size. In terms of reinvestment flows,
moderate redemption of Greek floater for E0.44bln and coupons from Austria
E0.3bln and Ireland E0.2bln -- leaves net cash flow negative by around E21.0bln.
... zbieraj pips do pipa bo jak nie to z depo będzie lipa... G."niemiaszek"

rafmax
Maniak
Maniak
Posty: 1633
Rejestracja: 17 sty 2013, 08:13

Re: DayTrading: Wtorek 19.02.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: rafmax »

AU 1,0330 SHORT
SL 1,0380
TP 1,0180

EJ 125,75 LONG
SL 125,45
TP 127,45

UJ 93,50 LONG
SL 93,20
TP 94,72
Ostatnio zmieniony 19 lut 2013, 08:48 przez rafmax, łącznie zmieniany 2 razy.
"Buy the fu*king dip you fu*king idiot" :)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jllJ-HeErjU

kuchara23
Gaduła
Gaduła
Posty: 275
Rejestracja: 28 gru 2009, 10:12

Re: DayTrading: Wtorek 19.02.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: kuchara23 »

Za 10 dni amerykańskiemu budżetowi grożą automatyczne cięcia wielkości 85 mld dolarów, co grozi utratą nawet 1 mln
miejsc pracy w ciągu dwóch lat. Na razie nic nie wskazuje, by partie w Kongresie zdołały się porozumieć ws. alternatywy.

yar68
Gaduła
Gaduła
Posty: 100
Rejestracja: 02 mar 2010, 08:01

Re: DayTrading: Wtorek 19.02.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: yar68 »

$EURUSD declines below 1.3350 on the French growth comments.

– – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – –

Greece 10-year bond yield is trading 1.7 bps higher to 10.80%.

– – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – –

EURJPY sellers – Middle East names cited
Written by Mike Paterson
February 19, 2013 at 07:36 GMT

Hearing Middle East sellers behind that move on EURJPY

Good demand at 124.50 but beware stop-loss sell orders below

– – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – –

EURJPY holds key 124.50 level
Written by Mike Paterson
February 19, 2013 at 08:18 GMT

Seems like the 124.50 magnet has rejected the seller’s charms for the moment, but it still looks suspect to another attack in my humble opinion…
Ostatnio zmieniony 19 lut 2013, 09:28 przez yar68, łącznie zmieniany 1 raz.

Awatar użytkownika
davor5
Pasjonat
Pasjonat
Posty: 479
Rejestracja: 06 wrz 2012, 22:58

Re: DayTrading: Wtorek 19.02.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: davor5 »

kuchara23 pisze:Za 10 dni amerykańskiemu budżetowi grożą automatyczne cięcia wielkości 85 mld dolarów, co grozi utratą nawet 1 mln
miejsc pracy w ciągu dwóch lat. Na razie nic nie wskazuje, by partie w Kongresie zdołały się porozumieć ws. alternatywy.

słyszałem ostatnio że tak nie jest i mogę się z tym bujać aż do lipca

Awatar użytkownika
Nowy123
Fanatyk
Fanatyk
Posty: 19955
Rejestracja: 13 sie 2012, 16:43

Re: DayTrading: Wtorek 19.02.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: Nowy123 »

124 55 zaliczone teraz decyzja czy jedziem na 124 czy odbitka ;)

-- Dodano: wt 19-02-2013, 10:17 --

http://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=411101

-- Dodano: wt 19-02-2013, 10:20 --

http://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=411090

-- Dodano: wt 19-02-2013, 10:21 --

Francji 2013 Wzrost PKB Prawdopodobnie około 0,2-0,3%

-- Dodano: wt 19-02-2013, 10:22 --

http://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=411046

Awatar użytkownika
mapabu
Stały bywalec
Stały bywalec
Posty: 59
Rejestracja: 15 lut 2013, 01:46

Re: DayTrading: Wtorek 19.02.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: mapabu »

Nowy123 pisze:124 55 zaliczone teraz decyzja czy jedziem na 124 czy odbitka ;)
Jak widać odbitka ;)

JaqueQ
Stały bywalec
Stały bywalec
Posty: 52
Rejestracja: 04 lut 2013, 01:21

Re: DayTrading: Wtorek 19.02.2012

Nieprzeczytany post autor: JaqueQ »

widzę, ze znowu ustawka pod odczyty. Pytanie tylko czy teraz retest 3385 robią i później fall na 3285-3305 czy juz teraz ustawka pod up 3445-55 z przystankiem w okolicach 3370-3380???

Zablokowany